2012-05-28

There has been lots of data indicating that domestic manufacturing is regaining some vigor after years of wasting away. Brookings’ Martin Neil Baily and Bruce Katz, writing in the Washington Post, noted:

Manufacturing employment, output and exports are headed in the right direction: In April, the number of U.S. manufacturing jobs was up 489,000 from the January 2010 low of 11.5 million. The Institute of Supply Management’s manufacturing index has shown 33 consecutive months of expansion.

Some of this growth may be due to re-shoring efforts. This CNBC article mentions Chesapeake Bay Candle, which outsourced much of its manufacturing workforce 17 years ago and is starting to bring them back. Here is an excerpt:

A survey by the Boston Consulting Group in February found more than one-third of U.S.-based manufacturing executives at companies with sales greater than $1 billion are either planning or considering bringing production back to the United States from China.

To inform the discussion a bit more, we tapped into our database and pulled all of the 4-digit NAICS manufacturing sectors (86 in all) to learn more about the recent growth. From the end of 2010 to the end of 2011, our data tells us that the 4-digit manufacturing sectors added just over 200,000 jobs. NOTE: This is less than the Brookings research shows, but we are likely looking at slightly different timeframes and datasets.

Job Winners

The industries that gained the most jobs in one year didn’t necessarily go through the roof, but considering what they went through over the previous nine or 10 years, it is safe to say that the trends we are seeing now are pretty significant. Prior to 2010, pretty much every manufacturing sub-sector experienced significant decline. Domestic machinery manufacturing especially stands out. Several sub-sectors gained a healthy number of jobs last year.

Ag, construction and mining machinery manufacturing (NAICS 3331) gained nearly 14,000 new jobs (7% employment growth) and now employs 218,000. From 2001 to 2009, this industry declined by 3%, shedding 7,500 jobs.

Other machinery manufacturing (NAICS 3339, a catch-all industry) gained 12,000 new jobs (5% employment growth) and now employs 237,000. From 2001 to 2009, this industry declined by 26%, shedding 85,000 jobs.

Metalworking machinery manufacturing (NAICS 3335) gained 11,000 new jobs (7% employment growth) and now employs 166,000. From 2001 to 2009, this industry declined by 37%, shedding 91,000 jobs.

All told, these three sectors added some 37,000 jobs in one year, which is great considering that they actually lost 184,000 over the previous nine years.

Of all the 4-digit sectors, machine shops (NAICS 3327) gained the most new jobs in one year — about 22,000 jobs or 7% employment growth. There are now some 330,000 employed in this sector. From 2001 to 2009, this industry declined by 11% and shed 38,000 jobs.

Motor vehicle part manufacturing (NAICS 3363) added 20,000 jobs, which was 3% growth. There are now 435,500 employed in this industry. From 2001 to 2009, this industry declined 46% (a loss of 356,000 jobs).

Semiconductor manufacturing (NAICS 3344) did well by adding 17,000 new jobs, which represents 4% growth. There are now 386,000 jobs in this sector. From 2001 to 2009, this industry declined by 41% (a loss of 266,000 jobs).

Finally, aerospace products manufacturing (NAICS 3364) gained 13,000 jobs, which is 3% growth. The current job count stands at 488,000. From 2001 to 2009, this industry declined by 3% (a loss of 14,000 jobs).

The big thing to note here is how much of this is related to advanced manufacturing.

Fastest-Growing

Audio and visual equipment manufacturing (NAICS 3343) had the fastest overall growth from 2010-2011. The big thing to note is that from 2001-2009 the industry actually lost more than half (53%) of its total workforce, a total of 25,000 jobs. During 2011, it managed to gain back 12% or 2,360 jobs. We’d say that a one-year rebound like that is great news after such a huge loss.

After that, steel product manufacturing (NAICS 3312), which lost 17,000 jobs (-25%) since 2001, had 10% employment growth and added over 5,000 jobs from 2010-11, and foundries (NAICS 3315), which lost 86,000 jobs (-43%), grew by 9% and added nearly 10,000 jobs.

Highest-Paying

With an average industry earnings level of $140,000 per year (keep in mind this is averaging the wages and salaries of all workers in the industry together), computer and peripheral equipment manufacturing (NAICS 3341) has the highest earnings. From 2001 to 2009, the industry lost 41% of its workforce or 118,000 jobs. In 2011, it grew by 6%, adding 9,400 jobs.

After that comes pharmaceutical and medicine manufacturing (NAICS 3254) and petroleum and coal products manufacturing (NAICS 3241), which both average about $102,000 per year. Neither of these final two sectors grew last year.

Biggest Losers

Despite the overall growth, some industries are still in decline.

Printing and related support activities (NAICS 3231) lost 21,000 jobs in one year (-4%), which was the biggest loss of any 4-digit sector. The biggest loser in percent terms was apparel knitting mills (NAICS 3151), which lost 10% of its workforce.

Below is the complete data table of all 86 sectors.

Description

2010 Jobs

2011 Jobs

Change

% Change

2011 Avg. Annual Wage

Total

11,487,828

11,690,458

202,630

0.02

$59,138

Machine Shops; Turned Product; and Screw, Nut, and Bolt Manufacturing

311,123

332,817

21,694

7%

$48,785

Motor Vehicle Parts Manufacturing

415,180

435,493

20,313

5%

$55,050

Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing

369,879

386,407

16,528

4%

$88,772

Agriculture, Construction, and Mining Machinery Manufacturing

203,837

217,594

13,757

7%

$70,602

Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing

475,009

487,886

12,877

3%

$87,430

Other General Purpose Machinery Manufacturing

225,257

237,315

12,058

5%

$61,266

Metalworking Machinery Manufacturing

155,031

166,188

11,157

7%

$53,903

Foundries

111,056

121,031

9,975

9%

$50,014

Computer and Peripheral Equipment Manufacturing

158,879

168,224

9,345

6%

$140,228

Other Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing

245,850

254,972

9,122

4%

$55,840

Architectural and Structural Metals Manufacturing

319,567

327,843

8,276

3%

$46,489

Coating, Engraving, Heat Treating, and Allied Activities

121,460

128,481

7,021

6%

$43,415

Beverage Manufacturing

167,187

173,497

6,310

4%

$51,120

Ventilation, Heating, Air-Conditioning, and Commercial Refrigeration Equipment Manufacturing

125,870

132,160

6,290

5%

$49,587

Ship and Boat Building

123,574

129,773

6,199

5%

$56,065

Industrial Machinery Manufacturing

97,824

103,848

6,024

6%

$71,912

Motor Vehicle Manufacturing

152,736

158,707

5,971

4%

$79,407

Engine, Turbine, and Power Transmission Equipment Manufacturing

90,970

96,758

5,788

6%

$72,697

Motor Vehicle Body and Trailer Manufacturing

108,962

114,439

5,477

5%

$44,994

Forging and Stamping

88,269

93,647

5,378

6%

$52,770

Steel Product Manufacturing from Purchased Steel

52,287

57,449

5,162

10%

$57,738

Nonferrous Metal (except Aluminum) Production and Processing

58,036

62,360

4,324

7%

$61,286

Plastics Product Manufacturing

501,678

505,984

4,306

1%

$45,499

Other Electrical Equipment and Component Manufacturing

117,847

122,012

4,165

4%

$58,774

Boiler, Tank, and Shipping Container Manufacturing

84,588

88,693

4,105

5%

$57,507

Converted Paper Product Manufacturing

281,187

284,673

3,486

1%

$53,341

Alumina and Aluminum Production and Processing

54,054

57,539

3,485

6%

$58,638

Medical Equipment and Supplies Manufacturing

303,297

306,341

3,044

1%

$61,515

Electrical Equipment Manufacturing

134,318

136,968

2,650

2%

$63,766

Audio and Video Equipment Manufacturing

20,042

22,402

2,360

12%

$79,151

Basic Chemical Manufacturing

140,942

143,045

2,103

1%

$88,113

Fabric Mills

54,021

56,110

2,089

4%

$41,628

Other Miscellaneous Manufacturing

263,116

265,031

1,915

1%

$46,223

Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing

85,954

87,603

1,649

2%

$73,636

Cut and Sew Apparel Manufacturing

125,398

126,937

1,539

1%

$36,150

Manufacturing and Reproducing Magnetic and Optical Media

25,002

26,425

1,423

6%

$85,820

Other Transportation Equipment Manufacturing

33,191

34,547

1,356

4%

$63,123

Railroad Rolling Stock Manufacturing

18,402

19,752

1,350

7%

$62,647

Office Furniture (including Fixtures) Manufacturing

96,048

97,283

1,235

1%

$44,807

Commercial and Service Industry Machinery Manufacturing

92,184

93,335

1,151

1%

$64,827

Bakeries and Tortilla Manufacturing

276,593

277,718

1,125

0%

$35,578

Rubber Product Manufacturing

121,591

122,587

996

1%

$51,487

Resin, Synthetic Rubber, and Artificial Synthetic Fibers and Filaments Manufacturing

89,107

90,092

985

1%

$78,720

Footwear Manufacturing

13,148

13,863

715

5%

$35,261

Cutlery and Handtool Manufacturing

40,141

40,830

689

2%

$54,144

Paint, Coating, and Adhesive Manufacturing

55,883

56,555

672

1%

$64,627

Pharmaceutical and Medicine Manufacturing

278,781

279,434

653

0%

$102,299

Pesticide, Fertilizer, and Other Agricultural Chemical Manufacturing

35,755

36,407

652

2%

$73,502

Other Leather and Allied Product Manufacturing

10,934

11,557

623

6%

$35,423

Animal Food Manufacturing

51,602

52,172

570

1%

$52,176

Spring and Wire Product Manufacturing

42,338

42,813

475

1%

$45,935

Electric Lighting Equipment Manufacturing

45,298

45,750

452

1%

$52,943

Sugar and Confectionery Product Manufacturing

66,412

66,834

422

1%

$46,306

Hardware Manufacturing

23,529

23,867

338

1%

$53,447

Dairy Product Manufacturing

130,203

130,532

329

0%

$50,968

Leather and Hide Tanning and Finishing

4,015

4,311

296

7%

$44,342

Soap, Cleaning Compound, and Toilet Preparation Manufacturing

100,840

101,045

205

0%

$63,366

Other Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing

65,438

65,575

137

0%

$49,114

Other Chemical Product and Preparation Manufacturing

84,148

84,261

113

0%

$62,910

Grain and Oilseed Milling

58,689

58,669

-20

0%

$61,858

Sawmills and Wood Preservation

82,512

82,459

-53

0%

$38,074

Textile and Fabric Finishing and Fabric Coating Mills

36,210

36,151

-59

0%

$41,847

Lime and Gypsum Product Manufacturing

13,483

13,408

-75

-1%

$55,548

Clay Product and Refractory Manufacturing

40,381

40,289

-92

0%

$47,440

Other Food Manufacturing

163,346

163,230

-116

0%

$51,728

Other Furniture Related Product Manufacturing

36,427

36,300

-127

0%

$39,650

Pulp, Paper, and Paperboard Mills

111,661

111,144

-517

0%

$74,825

Glass and Glass Product Manufacturing

78,991

78,420

-571

-1%

$51,877

Apparel Accessories and Other Apparel Manufacturing

13,699

12,973

-726

-5%

$35,757

Tobacco Manufacturing

16,251

15,510

-741

-5%

$95,669

Petroleum and Coal Products Manufacturing

110,968

110,014

-954

-1%

$101,861

Fiber, Yarn, and Thread Mills

29,142

28,113

-1,029

-4%

$34,390

Household Appliance Manufacturing

58,658

57,563

-1,095

-2%

$53,698

Other Textile Product Mills

61,833

60,658

-1,175

-2%

$32,955

Fruit and Vegetable Preserving and Specialty Food Manufacturing

173,410

172,057

-1,353

-1%

$42,885

Animal Slaughtering and Processing

485,619

484,061

-1,558

0%

$33,217

Apparel Knitting Mills

18,521

16,702

-1,819

-10%

$35,513

Cement and Concrete Product Manufacturing

169,820

167,189

-2,631

-2%

$46,464

Veneer, Plywood, and Engineered Wood Product Manufacturing

63,204

60,319

-2,885

-5%

$40,514

Navigational, Measuring, Electromedical, and Control Instruments Manufacturing

407,365

404,342

-3,023

-1%

$89,109

Other Wood Product Manufacturing

193,833

190,791

-3,042

-2%

$34,431

Textile Furnishings Mills

57,300

54,100

-3,200

-6%

$36,515

Seafood Product Preparation and Packaging

36,471

33,132

-3,339

-9%

$37,983

Communications Equipment Manufacturing

115,861

111,978

-3,883

-3%

$98,379

Household and Institutional Furniture and Kitchen Cabinet Manufacturing

223,590

218,463

-5,127

-2%

$34,868

Printing and Related Support Activities

485,717

464,657

-21,060

-4%

$43,810

 

State-by-State

As is our custom in posts like this, we like to provide a state-by-state breakdown. To do this we aggregated all 86 industries together and looked at the distribution of these jobs by state. Here are the results.

The good news is that 40 out of 51 states (including Washington, D.C.) gained manufacturing jobs.

Oklahoma had the best single year percentage growth (9%) for manufacturing and added nearly 11,000 new jobs. Its current tally of manufacturing jobs is 133,500. Texas added the most new jobs, 23,000, and Michigan was second with 21,000. Current employment levels in each state are 833,000 and 497,000, respectively.

California employs the most, 1.2 million, and grew by 1% or 10,000 jobs in 2011.

Indiana and Wisconsin have the highest concentration of manufacturing jobs. Both are nearly twice the national average, and both employ roughly 450,000 manufacturing workers.

D.C. has the highest pay (averaging nearly $100,000 per year) but very few manufacturing jobs (about 1,000). Massachusetts, which has 260,000 manufacturing jobs and grew by 2% last year, has the second highest average industry earnings ($78,000).

Ten states lost jobs. New Jersey was the biggest loser with -8,100 jobs (3% decline). After New Jersey comes Arkansas, which lost 5,100 jobs (-3%) and New York, which dropped 3,500 jobs (-1%).

The data for each state is below.

State Name

2010 Jobs

2011 Jobs

% Change

2011 Avg. Annual Wage

2010 National Location Quotient (Average is 1.00)

Total

11,487,828

11,690,458

0.02

$59,138

Oklahoma

122,790

133,524

9%

$47,547

0.91

Utah

110,240

116,542

6%

$50,210

1.07

Louisiana

137,263

145,003

6%

$61,321

0.83

South Carolina

207,789

219,353

6%

$51,111

1.3

Washington

254,839

266,538

5%

$68,111

1

Michigan

475,226

496,576

4%

$61,671

1.42

Missouri

243,033

253,599

4%

$50,367

1.05

Arizona

147,905

154,034

4%

$68,224

0.7

Iowa

200,797

207,870

4%

$50,659

1.57

South Dakota

36,963

38,208

3%

$40,746

1.04

Idaho

53,103

54,797

3%

$51,351

0.97

Kansas

159,776

164,868

3%

$51,944

1.35

Nebraska

91,598

94,376

3%

$43,020

1.13

Texas

810,074

833,421

3%

$65,352

0.89

Kentucky

209,263

215,162

3%

$50,610

1.33

Wisconsin

429,233

439,887

2%

$51,403

1.83

Ohio

620,422

635,427

2%

$54,371

1.42

Pennsylvania

560,428

572,069

2%

$55,099

1.15

Vermont

30,796

31,431

2%

$54,094

1.17

Illinois

559,975

570,941

2%

$61,073

1.14

Massachusetts

254,462

259,117

2%

$78,315

0.91

Wyoming

8,710

8,858

2%

$53,439

0.35

Tennessee

298,290

303,357

2%

$52,828

1.31

Florida

307,489

311,391

1%

$52,500

0.48

Minnesota

292,048

295,448

1%

$57,855

1.28

North Dakota

22,548

22,803

1%

$43,695

0.68

Indiana

447,514

452,536

1%

$55,692

1.85

Alabama

236,259

238,796

1%

$49,608

1.44

Virginia

229,864

231,927

1%

$52,845

0.7

California

1,235,043

1,244,965

1%

$75,079

0.95

Oregon

163,179

164,466

1%

$60,036

1.14

North Carolina

431,536

434,259

1%

$52,551

1.24

New Mexico

29,019

29,194

1%

$53,901

0.41

West Virginia

49,066

49,307

0%

$51,340

0.79

Georgia

343,354

344,947

0%

$51,640

1.01

Connecticut

165,636

166,385

0%

$76,876

1.17

New Hampshire

65,760

66,055

0%

$62,446

1.23

Colorado

125,494

126,028

0%

$61,496

0.63

Delaware

26,137

26,120

0%

$57,090

0.72

Rhode Island

40,328

40,216

0%

$50,621

1.01

Hawaii

12,913

12,873

0%

$40,153

0.23

New York

455,654

452,083

-1%

$61,365

0.61

Maine

50,672

50,234

-1%

$50,836

0.98

Mississippi

135,901

134,099

-1%

$41,709

1.39

Maryland

115,097

113,196

-2%

$66,776

0.51

Montana

16,386

15,942

-3%

$42,569

0.43

New Jersey

255,906

247,809

-3%

$75,142

0.77

Arkansas

160,159

155,012

-3%

$40,584

1.57

Nevada

37,888

36,329

-4%

$51,492

0.38

Alaska

12,735

11,912

-6%

$42,559

0.42

District of Columbia

1,272

1,168

-8%

$97,287

0.02

 

Conclusion

Folks who watch the economy tend to pay a lot of attention to manufacturing. This is because manufacturing of all types and sizes produces a lot of jobs and, as export-based sectors, bring much-needed dollars into the economy.

This data offers some glimmers of hope for a very large sector that has been the constant bearer of bad news for as long as anyone can remember. More companies are opting for domestic production and the products they produce (like heavy machinery) are seeing good domestic and worldwide demand.

In this analysis some of the big winners appear to be machine shops, machinery manufacturers, audio/visual products, aerospace, foundries, metal working, and computer related manufacturing. Let us know if you’d like to learn more about any of the states or sectors we covered.

Rob Sentz is the marketing director at EMSI, an Idaho-based economics firm that provides data and analysis to workforce boards, economic development agencies, higher education institutions and the private sector. He is the author of a series of green jobs white papers. For more, contact Rob Sentz (rob@economicmodeling.com). You can also reach us via Twitter @DesktopEcon.

Illustrations by Mark Beauchamp.

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