2016-04-13

Australia isn’t renowned for having a high crime rate, but it's worth seeing which areas may be susceptible to a higher incidence of crime in your state.



The safety of your neighbourhood and your bricks and mortar are crucial factors to consider when deciding where to settle down, so it’s worth knowing which states have higher crime rates and unemployment trends than others.

Data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) found a lull in the rate of major offence categories across the nation including homicide, robbery, kidnapping/abduction, unlawful entry with intent, and motor vehicle theft.

What is concerning, however, is the rise in victims of sexual assault. In particular, South Australia (SA), Western Australia (WA) and the Australian Capital Territory (ACT) saw an increase in female assault victims of 11%, 3% and 8% respectively from 2013 to 2014.

The NT saw the sharpest rise in the number of robbery victims which was up by 17% from 2013-2014.

Interestingly, the NT, TAS and the ACT saw increases in the number of unlawful property entries with intent which increased by 7.4%, 7.0% and 7.3% respectively.

As unemployment is an indicator of criminal activity (according to the motivational theory), we take the recorded crimes within each state and pair this with unemployment data to reveal the suburbs that may have a higher prevalence of crimes in each state.

Then, using the available data from each state government website, we break-down the crime statistics at the suburb level. However, there is variation in the way that the available data is calculated, categorised and represented.

State-by-state comparison of crime

NSW

VIC

QLD

SA

WA

TAS

ACT

NT

New South Wales (NSW)

Offence

2013

2014

Change

Murder

85

75

-10

Sexual assault

8,121

8,192

+71

Kidnapping/abduction

305

305

0

Armed robbery

1,984

1,772

-212

Unlawful entry with intent

49,902

46,229

- 3,673

Motor vehicle theft

15,114

14,110

-1004

(Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) “Recorded Crime- Victims, 2014)

Many of the major offence categories took place in residential dwellings. In 2014, there were: 50 murders, 5,776 sexual assault incidences, 127 kidnapping/abduction incidences, 197 armed robbery cases, and 23,223 unlawful entries that took place within residential property.

The latest ABS unemployment data from the December 2015 quarter shows that the NSW suburbs with the highest unemployment rates include Yarrabah (55.3%), Bidwell- Hebersham- Emerton region (20.7%), Lethbridge Park (20.3%), Tamsworth (19.9%), and Cessnock (17.4%).

So if you’re thinking of buying in NSW, you may want to steer clear of these suburbs.

Assault

The NSW Crime Mapping Tool allows you to see which regions have a high crime rate (per 100,000 people) for different offences from October 2014 to September 2015.

The NSW rate per 100,000 population for assault is 852.6 and the two year trend is described as “stable”. Here are some regions with the highest assault rate per 100,000.

Area

Rate (per 100,000)

Two year trend

Bourke

7,301.0

Stable

Walgett

4,354.2

Stable

Moree Plains

3,287.4

Stable

Coonamble

2,361.3

Stable

Cobar

2,000.0

Stable

Bogan

1,916.7

Stable

Homicide

The NSW rate per 100,000 population for homicide is 1.4 per 100,000. Here are some areas with the highest homicide rates.

Area

Rate (per 100,000)

Two year trend

Bogan

99.1

N/A

Cobar

40.8

N/A

Bourke

33.0

N/A

Murray

27.4

N/A

Wakool

24.8

N/A

Gunnedah

15.9

N/A

Robbery

The NSW rate per 100,000 population for robbery incidents is 39.6. Below are some of the regions with the highest rates of robbery.

Area

Rate (per 100,000)

Two year trend

Bourke

99.1

N/A

Blacktown

95.1

Stable

Moree Plains

84.8

N/A

Parramatta

80.7

Down 22.2% per year

Fairfield

66.0

Stable

Penrith

65.8

Stable

Sexual Offences

The NSW rate per 100,00 population for sexual offences is 153.5. Here are some of the areas with the highest rate of sexual offences.

Area

Rate (per 100,000)

Two year trend

Bourke

958.0

Stable

Cabonne

563.8

Stable

Bogan

429.6

N/A

Walgett

426.6

Stable

Wentworth

410.5

Stable

Lachlan

371.2

N/A

Theft

The NSW rate per 100,000 for theft is 3,262.9. Below are some regions with the highest rate of theft.

Area

Rate (per 100,000)

Two year trend

Bourke

13,809.1

Stable

Moore Plains

9,013.8

Stable

Walgett

6,752.0

Up 21.1% per year

Cobar

5,816.3

Stable

Armidale Dumaresq

5,206.1

Stable

Wagga Wagga

5,031.9

Stable

Victoria (VIC)

Offence

2013

2014

Change

Murder

46

58

+12

Sexual assault

3,920

4,169

+249

Kidnapping/abduction

138

122

-16

Armed robbery

1,365

1,142

-223

Unlawful entry with intent

44,915

44,457

-458

Motor vehicle theft

12,051

13,227

+1176

(Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) “Recorded Crime- Victims, 2014)

In 2014, there were several offences committed on VIC residential property. There were; 41 murders, 2,665 sexual assault cases, 45 kidnaps/abductions, 131 armed robberies, and 30,309 unlawful entries.

Based on the suburbs with the highest unemployment rates in VIC (as at December 2015), you may want to avoid purchasing real estate in Dandenong (21.9%), Broadmeadows (21.7%), Doveton (21.1%), Campbellfield - Coolaroo (19.7%) and Meadow Heights (18.4%).

Location break-down

The following data has been obtained from the Victoria Police 2013/2014 Crime Statistics “Summary of Offences Recorded” report.

Eastern Region

Offence

2012/2013 (rate per 100,000)

2013/2014 (rate per 100,000)

% Change

Homicide

2.2

2.9

34.1

Assault

668.2

729.3

9.1

Robbery

29.8

28.3

-5.1

Abduction/kidnap

8.4

10.3

23.3

North West Metro

Offence

2012/2013 (rate per 100,000)

2013/2014 (rate per 100,000)

% Change

Homicide

4.2

3.4

-19.7

Assault

912.7

896.2

-1.8

Robbery

86.2

73.2

-15.2

Abduction/kidnap

16.3

13.0

-20.0

Southern Metro

Offence

2012/2013 (rate per 100,000)

2013/2014 (rate per 100,000)

% Change

Homicide

2.3

2.2

-5.0

Assault

783.7

760.0

-3.0

Robbery

44.7

42.3

-5.3

Abduction/kidnap

11.6

9.9

-14.3

Western Region

Offence

2012/2013 (rate per 100,000)

2013/2014 (rate per 100,000)

% Change

Homicide

3.7

2.7

-27.2

Assault

946.1

896.5

-5.2

Robbery

22.8

21.7

-4.8

Abduction/kidnap

12.1

9.5

-21.7

Queensland (QLD)

Offence

2013

2014

Change

Murder

39

53

+14

Sexual assault

4,019

4,063

+44

Kidnapping/abduction

54

31

-23

Armed robbery

989

729

-260

Unlawful entry with intent

41,289

33,857

-7432

Motor vehicle theft

10,434

8,507

-1927

(Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) “Recorded Crime- Victims, 2014)

In QLD residential property there were; 38 murders, 2,783 sexual assaults, 16 kidnaps/abductions, 114 armed robberies and 17,070 unlawful entries that involved the taking of property.

The areas with the highest unemployment rate in QLD as at December 2015 are; Aurukun (57.6%), Palm Island (53.6%), Kowanyama - Pormpuraaw (29.1%), Mount Morgan (26.2%) and Logan Central (24.0%), so think twice before buying a property in these regions.

Location breakdown

The following data has been obtained from the Queensland government “District Reported Offence Rates”.

Darling Downs

Offence

Dec 2014 (rate)

Dec 2015 (rate)

Change

Homicide (Murder)

0

0

N/A

Assault

25.01

28.46

+3.45

Robbery

0.42

1.65

+1.23

Abduction/kidnap

0

0

N/A

Gold Coast

Offence

Dec 2014 (rate)

Dec 2015 (rate)

Change

Homicide (Murder)

0

0

N/A

Assault

23.28

31.57

+8.29

Robbery

2.93

2.53

- 0.4

Abduction/kidnap

0.73

1.26

+0.53

Logan

Offence

Dec 2014 (rate)

Dec 2015 (rate)

Change

Homicide (Murder)

0

0.30

+0.30

Assault

27.60

35.40

+7.8

Robbery

3.0

2.65

0.35

Abduction/kidnap

1.20

0.59

-0.61

North Brisbane

Offence

Dec 2014 (rate)

Dec 2015 (rate)

Change

Homicide

0

0.14

0.14

Assault

26.69

26.91

+0.22

Robbery

2.68

2.22

-0.46

Abduction/kidnap

0.42

0.14

-0.28

South Australia

Offence

2013

2014

Change

Murder

21

11

-10

Sexual assault

1,359

1,545

+186

Kidnapping/abduction

68

67

-1

Armed robbery

778

737

-41

Unlawful entry with intent

14,351

13,070

-1281

Motor vehicle theft

3,636

3,319

-317

(Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) “Recorded Crime- Victims, 2014)

A total of 6 murders, 1,091 sexual assaults, 38 kidnaps/abductions, 53 armed robberies, 6,591 unlawful entries occurred on SA residential property in 2014.

In terms of the suburbs with the highest unemployment rates in SA, you may want to be skeptical about buying property in Elizabeth (33.6%), APY Lands (24.9%), Elizabeth North (24.3%), Hackham West - Huntfield Heights (22.3%), and Christie Downs (21.5%).

Location break down

The following data was taken from the South Australian government website.

Elizabeth (Local Service Area)

Offence

Dec 2015

Murder

0

Aggravated sexual assault

24

Abduction, harassment and other offences

10

Aggravated robbery

9

Serious criminal trespass (residence)

117

Hackham West - Huntfield Heights (South Coast Local Service Area)

Offence

Dec 2015

Murder

0

Aggravated sexual assault

9

Abduction, harassment and other offences

16

Aggravated robbery

9

Serious criminal trespass (residence)

51

Christie Downs (South Coast Local Service Area)- as above

Offence

Dec 2015

Murder

0

Aggravated sexual assault

9

Abduction, harassment and other offences

16

Aggravated robbery

9

Serious criminal trespass (residence)

51

Western Australia (WA)

Offence

2013

2014

Change

Murder

35

31

-4

Sexual assault

1,825

1,942

+117

Kidnapping/abduction

19

23

+4

Armed robbery

765

648

-117

Unlawful entry with intent

35,439

35,004

-435

Motor vehicle theft

8,701

8,067

-634

(Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) “Recorded Crime- Victims, 2014)

In 2014, the following offences were committed on WA residential premises; 18 murders, 1,399 sexual assaults, 7 kidnaps/abductions, 160 armed robberies, 18,466 unlawful entries.

The locations with the highest unemployment rate include; Halls Creek (35.9%), Derby - West Kimberley (25.5%), Girrawheen (24.4%), Balga - Mirrabooka (24.3%), and Roebuck (22.0%) in December 2015, so carefully consider your need to buy real estate in these areas.

Location break-down

The following data was obtained from the Western Australia Police Service Monthly Verified Crime Statistics 2015-2016.

Metropolitan region

Offence

Dec 2015 (number)

Dec 2015 (rate per 100,000)

Homicide

7

0.3

Recent sexual assault

197

9.7

Burglary (dwelling)

2,004

99.1

Motor vehicle theft

608

30.1

Regional WA region

Offence

Dec 2015 (number)

Dec 2015 (rate per 100,000)

Homicide

4

0.7

Recent sexual assault

54

9.8

Burglary (dwelling)

546

99.0

Motor vehicle theft

150

27.2

Central Metropolitan District

Offence

Dec 2015 (number)

Dec 2015 (rate per 100,000)

Homicide

1

0.2

Recent sexual assault

38

9.3

Burglary (dwelling)

444

108.9

Motor vehicle theft

127

31.2

North West Metropolitan District

Offence

Dec 2015 (number)

Dec 2015 (rate per 100,000)

Homicide

N/A

N/A

Recent sexual assault

47

7.2

Burglary (dwelling)

460

70.3

Motor vehicle theft

163

24.9

South Metropolitan District

Offence

Dec 2015 (number)

Dec 2015 (rate per 100,000)

Homicide

6

1.2

Recent sexual assault

42

8.2

Burglary (dwelling)

454

88.7

Motor vehicle theft

149

29.1

Kimberly District

Offence

Dec 2015 (number)

Dec 2015 (rate per 100,000)

Homicide

1

2.6

Recent sexual assault

13

33.2

Burglary (dwelling)

105

268.5

Motor vehicle theft

49

125.3

Pilbara District

Offence

Dec 2015 (number)

Dec 2015 (rate per 100,000)

Homicide

2

2.9

Recent sexual assault

4

5.7

Burglary (dwelling)

47

67.1

Motor vehicle theft

11

15.7

South West District

Offence

Dec 2015 (number)

Dec 2015 (rate per 100,000)

Homicide

N/A

N/A

Recent sexual assault

7

1.7

Burglary (dwelling)

91

51.3

Motor vehicle theft

23

13.0

Tasmania (TAS)

Offence

2013

2014

Change

Murder

8

6

-2

Sexual assault

187

216

+29

Kidnapping/abduction

0

0

0

Armed robbery

73

52

-21

Unlawful entry with intent

3,460

3,703

+243

Motor vehicle theft

1,130

1,249

+119

(Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) “Recorded Crime- Victims, 2014)

In 2014, 6 murders, 147 sexual assault, 0 kidnapping/abductions, 19 armed robberies, 1,972 unlawful entries occurred on TAS residential property.

The highest unemployment suburbs in TAS are; Bridgewater - Gagebrook (24.3%), Ravenswood (21.9%), Rokeby (15.6%), Risdon Vale (14.3%), and East Devonport (31.1%) which may represent areas that have a higher crime rate than other TAS locations.

Location break-down

The following data was obtained from the Tasmanian Police Annual (June) 2015 Corporate Performance Report.

Hobart

Offence

Last YTD

This YTD

Change

Robbery

19

19

0%

Property offences

3,074

3,123

1.6%

Burglary

236

262

11.0%

Property damage

576

493

-14.4%

Stolen motor vehicles

181

223

23.2%

Kingston

Offence

Last YTD

This YTD

Change

Robbery

5

3

-40.0%

Property offences

1,008

1,142

13.3%

Burglary

118

197

66.9%

Property damage

192

140

-27.1%

Stolen motor vehicles

53

49

-7.5%

Bridgewater

Offence

Last YTD

This YTD

Change

Robbery

7

8

14.3%

Property offences

1,798

1,740

-3.2%

Burglary

183

129

-29.5%

Property damage

303

316

4.3%

Stolen motor vehicles

172

120

-30.2%

North-east

Offence

Last YTD

This YTD

Change

Robbery

2

1

-50.0%

Property offences

552

630

14.1%

Burglary

39

37

-5.1%

Property damage

106

77

-27.4%

Stolen motor vehicles

14

25

78.6%

Devonport

Offence

Last YTD

This YTD

Change

Robbery

5

2

-60.0%

Property offences

2,017

2,287

13.4%

Burglary

142

145

2.1%

Property damage

343

342

-0.3%

Stolen motor vehicles

40

103

157.5%

Australian Capital Territory (ACT)

Offence

2013

2014

Change

Murder

0

0

0

Sexual assault

237

183

-54

Kidnapping/abduction

6

4

-2

Armed robbery

74

86

+12

Unlawful entry with intent

2,078

2,230

+152

Motor vehicle theft

676

752

+76

(Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) “Recorded Crime- Victims, 2014)

108 sexual assaults, 0 kidnaps/abductions, 11 armed robberies, and 1,083 unlawful entries were committed on residential property in the ACT in 2014.

In December 2015, the suburbs with the highest unemployment rates in the ACT were the ACT - East (16.4%), Chamwood (12.4%), Reid (12.2%), Florey (9.5%), and Scullin (8.8%), so ensure that you fully evaluate the safety of these areas before you settle down.

Location break-down

The following data has been obtained from the Australian Federal Police Crime Statistics online mapping tool. The source used is the ACT Policing PROMIS and Autocite as of 1 March, 2013.  There is no rate information available as the population is under 350 persons. The data is only available for the below regions.

Gungahlin

Offence

2013

Homicide

0

Sexual assault

1

Burglary

6

Property damage

12

Motor vehicle theft

2

Belconnen

Offence

2013

Homicide

0

Sexual assault

0

Burglary

23

Property damage

89

Motor vehicle theft

17

Northern Territory (NT)

Offence

2013

2014

Change

Murder

17

9

-8

Sexual assault

366

373

+7

Kidnapping/abduction

0

0

0

Armed robbery

32

46

+14

Unlawful entry with intent

3,101

3,331

+230

Motor vehicle theft

771

953

+182

(Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) “Recorded Crime- Victims, 2014)

For NT offences, the following were committed in 2014 on residential property; 132 sexual assaults, 4 armed robberies, and 921 unlawful entries.

The regions with the highest unemployment rate, and which you might want to exclude from your location radar include; Thamarrur (19.7%), Sandover Plenty (18.2%), Yuendumu - Anmatjeve (18.0%), Barkly (15.3%), East Arnhem (13.3%), and West Arnhem (13.3%).

Location break-down

The following data was obtained from the Northern Territory Police government website.

Darwin

The Darwin region comprises Darwin city and the associated suburbs from Buffalo Creek, Berrimah and East Arm westwards.

Offence

01/02/14 - 31/01/15

01/02/15 - 31/01/16

% change

Sexual assault

136

133

-2.2

House break-ins

760

586

-22.9

Property damage

2,490

2,327

-6.5

Motor vehicle theft

1,191

933

-21.7

Palmerston

The Palmerston region consists of Pinelands and Yarrawonga south to the Elizabeth River, closely approximating the Palmerston Local Government Area.

Offence

01/02/14 - 31/01/15

01/02/15 - 31/01/16

% change

Sexual assault

41

31

-24.4

House break-ins

263

247

-6.1

Property damage

783

746

-4.7

Motor vehicle theft

521

432

-17.1

Alice Springs

The Alice Springs area includes the surrounding areas corresponding to the Alice Springs Local Government Area.

Offence

01/02/14 - 31/01/15

01/02/15 - 31/01/16

% change

Sexual assault

60

74

23.3

House break-ins

396

416

5.1

Property damage

1470

1566

6.5

Motor vehicle theft

289

338

17

Tennant Creek

The Tennant Creek region comprises the township and surrounding area.

Offence

01/02/14 - 31/01/15

01/02/15 - 31/01/16

% change

Sexual assault

9

5

-44.4

House break-ins

22

42

90.9

Property damage

126

156

23.8

Motor vehicle theft

21

11

-47.6

Katherine

The Katherine region comprises the township and surrounding rural area closely approximating the Katherine Local Government Area.

Offence

01/02/14 - 31/01/15

01/02/15 - 31/01/16

% change

Sexual assault

30

23

-23.3

House break-ins

74

84

13.5

Property damage

396

238

-39.9

Motor vehicle theft

110

92

-16.4

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