The computer guidance has been amazingly consistent with this impending storm for Tuesday and Wednesday so far, keeping us on the fringes of a potentially historic Nor'easter.
First though we will have variably cloudy skies and it will be cooler today with a high in the low 40’s.
Tomorrow the Polar Vortex will move back into Southeastern Canada one more time before retreating for the spring and summer. This will bring much colder air back into our area once again for Monday through Wednesday.
On Tuesday two disturbances will drop down into the Central Plains States from Canada at the same time that a disturbance moves along the Gulf Coast. These three disturbances will merge to form a Nor'easter near Cape Hatteras, North Carolina on Tuesday night. This storm will then move northeast to a point about 150 miles off the coast of New Jersey by Wednesday morning and then to about 100 miles east of Cape Cod by Wednesday afternoon, intensifying to levels I have only seen surpassed by Superstorm Sandy.
If the track above verifies we will be on the outer fringes of one of the strongest Nor’easters in history. This would bring Northern New Jersey 1-4 inches of snow, New York City about 4 inches, coastal New Jersey around 5 inches, western Long Island 4-6 inches, eastern Long Island 6-15 inches from west to east, southeastern New England 1-2 feet and the Cape Cod area around 30 inches of snow. Winds would gust to 40-50 mph on Wednesday in all of New Jersey, 50-60 mph on Eastern Long Island, and 60-80 mph in southeastern New England and for Cape Cod. Wind gusts of 100 mph or more are possible about 100 miles off the coast of eastern Long Island, and 50 miles off the coast of Cape Cod.
Any change in track of this storm would cause a significant change in impact to our area, so please be sure to check back for updates.
The light to occasionally moderate snow should begin in the mid to late morning on Tuesday and end in the early morning hours on Wednesday. The high winds will occur on Wednesday.
The good news is that after this storm passes, spring will finally arrive, with a chance of showers and thunderstorms on Friday night and highs possibly making it to the low 70’s by the middle of next week.
Be sure to check back for updates.
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