2016-10-18



LAS VEGAS — The increasing likelihood of a Hillary Clinton victory might cause gun sales to boom and prices to skyrocket. That’s what one gun store owner is warning in “a pre-Hillary sale.”

“Don’t wait,” an advertisement for the Westside Armory published in The Las Vegas Review-Journal warns customers. “Prices will skyrocket after Crooked Hillary gets in.”

The ad features a picture of a Smith & Wesson M&P Sport II semiautomatic rifle. Clinton has been an outspoken proponent of bans and restrictions on such weapons.

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History seems to be on Westside Armory’s side, as news articles indicate that gun sales boomed after Barack Obama was elected president in 2008 and 2012. Firearms sales, in fact, hit a record high after Obama’s reelection in 2012.

Odds on Clinton’s side

Most pundits and pollsters now think a Clinton victory is very likely, making higher prices in the next few months also likely.

The Reuters/Ipsos State of the Nation poll from October 15 gave Clinton a 95 percent chance of getting enough electoral college votes to reach the White House. A presidential candidate needs 270 electoral votes to win; Reuters/Ipsos predicts she will receive 388 electoral college votes.

The popular FiveThirtyEight.com website gave Clinton an 88 percent chance to win as of Tuesday morning.

In a four-way race, she leads by an average of 6.9 percentage points at RealClearPolitics.com. By comparison, in 2012 at this moment in the race Obama and Mitt Romney were tied in the RealClearPolitics.com average. On Election Day, Obama led by an average of .7 points in the polling average and he won the popular vote by 3.9 points. Two polls had Romney leading in the final surveys: Rasmussen (Romney +1) and Gallup (Romney +1). The other seven polls had Obama leading or had it tied.

It might be a good idea to go gun shopping now.

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