2015-01-23

It’s the beginning of the end for fast food as we know it.

McDonald’s, the world’s largest burger chain, said Friday sales at U.S. restaurants fell another 1.7 per cent in the latest three month stretch, furthering an emerging trend in North America of declining traffic at it and other fast-food restaurants.

While Illinois-based McDonald’s doesn’t break out Canadian numbers, global sales were also down just under one per cent compared to the same period last year, the chain said, “reflecting negative guest traffic.”

In Canada, falling customer traffic is affecting McDonald’s and other traditional fast food players, as well, experts say.

“The number of people going out to restaurants per year, the volume is declining,” Robert Carter, a director of research on the Canadian restaurant industry at NPD Group, said this week. Canadians “are not using [fast food] restaurants as frequently as they were five years ago.”

McDonald’s is the second biggest fast food chain in Canada with about 1,400 restaurants. At about 3,600 locations, Tim Hortons ranks at No.1.

“McDonald’s is kind of the bellwether in the market place, you’ve got Tims but McDonald’s is number two,” Carter said.

MORE: What Canadians want to know about what’s in fast food meals

Part of the reason for falling traffic levels: better informed about healthier food choices, like dining in, consumers aren’t visiting so-called quick-service restaurants as much. About 45 per cent of Canadians still buy at least one item from a fast-food restaurant every day, NPD research shows. But there’s been a steady “erosion” of that rate in recent years, according to Carter.

Canadian customers are continuing to “shift away” from items considered less healthy, he said, and toward “products that are perceived to be skewing toward health and wellness overall.”

Fast casual

Another factor denting sales at traditional fast-food chains has been the rise of “fast casual” restaurants.

Fast casual burger chains like Hero Certified Burger and Five Guys have sprouted up in Canada in recent years to steal customers. They’ve been joined by others, like Chipotle Mexican Grill and Panera Bread from the United States, where the shift towards fast casual in further ahead.

“Fast casual is the fastest growing segment in the Canadian restaurant market,” Carter said. Total Canadian fast food sales are expected post growth of one per cent annually over the next five years. That compares to growth rates of more than 10 per cent among fast casual chains, which offer menu items priced at a premium to fast food, but are perceived to be of a higher quality.

Fast casual chains are starting from a small base though, with locations numbering in the dozens at best, versus the hundreds of locations owned by established chains spread across the country. “Keep in mind [fast casual] still only represents one to two percent of all restaurant traffic,” the NPD analyst said.

Message and menu shift

To close the perceived quality gap, McDonald’s has launched an information campaign called “Our Food. Your Questions” in Canada and abroad about how its food is made.

Flyers mailed to homes include “facts about our sourcing practices and/or ingredients,” a Canadian spokesperson said in an email message. “Our transparency and marketing efforts will continue to merge in 2015.”

The Canadian chain is also pushing out the message on digital media platforms. “We will continue raising awareness of ‘Our Food. You Questions’ through online and traditional media, and we will be launching more videos in the coming months that debunk prominent myths about our food,” spokesperson Gema Rayo said.

McDonald’s will also continue to try out different menu items with healthier ingredients, Rayo said. New ingredients that will be found on the Canadian menu will include baby kale, whole grains and four vegetables servings per entrée salad, for example.

“We will re-launch our salad offerings to cater to evolving Canadian consumer preferences,” she said. “Our menu will continue to provide balanced options to meet our costumers dietary needs and wants.”

–with files from Carmen Chai, Global News

jamie.sturgeon@globalnews.ca
Follow @jasturgeon
carmen.chai@globalnews.ca
Follow @Carmen_Chai

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