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POLITICO Playbook, presented by COMPETIFY – DEBATE AHEAD: States resist refugees; intel officials blame Snowden; ‘milita...

2015-11-17

By Mike Allen (@mikeallen; <a href="mailto:mallen@politico.com" target="_blank">mallen@politico.com</a>) and Daniel Lippman (@dlippman; <a href="mailto:dlippman@politico.com" target="_blank">dlippman@politico.com</a>) GAME CHANGE – “Jeb Bush loses TV ad edge to Marco Rubio: Rubio’s campaign is getting twice the ads for half the price of Bush’s super PAC, undercutting his rival’s cash advantage,” by Politico’s Shane Goldmacher, with Daniel Lippman: “Bush’s last refuge was supposed to be his financial superiority. But just as his campaign enters the critical primary phase, the fallen frontrunner is about to get outgunned on the airwaves by the man his campaign views as its chief rival, Marco Rubio.“According to media buyers and a POLITICO review of TV ad purchase data, Bush and his allies are on pace to spend $5 million more than Team Rubio on broadcast, cable and radio ads through the first four voting states – but for that sum, they will put fewer ads on the airwaves. That’s because the vast majority of Bush’s ads are paid for by his super PAC – roughly 85 percent for Bush versus only 40 percent for Rubio – and super PACs get far less bang for their buck. … In Iowa and New Hampshire, … super PACs are confronting ad rates that can soar to nearly 1,000 percent more than the rates charged of candidates …“Data from GOP analytics firm Echelon Insights shows that Rubio will run at least 5,000 more broadcast TV spots than Bush in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Nevada through February, even as the former Florida governor and his super PAC spend more overall.” <a href="http://politi.co/1NANYCZ" target="_blank">http://politi.co/1NANYCZ</a>**SUBSCRIBE to Playbook: <a href="http://politi.co/1M75UbX" target="_blank">http://politi.co/1M75UbX</a>JUST POSTED – “Why Al Gore won't endorse Hillary Clinton,” by Politico’s Darren Samuelsohn: An aide said Gore will “stay on the sidelines [during the primaries]. Gore’s reticence … is in part to maximize his own leverage on fighting climate change. But his repeated demurrals also reflect a complicated relationship with [Hillary] that dates back more than two decades. … The … rivalry started when the two baby boomer policy wonks arrived in the White House in 1993. Gore got the … environmental and technology portfolios. Bill Clinton … assign[ed] his wife what would become an ill-fated attempt to pass … health-care reform …“Bill Clinton reportedly reconciled with Gore in the days after … Sept. 11 … But … the relationship between Gore and Hillary Clinton had never even gotten to a place where it could be smoothed over. … Gore’s own efforts to take the next big step in his political career suffered in no small part because of the roller coaster politics associated with the Lewinsky saga …“[In 2008, Gore] got a call from Sen. Ted Kennedy urging him to endorse Obama. But Gore resisted, and he didn’t go public for the future president until more than a week after Clinton had conceded.” <a href="http://politi.co/1MP8TWk" target="_blank">http://politi.co/1MP8TWk</a>PIC DU JOUR -- @BernieSanders: “What is this Snapshot thing and why do I only get ten seconds?” <a href="http://bit.ly/1X42o3i" target="_blank">http://bit.ly/1X42o3i</a>UPDATED POLITICO APP -- dynamic new design. Download here. <a href="http://apple.co/1NzyO0I" target="_blank">http://apple.co/1NzyO0I</a> DRIVING D.C.’s DAY – Speaker’s office announces: “Following Speaker Ryan’s request for an all member classified briefing on the Paris attacks, [Homeland Security] Secretary Jeh Johnson and FBI Director James Comey will brief House members … at 5:30pm in the [Capitol Visitor Center] auditorium.”SPOTTED: Jeff Zeleny chatting with Ted Cruz outside DCA, both just off flight from Charleston. ** A message from COMPETIFY: Is chronic broadband access dysfunction causing indigestion, bloating, or heartburn? There is hope for the millions suffering from the effects of chronic broadband access control. Get the cure at <a href="http://bit.ly/CompetifyPB" target="_blank">http://bit.ly/CompetifyPB</a> **NATIONAL MOOD – USA Today lead story, “24 STATES SAY NO TO REFUGEES: Legal experts say governors may not have much say,” by Mary Troyan: “Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Massachusetts, Mississippi, Nebraska, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas and Wisconsin … Twenty-three of the 24 governors are Republican. The lone Democrat is Gov. Maggie Hassan of New Hampshire.” <a href="http://usat.ly/1PxuQvB" target="_blank">http://usat.ly/1PxuQvB</a>--WSJ A1, below fold, “GOP Pushes Back on Refugees” … N.Y. Times A1, at fold, “G.O.P. Governors Vow to Close Doors To Syrian Refugees,” by Patrick Healy and Julie Bosman: “One Democratic governor, Maggie Hassan of New Hampshire, … urged the Obama administration to stop taking in Syrians until the federal vetting procedures for all refugees are ‘as strong as possible.’” <a href="http://nyti.ms/1WX8JTG" target="_blank">http://nyti.ms/1WX8JTG</a>--WashPost A1, above fold, “REPUBLICANS RESPOND: Governors, candidates seek to bar migrants,”by Robert Costa and Abby Phillip (online: “Republican governors and candidates move to keep Muslim migrants out”): “The rising unease among many Republicans toward Muslim migrants — and at times the Islamic faith in general — marks a stark and sudden shift in the 2016 campaign to issues of religion and national security. The debate could have significant implications for next year’s general election, in which GOP leaders had hoped to better perform with nonwhite voters than in past contests.” <a href="http://wapo.st/1kBzjk4" target="_blank">http://wapo.st/1kBzjk4</a>--Des Moines Register banner: Iowa Gov. Terry “Branstad acts to block refugees: Governor orders state agencies to halt work on Syrian resettlement in the wake of the Paris attack,” by Brianne Pfannenstiel <a href="http://dmreg.co/1j4NNr0" target="_blank">http://dmreg.co/1j4NNr0</a>--Charleston (S.C.) Post and Courier, above fold: S.C. Gov. Nikki “Haley would reject refugees from Syria: Cites ‘primary duty to ensure safety of citizens’ of S.C.,” by Cynthia Roldan and Gavin Jackson <a href="http://bit.ly/1MjzAkK" target="_blank">http://bit.ly/1MjzAkK</a>--Milwaukee Journal Sentinel banner: Wis. Gov. Scott “Walker rejects Syrian refugees: He cites threat; group says it hasn’t resettled any here,” Jason Stein and Patrick Marley <a href="http://bit.ly/1j4Nc8S" target="_blank">http://bit.ly/1j4Nc8S</a> --Union Leader, at fold, “A debate over refugees: N.H. politicians zero in on Syrian immigrants,” by Dan Tuohy <a href="http://bit.ly/1MyMHfy" target="_blank">http://bit.ly/1MyMHfy</a>SUBJECT LINE OF THE DAY – “An Exciting Invitation - China Trade Task Force Panel Discussion.”GLOBAL MOOD – NYT A1, at fold, “Distrust, Even Fear, As Secular France Cools on Muslims,” by Adam Nossiter and Liz Alderman in Paris (online: “After Paris Attacks, a Darker Mood Toward Islam Emerges in France”): “There were no marches, few pleas not to confuse practitioners of Islam with those who preach jihad. Instead, there was a palpable fear, even anger … Already, tough talk from officials in the government shows them shifting rightward, calling for new scrutiny of mosques, extending the state of emergency and possibly placing restrictions on the 10,000 or more people loosely indexed as possible threats to the state.” <a href="http://nyti.ms/1Od0Ly4" target="_blank">http://nyti.ms/1Od0Ly4</a>--NYT QUOTATION OF THE DAY: FRANÇOIS HOLLANDE, president of France, in an address to Parliament: “Terrorism will not destroy the republic, because it is the republic that will destroy it.” <a href="http://nyti.ms/1Szf80y" target="_blank">http://nyti.ms/1Szf80y</a>--WSJ, top of A1, “Pressure Grows for Global Response Again Islamic State,” by Carol E. Lee in Antalya, Turkey, Damian Paletta in Washington and Paul Sonne in Moscow: “Despite the emotional aftermath of the Paris attacks, Mr. Obama [at a presser in Turkey] again ruled out large-scale U.S. deployments. ‘Maybe part of the reason is because every few months I go to Walter Reed … I see a 25-year-old kid that is paralyzed or has lost his limbs. … [If] folks want to pop off and have opinions about what they think they would do, present a specific plan’ …“At home, where fears of a similar attack are rising, pressure is rising on him. Local and national security officials began increasing security in Washington in response to videotaped threats by Islamic State, and as top intelligence officials warned Monday that more extremist attacks are likely. … [An] intelligence official said security professionals must develop new ways to detect and thwart terror plots because militants are better able to evade surveillance.” <a href="http://on.wsj.com/1j4Q4CI" target="_blank">http://on.wsj.com/1j4Q4CI</a>POSTCARD FROM MIAMI BEACH – What Daniel learned at the Faith Angle Forum yesterday: In a panel on “Religion, Economics, and New Approaches to Poverty,” AEI president Arthur Brooks, author of “The Conservative Heart,” talked about the meaning of work: “In Washington, DC or New York ... you’re always asked what you do. But you’re never asked why you do it. The why of your work. If someone asked you to answer honestly and quickly why you what you do, what would your answer be? ... When I was in Barcelona [as a young musician] ... I remember being very influenced ... by the words ... of my favorite composer, Johannes Sebastian Bach ... [who] was asked by a biographer: ‘Herr Bach, why do you write music?’ ... Bach said: ‘the aim and final end of all music is nothing less than the glorification of God and the enjoyment of man.’”On progress fighting poverty: “Since 1970 to today, the percentage of the world’s population living in starvation levels, $1 a day or less ... has declined by 80 percent ... 2 billion people ... It is a humanitarian achievement we haven’t seen since the beginning of history.”A tip for politicians: “I had lunch with all the Republican senators three weeks ago ... Here’s what I suggest: go to your state and come back with 5 pictures of people you don’t need but that you’re fighting for ... and then tomorrow morning when you get in, say a little prayer, say, ‘I’m doing my work. I’m fighting for him and her and her and him and her.’ And when the widget manufacturers of South Dakota or whatever come to see you because they want something, and they’re going to say ‘who are those people?’ And you say, ‘those are the people I’m fighting for.’” Brooks’ book -- $15.55 on Amazon <a href="http://amzn.to/1J2DwYv" target="_blank">http://amzn.to/1J2DwYv</a>WORTH THE CLICK – “The fearless father who threw himself on a suicide bomber, saving ‘hundreds’ of lives in Beirut,” by WashPost inspirational news reporter Colby Itkowitz <a href="http://wapo.st/1H64QEI" target="_blank">http://wapo.st/1H64QEI</a>THE DEBATE AHEAD: BLAMING SNOWDEN – NYT A1, at fold, “Gloves Off, Director Of the C.I.A. Faults Surveillance Curbs,” by Scott Shane, with Alison Smale in Berlin: “[I]n unusually raw language, John Brennan, the C.I.A. director, [at CSIS] denounced what he called ‘hand-wringing’ over intrusive government spying and said leaks about intelligence programs had made it harder to identify the ‘murderous sociopaths’ of the Islamic State. Mr. Brennan appeared to be speaking mainly of the disclosures … by Edward J. Snowden … Civil libertarians warned that at just such moments of fear, the government would reach for new, and unjustified, authorities.” <a href="http://nyti.ms/1H5XzoA" target="_blank">http://nyti.ms/1H5XzoA</a>29 DAYS TO GOP DEBATE -- “GOP campaigns tell RNC not to let Adelson stack the debate crowd,” by Alex Isenstadt: “Top campaign officials on Monday pressed the [RNC] on whether Las Vegas casino mogul Sheldon Adelson would receive an extra block of tickets for next month’s GOP debate at his Venetian hotel — and potentially stack the crowd for his favored candidate [thought to be Rubio]. ... On Dec. 15, his posh hotel will play host to the next Republican debate, which will be broadcast on CNN.“On a private afternoon conference call with GOP campaigns to discuss planning for the debate, which was hosted by RNC chief of staff Katie Walsh, Chris LaCivita, a senior adviser to Rand Paul, kicked off the discussion by stating, ‘I have concerns about our friends in Vegas being given an extra block of tickets that could be used for crowd stacking.’” <a href="http://politi.co/1SV4NNe" target="_blank">http://politi.co/1SV4NNe</a>SNEAK PEEK – President Obama is on GQ’s new cover as Man of the Year, with Bill Simmons interviewing him. Q: “If you were campaigning against Trump, would you even bother? Would it be like LaBradford Smith talking trash to Jordan or something?” A: “I would’ve enjoyed campaigning against Trump. That would’ve been fun.” Live at 6 am <a href="http://bit.ly/1Nx7nVp" title="http://bit.ly/1Nx7nVp
Cmd+Click or tap to follow the link" target="_blank">http://bit.ly/1Nx7nVp</a> The cover <a href="http://politi.co/20TQnSP" target="_blank">http://politi.co/20TQnSP</a> CLICKER – “How liberal or conservative is your Washington DC neighborhood?” – CrowdPac: <a href="http://bit.ly/1Sz7p2D" target="_blank">http://bit.ly/1Sz7p2D</a>HAPPENING TODAY – Per a Clinton campaign official: “Hillary for America will launch two more of its state Leadership Councils today – one in Florida and one in Maryland (primaries on March 15 and April 26).”MEDIAWATCH – “Breitbart News Continues International Expansion with Launch of Breitbart Jerusalem”: “The bureau will be led by veteran Middle East correspondent Aaron Klein.”--Rob Hendin leaves CBS News for AtlanticLIVE executive producer at the end of the month.CECI CONNOLLY’s new job: “Former Washington Post political writer Ceci Connolly has been tapped as president and CEO of the Alliance of Community Health Plans, a non-profit committed to bringing high-quality, affordable care to all Americans. She tells friends she views the move as a chance to have a meaningful impact on health reform.”WEEKEND WEDDING -- Kirstin Hopkins (Republican fundraiser for Ron Johnson, RNC and many more) married Texas businessman Kyle Brookshire Saturday in Austin, including a rehearsal dinner concert by Jack Ingram. The ceremony and reception were held at the Greenhouse in Driftwood. Wedding guests were treated to a fireworks display and Whataburger to cap off the night. Pics <a href="http://bit.ly/1MjzvgS" target="_blank">http://bit.ly/1MjzvgS</a> ... Fireworks <a href="http://bit.ly/1X42E2h" target="_blank">http://bit.ly/1X42E2h</a>WELCOME TO THE WORLD: Brad Schweer, director of federal legislative affairs at CenturyLink, and Adrienne Schweer, director of protocol for Secretary of Defense Ash Carter, email friends and family: “Georgia Marie Schweer was born [Monday]. … Big sisters Flora and Sully couldn’t be any more excited.”Pic <a href="http://bit.ly/1OOdTNh" target="_blank">http://bit.ly/1OOdTNh</a>BIRTHWEEK (was yesterday): Adrienne Schweer, director of protocol for Secretary of Defense Ash Carter (h/t Stewart Verdery)BIRTHDAYS: Johnny VandeHei (Pack tip: Abby, Clayton, Spencer) … Ambassador Susan Rice, National Security Adviser is 51 ... Lorne Michaels is 71 … HuffPost global editorial director Howard Fineman … Fox News’ Chris Stirewalt ... Paul Lindsay of Right to Rise ... Anna Karl is 16 (hat tip Mom and Dad, Maria and Jon, who celebrated their 24th yesterday) ... Howard Dean is 67 ... Sen. James Inhofe (R-Okla.) is 81 ... Sen. Pat Toomey (R-Pa.) … Iowa Gov. Terry Branstad ... Chase Purdy and Helena Bottemiler Evich, half of POLITICO’s Pro Agriculture team ... Denver Peacock ... John Boehner, Marco Island, Fla., resident and former Speaker, is 66 ... Black Rock Group’s Brian Jones ... Rick Dunham, co-director of the Global Business Journalism program at Tsinghua University in Beijing and a Hearst and Houston Chronicle alum, is 59 (h/ts Matt Mackowiak) ... Mike Ricci, comms. director for Speaker Paul Ryan and a Boehner alum (h/t Sarah Swinehart) ...… Ellen Tauscher of Baker Donelson (h/t Hilary) ... AKPD’s Isaac Baker, the pride of Seattle, an Obama reelect alum and huge “Top Gun” fan ... NAM alum Lea Anne Foster ... Linda Moore, CEO of TechNet ... Diana Aviv, CEO of Feeding America (h/ts Jon Haber) ... Felicia Schwartz of the WSJ is 24 (h/t Byron Tau) ... Americans United for Life’s Charmaine Yoest ... Ralph Posner, EVP at Direct Impact and a FleishmanHillard and Ogilvy alum … Kellie Boyle, an alum of RNC, Sen. John Warner, and Dole 1996, now at Boyle Public Affairs (hubby tip: Jim Boyle) ... Chris Sloan, director of gov’t affairs for the IUPAT (Painters Union) … Erika Compart, manager, editorial for The Pew Charitable Trusts and a Politico alum ... Marty Reiser, manager of gov’t policy at Xerox ...… Russ Grote of Hamilton Place Strategies (h/t Sabrina Siddiqui) ... NYT’s Martin Fackler ... Alex Gallo ... Greg Croft, assignment manager at ABC News’ 2016 Politics Desk … Carly Montoya … Owen Baynard, son of Lindsey and Ernest … Washingtonian’s Harry Jaffe ... Lorne Michaels … TPM managing editor David Kurtz … James Chambers … Gary Duff ... Gordon Whiting ... Michael Ostrolenk, president at Global Integral Solutions … Gerry McGee (The Ventures) is 78 … Gordon Lightfoot is 77 … Martin Scorsese is 73 … Lauren Hutton is 72 … Danny DeVito is 71 … Baseball Hall-of-Famer Tom Seaver is 71 … RuPaul is 55 … Justin Cooper is 27 … Reid Perry (The Band Perry) is 27 … actress Raquel Castro is 21 (h/ts AP)**A message from COMPETIFY: America’s broadband economy is plagued by chronic broadband access dysfunction and the broadband access fees charged to small businesses, schools, and hospitals are in desperate need of a dose of real competition. Tell the FCC to try COMPETIFY to help lower costs and increase speeds. America shouldn’t have to suffer from lackluster broadband just because a few companies have control issues. Join the COMPETIFY Partners For The Cure and fix America’s chronic broadband access control. Get the cure at <a href="http://bit.ly/CompetifyPB" target="_blank">http://bit.ly/CompetifyPB</a> **SUBSCRIBE to the Playbook family: POLITICO Playbook: <a href="http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=df5b904cc7122c446f27886cad1d5948ac4b58982c7dcf660a4a51b864091949" target="_blank">http://politi.co/1M75UbX</a> ... New York Playbook: <a href="http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=df5b904cc7122c446bc8b300c5c5089bbb3ef4f18d5b593305df7b7bf7673147" target="_blank">http://politi.co/1ON8bqW</a> ... Florida Playbook: <a href="http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=df5b904cc7122c44f2bccce93896196555e594165499da6980443998cbe7c018" target="_blank">http://politi.co/1JDm23W</a> ... New Jersey Playbook: <a href="http://go.politicoemail.com/?qs=df5b904cc7122c44aca92b22eb528b78a3bbbf2af4ab2c1420530e5965b60621" target="_blank">http://politi.co/1HLKltF</a> ... 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