KEVIN HARNED
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RAIN THIS WEEK
We are in for some much needed rain later this week. Rain chances will go up late Wednesday night and Thursday. Many locales should see 0.25" to 0.50" of rainfall between late Wednesday night and early Friday. Temperatures will be pushed back into the 70s (some may stay in the upper 60s) with clouds and showers increasing. A few thunderstorms are possible, but severe weather is unlikely.
THUNDER OVER LOUISVILLE
Models are in generally good agreement on pushing the late week rain out of the area and returning to conditions controlled by high pressure for Saturday's forecast.
This means decent weather for Thunder Over Louisville. Temperatures will likely range in the low to mid 70s for highs... and fall into the 60s for the fireworks.
Below are the EURO & GFS models with similar solutions for Saturday... high pressure to our northwest. At this point I'll say a few morning clouds fading to mostly sunny skies with a light north wind. Temperatures climb into the low to mid 70s by afternoon. Winds stay light into the evening from the north and northeast. This would carry the smoke to the southwest. You can bet we're updating this forecast as often as new data rolls in. Timing looks good at this point!
OUR FORECAST (as of 10:30PM Monday)
EURO MODEL - valid 2PM Saturday
EURO MODEL - valid 8PM Saturday
GFS MODEL - valid 2PM Saturday
GFS MODEL - valid 8PM Saturday
GFS MODEL - valid 2PM Saturday
PAST THUNDER OVER LOUISVILLE WEATHER
Do you have a year that you remember most?
Date
Afternoon (Air Show)
Evening (Fireworks)
Saturday, April 18, 2015
Partly Sunny
Partly Cloudy
High: 81 degrees
74 degrees
Winds: E 10-15 MPH
Winds: NE 2-7 MPH
Saturday, April 12, 2014
Partly Sunny
Partly Cloudy
High: 81 degrees
76 degrees
Winds: S 15-20 MPH
Winds: SW 7-12 MPH
Saturday, April 20, 2013
Mostly Sunny
Partly Cloudy
High: 58 degrees
49 degrees
Winds: W 5-10 MPH
Winds: N 5-10 MPH
Saturday, April 21, 2012
Cloudy (rain early in the day)
Cloudy
High: 52 degrees
50 degrees
Winds: N 5-10 MPH
Winds: N 5-10 MPH
Saturday, April 16, 2011
Cloudy, Periods of Rain
Cloudy, Light Rain
High: 60 degrees (falling temps.)
45 degrees
Winds: SW 20-30 MPH
Winds: S 5-10 MPH
Saturday, April 17, 2010
Sunny, Breezy
Mainly Clear
High: 65 degrees
57 degrees
Winds: N 10-20 MPH
Winds: N 10-20 MPH
Saturday, April 18, 2009
Sunny, Dry, Warm
Clear, Mild
High: 78 degrees
68 degrees
Winds: S 10-15 MPH
Winds: S 5-10 MPH
Saturday, April 12, 2008
Cloudy, Windy, Cool, Drizzle
Cloudy, Breezy, Cool
High: 54 degrees
49 degrees
Winds: WNW 15-20 MPH
Winds: NW 10-15 MPH
Saturday, April 21, 2007
Sunny Skies
Clear Skies
High: 75 degrees
65 degrees
Winds: South - 5 MPH
Winds: South - 5 MPH
Saturday, April 22, 2006
Clear skies, Mostly sunny
Scattered clouds
High: 77 degrees
69 degrees
Winds: West 13mph Unlimited ceiling
Winds: SSW - 8 MPH
Saturday, April 23, 2005
Cloudy, with late freezing rain
Clear Skies
High: 41 degrees
35 degrees
Wind gusts to 25 MPH
Saturday, April 17, 2004
Mostly Sunny
Clear & Pleasant
High: 83 degrees
72 degrees
Winds: SW 15mph
Saturday, April 12, 2003
Mostly sunny
Clear & Pleasant
High: 72 degrees
57 degrees
Winds: N 8mph
Saturday, April 20, 2002
Mostly Cloudy
Light Rain
High: 77 degrees
70 degrees
Winds: W 15mph
Saturday, April 21, 2001
Partly Sunny
Partly Cloudy / Rain at 10 PM
High: 83 degrees
63 degrees
Winds: SW 15mph
Saturday, April 15, 2000
Partly Sunny
Clear
High: 74 degrees
65 degrees
Winds: SW 8mph
Saturday, April 17, 1999
Cloudy w/ occasional rain
Cloudy
High: 46 degrees
43 degrees
Winds: SW 15mph
(34 degree wind chill)
Saturday, April 18, 1998
Cloudy w/ occasional rain
Showers
High: 56 degrees
48 degrees
Winds: E 9mph
(39 degree wind chill)
Saturday, April 19, 1997
Mostly Cloudy, Morning Showers
Partly Cloudy
High: 57 degrees
51 degrees
Winds: Light Breeze
Saturday, April 20, 1996
Partly Sunny, Pre-dawn thunderstorms
Clear
High: 76 degrees
64 degrees
Winds: W 16mph
Saturday, April 22, 1995
Mostly Sunny
Clear
High: 64 degrees
50 degrees
Winds: N 10mph
Saturday, April 23, 1994
Clear
Clear
High: 73 degrees
57 degrees
Winds: Light Breeze
Saturday, April 17, 1993
Mostly Sunny
Clear
High: 62 degrees
49 degrees
Winds: W 9mph
Saturday, April 11, 1992
Mostly Sunny
Clear
High: 81 degrees
70 degrees
Winds: S 8mph
Sunday, April 21, 1991
Cloudy
Shower
High: 52 degrees
49 degrees
Winds: NW 8 mph
Tuesday, April 17, 1990
Mostly Cloudy, Rain Early
Partly Cloudy
High: 63 degrees
41 degrees
Winds: N 8mph