okay thank you very much I so thank you
very much for that read and knowledge as you can see this the topic of today's
webinar is of course to you mr. Foyle fundamental analysis and this is gonna
probably a little bit different to the top of Trade and you're probably used to
a lot of people particularly the retail trading environment used to very
technical based strategies looking at charts and indicators and stuff like
that that's not how I train and that's not
how i found success i'm going to show you how you can actually do that .
fundamental analysis and another thing that a lot of people think its
fundamentals are complicated you know you need a degree in economics to
understand again I'm gonna show it's it's really really not that complicated
you can make it very simple and the best part is I check you for it ok so i'm not gonna sell you a course at
the end I'm not gonna try to get money out of you sign your program i'm gonna
tell you exactly how I trade the guys here at him to come on actually thought
you know that's the fucking teacher could be a value so here i am and i'm
going to show you exactly exactly we're going to do so let's just go through and
what we're going to look at today I'm going to keep the presentation as sure
as I can okay and hopefully there won't be much of a Q&A at the end either
because of electronic corporation you know as much as possible but if you do
have some questions please feel free to ask will do that at the end so you can
see what we're gonna do is we're gonna go through who I am obviously you know
why would you want to listen to me . how I tried which the the meat of the
presentation and then they're going to be an interesting about the end an
opportunity to workforce training clients so if you've ever wanted to get
into from trading if it wants to trade managed accounts of client setup as a
business that is all I don't do i'm going to just talk to a little bit more
about how you can get into that yourself that's what you want to do once you've
mastered you know you're trading success but the most important point of this
presentation is to basically show you exactly how our trade and teach you all
those methods so at the end of course got Q&A which will go into at the end
now let me play and out before i became please excuse me mark littell coach is what the screens
are almost screens in front of me and not only to swap from screen to screen
so i apologize in advance that very smooth like okay so that's what we
cannot today so let's start with the first section who I am okay obviously you want to know there's
no point listen to someone if you don't know who
they are so let's go into that I has a very destructive in 2005 and I saw an
advert online uniform the currency exchange website and said you know what
trade currencies for living and my goal is to travel to travel the world and if
I thought times have I could leave anywhere just only other laptop that
would be the dream so I decided to give currency trading ago forex trading ago
it was a long old battle and I you know effectively I tried everything I tried
all the strategy can think of indicators strategies courses forums everything
making my own design my own systems buying systems managed accounts
everything you can think of our tried following traders I tried in order to be
successful during that those few years now it took me like you can see that took me
a few years is a very very a difficult battle but I eventually did become
successful when i started applying the fundamentals ok so the thing going to teach you today
is what basically what i started applying in order to be successful and
to turn my trading around so once i did made that leap I began trading profession 2008 now that
was a small hong kong-based hedge fund took me on again very very small no it wasn't no massive hedge fund I
thought that but at the time it was you know good for me ok was very exciting opportunity for me
i had my admirers you know my track record by then they took me on give me a
chance within six months I was made head of
trading there and i had my first million dollars in the management doing that
sounds very exciting times I'm that's basically my entry into
professional pride look at after that . it was a couple years and I decided you
know what i was getting half the fees I thought it'd be better if i can get my
own clients and you know set my own manager campuses which i did in 2010 I moved over some clouds you know several business up
and start trading and that was all going well but during that time you probably
remember this during that time the financial crisis kicking off just round
2008 and then the ripple effect of that started coming out you know in 2010 2009
2010 2011 and effectively what that culminated is the heavy regulatory
requirements ok so it in in that time a couple years
later was going very well but I needed to be regulated there was no longer
possible for me to work in the UK and operate and manage accounts business
legally without being regulated now being regulated very ok literally costs
hundreds and hundreds of thousands of pounds and that's money you have to have
them in a float that money you have carbon using you can't have your trading
account you have to literally have it that they're doing nothing just in case so this is a little bit beyond my reach
and at the time so all ideas are joined the company expects my broker about the
situation that you know what I do and they joined up with a company called
small global management of course are part of an article called independent
portfolio managers based in London and they let me come on board and then they
let me bring my clients in that I've started feeding me clients as well the
point of that was that I was now regulated in the UK ok is now regulated in the UK that means
I could trade on accounts without worrying about the lordly any legal
requirements and I are content busily work on more clients in from anywhere in
the world and also again after a few months small could see the performance
on my own clients and then brought in they start feeding me their clients and
kind of snowballs and I became on the top traders that so that was in 2012 i
started working with them and now in 2014 this year they basically got to a
point where we can very well have quite logical compliance and so they may be
headed effects and there may be a partner in the company ok so now my role not just about managed
accounts and read my book mall now is head of FX and are we are trained
traders we bring the instructions on board and i help clients and I'm that because believe it or not
and it's not just a one-size-fits-all model works at less risk and they like a
selection of strategies and that's what we try to offer a small and studying a
lot of juice now i'm actually headed the whole operation and it's my
responsibility to match those 6s portrayed the client so that's very
exciting opportunity for me to us something that I'm doing right now
that's where i am right now it's kind of much and now what else well this is the
formula for hours but the second best performing forex trade in the world
between 2013 now what that means that was by the Barclays currency traders
index that all the traders that are my index the boxes constrains index is
basically one of the biggest basis of currency traders or any any form of
trading in the world ok so they have different cat food you've got equities
you've got effects of course now I was running the second-best x.x packed i'll
of course all the trades that were registered and reporting to the to the
index K doesn't mean always trade in the world and and no one else is better it
just means it's a ranking ok so letÃs also enable the people registered others
second-best which is pretty good and of course the databases go to put
professional traders guess it's not really time travel is not people trading
on account he's a professional fund managers CTAs acceptor trading on behalf
of clients so over that six-year period in that category of FX traders I was
ranked number two that's what you know its chrome you know
a decent you've moved something that I'm quite proud of my advantage particularly
when it comes to getting clients now the reason why that's worked out more
results fully already verified since 2008 now in order to manage and
respective you have to have fully audited verified accounts can't just and
that brushy or you know even you can't print off central statements and that's
not enough you need the account in order to have you need to have that done every
year so we have the oddest on every year and that's who I am that's my journey on my part we have offices in London you
can check out small global management the best medical care of and we do
manage to counsel FX and equities so that's my main enroll now want to do for
you today about how our trade ok so if you've ever wondered how the
institution straight through them would have backed up right this is what's this
is going to be quite interesting for you it's gonna be pretty pretty informative
hope for their another examples and talk you through exactly how we came up with
that so two ways that we trade ok this first ways fundamental analysis
the second way sentiment analysis now we're going to go into an example of
each one fundamental task typically longer-term ok longer-term and an hour
really what's driving the currencies in the long-term sentiment analysis is
what's driving the current is in the short term ok so if every move you see on a price
chart every major move there's a reason to trust me OK the prior to the move
randomly you know if you're looking at one minute chart yes that moves wonder
if you see that a currency pack of 100 pips there is guaranteed a reason why
it's moved under pips nothing much as most happen for no reason at all and if
you can tune it that what these we have more knowledge and understanding
therefore you'll be able to then take advantage of these moves and if the
thing music hundred pips and you know I'm q what's going on it's not much more confidence in your
trading and most importantly though whether you are or whether it's giving
you a good opportunity to be selling okay see that understanding of the mark
in is the real crooks of what I'm going to teach you today and I'm gonna just
give you a glimpse of how you can back at yourself so let's start with fundamentals
fundamentals and now all revolve central banks so if you want to know which way
the pound is going to be going over a few months okay you need to focus on what the bank
of england the same you need to bank but focusing on now believe it or not central banks will give out they want they want the market to know
that whatever in civility the last thing they want is huge amounts of volatility
with you know except every day either way ok now what the way they do this is such
a bad decision because forward guidance and if you've ever read then the
financial news you've probably read that word that phrase forward guidance
forward guidance basically means that the bank will tell the markets exactly
what it wants to achieve and exactly how its interpreting me the nation at the
time and exactly what things it needs to Steve before it's going to make any
adjustments so they will give you the data points that they're watching so
right now the Federal Reserve in the UX are watching inflation unemployment data ok so all the other date is basically
relevant ok so we can ignore things like you know getting not matter in retail
sales to fuck you mean if it comes out if there's a massive deviation it will
move the market it's you know cause any considerable moves the market is waiting
for those big data points ok the UK bank of england they are
focused on something called average earnings so they put their focus on the
employment market employment data but very very focused and not interested in
unemployment right now interesting the headline figures they're interesting
average turning good quality of the maid marketing proving rather than just
headline numbers are improving getting better ok so you get the idea that's
basically we will determine the long-term direction of currency based on
what the central bank of st. literally that simple i'm going to show you how to
do that in just a moment but first of all we're going to go through the second
one ok and the second one is the news
calendar ok this is this is sentiment so if you
want to trade short-term you forget the central bank's your the trip let's go
you want you on a date range you want to know what's going to move the market
today and tomorrow you want to focus on the news calendar want to focus on
speeches you want to focus on the short-term events because these are what
move the market ok and if you can tune into what these
little short term events are you know which way to try the current at all you know which color just to focus
on but more important you know which way to trade them during the hearing now the
current session ok so sentiment will come and go and
evaporate within a few hours or a few days sentiment changes quite often
fundamentals remain in place okay so you got two distinct types of
analysis now the pros and cons of fundamentals are the pros is much more
steady doesn't change very often you get a good very good idea which way it's
going the long term becomes obviously you get lost short-term volatility price
pulls back and retrace against that move lots of you know you know moving the
price if you're holding a position can be very difficult psychologically but as
long as you got the full confidence it's pretty simple the second side sentiment pros and cons
okay pros of sentiment that you can day trade it it's very very powerful gives
you the current accuracy on the currency to trade for each session of course the
cons are it's very fleeting is very fickle it changes it can be a little bit
more tricky to to understand simply because it can change so easy ok so the fundamentals are much easier
to grasp sentiment is very very powerful you probably make more profit with it
but it's just gonna take your little bit longer to grasp it ok but again it's actually quite a
simple process i'm going to take you through that process using a trade
example that we've taken recently and we're going to look at in more detail ok now we're going to do is I'm going to
give you a step-by-step process for understanding both of these methods ok that's what I'm going to give you
today so we're going to do that is we look at some trade examples and first of
all we're going to start with fundamentals ok and what I want to do is
I just want to the will change the screen here so this is what I apologize
for anything that goes wrong let me just see if this works okay there we go okay right so you
should you should go to see that ok I couldn't even see it should have she's a
news article yeah I about Japan everyone say that
that doesn't change the fact that I know ok oh yes okay maybe just took a little walk okay
she's going okay so we're gonna look at fundamental trade example okay thank you for that so this is an
example you see that guy here thursday the fourth about badly so this was way
back in a-put 2013 and this is given basically this is a turning point for
the japanese yen you can see the headline there Japan named to jumpstart
a jumpstart the economy with 1.4 trillion of quantitative easing ok so effectively you can see this was a
big event and this told us from a fundamental perspective that this was
going to happen until they ended deflation until they got their inflation
of attitude % and this we're gonna take it at least a couple years this is now set the tone for the
japanese yen for you literally years ok so we knew that the japanese yen is
going to weekend if you look into this article you can write this down here you
can find it on google but effectively the the upshot of this is that we can
the japanese yen ok so let me just highlight this here
there was nothing detects policymakers all likelihood that
yen weakness will be a side effect of accuracy strategy ok you can see that they're not the goal
really is to get the definition we can to help the economy which did everything
get inflation going eccentric cetera the point was there he was in The
Guardian that wasn't the fourth of eight for 2013 you now you're not this not
gonna show you how this picture you've got literally 18 months 12 months to
actually get into this trail mix and pips ok this is how the fundamentals
play out now just wanted to show you this first of all this is the block
copolymer see the block-post got it it's called why I'm still short Japanese
and not sure if it's going to change so you can see that the screen there might
be a slight delay the flattest ok let's just leave your favorite changes ok well i might do is I might yes character guy come on what so it looks
like that ok so i apologize for the drive so this
is the blog now this is all right this you can look at the data that's right
the students fall 2013 ok so there's a few months after that
announcement now this is basically a blog describing the fundamental defect
in the pair basically saying even though the jack the dollar yen is that 95 ok i'm expecting this to one over the
coming 12 months we knew institutional traders near that dollar yen was going
to hit 110 because this is what the analysts are saying this is what the
bank of japan themselves set in a week in the current they're going to do QA
and they really wanted to get above 110 to give their economy a kickstart so
that was the name of the bank that's what traders are going to do long-term
that's where the price is going . okay so that's why roadblock miss you can see
the dates they're out if we go look at this much are okay and then we were
trading this and again i was showing these trades as well let's look not
gonna change attempt to change my screen again so again I apologize this is a
very clean nah man should have kissed my charts in
just a moment i'm just gonna wait forever to set six if you guys can see
that so I know there's a delight yeah okay you can see that like all I ok
ok basically this is a lot this is a little this is an example of a
fundamental trade this is a long-term trade okay now remember the article they
remember the big happening april 2013 this is where this date is here is a
portal you can see the effect on the market ok we're expecting into weekend ok you
can see this thing boomed million rounded up from low nineties of two like
98 97 98 within a couple of days of daily chart ok now when our road call 18 jun here
you can see the prices just pulled back and dumped pretty much all these games
or jumped back down to 95 level so if this has been falling for a few weeks
was also confident that dolly I was gonna hit 110 in the next five months
because the fundamentals are in play the bank of japan were printing unlimited
amounts of money that was naturally going to week in the japanese yen and
the Federal Reserve we're talking about winding down their own quantitative
easing program so they were going in the opposite direction this is what we call
central bank divergence ok very simple now if you've got to central bank's
going opposite directions the currency pair will go one why ok so if you see it move against that
this is a fantastic opportunity just to stop by the dips gate now when they sit
down to 95 this is a great opportunity will buy it back because we knew was
gonna get to 110 maybe not today maybe not next week but we know the next 12
months or so is going to get to 110 now could just take a look at this we can
see it took the whole you 2013 to play out the end 2013 took off hit the 105 in
2014 it pulled all the way back down to 101
ok although that sounds what I want again people are losing the losing faith
in the position as the dominant gonna go up but fundamentally nothing changed the bank
of japan was still using the Federal Reserve still got and in their own
country program going to what their first rate hike ever going in opposite
directions the big picture had never changed this short-term volatility
shenoy it was just that and then finally 2014 you can see just last few months this thing eventually did hit 110 just
where we thought it was gonna get up and again without another pull back but
there's no reason the things changed fundamentally this thing will continue
to be supported as long as those two central bank's diverge and we know dolly
a fantastic currency to be fine on the dips for the long term positions ok so
that's a very good example now we're going to take you through the
steps of how you know that so the first thing you need to do is figure out what
each central bank of doing and and again very simple just need the final news
Bloomberg has free news and what you want to be focusing on is what the
central banks are saying what are they focus on what they trying to achieve if
they're trying to cut inflation they're going to be raised to try anything going
to be cutting rights and if they're cutting rates you want to sell the
currency if they're raising rates you want to be buying the currency ok so for Japan they're doing things are
going to be negative their currency that's what we've been blind alley and
selling the japanese yen over the last 18 months that trade has another white
still valid ok it's actually still there obviously
the fact is not hit 110 makes it a little bit difficult I'm but for the long term ok remember
this is a long-term fundamental perspective and not everyone's gonna be
able to trade this because you're not gonna be able to sustain a few hundred
pictures drawn out i understand that what we're gonna look at next is the
sentiment trade this is for day traders this is the people that look too small
stops lots of really get into the market on the daily basis but this is the power first of all show you the power of the
fundamentals and how they hold true and you the confidence that I have in this
was unshakable so always i had hold positions that wasn't a few hundred
against me I didn't care though species of since paid you know I made a lot of
pics trading dollar yet ok very very simple so that's more about
the confidence that having this picture gives shit nothing like any other
technical strategy give you fundamentals works out now what
i do now is go back and we're going to look at the second thing which is
sentiment analysis now before we move on shall we to how simple this is all
you're doing is looking at the central bank the same simple you don't need to
know about economics you don't agree you don't need to be have a really high like
you you just need to be tuned into the central bank's the same and they do that
for their statements they'll make statements once or twice a month and
will tell the market what they're doing a lot they want to achieve that and then
you can ride the currency guys literally that simple now let's check your screens again
apologize this time we're going to go to a
short-term we're going to talk about short-term trade right let me try and
share the screen here we go okay right now screen to change again you should see
you should be back on we should be stuck just on my blog again and this time
we're looking at short-term trader on your yet so if you guys could let me
know what's visible be great okay cool thank you Andrew what so this is a short-term outlook on
euro yen ok now what decades i just--literally
posted the most recent trade from the block ok now you can come to the blog you can
scroll the all the posts and you can see them I hope is everything's are live so
you can literally cause the blog go and read all the past post to your heart's
content and you can see the power of the short-term moves okay now this is just
the most recent one and this compelling because we posted it you can see the
time we posted it very very early in the morning okay before that an hour or two
before the session open well before the market start trading everyone had plenty
of time to get into this position okay now this is your again notice
thought that work was to buy it ok we were short term bullish and the most
important thing to bear in mind here is the reasons there's not some technical
setup is a very specific reason why we were buying the euro and setting the
japanese yen for that day so for yesterday today now the reason we visit here okay y'all ready to you okay investors bigger
higher after the results of the ECB stress test came in more positive than
many head for with only eight banks not satisfying ECB's plan the ECB with a
plan to fill gaps efficiently ok this should have a positive effect on
the euro in the short term ok so when you before that section
opened the euro is going to go up because it was very good news overnight
the stress tests have come out we were expecting them just both watching the
news calendars okay if I just checked the screen a second here you should
remember you should be able to see the calendar and i just use for expect it's
very simple you can see on Sunday the twenty-sixth october in red you can see
if you just go to fuck you count yourself if you prefer to do that you
can see on some notoriety the stress test results would you out okay again
very very soon pull waiting for this the results came out and we know is
going to be foolish for euro so we bought you know yet ok now we wanted to be selling the
japanese yen ok because we've got bank of japan monetary policy this week and
we wanted to we basically knew that the bank of japan will probably going to be
a little bit more negative ok now again I'm gonna change again show
you this article here this is from last night ok and again you can see the oj x 1.is
check let me know this doesn't change in a few seconds but effectively what you
can see here is the bank of japan were expected to cook their growth forecasts
so they're basically becoming more negative on the economy ok so that's saying you know actually
things on us because we thought they were need to you know do a little bit
more and what that means is they're gonna have to possibly do more easing so
the whole thing that costs audience hit 110 in the first place the packaged app and probably going to
wrap it up over the next few weeks and months they're gonna do malls and what
does that mean it means a weak Japanese yen so what does that mean it means you
want to sell Japanese HDA so we're looking to buy the euro and sell
japanese yen in the short term this week ok because we've got combination of
things pushing the euro up and things pushing the japanese yen down so that's
a clear signal to buy your job and yet and that's how all these trade
work very very simple and then once you've got a sentiment you know to focus
on the euro yet so let's take a quick look at how that played out as a call
that you can see the levels here we're looking to buy 154 3680 stop loss at 136
45 targets up in the wok 3735 ok so you can see the trade there and you can go
get the blocks free to see you know go check out for yourself let's just change the screen again just
to see how that played out here we go ok so again you can this here you are again again and the
reason I use examples cuz with reposted it's not something off security took my
own account take these trades and share them freely on the blog that the trades
that is the trades like to take whichever freely so you don't even have
to sign up for anything that you can just to go out go to the blog check
yourself and follow along if you start off you have these delivered to your
inbox every day for ok i just want to show you the power of fundamentals so you can see here this is your year
and this arrow is where we where the signal is called ok to see the price
came down it went just below our and she's a little bit but it didn't have
stopped down here 45 romania and then recovered and then of course you can see
it boomed and Henry let you write a hit target nice and simple and you can go
back on the blog and see all the trades this week left before they all for
nothing had one of very very rarely have a losing trade and the reason is because
it's magic isn't because of football is that because I've got some fantastic
superstructures not going to sell to you it's simply because institutional
traders trade the fundamentals and all you have to do is read the news and if
you tune into the news with a little bit of practice you can make very consistent
pips by taking advantage of those too ok so that's basically that's it that's
the little introduction to fundamentals little introduction to sentiment that so
you can trade long-term shorter and all the places there for the block now we're
gonna do now is I'm gonna go back to the year gonna go back to mix tomorrow
screen here just like this so you should act back to my car . now what we're going to do now is
going to talk about the opportunity here for this opportunity to trade but if you
want to take the planet got something you wanted to do the opportunities here ok now what we want to do because i
obviously apartment smart because it's more romantic to to get new traders and
matching clients ok we want to train our own track from
now we'll move to and support them and this is what it's all about this this is
what we want to do you can use that once you get a track record of performance if
you've got a good influence if you already a successful trader we wanna
work with you ok we want to take one we're looking for
pot successful traders that's what we want now what we're going to offer is a
roll out a junior trade offer if you have 12 months track record and anyone
out of 12 instructors for trading this is what the change that you can have
right now you can just simply man also giving a man a moment and everything you
need to be successful and work in a regulated environment in London training
clients is there as long as you've got a track record on real a minute okay my
role of course you also get full salary clients that you get a share of all the
profits generated this is basically what i did when i joined small it's exactly
the same pattern followed on our current path op many traders out there that got
the performance sketcher if you have a i really suggest you go it's not blog
check out the all the information then you know your definite improvement
trading ok now you can register to find out more just going to the blog signup
exception if you want more information you can email support their the
port-a-john babes.com if you miss aware don't worry about an email sent to you i
wanna do is I'm gonna send you with a free training course if you're not
successful trainer I'm gonna send you my training course it's not for four hours
long it will take you in-depth how to read the fundamentals how to trade the
fundamentals of how to identify centum how to pick them in a step-by-step
manner so that you can go away and start basically trading profitably to get to
that point ok so the opportunities there and I'm even gonna give you the training
for free it's a video course of course it's not
me I'm not gonna do a lot of video but it's there all you have to do is just
wait for the amount to come to our century miles later on but if you want
some more information the meantime send us an email support act out there.com
and that's it guys there you go I'm that's basically a very good
overview home trading that's have which success and if you've got any questions
that we know but hopefully from that right there shouldn't be too many
questions and everyone should be happy to know whether got it but I'll give it
a few seconds anyway just in case ok cool stuff the block address geremy Davis . card just go to jack
threads.com and just click on blog at the top click on the blog I'm about
letting you speak about the character yet the characters very simple I'm when you get a central bankers .
interest rates up and you get an inch a central bank that's put into sweats down
for keeping low you want to buy the cook the currency of the high interest right
and sell it against the currency of the low interest rate your pocket the
difference for example new zealand is currently three-and-a-half percent ok
I'm and Japan 0% so basically if you buy new zealand dollar japanese yen you'll
get paid around our harps add one to one-and-a-half cups a day just for
holding a long position that pair very simple now of course because it's so attractive
other traders have the same idea long term traders and that Pavel naturally
have over six to 12 months it will go up okay and you're not only make your feet
spread but you also make capital appreciation as long as you're not
trading with average you can hold that and make you know one or two cups a day
very simple ok euronews-en and it's a great
opportunity moment as long as it stays above 160 is an absolute prime pair to
be selling for a long-term character ok that's just a little bit of information
for you ok what's the background to look for
Gina trader Olga it's purely performance so if you've got the performance we look
for one to two percent on-month consider performance maximum drawdown a
15-percent if you've got that on a live account we can verify simple now i'm
alan having an account you need to be effective in trading well if you trade
your clients basically there's no real minimum thousand dollars is the minimum
but no that's obviously if you only trade thousand dollars and then you
passed you know the process etc we're not just gonna give you a million
dollars to trade you're going to get a relative account so you're going to
start with a smaller account your class going to give you maybe 10,000 something
along those lines to get the ball rolling if you do well and that maybe he looked
at 20 and 1500 and before you know it all and snowball once you've proven
yourself on on xml you'll get allocated this roughly the same of out and then it will just compound and
grow from there so when you have a min under management new clock gonna be okay
no million or less with you on that strategy that makes sense so thousand
dollars you can start with what you have to understand that if you try to clydes
it's gonna take a little bit longer for you to get to where you want to be okay
and hopefully let's give you a really good insight into how fundamentals work
i think of them a pretty good job of kind of evading the question which is
called I wanted to achieve like i said if you want to ask the question crops
and later email support @ Jared Davis calm but the course will be sent you an
email anyway and I think guys there you go that's hopefully been a little bit
valuable little bit of insight into how professional trade