2014-10-10



In colloborative effort between our Chief Writer “Hunter Stokes” and I, we have guaranteed to turn a profit of no less than $650, with the more likelihood of more than that coming our way. Not bad for a 1st year – (even though we haven’t predicted the playoffs well on the prognostications side for postseason play). We always bet with the value, and not necessarily who we think is really going to win. Besides, you can always hedge bet with a favorite team you like, once they are trailing, and you still picked them to win the Series, Rounds, Playoffs or LCS or World Series.

Okay, so at the MLB Reports, we have been tackling a different vantage point for the 2014 year.  I saw a rising number of people who want to know about gambling.

There are several factors to acknowledge here.

It is illegal for most Americans to gamble (unless you are in a state that allows it like Las Vegas).

However, Canadians are allowed to wager freely under the ‘capital gains clause;.

Still, everyone has a friend in the Desert city of Las Vegas right?  So we have been running with a theme.

I have had my main chief writer “Hunter Stokes” take a look at the odds all year. and surmise a game plan to throw some cabbage down on it.

If he couldn’t make it to Nevada (he flies there a lot, and goes about 1 per week) from Bakersfield, CA.  It is only 286 Miles, and he likes to make the trek a lot.

But if he is unable to pry himself away from his tattoo parlor, I double down on my wagers for his picks.  I am happy to have followed his selections all year.



Home Of Sully Baseball + #WOB, #WOO, #WOWS #SullyMetrics, Baseball Analysis (Audio + Written, Roster Trees, Salaries, Org. Depth Charts,+ State Of The Unions + Stats + Wicked Daily Content,) + the best coverage on the 2014 MLB schedule in the world.) We are not your average “Cookie Cutter” Website. Also our motto is “THE TRUTH STINGS LIKE A CATCUS!”

We have been handicapping NFL, NHL and MLB for years.  I have even dabbled in CFL and NCAA for a spell.  It isn’t always a profitable venture, although with our circle of friends, we have won several free contests to enter based on our theories.

Baseball is the toughest sport to wager on, however the one thing that seems to be clearest, is that the favorites always struggle in the MLB for some reason.

Never bet with the top few teams to win the World Series.  Find teams that are favored in the 8 – 19 range.

If a club that is an early season favorite, has a bad week, they may find themselves among those 8 – 19 clubs.  This is your time to pounce.

All year, Hunter was nailing the odds perfectly for the temperature of the bettors.  To show you the results, we have decided to disclose every single prognostication we have mustered since January.

There are some NFL wagers in there. and we are on a current hot streak with that entity as well.

If we do anything extremely well, is make snap decisions to ‘hedge’ when we are in positions of strength.  Some of the IN-PLAY bets we make have saved us from total losses.

The momentum swings in the MLB can be seen sometimes more by watching how the teams are faring by your own eyesight or earlobes – as opposed to a computer generated odds theory.

Hunter and I spend a lot of time bantering about these said outliers.  I am happy to report that this year our record for betting cash is good, although the postseason ‘real life’ predictions haven’t been as good.

The MLB Reports team has not entirely failed with picks as lead podcaster “Sully” has been on record in predicting an all bird World Series of St. Louis vs Baltimore.

Last year Sully also had the Cardinals in the World Series.  In 2012, I had the Tigers winning the World Series, even though they lost to the Rangers.

Our top 2 or 3 guys writing have done well from 2012 – 2014.  Do we mistakes in our assessments.. hell yeah.  But if you read our articles, and listen to our podcasts on a regular basis, and judging by our page views you continue to do so, you would know we have had a good track record in the business.

So without grandstanding anymore, I give you the entire bet sheet from my 2014 year. I didn’t open the bet reference if it was a single game wager.  Only divisions, over/under bets and also League and World Series Bets.

A lot of these were also hedges on existing bets when the teams value was at its longest odd peak.

Starting Balance Jan.01, 2014: $250.00

514.72 CAD

Current Sports Balance

$ Wagered Settled $7289.30

$ Wagered won $7373.90

Profit – $84.60

Still in play   $194.98

Bets before playoffs.

If KC wins World Series – $1500

if BAL wins World Series – $730

If SF wins the World Series – $379.38

If I lose SF, but BAL/STL go on to WS, $418.26 + I will hedge O’s in final for another $300 win – $716 profit

If Baltimore plays SF in final, I will win either $379.38 or $730.00 (Hedge this for sure – $550 profit)

If KC wins with SF, I either win $1500 or 379.38 (Big Hedge for KC, for about another $800 profit )

If KC wins (Big Hedge for Battle of Missouri – hedge for KC – win another $650)

Unsettled Bets – Check out these babies, great value on KC/BAL back in Aprll.  KC particularly 6/5/2014

and of course 1st bet of the year was SF.

When you read the Settled Bets, bets without the confirmation number were not applicable to anything playoffs or were just day to day wagers.

Unsettled Bets

Bet Confirmation  – GY0923887820I  – Internet   Time of bet:  10/08/2014 07:19:12

Print

Selections

No.

Selections

Event

Event Date

E/W Terms

Odds

Result

1

BAL Orioles

KC Royals v BAL Orioles

(To Win Series)

10/18/2014

None

-135

To Run

2

STL Cardinals

SF Giants v STL Cardinals

(To Win Series)

10/19/2014

None

-125

To Run

Parlays

Wager Type

No of Bets

Unit Risk

Risk

To Return

Returns

Round Robin/2 Play Parlays

1

133.49

133.49

418.26

Total Risk: 133.49

Bet Confirmation  – RA9025364910I  – Internet   Time of bet:  07/09/2014 16:49:03

Print

Selections

No.

Selections

Event

Event Date

E/W Terms

Odds

Result

1

BAL Orioles

MLB World Series

(To Win Outright)

09/30/2014

None

+2000

To Run

Risk:  10.00   To Return:  210.00

Bet Confirmation  – TA7794441910I  – Internet   Time of bet:  06/05/2014 16:04:10

Print

Selections

No.

Selections

Event

Event Date

E/W Terms

Odds

Result

1

KC Royals

MLB World Series

(To Win Outright)

09/30/2014

None

+8000

To Run

Risk:  5.90   To Return:  477.90

Bet Confirmation  – PA5934907210I  – Internet   Time of bet:  04/17/2014 09:54:08

Print

Selections

No.

Selections

Event

Event Date

E/W Terms

Odds

Result

1

BAL Orioles

MLB World Series

(To Win Outright)

09/30/2014

None

+5000

To Run

Risk:  10.00   To Return:  510.00

Bet Confirmation  – JA8523245710I  – Internet   Time of bet:  04/17/2014 09:53:48

Print

Selections

No.

Selections

Event

Event Date

E/W Terms

Odds

Result

1

KC Royals

MLB World Series

(To Win Outright)

09/30/2014

None

+5000

To Run

Risk:  20.00   To Return:  1,020.00

Bet Confirmation  – GA7144322612I  – Internet   Time of bet:  01/24/2014 11:01:44

Print

Selections

No.

Selections

Event

Event Date

E/W Terms

Odds

Result

1

SF Giants

MLB World Series

(To Win Outright)

03/31/2014

None

+2500

To Run

Risk:  14.59   To Return:  379.38

Settled Bets from Jan.01 – Oct.09ND Colts @  -250
$15.67  Single

10/09/2014 20:37:29

15.67

21.94

Punt (16th Drive) @  +110
$0.67  Single

10/09/2014 19:33:32

0.67

0.00

Punt (16th Drive) @  +110
$1.00  Single

10/09/2014 19:32:59

1.00

0.00

Punt (16th Drive) @  +110
$1.00  Single

10/09/2014 19:32:46

1.00

0.00

Punt (14th Drive) @  -138
$4.44  Single

10/09/2014 19:22:49

4.44

7.67

IND Colts by 7-12 @  +400
$10.00  Single

10/09/2014 19:22:05

10.00

0.00

IND Colts by 1-6 @  +375
$10.00  Single

10/09/2014 19:20:33

10.00

47.50

Bet Confirmation  – KY2770810210F  – Flash   Time of bet:  10/09/2014 19:20:33

Print

Selections

No.

Selections

Event

Event Date

E/W Terms

Odds

Result

1

IND Colts by 1-6

IND Colts @ HOU Texans

(Winning Margin)

10/09/2014

None

+375

Won

Risk:  10.00   Returns:  47.50

‘Return’ values are subject to maximum payouts as detailed in our rules.

HOU Texans 2.5 @  +275
$7.12  Single

10/09/2014 18:35:18

7.12

0.00

HOU Texans @  +725
$4.00  Single

10/09/2014 18:30:26

4.00

0.00

HOU Texans by 1-6 @  +1000
$4.44  Single

10/09/2014 18:29:57

4.44

0.00

IND Colts by 1-6 @  +550
$5.53  Single

10/09/2014 18:29:35

5.53

35.95

MON Canadiens @  -115
$19.00  Single

10/08/2014 18:51:05

19.00

35.53

TOR Maple Leafs @  +500
$1.00  Single

10/08/2014 18:37:46

1.00

0.00

TOR Maple Leafs @  +425
$11.00  Single

10/08/2014 18:31:16

11.00

0.00

No 5th Goal @  +150
$2.00  Single

10/08/2014 18:25:58

2.00

0.00

WAS Nationals – Under 2.5 @  -150
$3.00  Single

10/07/2014 20:54:01

3.00

5.00

Bet Confirmation  – KD1076035910F  – Flash   Time of bet:  10/07/2014 20:54:01

Print

Selections

No.

Selections

Event

Event Date

E/W Terms

Odds

Result

1

WAS Nationals – Under 2.5

WAS Nationals @ SF Giants

(Team 1 Total)

10/07/2014

None

-150

Won

Risk:  3.00   Returns:  5.00

‘Return’ values are subject to maximum payouts as detailed in our rules.

Under 5.5 @  +100
$1.47  Single

10/07/2014 20:53:24

1.47

2.94

WAS Nationals Inning 8 – No @  +110
$1.00  Single

10/07/2014 20:49:38

1.00

2.10

WAS Nationals Inning 8 – No @  -375
$8.00  Single

10/07/2014 20:49:10

8.00

10.14

WAS Nationals @  +205
$4.00  Single

10/07/2014 20:42:30

4.00

0.00

WAS Nationals @  +205
$12.00  Single

10/07/2014 20:41:46

12.00

0.00

WAS Nationals @  -110
$5.00  Single

10/07/2014 20:28:13

5.00

0.00

SF Giants by 1 run exactly @  +170
$1.00  Single

10/07/2014 20:27:12

1.00

2.70

SF Giants @  +115
$48.00  Single

10/07/2014 20:24:38

48.00

103.20

Bet Confirmation  – QD9427343910F  – Flash   Time of bet:  10/07/2014 20:24:38

Print

Selections

No.

Selections

Event

Event Date

E/W Terms

Odds

Result

1

SF Giants

WAS Nationals @ SF Giants

(Money Line)

10/07/2014

None

+115

Won

Risk:  48.00   Returns:  103.20

‘Return’ values are subject to maximum payouts as detailed in our rules.

SF Giants Inning 7 – Yes @  +300
$1.00  Single

10/07/2014 20:18:07

1.00

4.00

Inning 7 – Tie @  -160
$0.90  Single

10/07/2014 20:09:43

0.90

1.47

WAS Nationals Inning 7 – No @  -320
$3.10  Single

10/07/2014 20:08:46

3.10

0.00

SF Giants Inning 6 – Yes @  +350
$0.42  Single

10/07/2014 20:08:15

0.42

0.00

Under 4.5 @  +320
$2.29  Single

10/07/2014 19:58:53

2.29

0.00

WAS Nationals by 1 run exactly @  +375
$1.00  Single

10/07/2014 19:58:02

1.00

0.00

WAS Nationals @  +220
$3.00  Single

10/07/2014 18:56:06

3.00

0.00

WAS Nationals -2.5 @  +700
$1.00  Single

10/07/2014 18:54:15

1.00

0.00

WAS Nationals -2.5 @  +625
$2.29  Single

10/07/2014 18:53:50

2.29

0.00

WAS Nationals @  +195
$37.00  Single

10/07/2014 18:50:02

37.00

0.00

SF Giants 2.5 @  -285

HOU Texans -2.5 @  +150
Round Robin/2 Play Parlays, 1  bet * $17.00

10/07/2014 17:45:38

17.00

0.00

MON Canadiens @  -110
$33.00  Single

10/07/2014 17:42:12

33.00

63.00

(G Gonzalez & Ryan Vogelsong must start) SF Giants @  +130
$30.00  Single

10/07/2014 17:40:29

30.00

69.00

(G Gonzalez & Ryan Vogelsong must start) SF Giants @  +130
$29.74  Single

10/07/2014 17:38:45

29.74

68.41

Bet Confirmation  – CT8079942410I  – Internet   Time of bet:  10/07/2014 17:38:45

Print

Selections

No.

Selections

Event

Event Date

E/W Terms

Odds

Result

1

(G Gonzalez & Ryan Vogelsong must start) SF Giants
Pitcher details

WAS Nationals(G Gonzalez) @ SF Giants(R Vogelsong)

(Money Line)

10/07/2014

None

+130

Won

Risk:  29.74   Returns:  68.41

‘Return’ values are subject to maximum payouts as detailed in our rules.

(C Kershaw & Shelby Miller must start) STL Cardinals @  +145
$24.38  Single

10/07/2014 08:10:16

24.38

59.74

WAS Redskins -2.5 @  +335

STL Cardinals @  +125
Round Robin/2 Play Parlays, 1  bet * $12.00

10/06/2014 08:08:57

12.00

0.00

CIN Bengals by 1-6 @  +550
$7.00  Single

10/05/2014 18:02:05

7.00

0.00

LA Angels @  +1025
$3.20  Single

10/05/2014 17:51:03

3.20

0.00

SF 49ers -5.5 @  +162
$0.50  Single

10/05/2014 13:36:34

0.50

0.00

SF 49ers -6.5 @  +175
$12.00  Single

10/05/2014 13:35:54

12.00

0.00

NO Saints @  -200
$25.00  Single

10/05/2014 13:20:53

25.00

37.50

TEN Titans @  +200
$5.00  Single

10/05/2014 13:19:07

5.00

0.00

TEN Titans @  +110
$15.00  Single

10/05/2014 13:16:58

15.00

0.00

STL Rams @  +270
$15.00  Single

10/05/2014 13:12:37

15.00

0.00

TB Buccaneers @  +145
$5.00  Single

10/05/2014 13:06:39

5.00

0.00

TB Buccaneers @  -115
$20.00  Single

10/05/2014 12:58:08

20.00

0.00

IND Colts +4.5 @  -270

DEN Broncos -2.5 @  -280

NE Patriots +7.5 @  -260

SEA Seahawks -2.5 @  -270
4 Play Parlays, 1  bet * $37.23

10/05/2014 07:42:06

37.23

131.38

(B Norris & D Price must start) DET Tigers @  -179

(C.J. Wilson & J Shields must start) LA Angels @  +114

IND Colts +4.5 @  -280

DEN Broncos -2.5 @  -280

NE Patriots +7.5 @  -260
5 Play Parlays, 1  bet * $7.77

10/05/2014 07:40:27

7.77

0.00

WAS Nationals @  +1600
$20.00  Single

10/05/2014 07:36:03

20.00

0.00

LA Angels @  +135
$6.73  Single

10/03/2014 19:55:03

6.73

0.00

LA Angels @  +110
$6.00  Single

10/03/2014 19:54:17

6.00

0.00

LA Dodgers @  +1225
$3.00  Single

10/03/2014 18:37:57

3.00

0.00

WAS Nationals @  +240
$1.00  Single

10/03/2014 13:51:31

1.00

0.00

(Adam Wainwright & C Kershaw must start) STL Cardinals @  +175
$7.90  Single

10/03/2014 12:54:05

7.90

21.73

Bet Confirmation  – EK6556788210I  – Internet   Time of bet:  10/03/2014 12:54:05

Print

Selections

No.

Selections

Event

Event Date

E/W Terms

Odds

Result

1

(Adam Wainwright & C Kershaw must start) STL Cardinals
Pitcher details

STL Cardinals(A Wainwright) @ LA Dodgers(C Kershaw)

(Money Line)

10/03/2014

None

+175

Won

Risk:  7.90   Returns:  21.73

‘Return’ values are subject to maximum payouts as detailed in our rules.

DET Tigers @  +825
$1.00  Single

10/03/2014 12:38:00

1.00

0.00

DET Tigers @  +825
$0.71  Single

10/03/2014 12:36:59

0.71

0.00

DET Tigers @  +825
$2.29  Single

10/03/2014 12:36:41

2.29

0.00

Bet Confirmation  – FK1556673910F  – Flash   Time of bet:  10/03/2014 12:36:41

Print

Selections

No.

Selections

Event

Event Date

E/W Terms

Odds

Result

1

DET Tigers

DET Tigers @ BAL Orioles

(Money Line)

10/03/2014

None

+825

Lost

Risk:  2.29   Returns:  0.00

‘Return’ values are subject to maximum payouts as detailed in our rules.

BAL Orioles @  +150
$4.00  Single

10/03/2014 12:34:41

4.00

10.00

BAL Orioles @  +265
$6.00  Single

10/03/2014 11:40:45

6.00

21.90

Bet Confirmation  – GK0324034010I  – Internet   Time of bet:  10/03/2014 07:46:17

Print

Selections

No.

Selections

Event

Event Date

E/W Terms

Odds

Result

1

LA Angels

KC Royals v LA Angels

(To Win Series)

10/08/2014

None

+145

Lost

Risk:  41.00   Returns:  0.00  Hedge Bet for KC

‘Return’ values are subject to maximum payouts as detailed in our rules.

MIN Vikings +10.5 @  -150
$50.00  Single

10/02/2014 08:31:37

50.00

0.00

Bet Confirmation  – CK5758019110I  – Internet   Time of bet:  10/02/2014 08:30:57

Print

Selections

No.

Selections

Event

Event Date

E/W Terms

Odds

Result

1

LA Angels

KC Royals v LA Angels

(To Win Series)

10/08/2014

None

-185

Lo

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