2015-04-07

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After flipping between positive and negative zones, the market today settled with a marginal rise up, after RBI keeping key policy rate unchanged failed to cheer investors. The market recouped all its losses in late trade supported by metals, FMCG and select oil stocks. Nifty today closed with a flat note at 8660. Nifty finished 0.40 point higher, at 8660 after moving between 8693 and 8586 during the day, total 107 points was played by nifty throughout the day. The Sensex declined 191 points to 28313. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) kept the repo rate unchanged at 7.5% in its monetary policy review on Tuesday. Along market expectations,Raghuram Rajan also kept the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) at 4%,waiting for more clarity on inflation after heavy rains raised uncertainty about food prices and seeking to grant banks more time to reflect its previous rate cuts. Rajan also said he doubts that the US Federal Reserve's policy will be constraining when the RBI moves again and though the Fed changes will create some volatility, they will not be central to India.

Thus, the bulls were in the driver’s seat and the bears were typically on the back foot as in similar occasions. That the Nifty closed above the 8650-mark is in itself a positive sign yet we need to see a second successive close above this level in tomorrow’s session to show the indications of continued strength. If it continues to show sustained strong buying then this rally would gather the much required strength to morph in to a nascent uptrend. Any failure to post a close above the 8700-mark would be a red-flag event in that it would signal the possible tapering off of the upward momentum. And a close below the 8600-mark after opening with a gap up would be a fresh invitation to the short sellers.
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RESISTANCE: 8700, 8750, 8800
SUPPORT:  8650, 8600, 8550

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Markets opened marginally higher but failed to sustain gains tracking mixed global cues. Nifty ended 14 points down at 8633 after touching a high of 8663 and a low of 8612 intra-day.

US Federal Reserve meet which begins on Tuesday will decide the upcoming scenario of market. Indian market have become fearful, in such a scenario it may not be the right time to be greedy but to remain cautious. Investors should be careful while investing in the shaky market.

Unless we see a quick recovery to at least above 8675-level, the Nifty is likely to fall further again. The indications from the Nifty are just that it is trading at 8665, down by 14 points, albeit on low volume. The whole range between 8675 and 8735 would act as a strong supply zone. Only when you see the Nifty taking out 8735 on closing price as of today you would get the indications that a recovery or at least a pullback rally is about to happen. On the downside, if the index were to fall below 8610 on high volume activity and more position building it could well go down to test 8540 through 8520 major support area.

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MARKET RETRACED A FALL ON FRIDAY …!!!!!!!!!!!

Today we have seen India specific impact in the market.  Friday, marking its biggest weekly falls this year, as lenders slumped after an increase in consumer inflation data raised concerns about interest rate cuts and sent bond yields surging. After a positive opening, the markets came under pressure and slipped into the negative territory. The major technical indicators are still in the sell mode and today when markets opened with an upside gap, investors might have been booked profits, caused sell-off.

The Indian markets crumbled under renewed intense selling pressure as overnight pullback rally ran out of steam with Nifty index plunging 128 points to 8647 their lowest levels in one month.

Nifty touch an intra-day high of 8849 and low of 8631. Total 218 points was played by nifty throughout the day.

The bearishness of market continues for today this is very negative node for Monday.

Now breaching the support line of 8600 will invite more woes in the market while a trade above 8700 will provide a good positive remark of it.

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It was a sea of red in markets on Monday. Indian markets on Monday logged their biggest drop in 3 months with Sensex tanking 604 points to end below 29000 marks and the Nifty index slipped 181 points to fall below 8800 level on fears that an earlier-than-expected rate hike by US will hit fund inflows.

Nifty dipped below the 8800-level by tumbling 181 points, to 8756. Today, it shuttled between 8740 and 8891. Monday's loss was also Nifty's biggest drop since January 6 when it fell 251 points.
On Tuesday Nifty may open around the 8750-level. The moot point is whether it stays above the critical level of 8800 or not even if it were to open lower. If it manages to does that then only expect some pullback attempt? On the way up assuming the index opening lower around 8875 the first significant resistance to overcome would be found between 8820 and 8850. Unless the last closing level of 8756 is decisively taken out do not expect any sustainable recovery. On the contrary, if it slides below 8715-support area it may well slide down to test the next support range between 8675 and 8650.

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Volatility was witnessed there in the market today. Bulls are back on the driver’s seat. Today bulls took the nifty above the 8800 level. Today Nifty has started at 8729 made a high of 8856 and low of 8717 and closed at 8844, total 139 points was moved by nifty throughout the day. Tomorrow we are expecting high volatility in the market due to budget announcement which will be held tomorrow 28 Feb 2015.Market is going to witness a big trading day tomorrow due to announcement of union budget 2015. A volatile trading session may be witnessed throughout the day. Accepting the good union budget nifty may cross 9000 and seen trading above 9000 tomorrow or else nifty may crash down to the level of 8700.

Markets ended lower following the expiry of February derivative contracts with IT majors leading the decline along with defensive pharma and FMCG shares. Further, the Railway Budget announcement, which acts as a precursor to the Union Budget, failed to boost investor sentiment. The February derivative contracts which expired today recorded the highest turnover in the F&O segment at Rs 5.81 lakh crore. "On provisional basis have seen Rollover of 78% in Nifty futures compare 76.52% of Total rollover of Jan series. Rollovers are better than past six month average .Nifty ended down 83 points at 8684. Nifty opned at 8779 made a high of 8786 and low of 8669 and closed at 8683. Total 117 points was played by nifty throughout the day.

Tomorrow we are expecting high volatility in the market due to beginning of March settlement and budget rally ahead. The critical range for the day is located between 8650 and 8600. Unless this range is broken on the downside, the bulls would try to pull the index up once again. On the upside, 8720 through 8780 would be the first supply zone to watch out for—once this range is taken out we can expect another dash at the 8800 or higher levels. Further up, resistance is likely to be felt between 8850 and 8900. On the other hand, if it were to go down below 8665 and sustain there it is likely to get good support between 8650 and 8620.

Markets were under pressure given the uncertainty in Greece. Until there is any clarity over the same, investors would continue to remain cautious. Coming to domestic affairs, with the results season out of the way, investors and traders will shift their focus on the January eight infrastructure industries data and Fiscal Deficit numbers which are scheduled to be announced in the coming week. Also expectations of reforms announcement in the Union Budget would also act as the next big trigger. Chances are we would see a retest of the Jan 30 all-time high of 8996 shortly.

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The market is heading into a choppy session and nifty may move somewhere around 8655 level. We need to watch out for the levels of 8500 on the downside and 8700 on the upside to start with. Chances are if it were to stay above 8680 after opening we are likely to see it retesting 8700. On the other hand, if it were to fall below 8620 on high volume led selling then it can seek further lower levels and test 8500 through 8450 support area going forward.

The fifty stock index Nifty snapped 7-day losing streak on Tuesday, the index rallied a bit intraday but could not hold all its gains till the end. Today’s session was more like a rollercoaster ride, where the index opened negative, then showed some strength in morning trades, but the sentiments turned pessimistic in late afternoon trades and index started drifting lower, however the market regained its momentum in the final hour of trade and finished the day gaining around half a percent.  Today nifty started with 8478 made a high of 8646 and low of 8470 and closed at 8565, total 176 points was played by nifty throughout the day.

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RESISTANCE: 8760, 8800, 8840

SUPPORT:  8720, 8680, 8640

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See-saw movement was there in the market. Due to weakness in European and American market Asian market is also trading in red. Nifty, after moving both ways, slipped below the crucial 8,800-mark and settled down 11 points, at 8797. The Nifty was at 8778 down 30 points. It touched a high of 8808 and a low of 8772 in trade today.

Index started journey with level of 8802 then touched a low of 8751 and finally end at 8797.

Chances are we would see a gap down opening for tomorrow. It could well open below the today’s low of 8772.If this index were to fall below 8750 then it could weaken even further. In that case, it could well fall further to test 8700-level shortly. In case of any recovery swing, unless it is able to cross 8720 through 8750 range such recovery swings would attract selling at higher levels again. Immediately, once it falls below 8735 through 8720 it would start showing more weakness. The support at 8700 would be quite crucial for if that gets taken out decisively it is likely to come down to test levels close to 8600 as well.

Today the bulls ride was over. The Nifty missed the 8,900 mark by a whisker.  The 720-point rally of 10 consecutive sessions on the Nifty came to an end today. The index closed 144 points down after a massive intraday fall of 220 points. It is a record high opening as the Nifty approaches 9000-mark on first day of February F&O series. Nifty index slipped in red after rallying to its lifetime high of 8996 earlier in the trading session. The fall in the index was led by losses in metal, FMCG, consumer durable and banking stocks. It closed at 8,808.90, down 143 points. It touched an intraday low of 8775 after hitting a record high of 8996 in trade today. Total 221 points was moved by nifty throughout the day.

The market is heading into a choppy session and nifty may move somewhere around 8700 over the next few days. We need to watch out for the levels of 8750 on the downside and 8850 on the upside to start with. Chances are if it were to stay above 8850 after opening we are likely to see it retesting 8900. On the other hand, if it were to fall below 8750 on high volume led selling then it can seek further lower levels and test 8700 through 8650 support area going forward.

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RESISTANCE: 8850, 8900, 8950

SUPPORT:  8800, 8750, 8700

It was a roller-coaster ride on January series F&O expiry day as traders saw some wild swings before a late recovery helping major indices end the day at record levels. As the Nifty clocked gains for the 10th straight session, it continued to march towards the 9000-mark. The Nifty scaled the 8950-mark with help from the select pharma and realty stocks. It has been a stellar January series for the market as the Sensex and the Nifty surged more than 9 percent each.

After a brief pause, stocks continued their upward march on Thursday. The Nifty bounced back in the last hour of trade and closed near the 8950 level on the back of short coverings on the last day of January series. Index closed at 8950. It touched a high of 8966 and a low of 8861 in trade today.

Just some points short of the coveted 9000 level, it was so close yet so far—at least for tomorrow the Nifty level of 9000 remained elusive. In tomorrow’s session, we need to watch out for the support range between 8878 and 8824 unless this potential demand is broken and taken out mostly the attempts to clear the 9000 mark would the Nifty needs to wait. The index needs to take out today’s high of 8966 and get past 8985 for a minimum for me to remain bullish.

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RESISTANCE: 8970, 8990, 9010

SUPPORT:  8950, 8930, 8910

Tomorrow, once the Nifty gets past the 8935-mark or rather it takes out the zone between 8935 and 8955; it would seek to conquer the 9000-mark. While believing in the thesis of “liquidity is paramount” technically we ought to keep in mind that the zone between 9050 and 9085 is potentially going to turn out as a very strong supply zone; hence, we can reasonably expect at least a pause and some profit taking if the index were to hit that all important range. Thus, without preempting the upswing terminating itself, it would be prudent to surely lighten up speculative long positions as you see the Nifty scaling up to those levels.

Markets came off their record highs and the benchmark Sensex ended its eight day winning streak, amid a volatile trading session, as investors booked profits ahead of the expiry of January derivative contracts tomorrow and caution ahead of US Federal Reserve's announcement later today. "Markets remained volatile ahead of January F&O expiry tomorrow.

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Nifty breached 8900-mark for the first time as investors cheered the strengthening of Indo-US trade ties. Nifty surpassed the 8900-mark for the first time on optimism over Indo-US nuclear deal amid sustained foreign fund inflows. Nifty on Tuesday opened at 8871 and breached the 8900-mark for the first time as it touched an all-time high of 8925. The nifty ended the day with a gain of 74 points, at a new closing peak of 8910.

For tomorrow if the Nifty manages to take out the level between 8930 and 8950 successfully then we can expect it move up further and probably test the strong supply zone that lies in the range between 8970  and 8990. On the other hand, so long as the Nifty does not fall below the support area between 8870 and 8850, the bulls can again stage a pullback rally. However, the range between 8930 and 8950 would emerge as a strong supply zone, once if these levels will cross 9000 will be the next target for bulls. At the other side if down trend will take place then 8800 will act as highest supporting level for nifty.

Nifty continued its winning run and zoomed to hit a fresh record high of 8774, Nifty ended at a new record high of 8761, up 31 points.  Today nifty started at 8745 made and low of 8727, total 47 points was moved by nifty throughout the day.

Again a new all time high was made by nifty today. Nifty hit their new all-time peaks of 8741 on sustained funds inflows amid pre-budget optimism among participants. The Nifty touched 8741 intra-day, breaking the earlier record of 8707 reached in yesterday’s trade. Index ended above the 8700 level for the first time by surging 33 points, at new peak of 8729, surpassing its previous closing high of 8695 hit yesterday. Nifty opened at 8719 made a low of 8689, total 52 points was moved by nifty throughout the day.

The index will continue to remain strongly bullish by tomorrow also Tomorrow on Thursday another gap up opening could well be likely! We are likely to see further upward movement in the tomorrow’s session. However, the range between 8780 and 8795 would emerge as a strong supply zone, once if these levels will cross 8800 will be the next target for bulls. At the other side if down trend will take place then 8660 will act as highest supporting level for nifty.

“Sell Nifty Future below 8525 Tgt 8490/8450 Sl 8565 “

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Market was in a positive mood after Thursday's massive rally as RBI Governor Raghuram Rajan sprang a surprise by cutting interest rates by 0.25 per cent to boost growth. Markets ended marginally higher at 8513 amid a range bound trading session.. Nifty opened at 8504 made a low of 8452, total 62 points was moved by nifty throughout the day.

Bulls did not let the market down: the Nifty scored a double century with a gap-up opening that left an all-important vacant space between 8495 and 8520. Assuming that the bulls would try their level best to keep this gap unfilled, at least for the time being, we can expect some more upside from here. For Monday, the crucial levels to watch out would be 8528-8553, if this level will be crossed then new all time high will be achieved by nifty. At the other side 8480-8465 would act as supporting levels for nifty on Monday.

Market movement was completely range bound throughout the day. After reclaiming 8350 level nifty was trading in very narrow range and slipped below the level 8300.  Today nifty opened at 8346 made a high of 8356 and low of 8267 and closed at 8299, total 89 points was moved by nifty throughout the day.

Now, in tomorrow’s session if there will be any profit taking then the range between 8300 and 8250 would act as a strong support zone; hence, unless you see the index falling below 8255 decisively, the current bullish momentum of the last three sessions would remain active. On the way up, once the level of 8363 is taken out it would be 8389 and 8405 that would be the two resistance levels to watch out for tomorrow.

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RESISTANCE: 8355, 8380, 8405

SUPPORT:  8330, 8305, 8280

Nifty re-conquered the 8300 level. The market exhibited high amount of choppiness in trade today as index bellwethers were in divergent mood. Markets ended higher, led by IT major Infosys and select financials ahead of November IIP and December CPI data to be released later today. The index immediately slipped into the negative zone owing to weak overseas cues. The Nifty gained 87 points in intra-day trade, and finally settled 39 points higher at 8323. The index today touched a high of 8332, and a low of 8245. Total 87 points was moved by nifty throughout the day.

Tomorrow if the bulls manage to hold the Nifty above 8335 zone then they would try to push it up to levels reached on last Friday; however, the intraday volatility that we saw on today indicated the nascent upswing has already run into rough weather. Thus, taking out the zone between 8350 and 8370 would be very crucial if it were to turn into a sustainable uptrend. In case, the index falls below 8290 on heavy selling it might retest the strong support zone from 8265 and 8250.

In its worst ever crash in over six years, benchmark BSE Sensex on Tuesday tanked 855 points as stock markets globally went into a tailspin amid political turmoil in Greece and oil price cracking below $50-mark.

After falling below the 8,200-mark, the NSE Nifty touched the day's low of 8,111.35 before settling down with a loss of 251.05 points, or 3.00 per cent, to end at 8,127.35.

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After surging to over 1-month highs, the Sensex today ended with a loss of 46 points and Nifty inched 17 points down. The day began on a positive note with both the benchmark indices crossing key resistance levels. Nifty shot up by 22 points to trade above 8,400-level in opening trade today on sustained fund inflows. Nifty started at 8407 made a high of 8445 and low of 8363 and closed at 8378 total 82 points was moved by nifty throughout the day.

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Trading for the calendar 2015 began on a subdued note as key benchmark indices drifted lower in early trade. Lack of movement was there in the market today. The market has ended a flat note on 2015. Nifty today started at 8272 made a high of 8294 and low of 8248 and closed at 8284 total 46 points was moved by nifty throughout the day.

The index ends flat amidst progressively lower volume for the last four trading sessions in its front month (Jan) futures contract. Tomorrow will be week ended Friday so, the levels of 8275 and 8243 would act as the initial deciding range for the index. Staying above 8275 would indicate real strength while falling below 8243 on a sustained basis may see further lower prices going forward.

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RESISTANCE: 8260, 8285, 8310

SUPPORT:  8235, 8210, 8185

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Consolidation was there in the market today, but market movement was completely lackluster. Nifty today started at 8260 made a high of 8268 and low of 8220 and closed at 8248, total 48 points was moved by nifty throughout the day.

For tomorrow if the Nifty manages to take out the level between 8250 and 8270 successfully then we can expect it move up further and probably test the strong supply zone that lies in the range between 8290 and 8310. On the other hand, so long as the Nifty does not fall below the support area between 8235 and 8210, the bulls can again stage a pullback rally. However, only when the index gets past 8280 decisively expect a strong rally and some real gumption in the pullback attempt again.
Though we are entering in a New Year, we reiterate our view that nifty would further consolidate in a broader range of 8050-8350 in the coming week.

The Sensex bounced back in green after falling 117 points earlier in trade on Friday, Nifty also managed to reclaim its crucial psychological level of 8200, supported by gains in banks, capital goods, pharma and IT stocks. The Nifty ended at 8200 up 26 points. It touched a high of 8234 and a low of 8147 in trade today, total 87 points was moved by nifty throughout the day.

For Monday another gap up opening could well be likely! We are likely to see further upward movement in the Monday’s session. However, the range between 8270 and 8350 would emerge as a strong supply zone, and we do not expect it to be crossed at one go. The nifty will try to get level 8300 but first nifty should have to cross the hurdles 8235-8268 if this hurdles will crossed then nifty will achieved the level 8300 successfully. In any case, even if the Nifty manages to reach those levels and close there on Monday would suggest a short term reversal for sure. Thus, not being able to cross the above-mentioned zone would not be that bad since even if we were to close within the zone or near it helps the cause of the bull in that it would signal the end of the current downtrend, and a probable onset of another uptrend. At the down side 8180-8165 will act as supporting level for nifty.

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RESISTANCE: 8230, 8260, 8290

SUPPORT:  8200, 8170, 8140

We need to watch out for the levels of 8180 – 8140 on the downside and 8230 – 8270 on the upside; till such time the index gets past 8250 decisively, we should not bank on any recovery swing during the day for the minimum criterion that the bulls need to fulfill is successful taking out of the 8250-level. Any failure in their attempt to take out 8250 or More about intraday tips on Google +

RESISTANCE: 8280, 8320, 8360

SUPPORT:  8240, 8200, 8180

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Sell Rcom below 82.50 Tgt 81.90/80.50 Sl 84.50

Bulls are back in action..!!!!!  today they were moving in range of 8210-8268 levels, but market movement was completely lackluster due to weekend Friday. Today nifty reclaimed its 8200 mark. The nifty opened at 8230 made a high of 8263 and low of 8208 and closed at 8225 level total 55 points was moved by nifty throughout the day.

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RESISTANCE: 8280, 8320, 8360

SUPPORT:  8240, 8200, 8180

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Bulls are back in the action…!!!!! Today bulls take nifty above 8300 level amid positive domestic factors after the introduction of GST Bill in the Lok Sabha on Friday. The 50-share index soared by 98 points to close at 8324. Today nifty opened at 8255 made a low of 8228 and high of 8324.

Tomorrow on Tuesday another gap up opening could well be likely! We are likely to see further upward movement in the tomorrow’s session. However, the range between 8335 and 8375 would emerge as a strong supply zone, once if these levels will cross 8400 will be the next target for bulls. At the other side if down trend will take place then 8280 will act as highest supporting level for nifty.

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RESISTANCE: 8370, 8400, 8430

SUPPORT:  8340, 8310, 8280

A divergent trend was witnessed on Wednesday, the Sensex, registered marginal losses whereas Nifty registered small gains. The nifty was alternately swung between positive and negative zone in intraday trade. Yet, the overall movement of market during the trading session was within a relatively narrow range. Nifty started at 8528 made a high of 8546 and low of 8508 and closed at 8537, total 38 points was moved by nifty throughout the day.

The index closes below 8550. This is a sign of weakness; however, unless follow on selling comes tomorrow to tilt the scales in favor of the bears, there is still not much to worry. What we need to watch out for is its ability to hold above the 8500 level if there were to be any fresh weakness in tomorrow’s session. Staying above 8535 would mean getting some gumption back, and if it were to stay above 8555 then that would be the first sign of strength. On the downside, below the 8500 level strong support exists between 8465 and 8435 levels. Major support, of course, remains between 8400 and 8350.

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RESISTANCE: 8570, 8600, 8630

SUPPORT:  8540, 8510, 8680

Volatility was witnessed there in the market today. Today all eyes were on (RBI) Credit Policy but nothing much came out of there. The market opened marginally lower ahead of RBI's fifth bimonthly monetary policy review. The Nifty declined 12 points to 8543. The Nifty rose nearly 35 points to hit a record high of 8623 today in early trade as oil prices tumbled to a five-year low. The Nifty ended lower nearly by around 30 points odd. The Bank Nifty as well as the PSU banking index was volatile; it was moving from green to red. In fact at the end we did see the banking index end with some cuts.

The index looks vulnerable since it has already touched a major resistance zone between 8623 and 8550; it is quite unlikely that it would cross the above range without first suffering some profit taking and course correction. If the Nifty were to fall below the critical zone between 8500 and 8470 then we can expect a test of 8450 or lower levels as well. We suggest paring down of short term long positions or booking profits in them because the market is highly vulnerable for a course correction.

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