2013-08-31



Credit: Justin Edmonds/NASCAR via Getty Images

1. Matt Kenseth – Matt Kenseth is a driver who you can confidently make your fantasy pick for the Atlanta Advocare 500. He’s been an extremely consistent fantasy option at Atlanta. In the last thirteen races at Atlanta Motor Speedway he’s finished in the top thirteen every race. Over these races he has the 4th best driver rating, a 7.4 average finish, a 10.6 average running position and has led 205 laps. Currently at Atlanta he has back to back 9th place finishes. In last years race he had an 8th place average running position and earned the 7th best driver rating. Kenseth’s real fantasy value in my eyes lies in how strong he’s performed on 1.5 mile tracks this season. There’s been five races on tracks of this length and he’s won three of them. Also on these tracks this season he has the best driver rating, a 5.2 average running position and a 6.0 average finish. Kenseth’s odds to win are currently listed as the second best at 6/1. On Sunday in the Atlanta Advocare 500 Kenseth will start in 6th. Recently Kenseth participated in the tire test at Atlanta. That could prove to be a big advantage since this new tire is hailed to be the future of NASCAR. In Happy Hour Matt Kenseth’s car looked really strong. His car maintained speed throughout a run and he had the sixth quickest 10 lap average.

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2. Jimmie Johnson – In the Atlanta Advocare 500 Jimmie Johnson will be looking to build some momentum for the Chase. He’s finished outside the top ten in three out of the last four races, and in the last two he’s finished 36th and 40th. Despite some of his recent problems odds makers like him. His odds to win the Atlanta Advocare 500 are currently the best in the series. Linemakers have him listed as 5/1 favorite. Atlanta has been a good track for Jimmie Johnson. He’s a three-time winner who has a 11.1 average finish. He’s raced here 21 times and has finished in the top five over 50% percent of the time. Last year at Atlanta he had a tough race. He would’ve likely finished around 6th but with 56 laps to go he was involved in a multi-car wreck that ended his day. In his next two most recent races he’s finished 2nd and 3rd. This season on 1.5 mile tracks minus the race at Charlotte (wrecked) he has a 5.3 average running position and a 6.0 average finish. This season on 1.5 mile tracks he’s led  the 4th most laps (257). Jimmie Johnson will start in 10th on Sunday. Heading into the Atlanta Advocare 500 Johnson knows exactly how good his car is. In Happy Hour he started off with a +20 lap run and his lap times looked pretty consistent. His 10 lap average ranked third. In practice #2 his 10 lap average ranked second.

Recommended Reading : Happy Hour Notes, Happy Hour Speeds, Big Board 10 Lap Average Speed Chart, Practice #2 Notes, Practice #2 Speeds, Qualifying Results

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3. Kasey Kahne – 1.5 mile tracks like Atlanta have been very good venues for Kasey Kahne this year. On tracks of this length in 2013 he has the best average finish (5.6), ran the highest total number of fastest laps, and has led 275 laps. Also in these races he’s finished runner-up three times and in the two other races he’s come home with 11th place finishes. Another reason for optimism in picking Kasey Kahne is that he recently tested here. The chassis that Kasey Kahne will be using in the Advocare 500 has been raced four times this season. It won at Pocono, finished second at Las Vegas and finished 11th at Texas. His odds to win are currently 7/1. Atlanta has been somewhat of a volatile track for Kahne. He’s either a hero or a zero. He’s a two-time winner and has finished in the top ten half the time. In his non-top ten finishes he has a 32.75 average finish. Last year at Atlanta he really struggled. He finished 23rd and had a 26th place average running position. He’ll start in 18th when the green flag waves. In Happy Hour Kasey Kahne had a fast car. His 10 lap average ranked as the 5th quickest.

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