2023-02-11

China is Preparing to Win a Nuclear War Against America
Daniel Greenfield

China has beaten us economically and infiltrated our decision-making loop politically, but as the spy balloon shows, it’s continuing to gather as much intelligence on our military operations as possible in order to prepare for anything from a limited conflict over Taiwan to total warfare.

It wouldn’t welcome a nuclear war, but it’s preparing to fight one and win.

The U.S. military has notified Congress that China now has more land-based intercontinental-range missile launchers than the U.S., fueling the debate about how Washington should respond to Beijing’s nuclear buildup.

“The number of land-based fixed and mobile ICBM launchers in China exceeds the number of ICBM launchers in the United States,” the commander of the U.S. Strategic Command, which oversees nuclear forces, wrote the Senate’s and House’s Armed Services Committees on Jan. 26…

China, which has rejected arms-control talks with the U.S., is on track to field about 1,500 nuclear warheads by 2035, according to a Pentagon report that was released last year. That is roughly triple the number it has today.

China operates a fleet of mobile ICBM launchers and has about 20 liquid-fueled, silo-based missiles. It is also building three ICBM silo fields that are intended to house at least 300 modern solid-fueled missiles.

U.S. lawmakers are involved in an increasingly heated debate about how best to counter Beijing, including the Pentagon’s response to the Chinese surveillance balloon that recently traversed the U.S. and hovered over Montana, where a portion of the American military’s ICBM arsenal is deployed.

Like a lot of China’s construction projects, many of these are still ‘ghost’ sites, waiting for missiles, but they show China’s commitment to not only joining an arms race, but winning it. The Chinese model has been to patiently put into place the building blocks for achieving total superiority in every arena.

That’s what being serious about winning looks like. It’s not a lot of empty talk or boasts, it’s doing the work.

“China is rapidly approaching parity with the United States,” said Rep. Mike Rogers, the Alabama Republican who chairs the House Armed Services Committee. “We cannot allow that to happen. The time for us to adjust our force posture and increase capabilities to meet this threat is now.”

Mr. Rogers said that limits on long-range forces set by a treaty between the U.S. and Russia, known as New START, are inhibiting the U.S. from building up its arsenal to deter Russia and China. That accord, which China isn’t party to, is set to expire in 2026.

Trump wanted China to be a party to arms accords, Biden decided to cut a deal to give Putin even more than he asked for while failing to include China. But why would China even join any arms treaty?

Russia cheats blatantly on arms treaties (and always has), but China doesn’t even need to bother lying to us. We have some leverage with Russia, but we have little leverage with China. And that’s the underlying issue. We don’t have a plan to win, at best we have a plan for futile negotiations, while the PRC has a number of plans for winning in different arenas. If that doesn’t change, we’re on track to lose.

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