2016-11-05

Good Saturday morning. If you haven’t heard the Katy Perry song “Roar” enough, HILLARY CLINTON has set her ad to close out the campaign to the song. It’s a minute-long spot, and it’s running in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin through Election Day. http://bit.ly/2eoniei

DONALD TRUMP’s “Argument for America,” a two-minute spot. http://bit.ly/2eJnHZG If you needed evidence of Steve Bannon’s influence on Trump, watch that ad.

3. More. Days. Reminder: Turn your clocks tonight -- one hour back.

AT A RALLY in Tampa this morning, Trump said the following things: "The Cubans just endorsed me" and said he would campaign in the coming days in Minnesota, a state that hasn't voted Republican in a presidential race since 1972.

HOT IN TRUMP TOWER -- “Three paths that deliver Trump the win: His chances are slim, but three narrow paths could still deliver 270 electoral votes,” by Shane Goldmacher: “With three full days left in the campaign, Donald Trump’s pathway to the presidency is narrow, defined and unforgiving. It begins by the Republican nominee, who continues to trail Hillary Clinton in most national polls, sweeping three must-win electorally rich battleground states: Ohio (18 electoral votes), Florida (27) and North Carolina (15) ... From there, Trump must also hold all the states that Mitt Romney won in 2012, including Utah, Arizona and Georgia.

“1. Win the Keystone State Pennsylvania (20): 273 electoral votes … 2. Cobble together four states Iowa (6), Nevada (6), Maine-2 (1), New Hampshire (4): 270 electoral votes … 3. Pull off a shocker Combine Iowa (6) and/or Nevada (6) with some wild card state: Michigan (16), Wisconsin (10), Virginia (13), Colorado (9), New Mexico (5).” http://politi.co/2eaVcYq ... With maps: http://bit.ly/2f49lGh

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CLINTON’S PATH -- “Clinton clings to fragile lead,” by Steve Shepard: “Hillary Clinton enters the final weekend of this historic presidential campaign with a small-but-real lead over Donald Trump -- nationally and in enough key states to be elected president … Clinton’s lead isn’t secure. There is ample precedent for the polls to be off the mark by a sufficient margin for Trump to win the national popular vote. And despite the conventional wisdom that Clinton has an Electoral College advantage, Trump’s rise in the polls has exposed the cracks in that firewall.” http://politi.co/2eaZcIJ

SIREN IN NEVADA -- Jon Ralston (@RalstonReports), Nevada’s top political reporter, tweeted at 2:41 a.m. EST that Democrats have built up an insurmountable lead in Nevada, and he expects them to carry the state based on returns in Clark County (the Las Vegas area). “Dems win Clark by 11,000-plus, will be ahead overall there by 72K-plus, more than 2012. May be game over in NV for GOP.”

-- MORE RALSTON (Saturday morning): “Trump's path was nearly impossible, as I have been telling you, before what happened in Clark County on Friday. But now he needs a Miracle in Vegas on Election Day -- and a Buffalo Bills Super Bowl championship is more likely -- to turn this around. The ripple effect down the ticket probably will cost the Republicans Harry Reid's Senate seat, two GOP House seats and control of the Legislature.” http://bit.ly/2fyPctS

ON FLORIDA -- STEVE SCHALE, a top Florida Democratic consultant who helped Obama win Florida, said he likes the trend lines he sees. @steveschale: “Folks keep asking me to analyze various polls & gadgets. Here it is in one tweet: It's tracking the right way. If D's GOTV, she wins FL.” http://bit.ly/2f4ra8j

-- ADAM SMITH, political editor at the Tampa Bay Times, has a smart point: “As of this morning the Secretary of State’s office reports, Republicans in Florida had cast 2.26 million votes by mail, or early, in-person. Democrats had cast 2,268,663, giving Democrats in Florida a lead of nearly 7,300 votes. Another 1,201,715 Floridians registered to neither major party also have voted … Robby Mook estimated Clinton was up 170,000 votes in the state that Donald Trump absolutely has to win. But those Clinton campaign officials could not or would not explain their optimism given that Democrats had a far bigger lead in votes cast four years ago. On the Saturday before election day in 2012, Democrats led in early votes by 104,000 votes. Obama went on to win Florida by about 74,000 votes.” http://bit.ly/2fO1mhD

ON GEORGIA -- AJC: “Nearly 2.2 million voters have already cast their ballots in Georgia, nearly 300,000 more than had voted during the entire 2012 early voting period. What’s more, Secretary of State Brian Kemp said Friday morning that voters have also shattered the 2008 early voting record of 2.1 million.” http://on-ajc.com/2fnIJAq

POLLS -- WaPo/ABC national tracking: Clinton 47, Trump 43. http://abcn.ws/2fFA4uJ … More polls and analysis on NYT Upshot http://nyti.ms/2fpGESx

THE LEADALLS -- NYT A11, “Big Names Campaigning for Hillary Clinton Underscore Donald Trump’s Isolation,” by Alex Burns and Gardiner Harris: “Hillary Clinton campaigned Friday in the company of friends and celebrities, first flanked by the billionaire businessman Mark Cuban in Pittsburgh and Detroit, and then at a concert in Cleveland with Jay Z and Beyoncé. High-wattage political leaders fanned out for her around the country: Her husband, Bill, stumped in Colorado, as President Obama rallied voters in North Carolina. By comparison, Donald J. Trump was a lonely figure. In the final days of the presidential race, Mr. Trump’s political isolation has made for an unusual spectacle on the campaign trail — and perhaps a limiting factor in his dogged comeback bid.” http://nyti.ms/2fNXAEZ

--WaPo, “Trump, Clinton blitz across the country in final push amid tightening polls,”by John Wagner, Sean Sullivan and Abby Phillips: “Trump, whose electoral college prospects are narrower, is banking on a late-hour attempt to win at least one blue-leaning state — and to dramatically drive up turnout in rural areas in a collection of battlegrounds where he must prevail on Tuesday.” http://wapo.st/2fbiB8X

MOTHER JONES -- “Exclusive: The Democratic National Committee Has Told the FBI It Found Evidence Its HQ Was Bugged,” by David Corn http://bit.ly/2frK2Ll

OBAMA GOES LOCAL -- “Obama endorses alums in hyper local races,” by Isaac Dovere: “President Barack Obama is going even further down the ballot—all the way down to Richmond, Virginia, and San Francisco school boards, an Ohio county prosecutor and the Oakland, California and Louisville, Kentucky, city councils—to help promote the inklings of an elected Obama generation. That comes as Obama’s now taped robocalls for 73 Democratic incumbents and challengers running for House seats to run in the last few days before Election Day.” http://politi.co/2frwaAy

THE NEW EXIT POLLS -- “Welcome to an Unprecedented Election Day Experiment,” by Slate’s Josh Voorhees: “By combining proprietary, large-sample polls taken prior to Election Day with targeted, real-time tracking of voter turnout on Tuesday, VoteCastr will make rolling projections of how many ballots have been cast for each candidate in each of the states we’re tracking: Florida, Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. If you visit Slate at 11 a.m. EST on Tuesday, you’ll see projections for how many votes have been cast for Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump in each of those states as of 11 a.m.” http://slate.me/2fmlS66 … http://votecastr.us/

AIR WARS -- Future45 and 45Committee have released a new batch of ads as part of its $25 million spend in Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Utah and Nevada. The new ads: Inauguration http://bit.ly/2fnzvlG ... Moving Vans, which was approved by NBC to air on SNL nationally on tonight http://bit.ly/2fMcZpg ... Clinton Way http://bit.ly/2f9HSQX ... Bad News http://bit.ly/2f9ItlC

PLAYBOOK ELECTION CONTEST – Guess the winner of the presidential election, plus who wins the swing states, top Senate races and party breakdown of House and Senate. Contest closes Monday at midnight. Winner gets a lunch with us three. Good luck! http://bit.ly/2eIbzYQ

HAPPENING TODAY -- DONALD TRUMP is in Tampa for a 10 a.m. rally at the Florida State Fairgrounds, and then goes to Wilmington for a 1 p.m. rally at the Wilmington International Airport. He then heads west to Reno, Nevada, for a 5 p.m. rally at the Reno-Sparks Convention Center, and ends his day with a 9:30 p.m. at the National Western Complex in Denver. MIKE PENCE is in Holland, Michigan and Fairfax, Virginia.

HILLARY CLINTON is in Florida for a 1 p.m. rally in Pembroke Pines, and then goes to Philadelphia for the Katy Perry concert. TIM KAINE is in Florida for rallies in Melbourne, Ft. Myers and Sarasota. In Sarasota, he’ll be joined by Jon Bon Jovi. BILL CLINTON is on a bus trip from Jacksonville to Gainesville, Florida. JOE BIDEN is in Pennsylvania, making stops in Scranton and Harrisburg. BERNIE SANDERS is in Colorado Springs.

--On the trail with Trump today: POLITICO’s @NolanDMcCaskill. With Clinton: @anniekarni

POLITICO’S TRANSITION TRACKER: POLITICO will deliver breaking news notifications on the incoming administration -- directly to your iPhone’s lock screen. Using the unique capabilities and speed of Apple Wallet, Transition Tracker alerts users to all the key personnel and policy decisions as they’re made by the president-elect. This is currently available only for iPhone users via Apple Wallet. Download the pass, available for readers using iPhones http://politi.co/2fkjfQU

TOP TWEET -- @mattyglesias: “Remember when Hillary not doing press conferences was a daily controversy then she started doing them & Trump stopped and nobody cared?”

IF YOU READ ONE THING -- “A Militia Gets Battle Ready for a ‘Gun-Grabbing’ Clinton Presidency: At a militia training camp in Georgia it was clear that no issue motivates members more than guns — and the enduring belief that Hillary Clinton is plotting to take them away,” by NYT’s David Zucchino in Jackson, Georgia. http://nyti.ms/2eb1HdR

DAILY DONALD -- “National Enquirer Shielded Donald Trump From Playboy Model’s Affair Allegation,” by WSJ’s Joe Palazzolo, Michael Rothfeld and Lukas I. Alpert: “The company that owns the National Enquirer, a backer of Donald Trump, agreed to pay $150,000 to a former Playboy centerfold model for her story of an affair a decade ago with the Republican presidential nominee, but then didn’t publish it, according to documents reviewed by The Wall Street Journal and people familiar with the matter. The tabloid-newspaper publisher reached an agreement in early August with Karen McDougal, the 1998 Playmate of the Year. American Media Inc., which owns the Enquirer, hasn’t published anything about what she has told friends was a consensual romantic relationship she had with Mr. Trump in 2006. At the time, Mr. Trump was married to his current wife, Melania. Quashing stories that way is known in the tabloid world as ‘catch and kill.’ … Mr. Trump and American Media Chairman and Chief Executive Officer David J. Pecker are longtime friends.” http://on.wsj.com/2fNRpAQ

UH OH -- “Melania Trump modeled in U.S. prior to getting work visa,” by AP’s Alicia A. Caldwell, Chad Day and Jake Pearson: “Melania Trump was paid for 10 modeling jobs in the United States worth $20,056 that occurred in the seven weeks before she had legal permission to work in the country, according to detailed accounting ledgers, contracts and related documents from 20 years ago provided to The Associated Press.” http://apne.ws/2fbstjp

FLASHBACK -- @MELANIATRUMP, Aug. 4: “I have at all times been in compliance with the immigration laws of this country. Period.” http://bit.ly/2f4mgIb

JOSH GERSTEIN: “The FBI looks like Trump’s America”: “The typical Federal Bureau of Investigation special agent is white, male, and middle-aged, often with a military background — in short, drawn from the segment of the U.S. population most likely to support GOP nominee Donald Trump. ... According to numbers from August, 67 percent of FBI agents are white men. Fewer than 20 percent are women. The number of African-American agents hovers around 4.5%, with Asian Americans about the same and Latinos at about 6.5%. If Trump were running in an electorate that looked like that, he’d win in a landslide.” http://politi.co/2fMz7A0

2016 PLAYERS -- “The Clintons’ old attack dogs have a profitable new role, and sometimes it makes the campaign nervous,” by L.A. Times’ Evan Halper and Joseph Tanfani: “As Clinton aims to move back into the White House, the cottage industry around her political aspirations has sprung up anew and created tensions along the way. Tapping a deep network of donors and their own appetites for bloody political combat, eccentric operatives earn handsome livings orbiting in Clinton’s universe and even work within the shadowy corners of her campaign, according to interviews, tax and campaign filings and hacked emails from Podesta’s inbox posted on WikiLeaks. Chief among these operatives is [David] Brock, the former right-wing antagonist who now commands a network of political groups that will raise about $65 million to elect Clinton and other Democrats this cycle. The groups have paid generous salaries to him and others, including millions of dollars in commissions to a fundraiser [Mary Pat Bonner] who has summered with Brock in the Hamptons. Over the months of this long campaign, Brock’s operation became an indispensable part of Clinton’s machinery — just as in the old days, leading the attacks against her enemies.” http://lat.ms/2frD1Kr

BAYH BEAT -- “Bayh used taxpayer cash for Indianapolis hotel stays,” by Burgess Everett and John Bresnahan: “Former Indiana Sen. Evan Bayh used taxpayer money to stay at hotels in Indianapolis for 14 nights in 2009 despite owning a condominium there, charging more than $2,000 in travel and lodging expenses to his official account, according to his internal schedule and Senate disbursement records. Following questions from POLITICO, Bayh’s campaign conceded that reimbursements he received for five of those nights were not allowed by Senate rules and that he would personally repay $737. The Democrat’s campaign disputed that the other nine hotel stays in his home state violated Senate rules.” http://politi.co/2eorQRy

TRIAL BALLOON -- “Democrat Beto O’Rourke looking at a U.S. Senate campaign,”by Texas Tribune’s Abby Livingston: “Rep. Beto O’Rourke, an El Paso Democrat, told The Texas Tribune he is considering running for the U.S. Senate. ‘I am,’ the sophomore congressman said when Tribune CEO Evan Smith asked if O’Rourke is thinking about running for Senate in 2018 or 2020. U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz is up for re-election in 2018, while John Cornyn, the U.S. Senate majority whip, will be up for re-election and a fourth term in 2020.” http://bit.ly/2fDuuZJ

POT POLITICS -- “Nancy Pelosi will vote to legalize pot in California,” by LA Times’ Patrick McGreevy: “House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-San Francisco) said Friday she plans to vote for California’s Proposition 64, making her one of a small number of high-level politicians to support legalizing the recreational use of marijuana. ‘I will vote for it, but I have not made a public statement about it until right this very second,’ Pelosi said when asked about the measure, which is favored to pass Tuesday. She did not elaborate.” http://lat.ms/2fbfVIL

FUTURE OF NEWS -- PETER HAMBY’s Snapchat show “Good Luck America” has been seen by more than 52 million unique Snapchatters. “On Election Day, Snapchatters will have access to an election results geofilter through a feed supplied by The Associated Press. During the primaries and caucuses, more than 100 million Snapchat users saw election results through election results geofilters. On any given day, Snapchat reaches 41 percent of all 18-34 year-olds in the U.S. In comparison, an average individual U.S. TV network only reaches 6 percent of the same demographic.”

NUGGET FROM WHITE HOUSE POOL REPORT yesterday from the WSJ’s Carol Lee, aboard Air Force One: “New Yorker editor David Remnick joined us for the gaggle. He arrived with Josh Earnest and is not seated in the press cabin.”

COMING ATTRACTIONS -- “Obama keeping schedule open for Clinton or Trump meeting,” by birthday boy Nolan D. McCaskill: “White House press secretary Josh Earnest told reporters during a gaggle aboard Air Force One on Friday afternoon that the president is leaving his schedule open Wednesday and Thursday for a possible visit from president-elect Hillary Clinton or president-elect Donald Trump ... The president is unlikely to deliver an on-camera address after his successor is elected Tuesday night, Earnest said, but could issue a written statement.” http://politi.co/2fkO75d

FIRST IN PLAYBOOK -- Airbnb pulled its rental numbers from the 25 battleground counties that POLITICO flagged over the summer (http://politi.co/2b1vBiv), and the company found it had seen “record influxes of out-of-state weekend visitors in 13 counties throughout the month of October.” All told, Airbnb counted 62,000 guest arrivals in those counties in the leadup to Election Day -- 86 percent are from out of state.

TRAIL PIX – “What Hillary Sees On the Closing Days on the Campaign Trail”: “Photographer Brooks Kraft is traveling with Hillary Clinton during the frantic final week of campaigning. Here’s how that looks.” 29 pix http://politi.co/2fDptjS

VIDEO DU JOUR -- @JamesCarville: “They’ve got it right at @stopdukenow, David Duke is even weirder than you think!” http://bit.ly/2eHUzli

HILLWATCH -- “Ryan: I’m running for speaker,” by Rachael Bade and John Bresnahan. http://politi.co/2frPc9Z

MEDIAWATCH -- LESTER HOLT did a Facebook Live with the first look at NBC News’s “Decision Night in America” set from 30 Rock. “He’ll anchor NBC Nightly News from the same set this evening. It will be the home base for Lester, Savannah Guthrie, Chuck Todd and Tom Brokaw on Election Night. Coverage starts at 7 PM ET.” http://bit.ly/2ewJaax ... NBC and MSNBC’s Election Night plans: http://nbcnews.to/2eYy1jx

-- MEGYN KELLY in the “By the Book” column in tomorrow’s N.Y. Times Book Review: “Sometimes I will come home from work around midnight and read the books I know my husband read to our children before their bedtime so I can be up to speed if they want to talk about it. (O.K., O.K., it’s possible I also find the stories of those poor Baudelaire children compelling.) If a book bores me, I have no qualms about retiring it early and moving on. Life is too short to lumber through bad books or bad cocktails.” http://nyti.ms/2fnqSrw

--WHAT STEVE BANNON IS READING -- “Maybe The Right-Wing Media Isn’t Crazy After All,” by former NPR CEO Ken Stern on Vanity Fair’s The Hive: “If Breitbart were your primary news source, you would receive a view of the election that would be largely distorted and wholly unrecognizable to swaths of the American public. When I checked the news the other day, it was more of the same. I counted some 20 articles about the presidential race, each espousing the unequivocal view that one candidate is collapsing due to moral failings, financial improprieties, and complete and utter lack of judgment and ethics. Notably, I was not reading Breitbart. Instead, I was reading The Washington Post, delivered to my doorstep, and the attacks were squarely waged not against the Clintons but rather against Trump.” http://bit.ly/2fNRYdZ

--“The nation’s cartoonists on the week in politics,” edited by Matt Wuerker – 13 keepers http://politi.co/2fnx3f5

PLAYBOOK INTERVIEW: Showtime President David Nevins

David Nevins, who was a producer for “Arrested Development,” “Friday Night Lights” and “24,” is now president and CEO of the premium cable channel Showtime, which has racked up recent hits like “Homeland,” “The Affair” and “The Circus,” its slickly packaged documentary series on the 2016 presidential race. It’s too early to say what the future holds for Circus stars Mark Halperin and John Heilemann, he told us, but bragged that the show had broken through with some big-name fans, including Tim Kaine and Kamala Harris. Excerpts:

Scriptwriters are more political these days: “[W]e are [getting more political scripts]. There are a lot of political things in the air. I’ve seen a lot of things that deal with the divided political landscape and the sharp division between right and left is influencing script-writers. The new awareness of cyberwarfare and cybercrime and meddling in our political system [was] in significant ways the subject matter of last season’s ‘Homeland’ and is going to be touched on again in ‘Homeland’ this year. And that’s the subject of ‘Zero Days’, which we actually rushed: Alex Gibney, who is one of the great documentarians, looks at the recent history of cyberwarfare from Stuxnet to the present. ... It premieres November 5 [at 9 p.m.] ... [and I] think it’s likely to be an Oscar contender this year.”

TV shows now get rewarded for quality: “Demand is still there and you generally get rewarded for making the good stuff. That wasn’t always the case in television, so I see no reason why the wave of improving narrative content can crash. There is demand and television is driving the culture more than ever, and scripted television is driving the culture more than any other form of story-telling. ... It’s not so easy to get adults to leave their home to watch movies.”

Mark Halperin and John Heilemann “have turned into real stars.” About their future at Showtime: “It remains to be seen. I have no hold of them but I think they’ve turned into real stars for us. ... I don’t think anybody else is really doing it in the same way that we are, of documentary programming that is must-see among the Washington press corps. I think that’s a new thing and I think it’s going to continue. ... If you go backstage at the debate, that whole room is watching ‘The Circus.’ And that’s a new phenomenon. And politicians are watching ‘The Circus’ too. ... Tim Kaine and Kamala Harris have claimed to be devoted fans of the Circus.” Read more: http://politi.co/2fO9tuL

GREAT WEEKEND READS, curated by Daniel Lippman:

--“Tronc: if you want to save journalism,” by Bloomberg’s Felix Gillette and Gerry Smith: “Busy year for Michael Ferro. Bought Tribune Publishing. Renamed it tronc. Endured ridicule. Tried to sell to Gannett. Failed. Up next: Figure out how to make money in newspapers.” http://bloom.bg/2f2iEXf

--“Freud’s Discontents,” by Samuel Moyn in The Nation: “Why did one of the 20th century’s most influential thinkers fade from significance?” http://bit.ly/2e9xuM8 (h/t ALDaily.com)

--“Trump’s Inconvenient Racial Truth,” by Nikole Hannah-Jones in the N.Y. Times Magazine: “Regardless of how you feel about Trump, on this one thing he is right: The Democratic Party has taken black Americans for granted.” http://nyti.ms/2ewm57Q

--”Did Robert Caruso Con The Washington Press—Or Is That What The Russians Want You To Think?” by Brendan James in Deadspin: “People who know Caruso describe him as a smooth talker, a quote-machine eager to brag about his security clearance and access to the political and military elite.” http://bit.ly/2fbi8nk

--“How America Outlawed Adolescence,” by Amanda Ripley in November’s Atlantic: “At least 22 states make it a crime to disturb school in ways that teenagers are wired to do. Why did this happen?” http://theatln.tc/2ewmCXl

--“Buck to the future,” by Samanth Subramanian in Aeon Magazine: “He’s a forgotten hippie idol, a sage of 1960s counterculture. What can we learn from Bucky Fuller’s faith in technology?” http://bit.ly/2eHMFIP (h/t TheBrowser.com)

--“Bellagio Bandit: How One Man Robbed Vegas’ Biggest Casino and Almost Got Away,” by Keith Romer in Rolling Stone: “Tony Carleo stole $1 million in chips – then checked himself into casino’s hotel to live like a king.” http://rol.st/2fDnNqP (h/t Longform.org)

--“Sometimes it’s hard to be a man – especially if you overthink it,” by Steven Poole in the New Statesman: “A new outpouring of books show masculinity isn’t in crisis, human beings are.” http://bit.ly/2fkOpv9

--“California Dreaming,” by Marian Bull in Eater magazine: “The irresistible allure of Jessica Koslow’s Sqirl, the restaurant at the center of New York’s undying, sun-soaked fantasy of Los Angeles.” http://bit.ly/2ewhLFS (h/t Longreads.com)

--“Conscious exotica,” by Murray Shanahan in Aeon Magazine: “From algorithms to aliens, could humans ever understand minds that are radically unlike our own?” http://bit.ly/2emp2on

--“The Exile: Kesha, Interuppted,” by Taffy Brodessar-Akner in the N.Y. Times Magazine: “[S]he is someone in suspended animation, unable to release new music pending contract litigation, touring small clubs to make some money to help fund her lawsuit and to make sure her fans don’t forget her; now she is someone who wants to work and make music, just without the man she says raped her; now Kesha is a cause.” http://nyti.ms/2eHTMRJ

GREAT WEEKEND LISTENS, curated by Jake Sherman:

-- JACKIE GREENE live at the Hamilton on 10/30. http://bit.ly/2fpLDCG

--KELLER WILLIAMS and the INFAMOUS STRINGDUSTERS at the Fillmore on 10/29. http://bit.ly/2fpN448

PRESIDENT’S WEEK AHEAD – “On Monday, the President will participate in a Hillary for America event in Durham, New Hampshire. Afterward, the President and the First Lady will travel to Philadelphia, Pennsylvania to participate in a Hillary for America event. ... On Tuesday and Wednesday, the President will attend meetings at the White House. On Thursday, the President will welcome the Cleveland Cavaliers to the White House to honor the team and their 2016 NBA Championship victory. On Friday, the President will attend a wreath laying ceremony at the Tomb of the Unknown Soldier and deliver remarks at the Veterans Day Ceremony at Arlington National Cemetery.”

HAPPENING TONIGHT – The AFI Silver Theatre in Silver Spring is screening “Political Advertisement IX: 1952-2016” in Bethesda at 5 p.m.: “In 1984, media artists Antoni Muntadas and Marshall Reese exhibited a selection of television ads from U.S. presidential campaigns, from Eisenhower in the 1950s to that year's Reagan-Mondale contest. Every four years since, they have added to the compendium, resulting in what Reese calls ‘the longest-running video art project in the world.’” Tickets for the screening and a Q&A with Muntadas and Reese, moderated by Margie Omero http://bit.ly/2fpPNsC

OBAMA ALUMNI -- STEPHANIE VALENCIA has been working for the Clinton transition for the past few weeks. She is on leave from her job in strategic partnerships and outreach at Google and previously worked in the Obama White House and for the Commerce Department.

ENGAGED: Mike Fazzino, ONE Campaign alum and senior product manager at Amazon, proposed to Clinton Global Initiative alum and Wharton MBA student Madeleine Macks at the National Geographic museum last night. The emerald-cut sapphire was placed inside a hollowed out copy of “Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince,” her favorite book, and given to her on the candle-lined spot where the two had their first date four years ago. Don’t worry, Jay Heimbach -- she said yes. Pic http://bit.ly/2fNRxjV

BIRTHWEEK (was yesterday): Julie Siegel, a Hillary ’08/Obama ’08 and W.H. alum now law clerk at the U.S. District Court for the District of Maryland ... Jean Roseme, long-time “legislative gladiator” for birthday girl Rep. Frederica Wilson (D-Fla.) ... Darla Bunting, D.C. regional manager for Enriched Schools ... Jessica Reis, VP at Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (h/t Anthony DeAngelo)

BIRTHDAYS: John Harwood ... NBC News D.C. bureau chief Ken Strickland … Valerie Biden Owens, E.V.P. at Joe Slade White and Co. ... Politico’s Katy O’Donnell and Nolan McCaskill ... Benjamin Wittes, senior fellow in Governance Studies at Brookings and co-founder and editor-in-chief of Lawfare blog … Jason Calabretta, associate producer at “NBC Nightly News” ... Moira Whelan, former State Department DAS for Digital Strategy … Autumn Hanna VandeHei ... Sebastian Arcelus of “House of Cards” and “Madam Secretary” (h/ts Ben Chang) … RNC’s Casey Smith, a Romney alum (h/t Lindsay Walters) … Heather Stone, chief of staff at HFA and an SEIU alum (h/t Jesse Ferguson) … Annie Kelly, SVP at FP1 Strategies and Jeb alum … Stephen Rubright, senior director of gov’t relations at Juno Therapeutics … Chris Sununu is 42 … Tom Guthrie of Fiscal Note ... Lori Sanders, outreach director and senior fellow at R Street Institute, is 3-0 (h/t Nathan Leamer) ... Richard Parker, Harvard Kennedy School lecturer, author and cofounder of Mother Jones, celebrating a special birthday ... Trudy Vincent (h/ts Jon Haber) ...

… Keith Castaldo, general counsel to Sen. Gillibrand ... Camille von Kaenel, transportation reporter at E&E Publishing’s ClimateWire ... Open Society Foundations policy associate Jeremy Ravinsky (h/ts Colby Bermel) ... Reuters’ Curtis Skinner … Austin Butler is 26 ... Zack Marshall, leg. director for Rep. John Yarmuth, is 37 ... Kristin Bodenstedt, associate general counsel and gov’t relations director at Bacardi USA … John Procter, EVP at Signal Group, is 37 … former Rep. Ben Quayle (R-Ariz.) is 4-0 ... former Rep. Bob Barr (R-Ga.) is 68 ... Corey Jones … Steve Caldeira, alum of the International Franchise Association ... military whiz Chris Mewett, a rugby player and sartorial inspiration to many ... his Navy twin Ryan Mewett, executive officer at the Undersea Warfighting Development Center Tactical Analysis Group … Florida Justice Association’s Malik Haughton ... Rep. Frederica Wilson (D-Fla.) is 74 … Ted Kulongosk … Joseph Perman … Kate Throneburg ... Meryl Holt, Austan Goolsbee alum now on the policy team for Hillary for America … Sloan Rappaport ... Jessica Harris ... Ben Polk ... Tom Slater ... Kim Griffin ... Sheri Sweitzer ... Jackie Boynton ... Rick Leach ... Karen Mulhauser ... Janice Griffin … Craig Kirby ... Evie deFrees (h/ts Teresa Vilmain)

THE SHOWS, by @MattMackowiak filing from Austin:

--NBC’s “Meet the Press”: John Podesta … Newt Gingrich … Charlie Cook … new NBC / Wall Street Journal poll results with Public Opinion Strategies’ Bill McInturff and Hart Research Associates’ Fred Yang. … panel: Tom Brokaw, Telemundo and NBC News anchor José Diaz-Balart, NBC News anchor Savannah Guthrie and Republican strategist Nicolle Wallace

--ABC’s “This Week”: John Podesta … Reince Priebus … FiveThirtyEight founder and editor-in-chief Nate Silver. … Panel: Alex Castellanos, Stephanie Cutter, Matthew Dowd, Keith Ellison and Kristen Soltis Anderson

--CBS’s “Face the Nation”: Tim Kaine...Reince Priebus … new results from the CBS News 2016 “Battleground Tracker” polls from Florida and Ohio with CBS News’ Anthony Salvanto … national security roundtable with former Bush 43 homeland security advisor Fran Townsend and Washington Post columnist David Ignatius. Panel: Jamelle Bouie, Amy Walter, Mark Leibovich and John Heilemann

--“Fox News Sunday”: Mike Pence… Joel Benenson … Panel: Karl Rove, Bob Woodward, Dana Perino and Juan Williams

--Fox News’ “Sunday Morning Futures” (10am ET / 9am CT): Chris Wallace … Dana Perino … Chris Stirewalt … Panel: Ed Rollins, WSJ’s Mary Kissel and Democratic strategist and Fox News contributor Julie Roginsky

--Fox News’ “MediaBuzz” (SUN 11am ET / 10am CT): Erin McPike … Mollie Hemingway … Joe Trippi … Fox News’ John Roberts … Fox News’ Jennifer Griffin … Fox Business anchor Trish Regan … Ed Henry

--CNN’s “Inside Politics” with John King (SUN 8am ET): Panel: Nia Malika-Henderson, Jonathan Martin, Maeve Reston and Jeff Zeleny

--CNN’s “State of the Union” (9am ET / 12pm ET): Robby Mook … Kellyanne Conway … Panel: Dana Bash, David Chalian, Van Jones, Alice Stewart, Sean Spicer and Jennifer Granholm

--CNN’s “Reliable Sources”: (SUN 11am ET): Panel: The Atlantic editor-in-chief Jeffrey Goldberg, NPR’s Michael Oreskes, Karen Tumulty and Lynn Sweet … WaPo executive editor Martin Baron … Dan Pfeiffer and Jon Favreau … author and The Nation’s Ari Berman (“Give Us the Ballot: The Modern Struggle for Voting Rights in America”) … CNN’s Dylan Byers and The Baltimore Sun’s David Zurawik

--Univision’s “Al Punto” (SUN 10am ET / 1pm PT): Former 1996 Miss Universe Alicia Machado. Roundtable: Former Bush 43 administration assistant secretary of state Otto Reich, former Speaker of the Assembly Fabian Núñez (D-CA) and Trump campaign surrogate Lt. Col. Sergio de la Peña … former Costa Rica president and OAS/EOM chief Laura Chinchilla Miranda … Cifras y Conceptos director César Caballero … filmmaker Mel Gibson

---C-SPAN: “The Communicators” (SAT 6:30pm ET): Free Press president and CEO Craig Aaron and AEI visiting scholar Jeffrey A. Eisenach, questioned by Morning Consult’s Amir Nasr … “Newsmakers” (SUN 10am ET): Election Assistance Commission chair and National Association of Secretaries of State president and Connecticut Secretary of State Denise Merrill, questioned by Reuters’ Jeff Mason and Politico’s Anna Palmer … “Q&A” (SUN 8pm & 11pm ET): Author and historian Candice Millard (Hero of the Empire: The Boer War, a Daring Escape, and the Making of Winston Churchill

--MSNBC’s “PoliticsNation with Rev. Al Sharpton”: (SUN 8-9am ET): President Barack Obama … The Atlantic’s Michelle Cottle … Jonathan Alter … Trump campaign surrogate AJ Delgado … American Urban Radio Networks’ April Ryan

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