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Yougov Scotland (sub sample) SNP 44% LABOUR 31% CONSERVATIVES 16% LIBDEMS 3% GREENS 3% UKIP 3%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) November 30, 2014
The predicted Westminster results in Scotland, given the Scottish levels of support which you entered, are as follows.
Scottish Prediction:
Party
2010 Votes
2010 Seats
Pred Votes
Gains
Losses
Pred Seats
CON
16.75%
1
16.00%
0
1
0
LAB
42.00%
41
31.00%
0
24
17
LIB
18.88%
11
3.00%
0
11
0
NAT
19.93%
6
44.00%
36
0
42
MIN
0.28%
0
0.28%
0
0
0
OTH
2.18%
0
5.72%
0
0
0
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Table of all seat results in Scotland
The table shows the seats, sorted by the difference between Labour and Conservative votes, with the safest Labour seat, Glasgow North East, at the top and the safest Conservative seat, Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk, at the bottom. The first two columns 'Lab Seats' and 'Con Seats' show how many seats each party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 30 seats to have a majority in Scotland. So Labour needs to win all the seats down as far as (prediction: ), and the Conservatives need to win all their seats up to (prediction: ). Click here for more information about this table.
Lab
Seats
Con
Seats
Seat
MP at 2010
Electorate
Turn
out %
CON
%
LAB
%
LIB
%
NAT
%
MIN
%
OTH
%
2010
Win
Pred
Win
1
17
Glasgow North East
Willie Bain
59,859
49.13
5.06
56.92
0.00
31.04
2.71
4.27
LAB
LAB
2
16
Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill
Tom Clarke
70,067
59.42
7.68
55.17
0.00
34.54
0.00
2.61
LAB
LAB
3
15
Glasgow East
Margaret Curran
61,516
52.29
4.28
50.12
0.00
39.28
2.10
4.20
LAB
LAB
4
14
Glasgow South West
Ian Davidson
58,182
54.62
6.22
51.07
0.00
34.46
0.00
8.25
LAB
LAB
5
13
Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath
Gordon Brown
73,665
62.18
8.81
53.11
0.00
32.80
0.00
5.27
LAB
LAB
6
12
Glenrothes
Lindsay Roy
67,893
59.65
6.84
50.91
0.00
38.70
0.00
3.55
LAB
LAB
7
11
Dunbartonshire West
Gemma Doyle
66,085
63.96
7.27
49.86
0.00
37.49
0.00
5.37
LAB
LAB
8
10
Motherwell and Wishaw
Frank Roy
66,918
58.46
8.87
49.69
0.00
37.10
0.00
4.35
LAB
LAB
9
9
Rutherglen and Hamilton West
Tom Greatrex
76,408
61.49
9.16
49.38
0.00
36.95
0.00
4.51
LAB
LAB
10
8
Paisley and Renfrewshire South
Douglas Alexander
61,197
65.36
9.43
48.18
0.00
36.79
0.00
5.60
LAB
LAB
11
7
Airdrie and Shotts
Pamela Nash
62,364
57.48
8.29
46.73
0.00
40.95
0.00
4.04
LAB
LAB
12
6
Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East
Gregg McClymont
64,037
64.26
7.85
45.80
0.00
42.45
0.00
3.90
LAB
LAB
12
5
Glasgow Central
Anas Sarwar
60,062
50.91
6.69
40.59
0.00
42.08
2.62
8.02
LAB
NAT
13
5
Glasgow North West
John Robertson
60,968
58.36
9.42
42.62
0.00
39.44
0.00
8.51
LAB
LAB
14
4
Inverclyde
David Cairns
59,209
63.36
11.38
44.54
0.00
39.67
0.00
4.42
LAB
LAB
14
3
Glasgow South
Tom Harris
65,029
61.66
10.86
40.29
0.00
40.93
0.00
7.92
LAB
NAT
15
3
Paisley and Renfrewshire North
James Sheridan
63,704
68.61
13.84
42.60
0.00
38.85
0.00
4.71
LAB
LAB
15
2
Dunfermline and West Fife
Thomas Docherty
73,769
66.35
6.40
34.82
9.12
43.52
0.00
6.14
LAB
NAT
15
2
Dundee West
James McGovern
63,013
58.92
8.84
37.04
0.00
49.18
0.00
4.94
LAB
NAT
15
2
East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow
Michael McCann
76,534
66.57
12.31
40.08
0.00
42.23
0.00
5.38
LAB
NAT
15
2
Kilmarnock and Loudoun
Cathy Jamieson
74,131
62.80
13.43
41.11
0.00
42.95
0.00
2.51
LAB
NAT
15
2
Linlithgow and East Falkirk
Michael Connarty
80,907
63.59
11.33
38.40
0.00
47.09
0.00
3.19
LAB
NAT
15
2
Livingston
Graeme Morrice
75,924
63.10
10.21
37.03
0.00
46.05
0.00
6.71
LAB
NAT
15
2
Glasgow North
Ann McKechin
51,416
57.59
6.69
33.08
6.86
43.54
0.00
9.83
LAB
NAT
15
2
Midlothian
David Hamilton
61,387
63.93
11.26
35.59
0.00
46.04
0.00
7.11
LAB
NAT
15
2
Lanark and Hamilton East
Jimmy Hood
74,773
62.26
14.22
38.53
0.00
41.47
0.00
5.78
LAB
NAT
15
2
Falkirk
Eric Joyce
81,869
62.02
10.64
34.28
0.00
49.69
0.00
5.39
LAB
NAT
15
2
Edinburgh East
Sheila Gilmore
60,941
65.42
10.36
32.00
0.00
47.80
5.10
4.72
LAB
NAT
15
2
Aberdeen North
Frank Doran
64,808
58.17
11.73
32.99
0.00
48.95
0.00
6.33
LAB
NAT
15
2
Ayrshire North and Arran
Katy Clark
74,953
61.53
14.83
35.97
0.00
45.36
0.00
3.83
LAB
NAT
15
2
Na h-Eileanan An Iar (Western Isles)
Angus MacNeil
22,266
66.10
4.17
21.45
0.00
62.34
9.59
2.45
NAT
NAT
15
2
Ayrshire Central
Brian Donohoe
68,352
64.25
19.33
36.28
0.00
40.30
0.00
4.09
LAB
NAT
15
2
East Lothian
Fiona O'Donnell
73,438
66.94
18.63
33.16
0.00
41.58
0.00
6.63
LAB
NAT
15
2
Edinburgh North and Leith
Mark Lazarowicz
69,204
68.43
14.17
26.03
8.36
42.48
2.24
6.72
LAB
NAT
15
2
Ayr Carrick and Cumnock
Sandra Osborne
73,320
62.59
24.50
35.71
0.00
37.00
0.00
2.79
LAB
NAT
16
2
Renfrewshire East
Jim Murphy
66,249
77.26
29.38
39.35
0.00
27.76
0.00
3.51
LAB
LAB
16
1
Edinburgh South West
Alistair Darling
66,359
68.51
23.22
31.41
0.00
38.74
0.00
6.64
LAB
NAT
16
1
Dunbartonshire East
Jo Swinson
63,795
75.16
14.69
22.71
11.30
45.07
0.00
6.22
LIB
NAT
16
1
Dundee East
Stewart Hosie
65,471
61.96
14.44
21.92
0.00
57.69
0.00
5.95
NAT
NAT
16
1
Stirling
Anne McGuire
66,080
70.89
22.99
30.33
0.00
40.79
0.00
5.90
LAB
NAT
16
1
Ochil and South Perthshire
Gordon Banks
75,115
67.19
19.45
26.48
0.00
48.43
0.00
5.64
LAB
NAT
16
1
Aberdeen South
Anne Begg
64,031
67.21
19.68
25.11
5.07
43.04
0.00
7.10
LAB
NAT
17
1
Dumfries and Galloway
Russell Brown
74,581
69.95
30.59
34.48
0.00
30.87
0.00
4.07
LAB
LAB
17
0
Edinburgh South
Ian Murray
59,354
73.80
20.54
23.31
8.47
40.78
0.00
6.89
LAB
NAT
17
0
Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross
John Thurso
47,257
60.88
12.34
13.19
12.93
54.53
0.00
7.02
LIB
NAT
17
0
Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey
Danny Alexander
72,528
64.92
12.64
10.67
12.53
53.83
0.00
10.33
LIB
NAT
17
0
Ross Skye and Lochaber
Charles Kennedy
51,836
67.21
11.59
6.48
19.73
51.86
0.00
10.34
LIB
NAT
17
0
Orkney and Shetland
Alistair Carmichael
33,085
58.47
9.96
4.57
25.38
48.23
0.00
11.87
LIB
NAT
17
0
Edinburgh West
Michael Crockart
65,161
71.28
22.14
16.31
9.63
46.95
0.00
4.98
LIB
NAT
17
0
Gordon
Malcolm Bruce
73,420
66.43
17.71
8.69
9.69
55.96
0.00
7.95
LIB
NAT
17
0
Argyll and Bute
Alan Reid
67,165
67.31
22.99
11.30
7.02
51.24
0.00
7.45
LIB
NAT
17
0
Fife North East
Sir Menzies Campbell
62,969
63.62
20.71
7.35
14.71
49.45
0.00
7.77
LIB
NAT
17
0
Moray
Angus Robertson
65,925
62.20
25.02
7.32
0.00
61.76
0.00
5.90
NAT
NAT
17
0
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale
David Mundell
66,627
68.88
37.00
17.47
0.00
38.88
0.00
6.64
CON
NAT
17
0
Perth and North Perthshire
Peter Wishart
72,141
66.91
29.50
7.04
0.00
59.44
0.00
4.03
NAT
NAT
17
0
Angus
Michael Weir
62,863
60.39
29.88
7.38
0.00
58.44
0.00
4.30
NAT
NAT
17
0
Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine
Sir Robert Smith
66,110
68.36
29.23
5.84
11.13
47.15
0.00
6.65
LIB
NAT
17
0
Banff and Buchan
Eilidh Whiteford
64,300
59.82
29.75
6.00
0.00
59.01
0.00
5.24
NAT
NAT
17
0
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk
Michael Moore
73,826
66.39
32.74
4.38
15.33
41.33
0.00
6.23
LIB
NAT
Yougov Scottish sub sample % who say they are doing a bad job of leading Ed Miliband 83% Nick Clegg 82% David Cameron 67%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) November 30, 2014
Yougov (Scotland) % who trust a party leader to handle Immigration Farage 18% Cameron 11% Miliband 11% Clegg 5% none of them 47%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) November 30, 2014
http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/vibey5ti4y/YG-Archive-Pol-Sunday-Times-results-281114.pdf