15 of 20 sites published. Red Bulls edge Dallas for first in the final ranking.
15 of 20 sites published for Week 33 - Final Rankings! Sports Illustrated only did a partial ranking with the playoff teams.
Here's a reminder of the Power Ranking "Guidelines":
"If two teams played tomorrow, given their current injury concerns, form, and other considerations, who is likely to win on a neutral field? This list is designed to tell you who we feel is most likely to win that match-up. All things being equal, who is the best team going forward, based on what we know now?"
-Richard Farley, NBC Sports ProSoccerTalk. 3/11/14
Sites Used:
Who Scored (whoscored.com)
Jeff Sagarin (sagarin.com/sports/soccer.htm)
Sports Club Stats (www.sportsclubstats.com/USA/MLS.html)
Sports Illustrated (www.soccer.si.com)
ESPN (espnfc.us/major-league-soccer) *No ranking for Wk 33
SoccerAmerica (socceramerica.com)
Major League Soccer (www.mlssoccer.com/news/power-rankings)
The Mane Land (themaneland.com)
Soccer By Ives (sbisoccer.com/sbi-mls-power-rankings) *No ranking for Wk 33
Reddit user/FlyingCarsArePlanes (User analytic ranking) *No ranking for Wk 33
Reddit r/MLS (reddit.com/r/mls) *No ranking for Wk 33
MLS Fantasy Boss (mlsfantasyboss.com)
The Score (thescore.com/mls/news)
Power Rankings & More (powerrankingsandmore.com/tag/mls)
Seattle Times (seattletimes.com/author/matt-pentz)
Hot Footy (hotfooty.com/major-league-soccer) *No ranking for Wk 33
Sportify (sportify.io/category/analysis)
Black & Red United (blackandredunited.com)
CSN Chicago (csnchicago.com/chicago-fire - bi-weekly)
Inonit.com (inotit.com)
You may notice several 'team specific' sites used; yes they will at times be a bit more biased for/against certain teams, as such the averages use the Olympic Method of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and averaging the rest to compensate for possible bias. The 'analytic' sites that are based on numbers make up a control group since they are based on performance and/or results rather than opinion. Each week I'll list the sites closest and furthest from average to show which are more biased than others.
As with previous years, if you know of a site that I have not listed, please let me know in the comments below and I'll add it!
Weekly Power Ranking Averages
Using the "Olympic" method of dropping the highest / lowest scores, and averaging the rest.
Wk33
Wk32
Wk30
Team
Wk33
Avg
Wk32
Avg
Wk30
Avg
Worst
Best
1
1
2
New York RB
1.54
1.69
1.93
3
1
2
1
1
Dallas
1.69
1.69
1.79
4
1
3
3
4
Colorado
3.92
3.63
4.07
8
2
4
4
3
New York FC
4.54
5.31
3.71
8
2
5
7
6
Los Angeles
5.31
5.44
6.29
8
1
6
6
5
Toronto
5.54
5.40
5.07
9
3
7
5
8
D. C. U.
6.31
5.38
7.00
10
3
8
8
7
Seattle
7.31
7.94
6.64
10
4
9
11
12
Kansas City
8.92
10.60
11.21
10
7
10
9
9
Montreal
11.08
10.44
10.43
16
9
11
10
11
Salt Lake
11.38
10.56
11.00
17
7
12
12
13
Portland
12.75
11.06
13.43
19
9
13
13
9
Philadelphia
13.23
12.88
10.43
18
8
14
14
13
New England
13.92
14.63
13.43
19
10
15
16
19
Orlando
14.00
15.88
18.36
16
10
16
15
15
Columbus
15.92
15.50
14.86
19
12
17
19
18
Vancouver
16.08
18.27
18.36
20
14
18
18
17
Houston
17.83
17.69
16.14
19
15
18
17
16
San Jose
17.83
16.80
16.00
20
15
20
20
20
Chicago
19.92
19.33
19.86
20
14
Largest Rise: NYCFC, LAG, SKC, VAN +2
Largest Fall: D.C., PHI -3
Season Ending Average
This is the final weekly average for the year.
Rank
Team
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
1
Dallas
2.73
4.64
6.35
8.58
12.88
2
Los Angeles
3.75
4.51
5.23
5.15
8.39
3
Colorado
5.25
17.38
11.54
9.88
12.85
4
Toronto
6.21
9.75
8.97
16.83
17.85
5
Salt Lake
7.01
12.43
4.12
4.58
3.70
6
Montreal
7.52
15.06
17.54
5.17
13.99
7
New York RB
8.11
4.68
10.05
6.52
5.58
8
Philadelphia
8.66
18.07
11.85
10.45
15.19
9
Kansas City
9.12
6.35
5.64
4.48
3.07
10
New York FC
9.42
15.47
11
Portland
9.78
9.45
11.64
5.83
15.88
12
San Jose
10.94
11.14
15.20
12.38
2.61
13
Orlando
13.10
14.21
14
Vancouver
13.65
5.09
7.98
10.33
8.95
15
Seattle
13.75
6.07
2.86
9.38
5.07
16
D. C.
13.91
5.91
7.49
17.24
7.45
17
New England
15.45
9.50
9.66
12.52
14.78
18
Columbus
16.31
8.75
9.60
12.81
11.70
19
Houston
16.44
13.81
12.77
7.71
6.75
20
Chicago
18.80
17.71
15.54
14.35
7.91
Site Evaluations
Each site's ranking is compared to the weekly averages above. The best and worst # of matches is indicated. Team bias column shows what team the site shows the highest average for/against (including Preseason ranking).
Site
#
Exact
1
off
2
off
3
off
4
off
5+
off
Worst
most
bias vs
most
bias for
Who Scored
5
3
5
4
1
2
CHI
VAN -5.32
CHI +5.38
Jeff Sagarin
5
6
5
3
1
0
NER
NYFC -2.43
HOU +2.50
Sports Club Stats
8
11
1
0
0
0
CLB
POR -4.07
NYFC +2.27
Sports Illustrated
6
1
4
0
1
8
only PO
teams ranked
COL -1.89
SEA +2.75
ESPN
NA
LAG -2.48
POR +2.75
Soccer America
4
7
4
2
3
0
3@+/-4
NYRB -1.02
CHI +1.55
Major League Soccer
6
11
1
2
0
0
POR/LAG
LAG -1.71
TFC +1.82
The Mane Land
7
8
2
3
0
0
3@+/-3
PHI -2.43
VAN +2.20
Soccer By Ives
NA
DCU -1.55
SEA +1.68
Reddit u/FlyingCarsArePlanes
NA
RSL -2.93
CLB +2.84
Reddit r/MLS
NA
DCU -1.96
VAN +1.13
MLS Fantasy Boss
3
8
2
5
2
0
CLB/NYFC
PHI -3.60
POR +5.71
The Score
4
9
4
2
1
0
RSL
COL -1.58
VAN +2.17
Power Rankings & More
7
9
4
0
0
0
4@+/-2
TFC -2.02
NER +1.98
Seattle Times
7
10
2
0
0
1
POR
NYRB -0.96
VAN +1.75
Hot Footy
NA
NYRB -2.58
RSL +1.51
Sportify
3
5
1
5
1
5
RSL
PHI -3.51
NYRB +3.68
Black & Red United
3
13
2
2
0
0
POR/VAN
TFC -2.84
COL +3.15
CSN Chicago
9
8
1
1
1
0
SEA
MTL -1.63
RSL +2.63
In On It
2
6
8
2
1
1
NER
NER -4.19
NYRB +5.20
Most Accurate Site: (best Exact, with 1 off as tiebreaker) CSN Chicago with 9 exact matches.
Least Accurate Site: (most 5+ with 4 and 3 off as tiebreaker): Sportify with 5 off by 5+.
Site with Worst Bias VS: Who Scored with VAN 5.32 from avg.
Site with Worst Bias FOR: MLS Fantasy Boss with POR 5.71 places from avg.
5 Year Average
Season ending power rank averaged over the last 5 years (2 years for ORL & NYCFC).
Team
5 Yr
Avg
Wk
32
Wk
30
Wk
29
Wk
28
Wk
27
LA Galaxy
5.41
5.40
5.38
5.36
5.36
5.36
Sporting Kansas City
5.73
5.73
5.71
5.70
5.70
5.69
Real Salt Lake
6.37
6.34
6.28
6.25
6.24
6.23
New York Red Bulls
6.99
7.03
7.12
7.17
7.21
7.25
FC Dallas
7.04
7.04
7.05
7.05
7.06
7.07
Seattle Sounders
7.43
7.47
7.55
7.60
7.64
7.66
Vancouver Whitecaps
9.20
9.19
9.12
9.09
9.06
9.02
D.C. United
10.40
10.44
10.56
10.61
10.64
10.66
San Jose Earthquakes
10.45
10.41
10.34
10.30
10.26
10.22
Portland Timbers
10.52
10.50
10.47
10.44
10.42
10.43
Colorado Rapids
11.38
11.39
11.41
11.42
11.42
11.42
Houston Dynamo
11.50
11.49
11.48
11.48
11.49
11.49
Columbus Crew SC
11.83
11.84
11.86
11.87
11.87
11.86
Montreal Impact
11.86
11.83
11.79
11.77
11.72
11.67
Toronto FC
11.92
11.93
11.94
11.95
11.98
12.01
New England Revolution
12.38
12.39
12.38
12.40
12.40
12.42
New York City FC
12.45
12.53
12.68
12.78
12.88
12.96
Philadelphia Union
12.84
12.82
12.78
12.77
12.76
12.75
Orlando City
13.66
13.64
13.53
13.43
13.34
13.28
Chicago Fire
14.86
14.85
14.84
14.84
14.83
14.82
FIFA-esque Power Ranking
The Weighted Average is calculated using a variation of the "FIFA method" with the current year counting for 100%, and previous years counting for a decreasing amount.
Team
Wk
33
Wk
32
Wk
30
Week
29
Week
28
Week
27
Week
26
LA Galaxy
83.60
83.64
83.73
83.82
83.85
83.82
83.79
FC Dallas
80.82
80.78
80.77
80.73
80.70
80.67
80.65
Sporting Kansas City
77.93
77.93
78.03
78.10
78.09
78.13
78.18
Real Salt Lake
75.50
75.63
75.92
76.07
76.14
76.21
76.22
New York Red Bulls
75.49
75.29
74.84
74.60
74.38
74.19
73.99
Seattle Sounders
72.68
72.47
72.07
71.81
71.62
71.49
71.41
Vancouver Whitecaps
68.38
68.45
68.94
68.94
69.09
69.26
69.40
Portland Timbers
66.10
66.19
66.35
66.48
66.56
66.51
66.52
Toronto FC
65.41
65.39
65.27
65.27
65.11
64.95
64.76
D.C. United
64.67
64.45
63.88
63.62
63.47
63.37
63.26
New York City FC *
63.16
63.00
62.70
62.49
62.30
62.13
61.96
Colorado Rapids
62.30
62.26
62.16
62.11
62.11
62.08
62.03
San Jose Earthquakes
60.79
61.00
61.35
61.54
61.78
61.97
62.20
Orlando City *
60.61
60.65
60.87
61.06
61.24
61.36
61.38
Montreal Impact
59.69
59.82
60.02
60.13
60.38
60.62
60.77
Columbus Crew SC
59.29
59.28
59.18
59.12
59.09
59.14
59.26
New England Revolution
58.80
58.75
58.79
58.72
58.70
58.61
58.63
Philadelphia Union
57.17
57.31
57.48
57.55
57.59
57.64
57.67
Houston Dynamo
56.01
56.06
56.09
56.09
56.03
56.05
56.10
Chicago Fire
44.49
44.49
44.54
44.58
44.62
44.66
44.65
* Expansion teams points adjusted to compensate - (median of 9 for missing years)