2013-11-14

Week 11 Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em



Here is a no huddle approach toward addressing your best starts, and most advisable sits for all 28 teams that will be in action this week. That excludes the Cowboys and Rams, who will each have their byes. Game time is approaching, so we’ll immediately launch into Week 11.

Colts at Titans

Indianapolis

Start: T. Y. Hilton

There is no other Colt receiver worthy of your trust in this offense. And in the past two weeks, he has 14 receptions, while exploding for 251 yards, and those three TDs in Week 9. Just do not expect a similar stat line against Tennessee’s formidable CB tandem of Alterraun Verner and Jason McCourty.

Other Starts: Andrew Luck, Coby Fleener

Sit: Trent Richardson

The 2.55 YPC that he averaged in Weeks 8 and 9 were abysmal. But the 0.4 that he registered in Week 10 by rushing for just two yards on five carries was actually far worse. Even against the league’s 21st ranked run defense, he will only disappoint you.

Other Sits: Donald Brown, Darrius Heyward-Bey, Griff Whalen, LaVon Brazill 

Tennessee

Start: Kendall Wright

Wright has proven himself to be the most dependable on a weekly basis. Even with the unplanned QB switch to Ryan Fitzpatrick, he received the most targets, and responded by leading the team in yardage and receptions.

Other Starts: Chris Johnson, Delanie Walker

Sit: Nate Washington

You need to find a better option. As he has failed to exceed 30 receiving yards in four of the past five contests, and has not scored since Week 4. And do not be surprised if Justin Hunter soon seizes a larger role.

Other Sits: Ryan Fitzpatrick, Shonn Greene, Justin Hunter  

Jets at Bills

New York

Start: Chris Ivory

While the workloads of Ivory and Bilal Powell have fluctuated, Ivory has garnered the heavier volume with more frequency in recent weeks, and responded by exceeding 100 yards in both Week 7 and Week 9. Making him the most likely Jet RB to exploit a Buffalo run defense that yields 115 YPG.

Other Starts: Geno Smith (2 QB Leagues), Santonio Holmes 

Sit: Jeremy Kerley

None of the Jets’ receiving options have distinguished themselves as a reliable weekly option. Plus, Santonio Holmes should now return as the tea’s WR1. That should lead you to search elsewhere.

Other Sits: Bilal Powell, Stephen Hill, David Nelson, Jeff Cumberland  

Buffalo

Start: None

Unless you are beyond desperate, there are no Bills that should be trusted this week. The Jets’ top ranked rush defense will smother C. J. Spiller and Fred Jackson. And both Steve Johnson and Roberts Woods are unlikely to perform. Better days are ahead following Buffalo’s bye, but wait until that time.

Other Starts: None

Sit: C. J. Spiller

He could only manage 2.9 YPC and 23 yards against a Pittsburgh defense that entered their matchup ranked 31st versus the run. Now, he must negotiate a Jet defense that leads the league in stifling opposing rushers. All of which makes it wise to sit him until he returns rested and (hopefully) healthier in Week 13.

Other Sits: E. J. Manuel, Fred Jackson, Steve Johnson, Robert Woods, Marquise Goodwin 

Falcons at Buccaneers

Atlanta

Start: Harry Douglas

Remarkably, a myriad of problems for this offense have elevated Douglas into Atlanta’s most viable starting option this week.  If Douglas lines up in the slot as expected, Roddy White will be smothered by Darrelle Revis. Leaving Douglas to supply owners with an acceptable yardage total.

Other Starts: Matt Ryan (2 QB Leagues), Tony Gonzalez

Sit: Roddy White

His numbers are likely to improve in the upcoming weeks. But given his modest target total (four), underwhelming output (one catch for 20 yards), and the presence of Revis this week, it is best to see better results before you return him to your starting lineup.

Other Sits: Steven Jackson, Jacquizz Rodgers  

Tampa Bay

Start: Vincent Jackson

It is troubling that he has only accumulated 39 yards in the last two contests combined. But he should remain in your lineups against Atlanta’s 25th ranked pass defense, which has yielded a whopping 19 TDs.

Other Starts: Mike Glennon (2 QB Leagues) 

Sit: Timothy Wright

He had been averaging six targets over his last five contests before receiving just one last Monday night. While that may be an anomaly, it would be wise to use an alternative TE.

Other Sits: Bobby Rainey, Brian Leonard, Tiquan Underwood 

Lions at Steelers

Detroit

Start: Reggie Bush

There are no surprises while discussing which Lions to start. But even though Pittsburgh effectively neutralized Buffalo’s rushing tandem last week, Detroit would be wise to attack with a hefty percentage of Bush, rather than continually throwing against the Steelers’ fourth ranked pass defense.

Other Starts: Matthew Stafford, Calvin Johnson

Sit: Kris Durham

Even though Nate Burleson’s return has been delayed at least one more week, you should have a better option than Durham on your rosters.

Other Sits: Joique Bell, Brandon Pettigrew 

Pittsburgh

Start: Ben Roethlisberger

He has thrown multiple TD passes just twice all season. Yet, due to injuries and disappointing performances by some of his counterparts, he is a borderline top 10 option.

Other Starts: Le’Veon Bell, Antonio Brown, Emmanuel Sanders

Sit: Heath Miller

It may initially be difficult to bench him because of performances in previous seasons. But he should not be on your lineups. He has failed to reach 20 yards in three of Pittsburgh’s last four games.

Other Sits: None 

Redskins at Eagles

Washington

Start: Jordan Reed

37 of his 58 targets have taken place in Washington’s last four contests, and has responded with 27 catches for 323 yards and two TDs. He joins Pierre Garcon as RG3’s primary receiving weapons, and is unquestionably an every week starter.

Other Starts: Robert Griffin III, Alfred Morris, Pierre Garcon

Sit: Leonard Hankerson

He has generated enough production to entice some owners toward using him, but does not receive enough consistent looks to merit that risk.

Other Sits: Roy Helu, Santana Moss 

Philadelphia

Start: Riley Cooper

He has produced at least 88 yards in four of the past five contests, while scoring six times during that span. That level of production with Nick Foles under center cannot be dismissed, and he should be in all lineups as a result.

Other Starts: Nick Foles, LeSean McCoy, Desean Jackson

Sit: Brent Celek

With just 13 targets in the past five games combined, it is clear that Chip Kelly is not going to utilize Celek with enough frequency for owners to deploy him

Other Sits: Jason Avant, Zach Ertz  

Ravens at Bears

Baltimore

Start: Torrey Smith

As strange as it appears, the Bears are allowing 27 PPG to opponents. While they struggle most against opposing rushers, Baltimore is likely to find more success through the air. And the Ravens’ WR1 will deliver favorable numbers.

Other Starts: Joe Flacco (2 QB Leagues), Marlon Brown 

Sit: Ray Rice

Even with an enticing matchup, I can’t recommend trotting out Rice and his 2.5 YPC unless we witness some semblance of a turnaround.

Other Sits: Bernard Pierce, Jacoby Jones, Dallas Clark  

Chicago

Start: Alshon Jeffery

He has produced over 100 yards in four of the last six contests, and has scored three times during that span. Lock him into your lineups

Other Starts: Josh McCown (2 QB Leagues), Matt Forte, Brandon Marshall

Sit: Martellus Bennett

You may not be able to bench him due to the relative dearth of options in many leagues. But he has failed to exceed 40 yards in Chicago’s last three contests.

Other Sits: None 

Browns at Bengals

Cleveland

Start: Jordan Cameron

His drop-off in targets with Jason Campbell under center is a concern. But he receives one more start here in hopes that bye week adjustments will correct the situation.

Other Starts: Jason Campbell (2 QB Leagues), Josh Gordon

Sit: Chris Ogbonnaya

No RB can be trusted with a rushing attack that ranks just 26th, with just one TD all season.

Other Sits: Willis McGahee, Fozzy Whittaker, Greg Little, Davone Bess 

Cincinnati

Start: Marvin Jones

Gaining yardage against Cleveland’s sixth ranked rush defense will not be easy, and A. J. Green will be shadowed by Joe Haden. All of which should force the Bengals to utilize other receiving weapons, and Jones should be targeted frequently.

Other Starts: Andy Dalton (2 QB Leagues), Giovani Bernard, A. J. Green

Sit: BenJarvus Green-Ellis

He has been limited to 36 yards or less in three of the past four games, and has not scored since Week 5. More insufficient numbers are coming against the Browns’ sturdy run defense.

Other Sits: Mohamed Sanu, Tyler Eifert, Jermaine Gresham  

Raiders at Texans

Oakland

Start: Denarius Moore

Despite the collection of inadequacies that exist within Oakland’s offense.His 70 targets easily lead the Raiders, and the knowledge that he will continue to receive opportunities provides enough reason to use him.

Other Starts: Rashad Jennings

Sit: Terrelle Pryor

His deficiencies continue their rise to the surface, as he has failed to generate a TD pass since Week 6, while tossing eight INTs and repeatedly making poor decisions during that span. Even in deeper leagues he can be dropped without hesitation. And you certainly do not want to start him.

Other Sits: Marcel Reece, Rod Streater 

Houston

Start: DeAndre Hopkins

He led the Texans with six receptions and 69 yards in Week 10, and has now accumulated 199 in three games with Case Keenum as the signal caller. He will benefit from an appealing matchup with Oakland this week, as only five teams have yielded more touchdown passes than the 18 that the Raiders have surrendered. They have also struggled mightily to contain their opponents’ secondary receivers in recent weeks (326 yards, five TDs).

Other Starts: Case Keenum, Ben Tate, Andre Johnson, Garrett Graham

Sit: Dennis Johnson

While you certainly don’t want to start him at this point, he is worth having on your roster. Because he would instantly become an RB1 if Tate is forced to the sidelines.

Other Sits: DeVier Posey  

Cardinals at Jaguars

Arizona

Start: Andre Ellington

The Jaguars rank dead last in run defense, and are currently surrendering 153 YPG. That is 24 YPG more than the league’s second worst run stoppers. Even if Ellington continues to be negatively impacted by Bruce Arians’ well-chronicled snap count, he should still accumulate a very favorable yardage total. Do not be surprised to see him burst for a long TD run, to satisfy his owners even further.

Other Starts: Carson Palmer, Larry Fitzgerald, Andre Roberts

Sit: Rob Housler

His season high 57 yards in Week 10 appears to have created some interest among the fantasy community, as did his TD. But his target totals have been wildly inconsistent. Plus, that was the first time that the third-year TE has discovered the end zone during his career.

Other Sits: Rashard Mendenhall, Michael Floyd  

Jacksonville

Start: Mike Brown

The Cardinals will stifle Jacksonville’s ground game, which will force the Jaguars to the air. Then with Cecil Shorts being shadowed effectively by Patrick Peterson, Chad Henne will be compelled to target Brown.

Other Starts: Cecil Shorts

Sit: Maurice Jones-Drew

If bye weeks and an overall shortage of RBs negate your option of sitting him, only employ him as a flex against the NFL’s third best run defense.

Other Sits: Chad Henne, Stephen Burton, Marcedes Lewis 

Chargers at Dolphins

San Diego

Start: Danny Woodhead

Both Woodhead and Ryan Mathews will be successful in navigating yardage through Miami’s 25th ranked rush defense. But Woodhead’s duel threat capabilities will pose massive problems for the Dolphin defenders. It is also likely that he will discover the end zone during this matchup.

Other Starts: Philip Rivers, Ryan Mathews, Keenan Allen, Antonio Gates

Sit: Eddie Royal

The Chargers’ ground game should flourish, which will reduce the number of throws from Rivers. That will not impact Alen and Gates to the degree that it will Royal, who will not garner enough targets to merit starting him.

Other Sits: Vincent Brown 

Miami

Start: Rishard Matthews

You absolutely should not chase his Week 10 numbers. But, his output did confirm that Matthews can manufacture fantasy points each week as Miami’s slot receiver. With Ryan Tannehill consistently under siege from opposing pass rushers, he will attempt to locate Mathews frequently. And if injuries and the bye week have impacted your lineups, Mathews will receive enough opportunities to serve as your WR3.  

Other Starts: Ryan Tannehill (2 QB Leagues), Lamar Miller, Brian Hartline, Charles Clay 

Sit: Mike Wallace

Despite being 15th among all WRs with 79 targets, he simply is not providing owners with consistent output. Making it too risky to trust him.

Other Sits: Daniel Thomas 

Vikings at Seahawks

Minnesota

Start: John Carlson

Kyle Rudolph’s fractured foot has dramatically impacted Carlson’s role within the Viking offense. He garnered a team high seven targets in Week 10, which enabled him to lead the Vikings in receptions (seven), yardage (98) and score his first touchdown since September, 2010. He should remain a serviceable starting option until Rudolph returns.

Other Starts: Adrian Peterson

Sit: Greg Jennings

His provided further proof that no WRs from this roster can be trusted to produce with any consistency. At least until  Patterson’s snap count rises dramatically.

Other Sits: Christin Ponder, Jerome Simpson, Cordarrelle Patterson

Seattle

Start: Percy Harvin

It is possible that he will be performing on a snap count. Yet, he will be highly motivated while facing his former team. And even if his snaps will be capped, his playmaking ability should enable him to torch a dreadful pass defense that ranks 29th, and has surrendered a league worst 21 TDs.

Other Starts: Russell Wilson, Marshawn Lynch, Golden Tate

Sit: Doug Baldwin

Hopefully, you were able to take advantage of his favorable output in Weeks 9 and 10. But with Harvin’s return, his time as your starter has ended.

Other Sits: Jermaine Kearse, Zach Miller   

49ers at Saints

San Francisco

Start: Frank Gore

The 49ers best chance to win is by attacking the Saints 23rd run defense. Owners need to hope that the Saints do not establish a large lead as they have in all previous home matchups. Otherwise, San Francisco will likely be forced to abandon the run.

Other Starts: None

Sit: Colin Kaepernick

This is setting up to be a frustrating day for Kaepernick and his owners. San Francisco currently has the NFL’s worst passing attack, which has managed just 174 YPG. Yet, Kaepernick must now attempt to accumulate yardage against the NFL’s third best pass defense, which has sacked opposing QBs 29 times. You are officially advised to look elsewhere.

Other Sits: Anquan Bolden, Mario Manningham

New Orleans

Start: Pierre Thomas

Despite a crowded backfield, Thomas should receive ample opportunities to stockpile fantasy points. He easily leads the Saints in rushing yards, and is third among all RBs with 46 receptions.

Other Starts: Drew Brees, Darren Sproles, Marques Colston, Jimmy Graham

Sit: Mark Ingram

It would be wise to avoid chasing his career best performance from Week 10. He remains the Saints’ RB3, and starting him would be assuming that he can garner 15+ touches again. In reality, it will be too difficult for him to attain a yardage total that can remotely approach the 145 that he assembled last Sunday Night.

Other Sits: Lance Moore 

Packers at Giants

Green Bay

Start: Eddie Lacy

His 3.0 YPC in Week 10 was the lowest since Green Bay’s opener, and teams may continue to without the need to fear an aerial assault from Aaron Rodgers, teams may continue to focus on containing him. But he has carried the ball at least 22 times in each of the past six contests, and should produce enough yardage to warrant the start.

Other Starts: Jordy Nelson, Jarrett Boykin

Sit: James Jones

He was on the field for 74 of 80 snaps last Sunday, yet only managed four receptions. Nelson and Boykin will receive more targets, making Jones a risky start.

Other Sits: James Starks, Andrew Quarless, Brandon Bostick

 

New York

Start: Andre Brown

He was on the field for 48 of 65 snaps while being “eased into the offense”, and achieved career highs in carries (30) and yardage (115). There is no reason to consider sitting him based upon that season debut.

Other Starts: Eli Manning (2 QB Leagues), Victor Cruz, Hakeem Nicks, Rueben Randle

Sit: Peyton Hillis

Brown has seized the starting role, and Hillis will not receive enough carries to help his owners.

Other Sits: Brandon Jacobs 

Chiefs at Broncos

Kansas City

Start: Jamaal Charles

The Chiefs return from their bye for an AFC West showdown, and one indisputable truth remains: Charles is their only trustworthy fantasy starter.

Other Starts: None

Sit: Dwayne Bowe

Setting an off-field concerns aside, a season high 12 targets helped him to his best production of the year in Week 9. But even in a favorable matchup, depending upon Alex Smith to locate him frequently is too risky.

Other Sits: Alex Smith, Donnie Avery, Anthony Fasano 

Denver

Start: Wes Welker

Even with two weeks for Andy Reed to scheme against Denver’s aerial assault, Welker owners will witness a significant rebound from his disappointing Week 10 output.

Other Starts: Peyton Manning, Knowshon Moreno, Demaryius Thomas, Eric Decker, Julius Thomas

Sit: Montee Ball

It is time to stop holding your collective breath that Ball will be a sneaky flex play. He is not slowly capturing Moreno’s touches as some have led owners to believe.

Other Sits: None       

Patriots at Panthers

New England

Start: Aaron Dobson

Earlier this season, Dobson’s drops and general ineffectiveness were clear indications that he was not ready to be one of Tom Brady’s primary options. But the rookie has displayed far more proficiency in recent weeks, while ascending into a starting slot. He was targeted nine times in Week 9, assembled a career best 130 yards and scored two touchdowns. His extensive snap count and increasing role should make him a consistent WR3 for the remainder of the season.

Other Starts: Tom Brady, Stevan Ridley, Shane Vereen, Danny Amendola, Rob Gronkowski

Sit: Brandon Boldin

He received a season low three touches in Week 9, and the return of Vereen will decrease his role even further.

Other Sits: Julian Edelman  

Carolina

Start: Greg Olsen

He should bounce back sufficiently from his substandard Week 10 production which makes him the best option. Because the Patriots will attempt to neutralize Newton, and the rushing yardage will be split among the RB trio.

Other Starts: Steve Smith

Sit: Cam Newton

His three disappointing performances have occurred against well coached defenses that contain playmakers (Seattle, Arizona, San Francisco). Bill Belichick has been provided with an additional week to determine how his unit can frustrate Newton, and it is best to use another option if you can.

Other Sits: DeAngelo Williams, Jonathan Stewart, Mike Tolbert, Brandon LaFell, Ted Ginn  

 

Original Source

Show more