The strong start to the growing season, as indicated by 79 percent of the U.S. corn crop and 73 percent of U.S. soybean crop rated in good or excellent condition on June 18, has many market observers predicting large yields. Previous farmdoc daily articles have emphasized a pattern of bias that is particularly pronounced early in the growing season and the overall limited information these early season crop condition ratings provide. However, the analysis of bias in early season ratings was unconditional. That is, the average bias was computed for all years in the sample without regard to whether the early season ratings were especially high or low. It is possible that the change in the ratings (bias) depends on the starting level of the ratings. The purpose of this article is to analyze the bias in early season crop condition ratings for corn and soybeans conditional on the initial magnitude of the ratings.