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4.26am GMT
Back to Grand Rapids, where Trump is not (yet) but Ted Nugent is.
Given Trump’s earlier confusion over the music that most of us now know as rap – “Singing, right? Singing. Talking? Was it talking or singing? I don’t know” – he’ll probably be relieved to be missing this current talky-singy number from Nugent. (You can watch it live via the link a couple of posts down, should you really want to.)
4.20am GMT
This tweet has caused a fair bit of head-scratching:
If only people with at least 4 grandparents born in America were voting, Trump would win in a 50-state landslide.
Then Trump couldn't vote. https://t.co/lvJxT2rYNf
also wait who has more than four grandparents https://t.co/NKr2LQQW2S
4.11am GMT
Trump isn’t in Grand Rapids yet, but if you’d like to see Ted Nugent repeating his warm-up act, you can catch that live here:
4.06am GMT
In the final nine days of the presidential campaign, Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump made a combined total of 50 stops in 14 states. What do these stops tell us about the race?
Typically, last-minute campaign decisions are based on internal campaign polling not available to the public. Such polling explains why Al Gore campaigned at 2am in Florida on election day in 2000, as confusing as that move was for the opposition at the time.
Related: The last-minute map: how to read each presidential candidate’s final stops
3.56am GMT
Shares in Asian markets – where it’s Tuesday already – have edged up as the prospect of a Clinton win looks more likely, Reuters reports:
Most Asian stock markets rose on Tuesday ahead of the election, with investors optimistic but cautious over improving prospects for a win by Hillary Clinton.
The Mexican peso, which strengthens as the perceived chances of an election victory by Donald Trump fall, retained its strong gains from Monday.
3.48am GMT
The Miami Herald op-ed page is keeping it simple tomorrow:
Prediction: @HeraldOpEd gonna get a *few* emails about this one. It's the editorial page tomorrow. (Editorial = separate from newsroom.) pic.twitter.com/E1tLRIt2j0
3.40am GMT
Trump’s plane – and the press – have now left Manchester, New Hampshire, heading to Grand Rapids, Michigan, for what will be his final rally (barring a November surprise). He’s due there at 11pm ET.
Clinton, meanwhile, is en route to Raleigh, North Carolina, for a “Get Out the Vote” rally at midnight. Lady Gaga’s there to keep the crowds from tiring. In the meantime you can chat to her (well, hear a recorded “I’m with her” message):
On my way to Raleigh, NC. Let's Do This. Text GAGA to 47246 & hear a message from me about Election Day. #Election2016 #GoVote #Vote ✌️️ pic.twitter.com/G8EpvYBaTt
3.25am GMT
How many presidents do you see in this picture?
3.19am GMT
This is Claire Phipps picking up the live blog from Scott Bixby, who is recharging for the Big Day.
Don’t think it’s all over for Big Day Minus One, though: both Trump and Clinton have a further rally to get through. We’ll have it all live here.
3.15am GMT
Donald Trump may not have had any celebrities appearing his behalf on Monday night – but he told a crowd of more than 10,000 that he was backed by New England Patriots star quarterback Tom Brady and their head coach Bill Belichick.
Trump has long bragged that Brady, a two-time NFL MVP and four time Super Bowl champion, “is a great friend of mine”. Brady was suspended for four games at the start of the 2016 season for his role in the Deflategate scandal.
Congratulations on a tremendous campaign. You have dealt with an unbelievable slanted and negative media and come out beautifully. You have proved to be the ultimate competitor and fighter. Your leadership is amazing.
The toughness and perseverance you have displayed in the past year is remarkable. Hopefully the results in tomorrow’s election will give you the opportunity to make America great again.
Related: Trump inflates with pride to claim backing of New England Patriots star
2.56am GMT
Is it too late to impeach him?
Senior Obama official, to me, just now (I am not making this up): "The President loves Fight Song."
2.34am GMT
Campaigning in Manchester, New Hampshire, at a decidedly less glamorous rally, Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump blamed President Barack Obama’s fondness for golf as the source behind congressional obstruction, before launching into a laundry list of political goals.
“We are going to protect religious liberty, rebuild our military, and we are finally going to take care of our veterans properly,” Trump said. “We’re going to provide school choice and bring an end to Common Core - we’re gonna bring our education local.”
2.32am GMT
Seriously, this crowd is huge.
“Let’s make history!” —Hillary pic.twitter.com/33JmMKRfR4
2.29am GMT
Hillary Clinton, closing out her largest campaign rally since the Democratic National Convention, urged her supporters to turn out tomorrow, especially in states where limitations on voting have been enacted by local governments.
“We can take the first step tomorrow,” Clinton said. “We need your help. In these last hours, we need your help knocking on doors and making phone calls.”
2.26am GMT
“Tomorrow we face the test of our time,” Clinton said. “What will we vote for, not just against. What will we decide is on the ballot, because although my name and my opponent’s name will be on the ballot, every issue you are about is on that ballot.”
“If you believe college should be more affordable, you have to vote! If you believe we must reform our criminal justice system so that everyone has respect for the law, and everyone is respected by the law, then you have to vote!” Clinton continued. “If you believe we must raise the minimum wage and finally guarantee equal pay for women, then you have to vote!”
2.19am GMT
Framing tomorrow’s election as “a choice between division or unity, between an economy that works for everyone or only those at the top, between strong steady leadership, or a loose cannon who could put everything at risk,” Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton told the audience of nearly 30,000 supporters in Philadelphia that “our core values are being tested in this election,” Clinton said.
“I believe with all my heart that America’s best days are still ahead of us if we reach for them together,” Clinton continued.
2.15am GMT
Hillary Clinton mounted the stage in Philadelphia after President Barack Obama pulled out a small box for her to stand on.
Obama could be overheard on the microphone saying, “When you’re president, it’s gonna be there permanently for ya.”
2.12am GMT
Watch it live here:
2.12am GMT
Speaking in front of an enormous crowd at Independence Hall in Philadelphia, President Barack Obama called Hillary Clinton a woman who will “roll up her sleeves and move America forward.”
“I know elections and all the negative ads tend to heighten that cynicism,” Obama said, of election fatigue. But, he continued, “in 2008 you gave me a chance - a skinny guy with a funny name.”
2.05am GMT
We’ll keep liveblogging President Barack Obama, but watch it live here:
2.03am GMT
President Barack Obama, speaking in front of a crowd of nearly 30,000 people at Independence Mall in Philadelphia, said that stopping Donald Trump isn’t the only reason to vote tomorrow - and that Hillary Clinton’s candidacy is reason enough to show up.
“The vicious, crazy attacks, the double standards applied to her, they’re like nothing we’ve ever seen before,” Obama said, “and what makes it worse is most of the people saying this stuff, they don’t really believe it!”
2.00am GMT
President Barack Obama, speaking in front of a crowd of nearly 30,000 people at Independence Mall in Philadelphia, called Hillary Clinton more qualified to serve as his successor than any previous president - himself included.
“With Democrats in charge, America is stronger. Those are just the facts,” Obama said, citing his accomplishments on the economic, social and international stages. “And with just one more day to go, we now have the chance to elect a 45th president who will build on our progress, who will finish the job, who already has the respect of leaders around the world.”
1.56am GMT
Introduced by first lady Michelle Obama as “the love of my life,” President Barack Obama bounded onto the stage at Independence Mall in Philadelphia to a roaring crowd of nearly 30,000.
“Thank you, Michelle, for being my partner, my love, my rock, and an amazing first lady!”
1.53am GMT
Watch it live here:
1.52am GMT
Speaking at Independence Mall in Philadelphia, first lady Michelle Obama launches a patented tearjerker of a speech, addressing her husband’s unlikely path to the White House and exhorting the assembled thousands to vote for Hillary Clinton as his successor.
“Our actions are a reflection of what behavior we hope our children will emulate,” Michelle Obama said. “That’s why Barack and I have been working so hard in this election.”
1.46am GMT
Calling Hillary Clinton “an inspiration to me,” first lady Michelle Obama exhorted the tens of thousands assembled in Philadelphia to vote for Hillary Clinton as her husband’s successor.
“This is truly an emotional day for me, for so many reasons,” Obama said. “Tomorrow we have the chance to elect someone who is singularly qualified to be our president - our friend, Hillary Clinton!”
1.43am GMT
Watch it live here:
1.43am GMT
Former president Bill Clinton, speaking to a massive rally on Independence Mall in Philadelphia,
“This country began here. Right here! With people who pledged their lives, their fortunes, their sacred honor to form a more perfect union. In other words, we’re stronger together,” Clinton said, referring to wife Hillary Clinton’s campaign slogan.
1.39am GMT
Former first daughter Chelsea Clinton, speaking to a massive pro-Hillary Clinton rally on Independence Mall in Philadelphia, called the assembled crowd “extraordinary.”
“I am so fiercely, ridiculously proud of my mom, and I am unapologetically biased towards her,” Clinton said, “and I hope that many of you now understand why, after this campaign, this is true for me.”
1.37am GMT
Watch it live here:
1.31am GMT
A poll commissioned by the conservative Breitbart News website shows Hillary Clinton leading in every swing state:
Final Gravis/Breitbart (R) Poll
NM
Clinton +8
Virginia/Michigan
Clinton +5
Nevada
Clinton +2
Florida/NC
HRC +1https://t.co/FiFODbUAla
1.26am GMT
After local Democratic parties in six battleground states filed lawsuits against Trump adviser Roger Stone’s voter fraud monitoring project, the Republican operative released new rules for volunteer monitors and pledged to a Nevada judge that he “will not target voters based on their race”.
Related: Donald Trump ally swears vigilante poll watchers will not target voters by race
1.18am GMT
From an email sent to supporters this evening:
Thank you again for supporting Donald Trump for President. Just a reminder that if you encounter any problems casting a ballot or if you witness any disruptions at a polling location please call our Voter Assistance Hotline at (844) 332-2016. You can also report any of these incidents on-line at:
https://www.donaldjtrump.com/landing/election-issue
1.16am GMT
The crowd in Philadelphia is unlike anything we’ve ever seen at a Clinton event during this campaign.
1.08am GMT
Madonna sang Imagine in Manhattan’s Washington Square Park in a pop-up concert on Hillary Clinton’s behalf:
Guys Madonna just sang Imagine and I was HERE for it pic.twitter.com/8Wr3fw2kzO
12.54am GMT
Curt Schilling, who plans to run for the US Senate in 2018:
Ok, so much awesome here... pic.twitter.com/qx5rbW2cop
12.49am GMT
The rumors of a pop-up Madonna concert in Manhattan’s Washington Square Park were true, according to an email we just got from the Guardian’s David Taylor:
Yep Madonna is covering Imagine in Washington Square - stumping for Hillary in a Wooly Stars and Stripes hat with an acoustic guitar.
12.48am GMT
Watch it live, in front of a crowd of 20,000 people, here:
12.24am GMT
While we wait for the massive Clinton rally in Philadelphia, here’s the Saturday Night Live cold-open if you missed it earlier:
12.18am GMT
Get thee to Washington Square Park!
Breaking: Join Madonna RIGHT NOW for a surprise pop up performance in support of Hillary! Washington Square Park at the arch, NYC. GO now!
11.57pm GMT
Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump, closing out his speech in Scranton, Pennsylvania, told an audience of supporters that “we have one flawed candidate to beat.”
“You have one day to make every dream you’ve ever dreamed for your country and your family to come true,” Trump said. “It will never happen again - it will never happen again, folks. In four years? Not gonna happen. Not gonna happen. It’s never gonna happen again. Do not let this opportunity slip away.”
11.53pm GMT
Fact-check: True.
“The whole world is laughing at us — they’re laughing at what’s going on in our country.” – Donald Trump, in Scranton
11.50pm GMT
Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump, speaking in Scranton, Pennsylvania, told the crowd that they will be “so proud of your country again.”
“From now on, it’s going to be America first - America first,” Trump said, echoing one of his campaign slogans.
11.43pm GMT
The scene at Independence Hall...two hours before the Clintons and Obamas arrive. pic.twitter.com/bN4bfHSFgO
11.31pm GMT
Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump, speaking in Scranton, Pennsylvania, called Democratic opponent “the most corrupt person ever to seek the office of the presidency of the United States.”
“She’s threatened national security, she’s sold her office to the highest bidder,” Trump said. “She should not be allowed to run for president - she’s being protected by a rigged system.”
11.29pm GMT
The crowd at Trump rally booing the media pic.twitter.com/pNUQQgp7v3
11.27pm GMT
Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump, speaking in Scranton, Pennsylvania, after being introduced by former New York City mayor and onetime presidential candidate Rudy Giuliani, told the crowd of supporters that tomorrow’s election is about whether the US will elect more of the same “or whether we are ruled by yourselves.”
“In one day - one day! - we are going to win the great state of Pennsylvania, and we are going to take back the White House!”
11.19pm GMT
Watch it live here:
11.11pm GMT
An interesting piece about Hillary Clinton’s history of supporting Stem (Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics) curricula:
Mathematics and sciences (or what we call ‘Stem’ today) were of particular importance to Clinton. In a 1983 interview with the Associated Press, she remarked, while suggesting that Arkansas had overemphasized athletics, ‘I think it’s time for getting a little fanatic about math and sciences.’ Stem is the foundation of today’s technology industry, and only a handful of pioneers in the public education space had the foresight to appreciate its value for future members of the workforce. By far the most significant impact Hillary Clinton’s educational reforms had in my life was through her work to create a free public boarding school for math-and-science nerds like me: The Arkansas School for Mathematics and Sciences (ASMS).
11.05pm GMT
Donald Trump’s future plans?
This is the spot labeled 'Trump TV' on the main riser of the grand ballroom at the midtown Hilton for Trump's NYC Election Night party. pic.twitter.com/ApLcQUGvjg
10.48pm GMT
Donald Trump, in December 2012, told Fox News that if the Republicans in Congress did not pass comprehensive immigration reform, the party would “never win another election.”
lol, just found this video of Donald Trump in December 2012 saying if GOP doesn't pass immigration reform they won't ever win again. pic.twitter.com/ElHVFCgKgB
10.38pm GMT
The New Yorker’s cartoons have been fire today:
Today's afternoon cartoon by @BentSchwartz. See more cartoons with the New Yorker Today app: https://t.co/oz9EludMLD pic.twitter.com/75U7vcMu5r
10.07pm GMT
"If your own campaign can't trust you to tweet, how can we trust you with the nuclear codes?" – President Obama, on Donald Trump
10.06pm GMT
Tomorrow night, the Guardian is offering an innovative way to get live presidential election results right on your phone’s lock screen. In a mobile first, we’ll send a live updating notification showing the latest US election results every time you pick up your phone. The notification will show the most up-to-date numbers of electoral votes won and states called, as well as an indication of which swing states have been called, and the breakdown of the popular vote between the two top candidates.
10.04pm GMT
President Barack Obama, speaking in Durham, New Hampshire to a raucous crowd of Hillary Clinton supporters, lauded the people organizing Hillary Clinton’s “get-out-the-vote” efforts, before telling the audience that they have one more day before they change the country.
“This is, I think, gonna be my last big event,” Obama said, to “awws.” “I mean, we’ve got one in Philly, but Michelle’s talking there, so I’m not gonna get any attention,” Obama continued, to laughter.
9.57pm GMT
Watch it live here:
9.55pm GMT
Thanks for the support.
We've updated our Twitter header in honor of the election. pic.twitter.com/mOFT8sUlVD
9.52pm GMT
The nightmare truly began when Donald Trump threw Jorge Ramos out of a press conference in August last year. Some might argue it was when he called Mexican immigrants “rapists” the month before, but the beast hadn’t yet emerged, hadn’t yet been given a clear face or features, writes Juan-Pablo Brammer.
Related: The Donald Trump nightmare will endure for Latinos regardless | John Paul Brammer
9.45pm GMT
Hillary Clinton, speaking to an enthusiastic audience of supporters in Grand Rapids, Michigan, urged her supporters (and detractors) to “start thinking about how we want to be treated, and what that means about how we treat others.”
“After tomorrow, the work will begin, and one of the highest priorities that I feel an obligation to address is how we bring our country together,” Clinton said. “We have so much divisiveness right now - we’ve got to start listening to each other, respecting each other.”
9.44pm GMT
Matt Drudge don’t wanna lose his pride, but he’s gonna....
Remember, no baseball bats at polling places, Beyoncé! pic.twitter.com/ma8JJLaVnu
9.24pm GMT
Hillary Clinton, speaking to an enthusiastic audience of supporters in Grand Rapids, Michigan, compared the “contrasting visions” for the future of the United States of her campaign and that of Republican rival Donald Trump.
“The theme that ran through much of his rhetoric was the presentation of a dark and divisive vision for America,” Clinton said. “We’ve got challenges, but America’s always had challenges - and since when do we become pessimistic and not able to think about what we can do to solve those challenges together?”
9.18pm GMT
Hillary Clinton, speaking to an enthusiastic audience of supporters in Grand Rapids, Michigan, told the audience of college students and faculty that even though some of them might disagree with her policies, they will never doubt that she will be fit to serve as president and commander in chief.
“It is great to be back in Western Michigan!” Clinton shouted as the audience roared. “I am so thrilled to be here!”
9.12pm GMT
Watch it live here:
9.11pm GMT
We've made many calls & knocked on lots of doors, but tomorrow is the big day! Let's #GOTV for @HillaryClinton! https://t.co/W7QCZ4QeCL pic.twitter.com/SeqwviWT2E
9.02pm GMT
Hillary Clinton will hold a final midnight “Get Out the Vote” rally in Raleigh, North Carolina at midnight tonight, according to a campaign statement released this evening.
Former president Bill Clinton and Chelsea Clinton will attend the rally, as well as singer Lady Gaga, rock legend Jon Bon Jovi and DJ Samantha Ronson.
8.55pm GMT
The US presidential campaign ended on Monday where the fiercest nomination battles began – in the rustbelt – as Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump spent the last hours of a bitter election focused on the country’s deep economic divide.
Related: Clinton campaign buoyed by high Latino turnout in election's final hours
8.40pm GMT
I will consider this the single greatest waste of time, energy and money.
8.25pm GMT
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And thank you for reading!
8.24pm GMT
Whoa!
Stone Cold interrupts the Trump Rally!! pic.twitter.com/ubFSRAWhCi
8.18pm GMT
Trump is saying that the election will be “Brexit plus,” “Brexit plus plus” etcetera.
But is two Brexits equal to remain?
Trump last month: Election Day will be "Brexit"
Trump this week: "Brexit plus"
Trump just now, in Raleigh: "Brexit plus plus plus"
It was Brexit times 50 last night https://t.co/rkhLReaw4d
Trump praises Pat McCrory: "You have a great governor. Support your governor."
8.13pm GMT
Trump is bragging, in an un-full room in Raleigh, North Carolina, about drawing bigger crowds than Beyoncé.
"Beyoncé and Jay-Z. I like them. I get bigger crowds than they do. I get far bigger crowds. Look at this place." https://t.co/iGvsJcpcNp
Decent amount of empty floor space and seats at Trump rally in Raleigh. pic.twitter.com/rpHFqLwROM
"Is there any place better to be than a Trump rally? Are we having fun? And I don't have a guitar, and I don't have a piano." – Trump in NC
8.03pm GMT
Trump is speaking now in Raleigh, North Carolina. It’s unsettling – he’s so on time today:
7.50pm GMT
Here’s how the folks at Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the center for politics at the University of Virginia see this pop tart cooking:
Our Final Crystal Ball picks https://t.co/MIIy1m6cUX pic.twitter.com/TOblvRiy4R
7.44pm GMT
7.32pm GMT
The Guardian’s Jon Swaine is in Akron, Ohio, in Summit county, which Obama won by 15 points in 2012, when he won the state by two points.
There is a heck of a line:
Hundreds waiting in Akron at the only early-voting site in Summit Co, OH. Had to be in line by 2pm. A sheriff's deputy turning people away. pic.twitter.com/IRnQ9wgZA1
7.27pm GMT
This is a pretty cool visualization of early voting in Florida (h/t @jmartnyt). And if you’re Hillary Clinton, here’s something even cooler: Hispanic early voting is up 87% from 2012:
This is how democracy happens in Florida. Every one of these 6,419,154 dots represents a real vote, by location and date. It is beautiful. pic.twitter.com/6g2GThleAb
FL #earlyvote Race change vs 2012 via @electionsmith
Afr-Am +70.6K (+9.2%)
Hisp +453.8K (+86.9%)
White +900K (+27.2%)
Other +121.5K (+48.3%)
7.17pm GMT
It took Cristela Alonzo, a Latina comedian in Los Angeles, almost seven hours to vote this weekend. In Cincinnati, Ohio, a pivotal swing state, wait times were three hours on average. And in Raleigh, North Carolina, voters waited close to four hours over a half-mile long line at a state university.
*ALMOST* this entire line outside @NCState to vote early just before the 1pm cut off. Everyone in a good mood - pizza is coming. pic.twitter.com/mn8AoJ4NOq
7.00pm GMT
Don’t miss this from the New York Times: Inside Donald Trump’s Last Stand: An Anxious Nominee Seeks Assurance.
Among the juicy details:
Aides to Mr. Trump have finally wrested away the Twitter account that he used to colorfully — and often counterproductively — savage his rivals. But offline, Mr. Trump still privately muses about all the ways he will punish his enemies after Election Day, including a threat to fund a “super PAC” with vengeance as its core mission.
His polished older daughter, Ivanka, sat for a commercial intended to appeal to suburban women who have recoiled from her father’s incendiary language. But she discouraged the campaign from promoting the ad in news releases, fearing that her high-profile association with the campaign would damage the businesses that bear her name
.@POTUS: If Trump's advisers don't trust him to tweet, "how can we trust him with the nuclear codes?" pic.twitter.com/GnO0Wz0lRU
6.58pm GMT
This New York Times / Siena College poll of North Carolina, which matched 2,400 respondents from three surveys to the state’s voter data, had Clinton up seven points a week ago. Now she’s up by one:
Clinton 48.8, Trump 47.7 in the final North Carolina tracker, which now adds the data from our last poll https://t.co/YKXDPri6oq
There isn’t a realistic scenario in which registered Republicans would outnumber registered Democrats in the final count. That’s especially true in early voting, which is traditionally used more by Democrats than by Republicans. [...]
So how is the race close? Well, our polling indicates that Mr. Trump will win considerable support from white registered Democrats, especially those who have not yet voted.
6.51pm GMT
Right.
Tomorrow: U.S. presidential election
6.48pm GMT
Donald Trump lies like he tweets: erratically, at all hours, sometimes in malice and sometimes in self-contradiction, and sometimes without any apparent purpose at all. The Guardian has catalogued more than 100 falsehoods made by the Republican nominee over the last 150 days, and sorted them according to theme.
Hillary Clinton has been caught in more than a dozen falsehoods of her own, for instance about her email practices and her past support for the Trans-Pacific Partnership. But Clinton often makes her falsehoods in dense legalese, making them hard to pin a motive on: many could as easily be errors as lies, careless exaggeration or deliberately misleading claims.
Related: How does Donald Trump lie? A fact checker's final guide
6.29pm GMT
Where. Is. Tiffany.
NEW:
A-list surrogates on last full day:
Ivanka
Don Jr
Eric
Lara Trump
Giuliani
Palin
Santorum
Bachmann
Fallin
Carson
Sessions
Pierson
6.27pm GMT
“Wave of women voters elevates Trump to presidency” – the headlines in Donald Trump’s head, apparently.
"You know who is going to come out? The women. The women are going to come out big," Trump said in Sarasota, predicting battleground wins.
6.24pm GMT
A Michigan man in the know...
Big surges in absentee ballot returns in Democratic counties during the weekend.
Some positives for GOP in AVs too. Macomb up 8.2% in rate of ballots returned (8th among 83 MI counties). Livingston is 12th at 7.8%.
6.14pm GMT
Why is Hillary Clinton planning to hold a midnight rally in North Carolina after her bash with Bruce Springsteen and the Obamas in Philadelphia?
Democratic operative John Hagner notes that African American turnout in North Carolina has yet to materialize, with nearly 200,000 black voters who voted early in 2012 not having yet voted.
In NC: 197K African-Americans who voted early in 2012 haven't voted yet. But 86K of them voted in '14 or '16P. They're voters. They'll vote.
This is why our estimates haven't really budged on the black share of the electorate https://t.co/TKat7jZoDF
I remember - painfully - how we thought Gore was crazy to campaign at 2:am in FL. on election eve. 24 hours later, didn't seem so crazy. https://t.co/ZrI9bCDPDI
6.06pm GMT
Obama ends. Ann Arbor winds up some Bruce Springsteen. Will they place this one tonight (and by “they” we mean “the Boss himself”)? Land of Hope and Dreams:
5.58pm GMT
That’s quite a “Yes we can” chant at the Obama rally in Ann Arbor. Crowd sounds very happy to see the president one last time in office.
5.55pm GMT
Here’s how the campaigns reacted to the announcement Sunday by the FBI that a new batch of emails linked to Hillary Clinton’s private email server “have not changed our conclusion” that she committed no criminal wrongdoing:
5.52pm GMT
“I think I’ve earned some credibility here,” Obama says in Michigan. He says that manufacturing jobs have come back.
“The auto industry has record sales. I think I’ve earned some credibility here,” he says:
When I tell you that Donald Trump is not the guy who’s going to look out for you, you’ve got to listen. Don’t be bamboozled. Don’t fall for the okey-doke.
5.49pm GMT
The scene in Pittsburgh:
A beautiful backdrop as Hillary Clinton takes the stage in Pittsburgh for the first rally on her final day of campaigning: pic.twitter.com/HkqDRAUYCp
5.47pm GMT
Here now is Barack Obama in Ann Arbor, Michigan:
5.30pm GMT
Clinton is taking the stage in Pittsburgh. Scroll back a couple blocks for a live stream.
5.19pm GMT
Trump just might have a Latino voter problem in Florida.
+453.8K Latinos voted early in Florida, that's an increase of 86.9% compared to 2012
Is that – is that a lot?https://t.co/qLMbXmqfRq
5.16pm GMT
Hillary Clinton is scheduled to hold her first event of the day, in Pittsburgh, shortly. Here’s a live stream:
5.12pm GMT
UN talks to implement the landmark Paris climate pact opened in Marrakech on Monday, buoyed by gathering momentum but threatened by the spectre of climate change denier Donald Trump in the White House, AFP reports:
Diplomats from 196 nations are meeting in Morocco to flesh out the planet-saving plan inked in the French capital last December.
Related: UN climate talks open under shadow of US elections
5.08pm GMT
The Guardian’s Sabrina Siddiqui is with Hillary Clinton today, while Ben Jacobs is on the road with Donald Trump... among other things amassing further entries for his amazing photo collection of Trump supporter’ T-shirts:
Spotted at Trump rally in Sarasota pic.twitter.com/PHbXumPAoH
The FBI has determined that a new batch of emails linked to Hillary Clinton’s private email server “have not changed our conclusion” that she committed no criminal wrongdoing, FBI director James Comey told congressional leaders in a letter on Sunday.
Related: FBI has found no criminal wrongdoing in new Clinton emails, says Comey
Related: T-shirts for Trump – in pictures
4.57pm GMT
Here’s Barbara Kingsolver, in an opinion piece for the Guardian:
When I was a girl of 11 I had an argument with my father that left my psyche maimed. It was about whether a woman could be the president of the US.
How did it even start? I was no feminist prodigy, just a shy kid who preferred reading to talking; politics weren’t my destiny. Probably, I was trying to work out what was possible for my category of person – legally, logistically – as one might ask which kinds of terrain are navigable for a newly purchased bicycle. Up until then, gender hadn’t darkened my mental doorway as I followed my older brother into our daily adventures wearing hand-me-down jeans.
Related: End this misogynistic horror show. Put Hillary Clinton in the White House | Barbara Kingsolver
4.26pm GMT
Someone passes Trump onstage in Sarasota a Trump mask. “Nice head of hair, I’ll say that,” Trump quips.
Earlier in his speech, Trump was all, “rap music, what is that?”
Trump, on Jay-Z / Beyonce on Friday: "Were they talking or singing? I don't know. Maybe it was both."
4.22pm GMT
The Clinton campaign has just released a two-minute video making its closing argument to voters.
In the ad Clinton speaks straight to the camera, which draws closer and closer to her face, as a piano theme grows in volume and strings start to come in.
From a technical and thematic perspective it’s a well made ad. It’s also packed with anti-Semitic dog whistles, anti-Semitic tropes and anti-Semitic vocabulary. I’m not even sure whether it makes sense to call them dog whistles. The four readily identifiable American bad guys in the ad are Hillary Clinton, George Soros (Jewish financier), Janet Yellen (Jewish Fed Chair) and Lloyd Blankfein (Jewish Goldman Sachs CEO).
4.11pm GMT
Trump is immediately onstage – right on time – in Sarasota, Florida. He’s just said the system is rigged and Hillary Clinton should not be allowed to run for president. “What’s happening is a disgrace... with what’s happening with our justice, our country is a laughingstock all over the world. They’re laughing.”
Trump says people should vote tomorrow. “That’s how you beat the rigging, folks.” But if it’s rigged....
4.04pm GMT
The electoral map once again has appeared to arrange itself in such a way that all analysis, as if drained by the Mississippi watershed, has been drawn ineluctably south and east. (Except not to the delta.) (To Florida.) (...)
Florida. If Trump loses it it’s almost surely over for him, barring a miracle in the upper midwest involving for example both Michigan and Wisconsin (though together they amount to only 26 electoral votes against Florida’s 29).
Been wrong before, but it's hard to see a path for Trump if it's more diverse than 12 with t/o levels near 08. But that's where we're going
Giving the high early vote totals in both FL and NC, we're going to know fairly early on whether Clinton has won or Trump still has a shot.
But two things emerged last week. One, this low propensity Hispanic thing became a thing. While Trump folks argued that Trump would turn out low propensity voters, we’d see slight edges for Democrats in this category. What became clear over days last week, this was a Hispanic deal, and as week 2 of early voting took hold, so did this surge. As of Saturday, Democrats had an edge of more than 175K low propensity voters.
Dade is at 11.9% of all votes cast so far (should be 10.3%), and Broward is at 9.55%, where I had it pegged at 8.75%. The media market is a full two points bigger than it should be. If the Miami market finishes at 21.8% of all votes, this thing is cooked, and we will know it before 8:00 (assuming Miami decides to count all these ballots)
The red flag for Dems: Palm Beach. It is at 62% of its 2012 total, and it is also the county most “under-performing.” It should be about 7% of the state vote, but today it is about 5.9%. Of all the data points right now, this is the only one that concerns me. While Miami is more than making up for it, for HRC, win path is much easier with a more robust Palm Beach.
I am going to write a wrap tomorrow for E-Day, but two questions I get a lot.
What am I worried about for HRC?
3.26pm GMT
She was 9 or 10 years old (depending on whether she falls in Aquarius-Leo or in Virgo-Capricorn) when the 19th amendment giving women the right to vote was ratified.
Desiline Victor, at 106 years old, is the oldest voter in #MiamiDade arrives at #NorthMiami to cast her vote #WeCareWeVote #MobilizeFlorida pic.twitter.com/PfPo7aeGRx
3.18pm GMT
Hi Grandma, what are you doing today?
Hillary Clinton has a granddaughter who just turned two, and a grandson who’s five months.
3.14pm GMT
If voters in Philadelphia, prime Democratic territory, don’t turn up at the polls tomorrow, they will not have a weeklong public transit strike to blame. Pennsylvania is not an early-voting state; access to the polls on game day is crucial.
The strike ended early Monday, AP reports:
The Southeastern Pennsylvania Transportation Authority and the union representing about 4,700 transit workers announced a tentative agreement early Monday.
Southeastern Pennsylvania Transportation Authority Board Chairman Pasquale Deon said it is a fair deal that provides “wage increases, pension improvements, and maintains health care coverage levels while addressing rising costs.”
The result has been traffic gridlock at morning and evening rush hours; jammed and delayed regional rail service and higher absenteeism at the city’s high schools. The troubles continued Monday morning despite the new deal, as commuters faced crowded roads and up to 30-minute delays on all regional rails due to signal problems.
2.46pm GMT
Donald Trump has rallies planned in no fewer than five states today: Florida, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire and Michigan. Live in the United States? Donald Trump is likely coming to a tarmac near you.
That culminating stop in Michigan – in Grand Rapids – jumps out, as further evidence of the Trump campaign belief that they can pick off a state that has fallen for the Democratic presidential candidate going back six elections.
1.23pm GMT
Hello and welcome to our live-wire coverage of the 2016 race for the White House. The election’s tomorrow, and it’s time to make your predictions. Who’s going to win, and by how much?
Related: US election: five scenarios that could play out
Is Hillary Clinton is likelier to carry...
Clinton and Trump are tied in NC , 44% to 44%, in the final NYT Upshot/Siena College poll. https://t.co/sH7ZQAjqiR
Over 40k more Dems than GOP voted on the last Sunday of early voting in Florida pic.twitter.com/ljxYV94ZB8
@Redistrict It would be kinda neat if his final % of the vote was 4.20.
Reno died early on Monday from complications associated with Parkinson’s disease, her goddaughter, Gabrielle D’Alemberte, said. D’Alemberte said Reno spent her final days at home in Miami surrounded by family and friends.
A former Miami prosecutor who famously told reporters “I don’t do spin,” Reno served nearly eight years as attorney general under President Bill Clinton, the longest stint in a century.
Related: Janet Reno, first female US attorney general, dies aged 78
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