2014-03-11

I’m heading for Washington D.C. on Thursday. I’ll be back next Monday night. I’m going to see President Obama to see if I can give him some pointers on leadership and ObamaCare.

Nah! Just kidding…

I’m actually heading to our fair nation’s capitol with a couple of other guys in the church to an “Elders Conference” at Capitol Hill Baptist Church in Washington.



Care to see the Agenda?

9Marks Weekender – March 13-17, 2014 at Capitol Hill Baptist Church

Thursday – 3/13

5:45p                Welcome & Orientation; Main Hall (Please plan to eat dinner before arriving)

Overview of 9Marks

7:00p                Elders Meeting; West Hall – light snacks provided

            (Warning:  This meeting has been known to go later than midnight)

Friday – 3/14

9:15a                Elders Meeting Q&A; Main Hall (optional)

10:00a              History of CHBC; Main Hall

11:30a              Introductions; Main Hall

12:30p              Lunch; Fellowship Hall (basement) – Regional Seating

1:45p                Church Discipline; Main Hall

3:00p                Afternoon Seminars: Meet with Staff on… (Choose one)

Adult Education; Memorial Parlor (basement)

Service Planning; Blue Room (basement)

International Missions (one time only); West Hall

4:00p                Afternoon Seminars: Meet with Staff on… (Choose one)

Adult Education; Memorial Parlor (basement)

Service Planning; Blue Room (basement)

Church Revitalization & Planting (one time only); Main Hall

5:45p                Dinner; Fellowship Hall (basement)

7:00p                Membership Matters Course Part I; West Hall

Saturday – 3/15

7:00a                The Slow Joe Mall Jog

8:30a                Light Continental breakfast provided; South Hall

9:00a                Discipling & Counseling; Main Hall

10:00a              Choosing & Transitioning to Elders; Main Hall

11:00a              Congregationalism; Main Hall

12:15p               Lunch; on your own, Children’s Ministry, or Group Lunch with an elder (sign-ups on site)

4:30p                Bookstall open for Weekenders; West Hall (optional)

5:30p                Dinner; Fellowship Hall (basement)

6:30p                Church Polity – Case Studies; West Hall

7:30p                Sermon Preparation/Preaching; West Hall

Sunday – 3/16

9:30a                Core Seminars (Sunday School); meet in West Hall

10:30a              Sunday Morning Service; Main Hall

1:00p                Lunch with an elder; an elder’s home

4:00p                Elders Meeting; Fellowship Hall (basement)

5:00p                Sunday Evening Service; Main Hall

7:00p                Members Meeting; Main Hall

9:00p                Service Evaluation; Fellowship Hall – dinner provided

Monday – 3/17

7:45a                Leadership 101: Raising Up Leaders (optional)

8:30a                Evaluation of weekend; West Hall – coffee and doughnuts provided

9:30a                Bookstall open for Weekenders; West Hall (optional)

**Best Practices Sale of 9Marks Titles**

It’s a nice looking church. They have about 1,000 people each Sunday.



I’m looking forward to learning more about Elder Leadership and it should be a wonderful time of growth and introspection for me. I’ll fill you in when I get back.

Kandace snapped this shot of our latest snowfall.



Pretty huh! Here’s a good shot of Clara and Andrew’s snowman. They wanted to build him all by themselves.

Nice job for two 8-year-olds. You know we pretty much hit the winter forecast on the nose. Back in October I said this:

I shared with you a while back that our snowfall this year looks to be around 25-30% more than normal. For western North Carolina that means about a foot of snow with 2-4 significant events. Now remember something about your bald-headed blogger… I’m a novice weather-guy, but I know enough to be dangerous and that’s about it. But, I read and study other weather bloggers and scientists and so I’ll try to sum some things up for ya!

It looks like we are going to have a more active southern jet stream with a weak El Nino. (El Nino is good for active winters for the south.) west and that bodes well for colder ground temperatures that will keep the air from Canada colder as it comes south. Past history teaches us that wet October’s mean colder and wetter winters.

Looks like the south might be in for a couple of ice storms. You’ll note…North Carolina will be caught in the middle of snow/ice, as usually seems to be the case.

Okay. Now for the drum roll please for the updated forecast from: LiveWeatherBlogs.com (a very reputable weather blog):

Snow Days

Location

Avg.

2013-2104

12.7

Asheville

13.2″

18.0″

17.5

Banner Elk

38.7″

50.4″

16.9

Boone

35.3″

46.1″

25.5

Grandfather Mountain

53.5″

66.7″

  5.6

Highlands

11.8″

14.0″

  2.6

Kerr Scott Reservoir

  9.7″

12.4″

  1.4

Morganton

  3.9″

5.8″

  3.3

Oconaluftee

  6.5″

7.8″

  2.6

Pisgah Forest

  7.5″

9.1″

1.4

Waterville

  4.1″

6.3″

Average Snow & Forecast

Snow Days

Location

Avg.

2013-2014

  2.4

Chapel Hill

  3.7″

5.6″

  1.9

Charlotte

  4.3″

6.6″

  1.7

Concord

  3.7″

4.1″

  0.7

Durham

  1.9″

3.2″

  0.2

Gastonia

  0.9″

1.8″

  3.9

Greensboro

  7.6″

10.1″

  1.3

Henderson

  2.7″

3.9″

  2.3

Hickory

  7.7″

10.0″

  0.9

High Point

  1.8″

3.6″

  4.2

Mount Airy

  9.3″

14.7″

  1.7

Raleigh

  3.9″

6.4″ 

Well… I think it was a pretty good forecast overall. Again…I’m a novice, but it’s fun looking at the weather. In Wilkes County (Kerr Scott Reservoir above), we pretty much hit that 12+ inch mark. In fact, eastern Wilkes County was closer to 20 inches. The first big storm we had this winter had a “dry slot” in it that held down totals in Western Wilkes, where I am. But, overall…we hit the numbers pretty well.

It’s looking like we are going to have a near normal summer for temperatures but a bit below normal in precipitation (especially the more south you go into SC and GA).

Okay…want to get a “heads-up” for next winter? Some of you are thinking, “Are you serious?” Yep. Winters run in patterns just like an individual winter can set up a pattern. The winters of 1917/18, 1957/58, 2002/03 were very similar to what this winter and next winter are going to look like for us. So, expect a wet and cold winter again in 2014/15.

You heard it here first from your handy-dandy…bald-headed…novice meteorologist!!!

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