BARCHART MORNING CALL
Wednesday, July 23rd, 2014View Older Reports
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OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Sep E-mini S&Ps (ESU14 +0.18%) this morning are trading slightly higher by +0.18% on support from today's +0.63% rally in the Euro Stoxx 50 index and a further +0.2% upward rebound in Russian stocks. Asian stocks today closed mostly higher: Japan -0.10%, Hong Kong +0.80%, China +0.23%, Australia +0.60%, Singapore +0.72%, South Korea -0.11, India +0.47%, Turkey +0.38%. The dollar index (DXY00 -0.03%) is slightly lower by -0.03% this morning, while EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.03% and USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.05%. Sep T-note prices (ZNU14 +0.05%) are up 1 tick.
Commodity prices are little changed on net this morning. Sep WTI crude oil (CLU14 +0.14%) is up +0.02% and Sep gasoline (RBU14 -0.05%) is down -0.09%. Aug gold (GCQ14 +0.11%) is up +0.16%, Sep silver (SIU14 -0.01%) is up +0.10%, and Sep copper (HGU14 +0.05%) is down -0.31%. Grain prices are steady to slightly higher this morning. Livestock and softs are mixed.
The Russian Micex stock index today is up +0.2%, adding to Tuesday's gain of +1.55% for the second day of recovery after 6 straight losses totaling -7.7%. The EU is now waiting to see if Russia assists in an international investigation into last week's downing of the Malaysia Air passenger plane in deciding whether to launch sanctions that could include more limited access to the EU capital markets and restrictions on access to sensitive energy and defense technology. The markets were pleased with the EU's limited sanctions threat.
The Bank of England at its July 9-10 policy meeting voted 9-0 to leave its base rate unchanged at 0.50%, according to the minutes released today. The minutes also said that some Monetary Policy Committee members have started to argue that there are reduced risks from a rate hike due to strengthening economic growth. However, other members said that "although the domestic economy was growing at or above longer-term average rates, there was little indication of inflation pressures building." The minutes added, "A premature tightening in monetary policy might leave the economy vulnerable to shocks." The MPC is waiting for the BOE's release next month of the quarterly Inflation Report, which will provide more data on the amount of slack in the UK economy.
Spain's Q2 GDP improved slightly to +0.5% q/q from +0.4% q/q in Q1, which was slightly above market expectations of +0.4%. Spain's Q2 GDP on a year-on-year basis was up +1.0% y/y. Spain's GDP has now risen for four straight quarters, indicating that it was clearly emerged from the recession sparked by the global financial crisis and the Eurozone debt crisis. The Bank of Spain is forecasting that Spain's GDP growth rate will improve to +2.0% in 2015 from +1.3% in 2014, indicating expectations for lackluster economic growth in Spain.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
There are 37 of the S&P 500 companies that report earnings today with notable reports including: AT&T (consensus $0.63), Facebook (0.32), E-Trade (0.23), Boeing (1.98), Northrop Grumman (2.22), Dow Chemical (0.72), Delta Airlines (1.03), PepsiCo (1.23), Norfolk Southern (1.74), and Gilead Sciences (1.79). Equity conferences during the remainder of this week include: Wells Fargo Small Cell Symposium on Thu.
Sep E-mini S&Ps this morning are up +0.18% on support from today's +0.63% rally in the Europe Stoxx 50 index. The U.S. stock market on Tuesday rallied moderately with a new record high in the S&P 500 index: S&P 500 +0.50%, Dow Jones +0.36%, Nasdaq +0.71%. Bullish factors included (1) reduced concerns about the Russian-Ukraine situation after Russian separatists handed over the black boxes to Malaysian authorities and released the train with bodies of the victims, (2) the stronger than expected June existing home sales report of +2.6% to a new 8-month high, and (3) the stabilization of the June CPI report that took some tightening pressure off the Fed.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Of the 13 of the S&P 500 companies that have reported earnings this morning, only two reported below-consensus EPS, i.e., Whirlpool (WHR +2.03%) (2.62 vs consensus of 2.91) and Praxair (PX +0.16%) (1.58 vs 1.59). Notable companies that have reported above-consensus earnings this morning include Dow Chemical (DOW +0.85%) (0.74 vs 0.72), PepsiCo (PEP -0.82%) (1.32 vs 1.23), Delta Airlines (DAL +1.43%) (1.04 vs 1.033), and General Dynamics (GD +0.17%) (1.88 vs 1.77).
Apple (AAPL +0.83%) fell late yesterday after after reporting third quarter results and fourth quarter guidance.
Microsoft (MSFT unch) recovered and rose more than 1% late yesterday after an initial dip on its earnings report. Microsoft's Q2 EPS of 55 cents was below the consensus of 60 cents due to expenses related to Microsoft's purchase of Nokia's mobile business in April.
Broadcom (BRCM +0.31%) (+3%) and Robert Half (RHI +0.73%) (+4%) rallied in after-hours trading yesterday after positive earnings results.
Ballard Power Systems (BLDP +0.24%) rallied near 3% late yesterday after news its received a purchase order from New Flyer Industries.
Xilinx (XLNX -0.37%) fell sharply by nearly 9% late yesterday after reporting earnings.
Deutsche Bank is down more than -2% today after news that the New York Fed in December sent a letter to the bank saying that regulators found that the bank's U.S. operations suffered from inadequate oversight.
MARKET COMMENTS
Sep 10-year T-notes this morning are up 1 tick. Sep 10-year T-note futures prices on Tuesday closed mildly higher due to ongoing safe-haven demand and technical buying. Closes: TYU4 +3.5, FVU4 +4.25.
The dollar index this morning is slightly lower by -0.03 points (-0.03%) while EUR/USD is up +0.0004 (+0.03%) and USD/JPY is down -0.05 (-0.05%). The dollar index on Tuesday closed moderately higher as EUR saw weakness as the markets wait for the shoe to drop on the extent of new sanctions on Russia. The dollar index was also supported by the stronger-than-expected U.S. existing home sales report. Closes: Dollar index +0.22 (+0.27%), EUR/USD -0.0058 (-0.43), USD/JPY +0.06 (+0.06%).
Sep WTI crude oil this morning is up +0.02 (+0.02%) and Sep gasoline is down -0.0027 (-0.09%). Aug crude and gasoline prices on Tuesday closed lower: CLU4 -0.47 (-0.46%), RBU4 -0.0107 (-0.37%). Bearish factors included expectations for a continued rise in gasoline inventories, bearish API figures, the rally in the dollar index, and long liquidation pressure after Monday’s rally.
GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR07/23/2014
US
0700 ET
Weekly MBA mortgage applications, previous -3.6% with purchase sub-index -7.6% and refi sub-index -0.1%.
1030 ET
EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report.
UK
0430 ET
Minutes of the Jul 9-10 BOE policy meeting.
0600 ET
UK Jul CBI reported sales expected +11 to 15, Jun 4.
EUR
1000 ET
Eurozone Jul consumer confidence expected unch at -7.5.
JPN
1950 ET
Japan Jun trade balance expected -665.3 billion yen, May -910.8 billion yen. Jun exports expected +1.0% y/y, May -2.7% y/y. Jun imports expected +8.4% y/y, May -3.5% y/y.
2135 ET
Japan Jul Markit/JMMA manufacturing PMI, Jun 51.5.
CHI
2145 ET
China Jul HSBC flash manufacturing PMI expected +0.3 to 51.0, Jun +1.3 to 50.7.
U.S. STOCK CALENDAR07/23/2014
Company Name
Ticker
Time
Event Description
Period
Estimate
Northrop Grumman Corp
NOC US
Bef-mkt
Q2 2014 Earnings Release
Q2 2014
2.221
Praxair Inc
PX US
Bef-mkt
Q2 2014 Earnings Release
Q2 2014
1.587
Boeing Co/The
BA US
Bef-mkt
Q2 2014 Earnings Release
Q2 2014
1.982
Ryder System Inc
R US
Bef-mkt
Q2 2014 Earnings Release
Q2 2014
1.393
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc
TMO US
Bef-mkt
Q2 2014 Earnings Release
Q2 2014
1.624
Dow Chemical Co/The
DOW US
Bef-mkt
Q2 2014 Earnings Release
Q2 2014
0.715
Biogen Idec Inc
BIIB US
Bef-mkt
Q2 2014 Earnings Release
Q2 2014
2.831
Delta Air Lines Inc
DAL US
Bef-mkt
Q2 2014 Earnings Release
Q2 2014
1.031
Freeport-McMoRan Inc
FCX US
Bef-mkt
Q2 2014 Earnings Release
Q2 2014
0.518
General Dynamics Corp
GD US
Bef-mkt
Q2 2014 Earnings Release
Q2 2014
1.77
TE Connectivity Ltd
TEL US
Bef-mkt
Q3 2014 Earnings Release
Q3 2014
0.988
Simon Property Group Inc
SPG US
Bef-mkt
Q2 2014 Earnings Release
Q2 2014
2.134
Air Products & Chemicals Inc
APD US
6:00
Q3 2014 Earnings Release
Q3 2014
1.448
Whirlpool Corp
WHR US
6:00
Q2 2014 Earnings Release
Q2 2014
2.913
PepsiCo Inc
PEP US
7:00
Q2 2014 Earnings Release
Q2 2014
1.23
EMC Corp/MA
EMC US
7:00
Q2 2014 Earnings Release
Q2 2014
0.425
Norfolk Southern Corp
NSC US
8:00
Q2 2014 Earnings Release
Q2 2014
1.736
PepsiCo Inc
PEP US
8:00
Q2 2014 Earnings Call
Q2 2014
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc
TMO US
8:30
Q2 2014 Earnings Call
Q2 2014
ACE Ltd
ACE US
8:30
Q2 2014 Earnings Call
Q2 2014
EMC Corp/MA
EMC US
8:30
Q2 2014 Earnings Call
Q2 2014
TE Connectivity Ltd
TEL US
8:30
Q3 2014 Earnings Call
Q3 2014
Norfolk Southern Corp
NSC US
8:45
Q2 2014 Earnings Call
Q2 2014
Dow Chemical Co/The
DOW US
9:00
Q2 2014 Earnings Call
Q2 2014
Biogen Idec Inc
BIIB US
9:00
Q2 2014 Earnings Call
Q2 2014
FMC Technologies Inc
FTI US
9:00
Q2 2014 Earnings Call
C1 2014
General Dynamics Corp
GD US
9:00
Q2 2014 Earnings Call
Q2 2014
Air Products & Chemicals Inc
APD US
10:00
Q3 2014 Earnings Call
Q3 2014
Delta Air Lines Inc
DAL US
10:00
Q2 2014 Earnings Call
Q2 2014
Freeport-McMoRan Inc
FCX US
10:00
Q2 2014 Earnings Call
Q2 2014
Whirlpool Corp
WHR US
10:00
Q2 2014 Earnings Call
Q2 2014
Boeing Co/The
BA US
10:30
Q2 2014 Earnings Call
Q2 2014
Praxair Inc
PX US
11:00
Q2 2014 Earnings Call
Q2 2014
Ryder System Inc
R US
11:00
Q2 2014 Earnings Call
Q2 2014
Nabors Industries Ltd
NBR US
11:00
Q2 2014 Earnings Call
Q2 2014
Constellation Brands Inc
STZ US
11:00
Annual General Meeting
Y 2014
Simon Property Group Inc
SPG US
11:00
Q2 2014 Earnings Call
Q2 2014
Linear Technology Corp
LLTC US
11:30
Q4 2014 Earnings Call
Q4 2014
Northrop Grumman Corp
NOC US
12:00
Q2 2014 Earnings Call
Q2 2014
Amphenol Corp
APH US
13:00
Q2 2014 Earnings Call
Q2 2014
QUALCOMM Inc
QCOM US
16:00
Q3 2014 Earnings Release
Q3 2014
1.213
Gilead Sciences Inc
GILD US
16:05
Q2 2014 Earnings Release
Q2 2014
1.794
Citrix Systems Inc
CTXS US
16:05
Q2 2014 Earnings Release
Q2 2014
0.607
F5 Networks Inc
FFIV US
16:05
Q3 2014 Earnings Release
Q3 2014
1.35
Gilead Sciences Inc
GILD US
16:30
Q2 2014 Earnings Call
Q2 2014
F5 Networks Inc
FFIV US
16:30
Q3 2014 Earnings Call
Q3 2014
AT&T Inc
T US
16:30
Q2 2014 Earnings Call
Q2 2014
TripAdvisor Inc
TRIP US
16:30
Q2 2014 Earnings Call
Q2 2014
Citrix Systems Inc
CTXS US
16:45
Q2 2014 Earnings Call
Q2 2014
Tractor Supply Co
TSCO US
17:00
Q2 2014 Earnings Call
Q2 2014
CA Inc
CA US
17:00
Q1 2015 Earnings Call
Q1 2015
E*TRADE Financial Corp
ETFC US
17:00
Q2 2014 Earnings Call
Q2 2014
Varian Medical Systems Inc
VAR US
17:00
Q3 2014 Earnings Call
Q3 2014
Facebook Inc
FB US
17:00
Q2 2014 Earnings Call
Q2 2014
Tractor Supply Co
TSCO US
Aft-mkt
Q2 2014 Earnings Release
Q2 2014
0.947
Crown Castle International Corp
CCI US
Aft-mkt
Q2 2014 Earnings Release
Q2 2014
0.858
AT&T Inc
T US
Aft-mkt
Q2 2014 Earnings Release
Q2 2014
0.636
CA Inc
CA US
Aft-mkt
Q1 2015 Earnings Release
Q1 2015
0.602
Flowserve Corp
FLS US
Aft-mkt
Q2 2014 Earnings Release
Q2 2014
0.924
Torchmark Corp
TMK US
Aft-mkt
Q2 2014 Earnings Release
Q2 2014
1.027
Equifax Inc
EFX US
Aft-mkt
Q2 2014 Earnings Release
Q2 2014
0.943
E*TRADE Financial Corp
ETFC US
Aft-mkt
Q2 2014 Earnings Release
Q2 2014
0.231
Varian Medical Systems Inc
VAR US
Aft-mkt
Q3 2014 Earnings Release
Q3 2014
1.087
Macerich Co/The
MAC US
Aft-mkt
Q2 2014 Earnings Release
Q2 2014
0.84
TripAdvisor Inc
TRIP US
Aft-mkt
Q2 2014 Earnings Release
Q2 2014
0.605
Facebook Inc
FB US
Aft-mkt
Q2 2014 Earnings Release
Q2 2014
0.321
AvalonBay Communities Inc
AVB US
Aft-mkt
Q2 2014 Earnings Release
Q2 2014
1.664
Assurant Inc
AIZ US
Aft-mkt
Q2 2014 Earnings Release
Q2 2014
1.544
QUALCOMM Inc
QCOM US
17:45
Q3 2014 Earnings Call
Q3 2014
Amphenol Corp
APH US
Q2 2014 Earnings Release
Q2 2014
1.051