2016-04-19

KEVIN HARNED
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RAIN THIS WEEK
We are in for some much needed rain later this week. Rain chances will go up late Wednesday night and Thursday. Many locales should see 0.25" to 0.50" of rainfall between late Wednesday night and early Friday.  Temperatures will be pushed back into the 70s (some may stay in the upper 60s) with clouds and showers increasing.  A few thunderstorms are possible, but severe weather is unlikely.

THUNDER OVER LOUISVILLE
Models are in generally good agreement on pushing the late week rain out of the area and returning to conditions controlled by high pressure for Saturday's forecast.
This means decent weather for Thunder Over Louisville.  Temperatures will likely range in the low to mid 70s for highs... and fall into the 60s for the fireworks.
Below are the EURO & GFS models with similar solutions for Saturday... high pressure to our northwest.  At this point I'll say a few morning clouds fading to mostly sunny skies with a light north wind. Temperatures climb into the low to mid 70s by afternoon.  Winds stay light into the evening from the north and northeast. This would carry the smoke to the southwest.  You can bet we're updating this forecast as often as new data rolls in.  Timing looks good at this point!

OUR FORECAST (as of 10:30PM Monday)


EURO MODEL - valid 2PM Saturday

EURO MODEL - valid 8PM Saturday
GFS MODEL - valid 2PM Saturday

GFS MODEL - valid 8PM Saturday

GFS MODEL - valid 2PM Saturday

PAST THUNDER OVER LOUISVILLE WEATHER
Do you have a year that you remember most?

Date

Afternoon (Air Show)

Evening (Fireworks)

Saturday, April 18, 2015

Partly Sunny

Partly Cloudy

High: 81 degrees

74 degrees

Winds: E 10-15 MPH

Winds: NE 2-7 MPH

Saturday, April 12, 2014

Partly Sunny

Partly Cloudy

High: 81 degrees

76 degrees

Winds: S 15-20 MPH

Winds: SW 7-12 MPH

Saturday, April 20, 2013

Mostly Sunny

Partly Cloudy

High: 58 degrees

49 degrees

Winds: W 5-10 MPH

Winds: N 5-10 MPH

Saturday, April 21, 2012

Cloudy (rain early in the day)

Cloudy

High: 52 degrees

50 degrees

Winds: N 5-10 MPH

Winds: N 5-10 MPH

Saturday, April 16, 2011

Cloudy, Periods of Rain

Cloudy, Light Rain

High: 60 degrees (falling temps.)

45 degrees

Winds: SW 20-30 MPH

Winds: S 5-10 MPH

Saturday, April 17, 2010

Sunny, Breezy

Mainly Clear

High: 65 degrees

57 degrees

Winds: N 10-20 MPH

Winds: N 10-20 MPH

Saturday, April 18, 2009

Sunny, Dry, Warm

Clear, Mild

High: 78 degrees

68 degrees

Winds: S 10-15 MPH

Winds: S 5-10 MPH

Saturday, April 12, 2008

Cloudy, Windy, Cool, Drizzle

Cloudy, Breezy, Cool

High: 54 degrees

49 degrees

Winds: WNW 15-20 MPH

Winds: NW 10-15 MPH

Saturday, April 21, 2007

Sunny Skies

Clear Skies

High: 75 degrees

65 degrees

Winds: South - 5 MPH

Winds: South - 5 MPH

Saturday, April 22, 2006

Clear skies, Mostly sunny

Scattered clouds

High: 77 degrees

69 degrees

Winds: West 13mph Unlimited ceiling

Winds: SSW - 8 MPH

Saturday, April 23, 2005

Cloudy, with late freezing rain

Clear Skies

High: 41 degrees

35 degrees

Wind gusts to 25 MPH

Saturday, April 17, 2004

Mostly Sunny

Clear & Pleasant

High: 83 degrees

72 degrees

Winds: SW 15mph

Saturday, April 12, 2003

Mostly sunny

Clear & Pleasant

High: 72 degrees

57 degrees

Winds: N 8mph

Saturday, April 20, 2002

Mostly Cloudy

Light Rain

High: 77 degrees

70 degrees

Winds: W 15mph

Saturday, April 21, 2001

Partly Sunny

Partly Cloudy / Rain at 10 PM

High: 83 degrees

63 degrees

Winds: SW 15mph

Saturday, April 15, 2000

Partly Sunny

Clear

High: 74 degrees

65 degrees

Winds: SW 8mph

Saturday, April 17, 1999

Cloudy w/ occasional rain

Cloudy

High: 46 degrees

43 degrees

Winds: SW 15mph

(34 degree wind chill)

Saturday, April 18, 1998

Cloudy w/ occasional rain

Showers

High: 56 degrees

48 degrees

Winds: E 9mph

(39 degree wind chill)

Saturday, April 19, 1997

Mostly Cloudy, Morning Showers

Partly Cloudy

High: 57 degrees

51 degrees

Winds: Light Breeze

Saturday, April 20, 1996

Partly Sunny, Pre-dawn thunderstorms

Clear

High: 76 degrees

64 degrees

Winds: W 16mph

Saturday, April 22, 1995

Mostly Sunny

Clear

High: 64 degrees

50 degrees

Winds: N 10mph

Saturday, April 23, 1994

Clear

Clear

High: 73 degrees

57 degrees

Winds: Light Breeze

Saturday, April 17, 1993

Mostly Sunny

Clear

High: 62 degrees

49 degrees

Winds: W 9mph

Saturday, April 11, 1992

Mostly Sunny

Clear

High: 81 degrees

70 degrees

Winds: S 8mph

Sunday, April 21, 1991

Cloudy

Shower

High: 52 degrees

49 degrees

Winds: NW 8 mph

Tuesday, April 17, 1990

Mostly Cloudy, Rain Early

Partly Cloudy

High: 63 degrees

41 degrees

Winds: N 8mph

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