2016-10-29

Birmingham vs Aston Villa betting tips and predictions for this weekend’s Championship derby on Sunday 30th October including reasons for each footy bet.

Aston Villa have had a tough 14 months; could that get even worse with a derby defeat? The two biggest sides in the Second City go head to head on Sunday, following Villa’s relegation from the top flight. Will their struggles continue against their bitter rivals, or can Steve Bruce inspire them to victory against his former side?

Birmingham vs Aston Villa Predictions

Going in to this game, it’s very obvious that these are two sides who aren’t seeing a lot of goals. That’s especially true for Villa, who have averaged 0.57 goals per game away from home this term. There have been under 2.5 goals in seven of Villa’s last eight games. On top of that, five of their last six derby games have seen two goals or less. We’re backing that to continue for my first Birmingham vs Aston Villa prediction here, and under 2.5 goals is our tip, priced at 8/11 Bet Victor.

Under 2.5 goals – 8/11 with Bet Victor.

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We’re also backing a draw when these two meet, as Villa haven’t lost a league meeting between these two since 2005. The visitors are on a high following the appointment of former Birmingham boss Steve Bruce. He’s seen a draw and two wins in his first three games in charge, and we’re backing him to continue that unbeaten start, especially given his history in this fixture. The draw here is priced at 23/10 with Betfair and that’s our second Birmingham vs Aston Villa betting tip.

Draw – 23/10 with Betfair.

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Birmingham vs Aston Villa Team News

Birmingham’s only injury worry ahead of the derby is left-back Jonathan Grounds. Aston Villa head here without Aaron Tshibola and Libor Kozak. They still have Jack Grealish suspended, so he won’t feature this weekend.

Head to Head Stats

These two met in the League Cup a year ago, but they haven’t crossed paths in the league since 2011. That game finished 1-1 at St Andrews, as Villa continued an eight game unbeaten run against their rivals in league games. We wouldn’t be surprised to see a repeat of that result this weekend.

Birmingham vs Aston Villa Betting Odds

Villa will be desperate to maintain that unbeaten run against Birmingham. Steve Bruce needs to make a quick impact to lift the club from their current struggles. The new Villa boss is guaranteed a frosty reception by the home fans, but he’s been through these derbies before, and he’s managed the Tyne-Wear derby. We expect Bruce to ignore everything going on, and take a resul for his side here. We’re backing a 1-1 draw, as we don’t see either of these two keeping a clean sheet this weekend. That’s priced at 6/1 with William Hill and completes our betting tips for Birmingham vs Aston Villa.

Correct score 1-1 – 6/1 with William Hill.

Birmingham v Aston Villa Betting Tips

Under 2.5 goals – 8/11 with Bet Victor.

Draw – 23/10 with Betfair.

Correct score 1-1 – 6/1 with William Hill.

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Aaron Rogan

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