John P is assembling an ambitious group project:
Work in Progress: Predictions for Scientology in 2014,
http://www.johnpcapitalist.com/2013/12/ ... y-in-2014/
Thoughtful, bold yet carefully analyzed ideas by John P and by commenters.
Espiando predicted the Denmark org would close and its functions moved to England. I read years ago that the European RPF was in Denmark; will its inmates start cleaning up the sewage violations at Saint Hill?
I don't have time to post and properly respond to comments on my posts, on John P's blog, so I'll just comment here:
WHALE PREDICTION - LONG TERM: The whales are mostly born late 1940's and early 1950's, and will be buffeted by age-related medical problems. If they still smoke, they may get weakened inflamed lungs and even need an oxygen machine. They will be sorely disappointed trying to cure their ailments with auditing and Cal-Mag. They need doctors, not quacks. They need to keep all lot of their money to insure they get good nursing care in their old age. Young Sea Org workers trained to "make the Able more Able" will be dismayed as the oldsters totter in and totter out, no better after an expensive course.
Some stay fit, but that's no panacea - Joe Feshbach died of a heart attack while bicycling. Some are definitely using plastic surgery, but that doesn't improve health inside the body.
The second and third generation whales see boring old Mom and Dad take course after course, throw much of the hoped-for-inheritance down the IAS rat-hole, and get older and crankier anyway. They may quietly wait for their parents to die and bequeath what's left of their inheritance, and then move far away to spend it in peace.
WHALE PREDICTION for 2014: Some of the Whales will WANT to quit, but worry about too many dirty secrets in their auditing files. They may make an unwritten deal that they stop donating, or donate only a few thousand a year, but will not face punishment like stripping of status or levels. CoS doesn't want to persecute a quiet but ungenerous big Whale, only to have the Whale openly quit and encourage his family, friends, and employees to quit. End result: Many Whales won't attend 2014 events, and, like John P predicted, the only big event in 2014 will be the IAS Gala. Those whales with sons and daughters in Sea Org (like Cindy Feshbach) may be more likely to keep donating, for fear of revenge against their trapped Sea Org offspring.
SUPER POWER PREDICTION for 2014: CoS will use the SP "perceptics" like a new OT level and will string Whales along on it, a few tables or stations at a time. When amazing results or cures don't happen, CoS will just promise amazing results on the visit. It will take a year or two for members to realize the Super Power stations are just like the Purification Rundown - you'll get some sensations, but you aren't cured or permanently improved.
HOLLYWOOD CoS members: CoS actors/ artists/ musicians under 40 are almost all second generation, and have been raised and prodded to socialize with and even marry other second generation members. They will peel off in groups if they leave at all. My prediction: CoS will stop demanding utter loyalty. JoJo Zawawi can monitor a couple hundred members' Facebook page and demand disconnection from an escapee, but if even a few ignore her or defy her, she becomes a paper tiger. Also other social media is growing for rebels to retreat to. It would be easy for twenty-somethings to create a "just us" social media group that hides from JoJo Zawawi and any other bossy person demanding loyalty-or-disconnection.
My Scientology Celebrity Spiderweb 2013 is listed by birth year, so you can see the clumps of businessmen born in the late 1940's, and their tangle of relationships.
viewtopic.php?f=9&t=156867
Statistics: Posted by Don Carlo — Thu Dec 26, 2013 9:10 pm