2015-04-25

The company, which has a strong 97 IBD Composite Rating, is

60.3% owned by Santander Holdings USA, a subsidiary ofBanco

Santander (

SAN

).

Automaker Alliance

Making nonprime auto loans remains Santander Consumer USAs

main business. But the mix is becoming more balanced, with more

auto loans to prime borrowers following a 2013 accord to

originate loans for Chrysler Group, which became FCA US, a unit

ofFiat Chrysler Automobiles (

FCAU

). Santander Consumer USA launched the Chrysler Capital car

purchase and lease finance program.

Still, making nonprime auto loans remains its forte.

Santander Consumer USA uses a largely technology-driven

approach to its underwriting that distinguishes it from peers,

says BTIG analyst Mark Palmer.

It uses algorithms formed by many years of experience to make

its lending decisions, he said. In many cases a potential

borrower gets a decision in seconds or minutes vs. days or

weeks.

While the company declined to comment for this story, one of

its filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission

elaborated: As a result of our deep understanding of the market,

we have consistently produced controlled growth and robust

profitability in both economic expansions and downturns.

Adds Sandler ONeill analyst Christopher Donat: By paying

attention to some of the trend developing in their lending going

into the financial crisis, they were able to side-step some of

the worst of the credit problems during the crisis. And some of

their competitors, who were hurt by the financial crisis, ended

up selling their businesses to Santander.

With its focus on subprime loans, Santander Consumer USA

charges interest rates significantly higher than for prime

loans, says Donat.

Prime Loans In Focus

But the company is revving up for more business in the new car

auto financing and prime auto loan space in the wake of its

10-year agreement with Chrysler.

Under the agreement, which became effective on May 1, 2013,

Santander Consumer USA originates private-label loans and leases

to Chrysler Group customers and dealers via the Chrysler Capital

brand. It offers a full spectrum of auto financing products and

services under it for Chrysler, Dodge, Jeep, RAM, SRT and Fiat

vehicles.

As a result of the pact, Santander Consumer USA serves as the

captive auto loan provider for Chrysler, says Palmer. Many of

the loans its making for Chrysler are prime, he adds, which

has resulted in a mix change the past couple of years with

prime making up more of Santander Consumer USAs loan

originations.

A captive auto loan provider to a carmaker is involved in

about 60% of its loan originations, he adds, while Santander

Consumer USA is involved in around 30% of Chryslers loan

originations — so theres room to grow the business.

This (agreement with Chrysler) provides more stability to the

platform, and will achieve the majority of the companys growth

over the next few years, he said.

In the fourth quarter of 2014, Santander Consumer USAs

revenue rose 27% from a year earlier to $1.59 billion alongside a

27% increase in total finance and other interest income to $1.46

billion. Earnings per share rose 109% year over year to 69

cents.

Total originations of $6.1 billion were up from $5.8 billion a

year earlier but seasonally down from the prior quarters $7.4

billion. Managed assets rose 37% year over year to $41.2 billion

and were up from $40.4 billion in the prior quarter.

In the fourth quarter, total originations included $2.4

billion in Chrysler retail loans, $722 million in Chrysler leases

originated for Santander Consumer USAs own portfolio, and $565

million in Chrysler lease originations facilitated for an

affiliate.

Fourth-quarter return on average equity was 29.1%, up from

23.9% in the prior quarter and from 17.3% in Q4 2013.

The main driver of growth has been the Chrysler

relationship, Palmer said.

Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters expect 2015 earnings to

rise 3% to $2.45 a share. They see a 5% gain in 2016 and an 11%

increase in 2017.

I anticipate closer to 11.5% earnings growth in 2015, said

Palmer. We think that the Chrysler relationship in particular is

going to translate into pretty healthy growth.

Through strategic relationships in the unsecured consumer

lending space, the company also does point-of-sale financing,

personal loans and private label credit cards. One strategic

relationship is with Bluestem, which owns the Fingerhut,

Gettington.com and PayCheck Direct brands.

Palmer says that while unsecured consumer lending is not an

enormous contributor to the companys business now, it could be

over time. As for the current climate for the Santander Consumer

USAs business:

While there are always concerns when youre talking about

subprime loans, (its) particularly at the later stage of the

(credit) cycle that loan losses would increase, said Palmer.

Losses have ticked up somewhat, but it hasnt reached a level

that it would significantly eat into the companys

profitability.

Loan Loss Provision Lowers

Palmer adds that the company reduced its provision for loan

losses in the fourth quarter. That decrease was to $560 million

from $770 million in the prior quarter and down from $629 million

in the fourth quarter of 2013.

We continue to be upbeat about the companys business, said

Palmer, who has a buy rating on Santander Consumer USA stock.

Its demonstrated recently and historically that its

technology-fueled approach to underwriting has been effective and

we believe it will continue to be so and should continue to

benefit from its role as Chryslers captive auto loan

provider.

Adds Donat: Since the financial crisis its been a pretty

benign environment (for nonprime auto loans). Car sales have been

rising, credit quality has been improving and jobless claims have

steadily been working down.

Lower gas prices, he adds, should mean that borrowers have

more money in their wallets, which should make them better able

to stay current on their loans.

Santander Consumer USA is a part of IBDs Finance-Consumer

Loans industry group, where it holds the best IBD Composite

Rating. Other highly-rated stocks in the group areCredit

Acceptance Corp. (

CACC

) andORIX Corp. (

IX

)

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