Monday, July 21, 2025

PhilStar 37, Corporate rationality and NGOs irrationality in electricity pricing

Corporate rationality and NGOs irrationality in electricity pricing 


ENERGY, INFRA AND ECONOMICS - Bienvenido Oplas Jr. - The Philippine Star 

April 17, 2025 | 12:00am

https://www.philstar.com/business/2025/04/17/2436532/corporate-rationality-and-ngos-irrationality-electricity-pricing

 

Last week and this week, there were a number of important developments in the Philippine electricity sector.

 

On April 10, Power for People Coalition (P4P) released a statement titled, “ERC nod on Meralco power deal slammed, looming power monopoly questioned.”

 

 

On April 11, Meralco announced an upward adjustment of P0.723/kWh in the April electricity rate, the overall rate at P13.013/kWh this month from P12.290/kWh last March.

 

Also on April 11, the National Grid Corp. of the Philippines (NGCP) acted quickly and certified the Panay Energy Development Corp. (PEDC) Unit 3 for regulating reserve. Possibly after they read this column the day before where PEDC 3 was mentioned, “Declining global energy prices and Philippines electricity pricing” (April 10).

 

On April 13, Northern Davao Electric Cooperative Inc. (NORDECO) announced they will go to the Supreme Court to challenge a new law (RA 12144) that allows Davao Light and Power Co. (DLPC) to operate in additional areas under NORDECO’s area.

 

On April 14, the Department of Energy (DOE) conducted a press conference about Meralco’s competitive selection process (CSP) with Excellent Energy Resources Inc. (EERI) gas plant.

 

We go straight to the facts about those five developments.

 

On the P4P statement, they blame the following for the power rate increase in April 2025: “power supply agreements (PSAs) between Meralco and Meralco-owned generation companies (gencos) despite the potential increase in power rates, questions over anti-competitive practices… With these PSAs, Meralco’s right hand just agreed with its left hand to empty the pockets of consumers.”

 

These are emotional and juvenile statements from a typical NGO. Here are the facts.

 

One, increase generation charge this April is due to higher costs of power, lower supply at the Wholesale Electricity Spot Market (WESM) from 20,512 MW in February to 19,611 MW in March due to unscheduled shutdowns by a number of power plants, plus higher demand last March due to many hot days.

 

Two, Meralco has to replace power last month from WESM by at least 290 MW baseload and 350 MW mid-merit under their PSAs with South Premiere Power Corp., San Roque Hydro and Gigasol 3 that were not yet implemented pending ERC approval. If those capacities were implemented, generation charge would have been lower.

 

Three, the joint ownership of Meralco Power Gen, San Miguel Global Power and Aboitiz Power on SPPC, EERI and Linseed Field has the approval of the Philippine Competition Commission as lawful and not “anti-competitive.”

 

Four, “empty the pockets of consumers” is an emotional statement. Philippine inflation in March 2025 was only 1.8 percent, lower than 3.7 percent in March 2024 and 7.6 percent in March 2023. In particular, inflation for housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels last month was only 1.7 percent. People saved more money in their pockets last month, not emptied pockets.

 

So blaming Meralco’s PSAs for the price hike in April is wrong and fake news. All PSAs undergo CSP, meaning least cost possible for the consumers without compromising supply stability and reliability.

 

The reasons for the Meralco rate hike by P0.728/kWh for the April billing period have already been discussed above. In particular, WESM prices went up in March by P3.420/kWh, and charges from PSAs went up by P0.281/kWh following the expiration of the 400 MW PSA with Limay Power Inc. last Feb. 25.

 

Meralco’s distribution charge has not moved since the P0.036/kWh reduction starting August 2022. Then there is distribution rate true-up adjustment lowering the price by P0.202/kWh for residential customers starting April billing period.

 

On NGCP’s quick certification of PEDC U3, I asked Atty. Cynthia Alabanza, NGCP AVP and h ead of Public Relations Department, how NGCP responds to important power projects. She clearly explained: “The grid needs more generation capacity additions to ensure its power supply security. It also calls for higher availability and reliability for the existing power plants on which we rely. NGCP is paying special attention to all plants in the test and commissioning stage and putting them online as soon as possible….

 

“For committed plants in the construction stage, NGCP is focusing on providing the connection requirements… generation and transmission planning alignment remains a major concern. Solar plants, for example, can be developed in two years while new transmission lines may take five to seven years to build or even longer, depending on the line length, the line route’s complexity, and resistance from local governments and landowners.”

 

On NORDECO, I showed a table in my paper, “PDUs vs ECs” (BusinessWorld, Feb. 18, 2025) that blackout duration measured as system average interruption duration index (SAIDI) in power supply in 2023 for DLPC was 61 minutes but NORDECO’s was 1,256 minutes (21 hours). The SAIDI in 2022 for DLPC was 31 minutes and that of NORDECO was 10,283 minutes (171 hours or seven days).

 

Finally on the DOE press conference last April 14 about Meralco CSP with EERI, they informed the public of possible supply deficiency soon because EERI’s one of three units with 425 MW capacity is still not able to go online.

 

EERI president and CEO Yari A. Miralao issued a statement that their Units 1 and 2 with combined capacities of 850 MW “have successfully completed the testing and commissioning process and being issued the Final Certificate of Approval to Connect (FCATC)… are already fully operational and can generate power. Unit 3 with 425 MW is still awaiting the issuance of its FCATC, target to resolve concerns by 30 May 2025.”

 

Corporate entities like Meralco, MGEN, AP, SMGP and NGCP are rational in their pricing and quest for supply stability. Non-corporate entities like P4P, NORDECO and other ECs are irrational in their protests.

BWorld 789, Declining inflation and dealing with trade diversion

Declining inflation and dealing with trade diversion

April 15, 2025 | 12:02 am

My Cup Of Liberty

By Bienvenido S. Oplas, Jr.

https://www.bworldonline.com/opinion/2025/04/15/665836/declining-inflation-and-dealing-with-trade-diversion/

 

Over the last two weeks, the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) released the country’s inflation rate for March 2025 and unemployment rate for February 2025. There is good news in the former, as last month inflation was only 1.8% so the average inflation rate in the first quarter (Q1) 2024 of 3.3% went down to 2.3% in Q1 2025. This is similar to the Q1 2025 results of South Korea, whose inflation rate was 2.1%, Taiwan’s 2.2%, and Germany’s 2.3%; and it was lower than Vietnam’s 3.2% and the US’ 2.7%.

 

Meanwhile, our January-February 2025 average unemployment rate was 4%, lower than China’s 5.3%, Italy’s 6%, Germany’s 6.2%, and Canada’s 6.6%, but higher than the average unemployment rate of Japan, Taiwan, Malaysia, Korea, and Hong Kong (see the table).

 

 

In a Viber message, Budget Secretary Amenah F. Pangandaman expressed optimism that “Government spending has helped stabilize the country’s unemployment rate at 3-4% and inflation rate at 2-3% because important sectors like hard infrastructures are prioritized, these projects further improve our people’s productivity, work efficiency, and overall income.”

 

REDUCE THE BUDGET DEFICIT, SMUGGLING

We still need to reduce that high annual budget deficit of P1.5 trillion a year. There is a need for further increases in revenues and control in overall spending. Smuggling and illicit trade are among the big holes in revenue generation — they need to be plugged and minimized.

 

Last week, on April 7, President Ferdinand R. Marcos, Jr. and Department of Finance (DoF) Secretary Ralph G. Recto led the public condemnation of P3.26 billion worth of vape products that had been seized and forfeited by the Bureau of Customs (BoC) and warned the public against smuggling.

 

In a press statement, Mr. Recto commended the BoC “on its stronger and stricter crackdown on smugglers. Our fight against smuggling goes beyond just border protection. It is a defense of our economic integrity. By shutting down illicit trade, we protect our people’s access to affordable goods and boost our revenue collections that allow the government to provide more public services to Filipinos.”

 

This was a good move by the BoC and DoF. But I think that aside from the enforcement of existing anti-smuggling laws, there is a need to change existing tax laws that make the prices of legal products near prohibitive and the prices of illegal or smuggled products more attractive. The price differential between legal and illegal products becomes wider each year as the tax rates keep rising.

 

That is why in Senate and House Committee hearings on illicit trade last January and February (I was invited to the House and Senate Committee hearings and attended three times each), I argued that there is a need to cut the tax rate of tobacco products as a fiscal measure, as a means to raise tobacco tax revenues, and reduce the high incidence of smuggling.

 

TRADE DIVERSION AND POSSIBILITY OF DUMPING

The longer there is uncertainty over the tariff rates imposed by the US and other major exporting countries, the more trade diversion will happen. By this I mean that as China’s exports to the US slowly decline, more cargo ships filled with Chinese goods will be diverted to other countries, especially in the ASEAN, with the goods offered at discounts.

 

This week, April 14-18, China’s President Xi Jinping will visit three ASEAN countries — Vietnam, Malaysia, and Cambodia. Expanded trade should be foremost on the agenda.

 

If China will sell more trucks and buses, tractors and harvesters, computers and gadgets, clothes and construction materials to the ASEAN, including the Philippines, at a discount, consumers here will be happy, and our inflation rate will further stabilize to 1-3%.

 

But our trade deficit with China will then increase further, from $18.5 billion in 2023 and $23.4 billion in 2024, to possibly $30 billion or higher in 2025. And many domestic manufacturers will complain of “dumping” and will lobby for higher anti-dumping tariff rates for China products.

 

I believe that we should prioritize consumer choice and freedom and a lower inflation rate. The increase in the merchandise trade deficit can be compensated for by having a non-merchandise trade surplus, like welcoming more Chinese tourists here. 

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BWorld 788, US tariff reciprocity, trade diversion, and the Philippines’ options

US tariff reciprocity, trade diversion, and the Philippines’ options

April 8, 2025 | 12:02 am

My Cup Of Liberty

By Bienvenido S. Oplas, Jr.

https://www.bworldonline.com/opinion/2025/04/08/664432/us-tariff-reciprocity-trade-diversion-and-the-philippines-options/

 

US President Donald Trump announced last week, on April 2, that his “Reciprocal Tariffs” and the rates for Asian countries are as follows: Cambodia, 49%; Laos, 48%; Vietnam, 46%; Myanmar, 45%; Thailand, 36%; China, 34%; Indonesia and Taiwan, 32%; Pakistan, 29%; India, 26%; South Korea, 25%; Japan and Malaysia, 24%; the Philippines, 17%; and Singapore, 10%. These will take effect this week, on April 9.

 

BusinessWorld reports related to this are: “Southeast Asia nations, hit particularly hard by US tariffs, prep for talks with Trump” (April 3), “US slaps higher tariff on Philippines” (April 4), “PEZA is seeking reduced tariffs for key economic zone exports to US” (April 7), and, “PHL to benefit from trade diversion due to US reciprocal tariffs” (April 7).

 

Before discussing further, check out the Philippines’ latest trade numbers and trends in the accompanying table. Here we see that, 1.) our main export market is the US followed by Japan and Hong Kong, 2.) our main source of imports is China, followed by Japan and Indonesia, 3.) of our total imports (exports plus imports), 21% is with China, which is a larger share than Japan and the US’ combined share of 20%, 4.) our largest trade deficit is with China while our largest trade surplus is with the US.

 


REACTIONS AND POLICY OPTIONS

Consumers, corporations, and governments have various reactions and policy options to deal with this new trade reality.

 

1. Reactions by governments abroad. Asian governments so far have had varied reactions. Vietnam and Taiwan have offered to set zero tariffs for US goods, while Taiwan says it will invest more in the US, so the US should drop or delay the high tariff rates. Cambodia has offered setting a low 5% tariff on US goods, while China has countered with its own tariff hike on US goods. The White House’s national economic council director Kevin Hassett said that over 50 countries have reached out to Trump looking to begin negotiations for lower tariffs.

 

2. US consumers will have two choices. One, keep buying imported products, especially those with specific qualities that they need, even at higher prices due to higher tariffs. And two, buy US made products. This is a micro — corporate and household — decision by the people there and not so much a concern for consumers abroad.

 

3. Trade diversion by US consumers. Trade diversion or supply chain changes, assuming the products’ quality are similar or comparable, is something US companies can consider. They will buy or import more from countries which have lower prices via lower tariffs like Philippines and Singapore, and import less from countries with higher tariffs like Thailand and Vietnam. US multinationals abroad will also follow this trend, with more investments in countries with lower US tariff rates.

 

4. Trade diversion by high-tariffed countries. Suppose there are 1,000 cargo ships from Japan going to US monthly, then this number drops to only 950 after the tariff hikes. The 50 ships are diverted to other Asian markets, and there are five additional Japan cargo ships going to ports in the Philippines on top of the regular Japan ships. This trade diversion is done via discount by exporting countries to entice more buyers and may lead to “dumping.”

 

5. Tariff options by destination countries. When more imports at cheaper prices come in, trade deficit in the Philippines (-$54.2 billion in 2024) or other countries can expand. There are three options: a.) raise Philippine tariffs for those countries to discourage more imports and control the deficit, b.) keep the tariff rates as is, or c.) further lower our tariffs to sustain a low level of inflation rate.

 

6. Hasten setting up FTAs and EPAs among countries. The Philippines has many pending free trade agreements (FTAs) and Economic Partnership Agreements (EPAs) with more countries or country blocs.

 

7. Unilateral free trade, zero tariffs for all countries. Hong Kong is the prime example of this. There is no need for trade negotiations, they just abolished tariffs decades ago, with exceptions on products with national security and public health effects. Hong Kong attracts more visitors, investors, and shoppers than we do. Hong Kong imports goods via hundreds of cargo ships, then “exports” these goods via millions of visitors’ shopping bags.

 

The Philippines should consider zero-tariff trade with the US, then a unilateral free trade policy like Hong Kong.

 

The ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) was implemented in 2015 and it is the realization of the ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA) that was started in 1992. This is a free-trade regionally integrated common market of nearly 700 million consumers.

 

END GAME: GLOBAL FREE TRADE

With the aggressive level of tariff reciprocity unleashed by Trump and quick reaction towards zero tariffs by some countries like Vietnam and Taiwan, I think Trump is actually aiming for mutually low or even zero tariffs among countries in the world.

 

Free trade immediately reduces animosity while creating more goodwill among countries, especially between neighbors. As Frederic Bastiat, a famous French economist said once, “If goods cannot cross borders, soldiers will.”

 

No tariffs mean more supply of useful goods from more countries and suppliers, which can lead to more productivity in the country. And free trade benefits are not only in merchandise goods but also in non-merchandise services, more tourism, and peace and prosperity for the world.

Sunday, July 20, 2025

PhilStar 36, Declining global energy prices and Philippines electricity pricing

Declining global energy prices and Philippines electricity pricing

 

ENERGY, INFRA AND ECONOMICS - Bienvenido Oplas Jr. - The Philippine Star 

April 10, 2025 | 12:00am

https://www.philstar.com/business/2025/04/10/2434754/declining-global-energy-prices-and-philippines-electricity-pricing

 

Among the unintentional results of the ongoing tariff war between the US and China plus other countries is low global energy prices. World oil, gas and coal prices have been declining since late 2024 but prices further dipped this week.

 

Main reason is that many companies expect global growth slowdown this year and demand for energy is expected to decline while supply will rise, if not stabilize, at high level, like Trump’s drill-baby-drill policy. So there is little need to stockpile hydrocarbons and coal. And prices fall further.

 

Declining global energy prices

 

Here are the prices in the first week of April in 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025 (April 7), respectively:

 

WTI crude, $ per barrel: 97.01, 80.68, 85.66, 57.90.

 

Dubai crude, $ per barrel: 103.27, 84.59, 90.53, 67.17.

 

Natural gas, $ per million British thermal units (MMBtu): 6.36, 2.01, 2.03, 3.48.

 

Coal (Newcastle), $ per ton: 291.60, 193.75, 133.75, 97.50.

 

The period of low energy prices is a good opportunity to ramp up industrial capacity or other energy-intensive sectors like tourism (hotels, airlines, cruise ships, etc.) and manufacturing. A good time to travel too, especially in the Holy Week season next week.

 

Higher domestic electricity prices

 

The Independent Electricity Market Operator of the Philippines (IEMOP) released last week the results of power supply, demand and prices for March. From cold February to hot March, demand increased significantly from 12,904 megawatts (MW) to 13,670 MW while supply declined from 20,512 MW to 19,611 MW. Some power plants were also strained by the heat and suffered forced outages or unscheduled shutdown and derating  or reduced capacity.

 

The supply margin in March declined by 1,768 MW from February level, and prices shot up from P2.73/kwh in February to P5.34/kwh in March. A “Yellow Alert” in Luzon Grid also happened in the evening of March 5.

 

The lesson here is that we are not building enough big conventional power plants to complement if not substitute for old and aging plants. Peak demand for electricity happens at noon and in early evening when people are coming home and lights in houses and streets are open, so we cannot rely on solar farms unless they have batteries.

 

The Visayas grid is in a perennial tight supply situation compared to Luzon and Mindanao grids. Lots of solar farms especially in my province Negros Occidental. Cebu and Panay sub-grids have to stretch their heroic coal plants because they serve not only their islands but also export to Negros and hence, avoid blackout in these three islands with big population (at least five million people each) and big commercial activities.

 

Aboitiz Power has a number of coal plants in Cebu while Meralco Power Gen (MGEN) has coal plants in both Cebu and Iloilo. During The Freeman energy forum “Powering Cebu” last November at Waterfront Hotel, Cebu Gov. Gwen Garcia said that they really need more big conventional plants as annual increase in power demand in Cebu alone is huge. AP has a coal expansion plan, it should proceed. Some environmentalists attacked it but they themselves are scared of blackout.

 

I chanced upon the president and CEO of MGEN, Emmanuel Rubio and I asked him about their coal plants in the Visayas. He optimistically responded that “the recent increase in transmission charges will be addressed, particularly in the Visayas as soon as the National Grid Corp. of the Philippines completes certification of the new capacities from CEDC Unit 3 and PEDC Unit 3. These additional capacities are expected to add much needed lower cost supply of reserves and help stabilize the grid. Generation charge however has gone down as cost of purchased fuel, particularly LNG and coal was lower for March.”

 

Battery and hydro storage

 

MGEN also owns the biggest solar farm in the country, MTerra Solar with 3,500 MW. It should be a dangerous project if it has no battery, imagine a peak generation of 3,500 MW at cloudless noon then zero at night. Lucky that it has battery at 4,500 MWHr so it can still supply electricity at night.

 

Aside from battery for intermittent solar and wind, I think we should have more hydro pumped storage system as ancillary service (AS) or peaking plant. I saw a huge hydro pumped storage system for AS in Hebei province when I was in China last week. At 3,600 MW, it is the largest hydro pumped storage system in the world and it is owned by the State Grid Corp. of China.

 

It is not a baseload plant or running 24/7, it runs only when it is needed like supplying electricity when some big plants are on maintenance shutdown for days and weeks, or when demand is particularly high on certain days. When it runs, water from upper reservoir goes down then the turbines generate electricity. When it rests, water from lower reservoir is pumped up for later use, beautiful physics and engineering application.

 

Our problem in the Philippines yearly is plenty of floods, lots of water, not lack of water. We are not storing those huge volume of water, they rampage down the rivers and cause damage to lives, farms and properties then drain to the sea, little is stored upstream. We should expand our hydro power capacity especially for pumped storage.

 

Meanwhile, a friend told me that the Supreme Court has issued a decision concerning the 2001 unbundling cases of Meralco arguing that the use of replacement cost in asset base is not least cost. The Energy Regulatory Commission may be tempted to replace performance-based regulation (PBR) with cheap at all cost policy, which can be damaging to investors. ERC should be careful not to do this.  

BWorld 787, China energy and infra innovations

China energy and infra innovations

April 3, 2025 | 12:02 am

My Cup Of Liberty

By Bienvenido S. Oplas, Jr.

https://www.bworldonline.com/opinion/2025/04/03/663424/china-energy-and-infra-innovations/

 

BEIJING — The other day I rode on the world’s fastest train, and I was amazed by its speed and comfort. My hosts brought me to Hebei province by car, across many big mountains and hills, to see a big pumped hydro project, then coming back we took the train from Chengde to Beijing.

 

On that trip I saw many things. Nine road tunnels one way alone, the longest nearly three kilometers-long, and coming back we entered a five kilometers-long tunnel. Smooth, wide, and well-paved toll roads and provincial roads. Few flat agricultural lands that competed with industrial, commercial, and residential land, so there were many greenhouse farms to optimize land use. And from the toll roads I saw decent rural farmers houses, no barung-barung-style houses and no hand tractors, only medium-size to big tractors.

 

Hydro power is China’s second largest source of electricity. Last year, 1,426 terawatt-hours (TWh) were generated by hydro. In 2023, China’s power generation was twice that of the US and 18 times that of Germany. As Germany added more wind and solar power to its mix, their overall power generation declined from 633 TWh in 2010 to 514 TWh in 2023 (see Table 1).

 


When it comes to battery energy storage systems (BESS) in 2023, Germany had 1.7 gigawatts (GW), US had 15.8 GW, and China had 27.1 GW, which further rose to 34.7 GW in 2024.

 

The Fengning pumped hydro power project in Hebei province — producing 3,600 MW of electricity and owned by the State Grid Corp. of China — is the largest pumped hydro in the world and was finished only in August 2024. It involves two huge lakes and dams — I was aghast at their size and power — and 12 turbines. We went down 500 meters below the surface to see the control area.

 

We should pursue more investments in hydro power projects, impounded water and/or pumped storage in the Philippines because we have many floods every year. A large volume of water from our rivers just drains directly into the sea instead of being impounded and stored for electricity, drinking water, and irrigation purposes.

 

Finance Secretary Ralph G. Recto, in his keynote speech before over 300 global investors at the Philippine Stock Exchange’s (PSE) “InvestPH 2025” forum on March 19, said that the Philippines is “the right place and the right time to invest.” He emphasized the country’s fast growth in the last three years, and the forecast growth this year and the next.

 

Big investments in non-intermittent energy projects like hydro, gas, and coal would be needed precisely because of the expected high-power demand from such high economic growth projections. We should not disappoint the investors who come here with frequent yellow-red alerts in our power supply.

 

Big investments in large train projects like high-speed rail (HSR) are also needed. Many Asian countries are able to sustain their industrialized status partly because they have long HSR systems, led by China whose trains travel up to 350 kilometers per hour (kph, see Table 2).

 

 

China has become an industrialized and innovative country, a first world economy pretending to be third world. It is our neighbor, it is the largest source of our imports especially of the needed trucks, buses, gadgets, and appliances, among others. In 2024, our total trade (exports plus imports) with all countries was $200.6 billion, of which $42.2 billion was with China, more than the share of Japan and the US combined which is $40.7 billion.

 

We should trade more, learn more, cooperate more with China. In energy development especially, both in power generation and transmission. We should aspire for more tangible wealth, material prosperity, and modernity for our people.

PhilStar 35, China electricity and transport modernization

China electricity and transport modernization


ENERGY, INFRA AND ECONOMICS - Bienvenido Oplas Jr. - The Philippine Star 

April 3, 2025 | 12:00am

https://www.philstar.com/business/2025/04/03/2433009/china-electricity-and-transport-modernization

 

BEIJING – Bright roads and buildings, extensive subway trains covering 880 kilometers in this city alone, high-speed rail covering 45,000 kilometers across the country and a rising number of electric vehicles (EVs) from e-bikes to cars and buses. This is my first time here and I am amazed by these sights of China.

 

Those trains and EVs run on electricity and China has the largest power generation in the world with 9,456 terawatt-hours (TWh) in 2023. That was double the US’ 4,494 TWh, nine times Japan’s 1,013 TWh, 18 times Germany’s 514 TWh, 33 times the UK’s 286 TWh and 79 times the Philippines’ 119 TWh. The Philippines’ total power generation in 2023 was equivalent to only five days of China generation.

 

I am here to make actual observations about China’s economy, infrastructure and energy to complement my economics research. The 9,456 TWh of power generation looks a bit abstract to me but the bright cities and provinces, the extensive rail system make that number visual, physical and tangible.

 

My hosts took me on a tour the other day to Hebei province, about 4.5 hours by car from Beijing, across many mountains to see and experience three important sectors: numerous road tunnels piercing rocky and steep mountains, a hydro pump storage facility and the high speed train.

 

I counted nine tunnels one way to reach the destination. The tunnels ranged from over 100 meters to three kilometers long, well-lit and smooth roads. Going back, the car took another route in Hebei expressway going toward Chengde and I lost count of how many more tunnels we entered but the longest one was 5,084 meters long.

 

Upon checking the web, I learned that there are 445 tunnels in China that are at least five kilometers long. And there are thousands more that are shorter than this. Plus hundreds of rail tunnels around the country. China has relatively “flattened” its mountainous roads with those numerous tunnels. Fantastic.

 

The Fengning pumped hydro storage in Hebei province is huge, 3,600 MW (300 MW x 12 units), owned by the State Grid Corp. of China (SGCC), and is the largest pumped hydro project in the world. I was surprised not only by the size of the two lakes and dams but also by the road network going up the facilities, the long tunnel descending to the control system, where the 12 turbines are located 500 meters below the surface.

 

The Upper Reservoir capacity is 45 million cubic meters, the upstream drainage area above the dam is 44 million square meters with a dam crest elevation of 1,510 meters.

 

The Lower Reservoir capacity is 72 million cubic meters, the upstream drainage area above the dam is 10 million sqm and the dam crest elevation is 1,066 meters. Another reservoir has a capacity of nearly 14 million cubic meters with a dam crest elevation of 1,066 meters.

 

The two largest impounding hydro power plants in the Philippines are San Roque (435 MW) in Pangasinan and Magat hydro (360 MW) in Isabela. Our largest pumped hydro is Kalayaan hydro (736 MW) in Laguna. Combined capacity of these three big projects is 1,531 MW, less than one-half of Fengning project alone.

 

We have lots of floods in the Philippines yearly. Our annual problem is too much water, not lack of water. One important solution would have been more big water impounding projects and dams, not more permits, regulations and prohibitions. Then we can have more hydro electricity, more drinking water and irrigation sources.

 

The third important experience for me that day was riding the high-speed rail from Chengde to Beijing. It was getting dark already but the train was running up to 309 kilometers per hour (kph), I was amazed. The train’s top speed is 350 kph on long flat terrain, and I think it is the fastest train in the world. The train station in Chengde is huge but the central station in Beijing is even bigger, like a modest-sized international airport, bright and well-lit.

 

Back in Manila, last Monday March 31, the Department of Energy (DOE) reported that the liquified natural gas (LNG) plants have synchronized with the grid to further improve our energy stability and security. Good.

 

The Linseed Field Corp.’s LNG terminal resumed gas send-out operations with a capacity of 1,350 MW as South Premiere Power Corp. (SPPC) synchronized to the grid while Excellent Energy Resources Inc. (EERI) faced a delay due to technical issues with its switchgear.

 

The two LNG plants SPPC and EERI and the LNG terminal are now jointly owned by Meralco PowerGen (MGEN), San Miguel Global Power and Aboitiz Power. I am happy with this partnership of the three big energy companies because we need more big plants, coal and gas plants. It is also easier for the system operator, National Grid Corp. of the Philippines (NGCP) to commit and invest in more transmission lines projects and bring the big power supply to various distribution utilities. During the grid synchronization of SPPC and EERI, NGCP also coordinated their shutdown and reopening schedules, ensuring no supply disruption.

 

China has developed a lot. It overtook the US in merchandise exports in 2007, in power generation in 2011 and in GDP size (PPP values) in 2016. We are neighbors with China, and we should learn from them through greater economic and energy cooperation. We should prioritize material prosperity for our people, not war-mongering.

BWorld 786, China’s trade and their rising industrial-energy capacity

China’s trade and their rising industrial-energy capacity

April 1, 2025 | 12:02 am

My Cup Of Liberty

By Bienvenido S. Oplas, Jr.

https://www.bworldonline.com/opinion/2025/04/01/662971/chinas-trade-and-their-rising-industrial-energy-capacity/

 

BEIJING — This is the first time I have set foot in the capital city of China. I am here to study some infrastructure, commercial, and energy facilities of China and I hope to draw new lessons based on actual observations to complement my economic and statistical research of international economics and business.

 

Last week, on March 28, the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) released the country’s merchandise trade data for February. I downloaded the excel file and went back to the February 2024 file that includes comparable data for February 2023. So, the January-February data of those three years are now available. I then added the exports plus imports to get total trade of the Philippines per major country trade partner.

 

Several important trends are shown. One, our total trade has been growing moderately by an average of 4.8% a year in 2024 and 2025. Two, China’s share is rising, from 18.4% of the total in 2023 to 21.1% in 2025. Three, the combined share of Japan and the US, 21.3% in 2025, is equivalent to China’s share. Four, the share of Hong Kong is rising while Taiwan’s share is falling (see the table).

 


This trend in our international trade should have some impact in our industrial, foreign affairs, and even defense policies. The consumption pattern of our businesses and households is towards buying products made or sourced in China and Hong Kong. Meanwhile, our foreign affairs and defense policies have somewhat antagonistic attitudes towards China. I noted this trend in a couple of recent articles: “On GDP size, exports, FDI and electricity generation” (March 18) and “Exports and life expectancy: some global trends” (March 25).

 

HONG KONG MODERNIZATION

I went to Hong Kong first to meet some friends in the economics and research consultancy profession. The Hong Kong airport alone still fascinates me — it is so huge, both the runways and passenger terminals. When I went to Argentina last December to attend the free market Tholos Forum 2024, my flight passed by Ethiopia, Sao Paulo in Brazil, then Buenos Aires. I noted that the space and evening lights of those three international airports combined would perhaps be smaller than Hong Kong airport.

 

The spacious and fast airport train, the huge, tall, long bridges that connect several islands, the underground tunnels and the subway train system, the elaborate highway interchanges, the bright lights of the streets and buildings that are open the whole night, the double-decker buses — they are all evidence of a prosperous and abundant economy and a fast-paced city life.

 

BEIJING MODERNIZATION

I got to see many big cities below the plane as it started its descent after a more than three-hour flight from Hong Kong to Beijing. I was surprised by the large swathes of high-rise buildings, straight and wide highways and rail systems, including long tunnels under the mountains, and elaborate electrical towers and pylons that crossed mountains and flatlands.

 

Beijing airport is also huge but not as modern-looking as the Hong Kong airport. There were also fewer planes and passengers than in Hong Kong. The highway from the airport to the city was wide and smooth, but the traffic was moving slowly even on a Sunday night, there were no small public transportation options like jeepneys and tricycles, and very few motorcycles.

 

Department of Budget and Management (DBM) Secretary Amenah F. Pangandaman would be happy if the public works department and local governments built similarly smooth and wide public roads because the DBM is releasing more than a trillion pesos a year now for these two entities alone.

 

My local host said that Beijing’s subway train system — all 880 kilometers of it — is elaborate and modern. That distance is farther than Manila is to Ilocos, and that is the Beijing subway system alone.

 

ELECTRICITY GENERATION

I noted in my March 18 piece that “the Philippines’ total generation of 119 terawatt-hour (TWh) in 2023 was equivalent to only five days of China’s generation” of 9,456 TWh. Of this, 61% is generated by coal-powered plants.

 

The Philippines’ largest coal plant is Bataan’s GN Power Dinginin (GNPD), owned by Aboitiz Power, which produces 1,336 megawatts (MW) of electricity. In 2024 alone, China constructed enough new coal plants to produce 94,500 MW of electricity. That means they built an equivalent of 71 GNPD-sized coal plants last year. And no more GNPD-size coal plant is forthcoming in the Philippines.

 

We should aspire for more economic prosperity, material and tangible wealth in the Philippines, not just psychological or sociological happiness of the people. We should aspire to have more modern airports, seaports, tollroads, train systems, huge coal and gas plants, wide and smooth public roads in both urban and rural areas, and so on. This way, growth will be sustained and be felt by everyone as people aspire to uplift their social and economic well-being.