2013-09-04



Welcome everyone! Aren't we all excited about the new season? Since it's the start of the season (it feels like the first day of school, doesn't it?), I'll give everyone a quick primer about how this works.

I troll the web for various NFL power rankings, load them up into my computer and crunch the numbers. I then make observations based on what the numbers tell me. Don't worry, it's nothing too complicated, and I'll walk you through the various displays, explaining as we go along.

Notable Quotes

Comparing the rosters of the 2013 Raiders and 2008 Lions, I've determined that the former is much, much worse. If the two teams played, I feel like Detroit would win by double digits. Indeed, the 2013 Raiders might just become the first team to go 0-17. There's no way they're going to beat their own bye.

WalterFootball.com

Chargers fans the world over rejoiced upon the ousting of Norv Turner and AJ Smith. That excitement may have been tempered somewhat during this preseason. While there have been marked improvements in the running game, other problems are still prevalent. Make no mistake, this is a rebuilding year.

Reddit

Is there anyone on the planet who knows what to make of the Chargers right now? I checked Angie's List, NFL Media colleagues ... this is a tough team to decipher. Still thinking San Diego will be on par with the Kansas City Chiefs, but King Dunlap's presence at left tackle and a very questionable receiver group make one wish Antonio Gates were five years younger and a half-a-second faster. The easy AFC West keeps San Diego ahead of Tampa and Cleveland.

NFL.com

Division Averages

Before we get to looking at where all the teams rank, let's take look at the bigger picture in the NFL. This table takes the average rankings for each team, then averages the rankings of each team in the division. It's used as a way of showing where the tougher and weaker divisions lie each week.

Division

Avg Ranking

NFC West

11.6667

NFC North

14.1389

AFC North

14.5000

NFC South

14.9444

NFC East

15.8611

AFC South

19.2222

AFC West

20.5278

AFC East

21.1389

Observations

It wasn't all that long ago when the NFC West was the laughingstock of the league. Now look at them.

The only thing keeping the AFC West out of the cellar is Denver holding everyone else up, and the futility of the Jets pulling everyone in the East down.

Stock Rising

This table is kind of self-explanatory: it shows which teams have moved up the most this week compared to last week.

Team

Preseason Week 1 Average

Week 1 Average

Difference

CLE

14.250

12.611

1.639

CHI

8.000

6.722

1.278

NO

6.833

5.889

0.944

WAS

6.417

5.556

0.861

DET

11.250

10.556

0.694

Observations

Not much movement is to be expected going from Preseason to the Regular Season, unless a team suffers some catastrophic injuries, not much changes.

Stock Falling

Team

Preseason Week 1 Average

Week 1 Average

Difference

TB

9.917

11.278

-1.361

SDG

11.917

12.944

-1.027

PIT

7.500

8.222

-0.722

IND

5.583

6.278

-0.695

NYG

5.583

6.222

-0.639

Subjective Average

We'll start off with the Subjective Average. These rankings are the ones that has actual people ranking the teams based on their gut feelings. You'll see in a moment that some of these sites may even just throw darts at a board, or have a chicken pecking at numbers. I then take all those rankings and average them together, then sort the table based on the average ranking. This method evens out the peaks and valleys and allows us to get a more reliable "big picture" view of the perception of where teams rank in the league.

Subjective





49ers

3

1

2

1

1

1

1

1

2

1.444

0.056

Seahawks

1

3

6

3

2

3

2

2

1

2.556

0.277

Broncos

4

2

1

2

3

2

3

3

4

2.667

-0.334

Falcons

2

4

3

4

5

5

4

5

8

4.444

-0.444

Packers

5

7

5

9

4

4

7

4

6

5.667

0.333

Patriots

6

6

4

8

6

8

5

6

3

5.778

0.055

Ravens

8

5

8

6

8

7

8

7

9

7.333

-1.166

Texans

7

8

9

7

7

6

6

8

11

7.667

0.666

Bengals

9

9

7

5

9

9

9

9

15

9.000

-0.833

Redskins

10

13

16

10

11

10

10

13

7

11.111

1.722

Saints

13

16

11

18

10

11

12

10

5

11.778

1.889

Giants

12

15

10

16

12

13

13

11

10

12.444

-1.277

Colts

11

12

13

11

13

14

11

15

13

12.556

-1.389

Bears

14

11

15

12

15

12

14

14

14

13.444

2.556

Cowboys

18

17

14

15

16

15

15

12

21

15.889

-0.722

Vikings

17

10

18

13

21

17

16

19

16

16.333

0.167

Steelers

16

20

12

20

14

16

17

16

17

16.444

-1.444

Rams

15

14

17

17

19

22

18

20

12

17.111

-0.444

Dolphins

20

25

23

14

23

19

22

18

18

20.222

-0.389

Panthers

23

28

19

19

18

18

23

22

19

21.000

0.500

Lions

21

18

28

21

17

20

19

24

22

21.111

1.389

Chiefs

19

19

24

27

20

24

21

17

24

21.667

0.833

Buccaneers

22

21

21

23

24

21

20

23

28

22.556

-2.723

Eagles

25

23

25

26

22

23

26

21

25

24.000

1.000

Browns

28

24

26

24

25

26

28

26

20

25.222

3.278

Cardinals

26

29

20

25

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