The Hogs Haven writers predict division winners, individual award honors, the Super Bowl champion and more for the 2016 NFL season
Tonight the 97th NFL season will kickoff and the road to Super Bowl 51 will begin the same way the road to Super Bowl 50 ended, with the champion Denver Broncos facing off against MVP Cam Newton and the Carolina Panthers.
Yes, NFL Football has finally returned to us in all its glory, and to celebrate the occasion, we at Hogs Haven would like to share our 2016 season staff predictions with you. This is the fourth year that we've done this (see here, here and here), but this season has a different feel to it for Washington Redskins fans.
We have not witnessed this combination of stability and potential for sustained success since the first Joe Gibbs administration, and because of that there is both a palpable buzz in the air and a quiet confidence among fans about the prospects of the 2016 Redskins.
Tonight's opener and the start to the Redskins' defense of the NFC East title on Monday night can't come soon enough, but until then check out all of our Redskins and NFL predictions for the 2016 season.
Category
Jason Bacaj
Anthony Brown
James Dorsett
Jen Filsinger
Bryan Frantz
Tom Garrett
Mike Harar
NFC East
Redskins
Redskins
Giants
Redskins
Giants
Cowboys
Redskins
NFC North
Packers
Packers
Packers
Packers
Packers
Packers
Packers
NFC South
Panthers
Buccaneers
Panthers
Panthers
Panthers
Panthers
Saints
NFC West
Seahawks
Seahawks
Cardinals
Cardinals
Cardinals
Cardinals
Seahawks
NFC Wild Card
Cardinals
Panthers
Seahawks
Seahawks
Seahawks
Seahawks
Panthers
NFC Wild Card
Falcons
Falcons
Redskins
Vikings
Vikings
Falcons
Vikings
AFC East
Patriots
Patriots
Patriots
Patriots
Patriots
Patriots
Patriots
AFC North
Ravens
Steelers
Steelers
Bengals
Steelers
Steelers
Steelers
AFC South
Texans
Texans
Texans
Colts
Colts
Colts
Colts
AFC West
Broncos
Chiefs
Chiefs
Chiefs
Chiefs
Raiders
Chiefs
AFC Wild Card
Raiders
Raiders
Raiders
Bills
Broncos
Broncos
Jets
AFC Wild Card
Steelers
Ravens
Bengals
Steelers
Bengals
Bengals
Bengals
1st Pick in 2017
Eagles
Bills
Browns
49ers
Browns
Titans
49ers
NFC Champion
Packers
Cardinals
Packers
Cardinals
Packers
Cardinals
Packers
AFC Champion
Patriots
Steelers
Patriots
Patriots
Patriots
Patriots
Patriots
Super Bowl
Packers
Steelers
Packers
Cardinals
Patriots
Cardinals
Packers
Comeback POY
Andrew Luck
Jimmy Graham
Andrew Luck
Andrew Luck
Kelvin Benjamin
Jordy Nelson
Kelvin Benjamin
Coach of Year
Jack Del Rio
Mike Tomlin
Mike McCarthy
Mike Zimmer
Bruce Arians
Jack Del Rio
Andy Reid
Offensive ROY
Ezekiel Elliott
Josh Doctson
Ezekiel Elliott
Ezekiel Elliott
Carson Wentz
Ezekiel Elliott
Ezekiel Elliott
Defensive ROY
Karl Joseph
Su'a Cravens
Myles Jack
Jalen Ramsey
Jalen Ramsey
Leonard Floyd
Jalen Ramsey
Offensive POY
Aaron Rodgers
Stefon Diggs
Antonio Brown
Antonio Brown
Aaron Rodgers
Antonio Brown
Aaron Rodgers
Defensive POY
Aaron Donald
Preson Smith
Khalil Mack
Khalil Mack
Aaron Donald
Von Miller
J.J. Watt
MVP
Aaron Rodgers
Tom Brady
Aaron Rodgers
Tom Brady
Aaron Rodgers
Aaron Rodgers
Adrian Peterson
Redskins Off. POY
Josh Doctson
Kirk Cousins
Kirk Cousins
Jordan Reed
Kirk Cousins
Kirk Cousins
Kirk Cousins
Redskins Def. POY
Su'a Cravens
Preston Smith
Preston Smith
Preston Smith
Bashaud Breeland
Josh Norman
Will Compton
Redskins Record
9-7
12-4
10-6
10-6
7-9
8-8
11-5
Playoff Finish
Divisional
NFC Champ Loss
Wildcard
Divisional
None
None
Divisional
Category
Chris Hess
Aaron Lesher
Ken Meringolo
Alex Rowsey
Steve Shoup
Bryan Stabbe
Mark Tyler
NFC East
Redskins
Redskins
Redskins
Redskins
Redskins
Redskins
Redskins
NFC North
Bears
Packers
Packers
Packers
Packers
Packers
Packers
NFC South
Buccaneers
Panthers
Panthers
Panthers
Panthers
Panthers
Panthers
NFC West
Seahawks
Seahawks
Cardinals
Cardinals
Seahawks
Seahawks
Cardinals
NFC Wild Card
Panthers
Cardinals
Seahawks
Seahawks
Cardinals
Cardinals
Seahawks
NFC Wild Card
Packers
Giants
Vikings
Buccaneers
Giants
Saints
Saints
AFC East
Patriots
Patriots
Dolphins
Patriots
Patriots
Patriots
Jets
AFC North
Steelers
Bengals
Bengals
Steelers
Steelers
Bengals
Steelers
AFC South
Texans
Texans
Jaguars
Texans
Texans
Colts
Colts
AFC West
Chiefs
Chiefs
Broncos
Chiefs
Raiders
Chiefs
Raiders
AFC Wild Card
Raiders
Broncos
Raiders
Broncos
Colts
Jaguars
Texans
AFC Wild Card
Ravens
Steelers
Colts
Bengals
Bengals
Steelers
Bengals
1st Pick in 2017
Cowboys
49ers
Eagles
Browns
Browns
Browns
Eagles
NFC Champion
Redskins
Seahawks
Cardinals
Cardinals
Seahawks
Panthers
Cardinals
AFC Champion
Chiefs
Steelers
Colts
Patriots
Steelers
Patriots
Steelers
Super Bowl
Redskins
Seahawks
Cardinals
Patriots
Steelers
Patriots
Cardinals
Comeback POY
Jimmy Graham
Tyrann Mathieu
Andrew Luck
Jordy Nelson
Jordy Nelson
Terrell Suggs
Andrew Luck
Coach of Year
Jay Gruden
Pete Carroll
Mike Zimmer
Bill Belichick
Mike Tomlin
Marvin Lewis
Bruce Arians
Offensive ROY
Will Fuller
Ezekiel Elliott
Corey Coleman
Ezekiel Elliott
Ezekiel Elliott
Ezekiel Elliott
Corey Coleman
Defensive ROY
Su'a Cravens
Jalen Ramsey
Su'a Cravens
Myles Jack
Jalen Ramsey
Jalen Ramsey
Vernon Hargreaves
Offensive POY
Kirk Cousins
Antonio Brown
David Johnson
Antonio Brown
Antonio Brown
Andrew Luck
David Johnson
Defensive POY
Preston Smith
Khalil Mack
Khalil Mack
Khalil Mack
J.J. Watt
J.J. Watt
Khalil Mack
MVP
Tom Brady
Russell Wilson
Carson Palmer
Aaron Rodgers
Russell Wilson
Aaron Rodgers
Antonio Brown
Redskins Off. POY
Kirk Cousins
Jordan Reed
Kirk Cousins
Trent Williams
Kirk Cousins
Trent Williams
Kirk Cousins
Redskins Def. POY
Preston Smith
Josh Norman
Bashaud Breeland
Josh Norman
Josh Norman
Ryan Kerrigan
Bashaud Breeland
Redskins Record
12-4
10-6
10-6
10-6
11-5
9-7
10-6
Playoff Finish
Super Bowl Win
Wildcard
Divisional
Divisional
Divisional
Divisional
Divisional
Redskins and NFC East Predictions
The Washington Redskins were the consensus pick to win the NFC East, as 11 of the 14 writers polled picked the Skins to defend their division title for the first time in 32 years (1983-1984). If this occurs, it will also mark the first time in 24 and 19 years respectively that the team has made the playoffs and has had a winning record in consecutive seasons.
In each of the last two years, the Eagles were the top pick to win the East. This year, they're tied for the second most votes to finish the season with the worst record in football. Thanks again, Chip!
A 10-6 finish was our favorite pick as a group (6 votes), while 12-4, 11-5 and 9-7 were all picked twice. The lowest projected win total was seven. Twelve of fourteen HH staffers have the Redskins making the playoffs this year, and eight of them have the team advancing to the second round of the tournament or farther.
Kirk Cousins was picked by nearly two thirds of us to be the team's top offensive player. Josh Norman and Preston Smith tied with four selections a piece to be the MVP of the defense. Su'a Cravens was picked to be the defensive rookie of the year in the NFL by three writers; Josh Doctson got one vote on the offensive side. I guess I could see it for Cravens in a way, but in another very real way I can't for a guy that's not starting and is busy learning new positions. Then there's Chris' picks...
Chris "iH8dallas" Hess, Boom or Bust Homerism and Writer Prediction Styles
For the second year in a row, Chris has picked the Redskins to win the NFC East, to have the defensive player of the year on their roster, for Jay Gruden to win coach of the year, for the Cowboys to have the worst record in the league and for Washington to take home its fourth Super Bowl title. He decided to get even weirder with things for the 2016 season. He also has a Redskins player winning Offensive Player of the Year (Cousins) and the team winning 12 games, instead of the 11 victories he predicted last year.
And, just like last year, Chris made by far the highest number of unique picks (10) among the writers. The next closest in this department were Bryan (6), Mike (5) and Tom (5). In the first two years that we made predictions, the person with the most unique picks finished with the fewest correct picks. Last year, however, the script was flipped when Chris made the most unique selections (13) and managed to make the most correct predictions among us.
Steve picked the most repeat winners in each of the last three seasons, but this time around he is tied for seventh in that area. Aaron, Jen, Jason, Bryan, Ken and I tied with seven predictions that involved repeat winners or occurrences from the 2015 season. You can hate on this strategy if you want, but it has actually worked out quite well for Steve and some others in the past. Chris, Anthony and Mike tied for the fewest number of repeat winner predictions with four each.
Prediction Trends
There were no unanimous predictions made by the staff as a whole for the second year in a row. We couldn't all agree on any one thing, but here are some things that the vast majority of our 14 Skins scribes could agree on: Packers win the NFC North (13 votes), Patriots win the AFC East (12 votes), Panthers win the NFC South (11 votes) and the Redskins win the NFC East (11 votes).
Some other very popular picks were: the Steelers to win the AFC North, the Chiefs to win the AFC West, Ezekiel Elliott to win Offensive Rookie of the Year and for Kirk Cousins to be the Redskins Offensive Player of the Year. Each of those predictions garnered 9 votes (nearly 66% of those polled). We were split down the middle (7 to 7) on whether the Cardinals or the Seahawks would win the NFC West.
For the second consecutive year, the category that we could find the least common ground on was the Coach of the Year award. No more than two of us picked any one single coach, and ten head coaches were picked in all. Mike Zimmer, Jack Del Rio, Mike Tomlin and Bruce Arians were all chosen twice. The Redskins Defensive Player of the Year (4 picks), the team with the worst record/ first pick in the draft (5) and the Super Bowl winner (5) were also areas where most of our predictions did not match up.
Super Bowl Picks and Snubs of 2015 Winners
The Arizona Cardinals are our favorite bet to win the Super Bowl (4 picks), just ahead of the New England Patriots and Green Bay Packers (3 picks each). The Steelers were picked twice, and the Seahawks and Redskins also received a vote. The Panthers, Chiefs and Colts were each picked by one of our writers to represent their conferences in the Super Bowl and to ultimately lose in the final game of the season.
It's a little odd that only one writer picked the Panthers to make it back to the big game and that none of us have the Broncos making it back. Well, maybe less so with the Broncos, but only two us even have them winning their division and eight of us don't having them making the postseason at all. None of us have Cam Newton winning the MVP or OPOY this year again, the Vikings being kings of the North again, Riverboat Ron Rivera walking away with Coach of the Year hardware again or Chris Baker being the Redskins' top defender again.
We'll revisit our predictions after the Super Bowl, just as we've done in each of the last three years (here, here and here), and we'll see which writers are finishing their drives to glory and which are starting their walks of shame.
In the meantime, let us know what you think about our picks and share your own predictions in the comments section. Happy season kickoff day!
Poll
Who will win Super Bowl LI at the conclusion of the 2016 NFL season?
Arizona Cardinals
Carolina Panthers
Denver Broncos
Green Bay Packers
Houston Texans
Kansas City Chiefs
New England Patriots
Pittsburgh Steelers
Seattle Seahawks
Washington Redskins
Other/ Not Listed
170 votes | Results