Rolling coverage of the results of the Scottish independence referendum as they come in, with reaction and analysis of the vote that could lead to Scotland leaving the United Kingdom
YouGov predicts 54% no, 46% yes - details
Salmond not expected to attend his local count
Record turnouts recorded
Voting day as seen by you
Scottish referendum explained for non-Brits
What happened while polls were open - blog, as it happened
Share your photos and stories via GuardianWitness
2.20am BST
It may not surprise you that most of those in the bar in New York with Nicky Woolf are very much pro-independence. Nicky has painstakingly counted every vote, and here is the full run-down:
For an independent Scotland: 66
Against an independent Scotland: 16
Dont know: 12
Origins of people questioned:
Scottish: 37
American: 23
Rest of the UK: 5
Rest of the world: 9
The media: 20
2.19am BST
Lord Reid, the Labour former Scottish secretary, told the BBC there was no precedent in peacetime for bringing three separate parties together for the Better Together campaign.
Asked if it was a mistake not to put Gordon Brown in charge, Reid said it was best to put Alisdair Darling in charge because he was acceptable to all parties. Gordon Brown was seen as too closely associated with Labour, he said. AS
2.15am BST
There was huge disappointment among yes campaigners at the count in Glasgow when the turnout in Scotlands biggest city was announced at 364,664 or 75%, reports Libby Brooks.
Thats the worst news Ive had all evening, said one - and it has not been an evening of great news all round.
Yes had been confident that their work registering voters disillusioned with Westminster politics, and engaging with those who had never voted before, would bring in the crucial votes they needed to balance more no-leaning areas of the country.
2.15am BST
More turnout figures.
In North Ayrshire, the turnout was 84.4%, and in the Scottish Borders it was 87.4%.
2.11am BST
From the Press Association.
Yes sources in West Lothian say their reporting indicates 53% in favour of No.
2.07am BST
David Cameron and the Queen are both planning to calm tensions after the heated two-year Scottish referendum campaign when they make statements on Friday after the formal declaration of the result, report Nicholas Watt and Patrick Wintour.
Cameron was expected to use the occasion to show that the coalition is committed to delivering the pledge, outlined by the leaders of the three main UK parties in the final days of the campaign, to deepen Scotlands devolution settlement.
The Queen, who is understood to have watched the referendum debate with close interest, is planning to issue a written statement in the afternoon. It is understood that the Queen, who was praised by both sides during the campaign, believes that it is important to send a message of reconciliation after the heated debates.
2.07am BST
Alberto Nardelli writes on the turnout figures:
Overall turnout remains high on 81%. East Dunbartonshire, East Renfrewshire and Stirling all reported turnout above 90%. Turnout in Glasgow though was only 75%. It is worth keeping in mind that Glasgow has historically low turnout in elections. With parts of the city reporting less than 50% turnout at the general election. Either way, on paper at least, the figure isnt good for Yes.
2.03am BST
Heres the result for Orkney.
No: 10,004 (67.2%)
2.01am BST
Like Nicky Woolf, Guardian US business and technology reporter Dominic Rushe is following the results from a Scottish bar in New York City. But our colleague Kayla Epstein questions the establishments authenticity: Their special drink menu for the evening only contains one whisky, and its a blend.
Yes or No. Both bad options. #indyref pic.twitter.com/moRbXiGyoB
2.01am BST
Huw Edwards says the BBC thinks the national turnout figure will be around 85%.
1.56am BST
The no campaign is now confident of winning the Aberdeenshire area which includes first minister and leader of the independence campaign Alex Salmonds constituency, Ben Quinn reports.
Alex Johnstone, a Conservative MSP, told the Guardian that at this stage it appeared to be a 60 to 40 split in favour of a no vote in the area, where a final result is expected to be announced at around 3am or after.
He said: Ive seen boxes and Ive sampled boxes from all over Aberdeenshire - and while at this stage I havent seen anything from the Banff coast, which is probably where the SNP [yes vote] is strongest - Ive seen boxes which are 50 / 50 and in other cases Ive seen as much as four to one for no.
A win by as much as 60/40 for the NO side in Aberdeenshire - predicted by local MSP Alex Johnstone #indyef pic.twitter.com/X0LZwUDTL9
1.55am BST
And here are some more turnout figures.
90.4% turnout in East Renfrewshire - highest so far in Scotland's #indyref: http://t.co/rCp3vKqSJg
Shetland turnout is confirmed as 84.4%, and South Lanarkshire on 85.3%. #indyref
Three new turnouts have come in. South Ayrshire is announced as 86.1%, East Lothian at 87.6%, East Renfrewshire at 90.4 %. #indyref
1.51am BST
Back to New York, where Nicky Woolf is at Manhattans oldest Scottish bar, St Andrews bar near Times Square. Chris Byiers, originally from Aberdeen, has come up to New York from his home in Philadephia to watch the results come in. His T-shirt says: Ye can stick yer union up yer erse on it - so its fair to say hes probably a yes supporter.
He says he doesnt think it matters all that much if Scotland votes no tonight - it would just be a setback for another 10 or 15 years, he says. Theres an inevitability to independence, he says.
He says that hes found American TV coverage of the debate surrounding Scottish independence very dysfunctional.
1.51am BST
In Glasgow the turnout was 75%, the returning officer has just announced.
1.49am BST
Josh Halliday is at the Green Mantle pub in Edinburgh, where he asks a drinker named Alan about the prospective result.
Its not looking good for yes, unfortunately. Im not happy. I think we need a change.
Alan reveals his innermost #indyref thoughts. More from him later. http://t.co/Ps0s8YUNls
Alan's drinking buddy, Frank, in the Green Tavern on first #indyref result http://t.co/4vWSXHJa5t
1.47am BST
More evidence of no triumphalism.
This is from the Heralds Michael Settle.
No camp cockahoop with Clackmannanshire result. One senior pro-UK source confidently declaring: "I think we've won it."
1.46am BST
Bloombergs Rob Hutton is at the national results centre in Edinburgh. This is what happened when the Clackmannanshire result came in.
The YES camp listened to the Clackmannanshire result in silence. Some had their heads in their hands. #indyref
1.44am BST
Panic over, reports Steven Morris from Dundee.
Were back in the Dundee count. No fire. Now where were we ...
1.43am BST
The fire brigade has arrived at the Dundee count, reports Steven Morris.
The firefighters are looking relaxed. Dont think we have to worry about all the voting papers burning and having to start again.
1.37am BST
The Scotsmans Kenny Farquarson is rather more brutal in his verdict on Clackmannanshire.
Ooft. Clackmannanshire was one of the Yes campaign's bankers. Devastating. Bad omen for Yes. #indyref #indyts
Clackmannanshire - UK HOLD (that's how this works, right?)
1.33am BST
John Curtice, the elections expert, on the BBC says the yes said will be rather disappointed by the result in Clackmannanshire. But it will not make much difference to the overall result, he says.
1.32am BST
Oh dear. Fire alarm goes off at the Dundee count, reports Steven Morris. Everybody out.
1.32am BST
Heres the result for Clackmannanshire.
No: 19,036 (53.8%)
1.25am BST
Heres the Shetland turnout.
Shetland announces 84.4% turnout #ScotDecides
1.24am BST
From political correspondent Rowena Mason in London backing up what were hearing elsewhere about Aberdeenshire:
A senior Labour source told the Guardian it looks like the yes campaign will lose in Salmonds backyard of Aberdeenshire.
1.23am BST
This is from the Specators James Forsyth.
An experienced number cruncher tells me that No will win by more than 8 points. Looking like Better Together's confidence was justified
1.20am BST
Were due to get the result from Clackmannanshire soon. This was seen as one of the best areas for yes. (It gets a 10 out of 10 on the Credit Suisse rating - see here.)
This is from STVs Peter Smith.
No campaigners are smiling and hugging in Clackmannanshire. Yes campaigners not reacting at all. #ScotDecides #indyref
1.17am BST
Guardian leader writer and polling expert Tom Clark is at the count in Edinburgh, and hes going to be providing us with analysis of the results throughout the night.
He says something pretty historic is happening in terms of the turnouts recorded so far.
We havent had turnout of even 70% since 1997 in a UK general election; we havent had turnout of 80% since the 1950s.
1.16am BST
According to the BBCs Ross Hawkins, Aberdeenshire is going no.
No sources anticipating a No win in Aberdeenshire, where Salmond has his seat
1.10am BST
This is from the BBCs Nick Robinson.
Can't help noticing that NO campaigners smiling whilst YES campaigners refusing to speculate before votes counted
1.06am BST
Counters in Glasgow are looking through ballot papers looking for 10 possible cases of electoral fraud, Libby Brooks reports.
Ten ballot papers are suspected of having been cast through impersonation - where an individual presents themselves at the polling station only to find that their name has already been crossed off the register and that someone appears to have voted in their place.
Count officials say that they know which ballot boxes these papers came from, and counters are now going through to match the serial numbers of the offending papers.
1.05am BST
Alberto Nardelli, data editor, writes about the turnout figures so far:
The first official numbers of the evening - turnout in Orkney (84%), Inverclyde (87%), Renfrewshire (87%) and Clackmannanshire (89%) - alongside postal voting in excess of 90% in many parts of Scotland, are a very very early indication that the polls were right about turnout. Most polls were anticipating turnout well in excess of 80%, with Ipsos MORI even showing the figure above 90%. Turnout so far is on about 87%.
The Dundee turnout figures of 78.8% are looking quite interesting as we grab on to any early signals there are still no results in as to how the result might look.
A 78.8% turnout would in any normal election be a huge figure, but when compared to other regions where weve heard the counts, its quite low many areas so far look like theyll have turnout in the high 80s.
1.04am BST
Sixteen year olds voting for the first time, Catalans in Scotland to offer their solidarity, and an undecided dog ... here is a gallery of your take on referendum day. Add your images here.
1.01am BST
Whoever wins tonight, Scotland has clearly been divided by this referendum, and you can see that in the fact that while in Aberdeen the leader of the independence campaign Alex Salmond is not expected to show up at his local count, in pro-yes Dundee a number of pro-union Liberal Democrats appear not to have made it to the count. PO
1.01am BST
Ben Quinn, who is at the Aberdeenshire count and earlier broke the story that Alex Salmond, Scotlands first minister, is not attending his local count, has been speaking to the Lib Dem MP Malcolm Bruce. The fact that Salmond is not attending tells you everything you need to know, Bruce said. He went on:
Its all about Alex Salmond. Alex Salmond will not come anywhere if he has not got a triumphant accolade around him and something to crow about. He will just crawl away quietly, as he has done in the past when things dont work out.
I said to my campaign manager as soon as we started seeing the first sample results: Salmond wont come here.
We only have had the early samples but they were pretty good. I never understood this argument that there was a movement from no to yes. We had been saying for a number of weeks that we had been getting clear, strong consistent no.
1.00am BST
Our political correspondent Rowena Mason writes:
One of the first large areas to declare will be North Lanarkshire, where reports are suggesting the yes campaign might have won by a small margin. Ruth Davidson, the Scottish Conservative leader, told the BBC the no camp might have just lost out in the fourth biggest local authority, where there is strong SNP support. Smaller authorities Clackmannanshire, Shetland and Moray are all battling to be the first to declare.
12.56am BST
My colleague Ewen MacAskill is at Ingliston in Edinburgh, where the overall national result will be announced. He has sent us this.
MPs and party officials are beginning to drift into the count at Ingliston, Edinburgh. They are too coy to go public at this stage, saying it is too early in the night, but there is a definite bounce to the Better Together no camp. They cited different reasons: from the YouGov poll to Salmond opting to spend the night at his home in Strichen.
The MP for North-East Fife, Sir Menzies Campbell, said: Naturally the Better Together campaign has been encouraged by the YouGov poll.
12.55am BST
Alistair Carmichael, the Lib Dem Scottish secretary, says that Alex Salmond should put his obsession with independence aside if the no side win. He spoke to my colleague Severin Carrell.
Assuming no does win, the question Alex Salmond has to answer is will you now put your independence obsession to one side, and work for the first time in your political life with other parties, with business, the trade unions and churches, and be part of the consensus, building instead of dividing Scottish politics?
12.51am BST
David Cameron is reported planning a statement on constitutional reform for England this morning. (See here). On Newsnight two MPs representing constituencies in England offered him ideas.
Liam Fox, the Conservative former defence secretary, and a Scot, said he favoured stopping Scottish MPs from voting on English-only bills.
Im not in favour of a separate English parliament, because I think with parish councils, town councils, district councils, county councils, Westminster, the last thing we require is another level of government. But I do think effectively what we must ensure is that Scottish MPs, who cannot vote on issues like health and education in Scotland, should not be entitled to vote on health and education in constituencies like mine in North Somerset. It is profoundly undemocratic and unfair, that needs to be dealt with.
At first youve got to have a constitutional convention in England. Secondly, we are going to have change in Westminster, its clear that the more powers that go to the Scottish Parliament, the less you can have Scottish MPs voting on the same issues for England, thats got to change in one way or another. Thirdly, though, England is much too centralised. So this isnt just about reducing the influence of Scottish MPs in Westminster, its about getting English decisions out of Westminster.
12.43am BST
In Glasgow there have been allegations of electoral fraud, Sky News reports. There were claims that, in 10 cases, people turned up to vote and found someone had already voted under that name. The police have been called in and some ballot papers are being removed from ballot boxes so they can be investigated.
12.41am BST
A reminder of the key constituencies to watch for tonight, courtesy of our Scotland correspondent Severin Carrell and Libby Brooks:
12.33am BST
This is from Skys Adam Boulton.
If NO Jim Wallace says @AlexSalmond "will have serious thinking to do... will be in a very difficult position."
12.29am BST
Nicky Woolf has more from New Yorks oldest Scottish bar, St Andrews bar near Times Square.
George Alexander Campbell, originally from Glasgow, moved to New York to marry his late wife, Priscilla, whom he met when she was in Scotland on a trip. Born in Boston and brought up in New York, she was a descendant of the ancient Tribe of Mar and was pipe-major for the New York Scottish Pipes and Drums.
She passed away a few years ago, Campbell tells me, but in her honour he is wearing the Mar tartan and full ceremonial regalia tonight. Hes hoping for a win for the No camp. Theres eternal reasons why not. My wife, she always said absolutely not. Her intuition said no. Ill stay with that.
12.22am BST
Our political sketchwriter John Crace is at the Edinburgh count:
Waiting. Waiting. Politicians, activists, officials and journalists: everyone was waiting. The most intense, engaged election campaign ever held in the UK had just ended and no one was too sure how to fill the final hours of limbo before the result was announced. The main displacement activity was for everyone to ask everyone else if they knew what the hell was likely to happen. The honorary consul for Norway looked particularly lost. Do you know when any announcement is likely to be made? he asked. He didnt look particularly happy to discover he might have to hang around till the early morning to hear the result. Are you sure? Yes. Mmm. Maybe I will come back.
Things began to warm up a bit around 10.30 as the broadcasters shuffled the talking heads between themselves. Dennis Canavan, the New Labour refusenik turned independent, was in particular demand. Around the tables for Edinburgh West where the postal votes were being counted, a Yes campaigner was looking gloomy. Its 77-33 for the Nos so far, he said. Its about what we expected here, though. It didnt look that way.
12.17am BST
James Cook of the BBC reports signs that the pro-independence side has cheered up a bit.
Yes camp "much happier now than half an hour ago". Senior source says Glasgow "looking good for us". #indyref #Scotland
No campaigners beginning to look gloomy on the counting floor. A senior figure in the no campaign has admitted its not looking pretty for them here.
12.16am BST
The Sun says David Cameron, the UK prime minister, could make a statement as early as 7am today responding to the result.
David Cameron is to lay out dramatic new plans for how Britain is governed - in a live TV address as early as 7am: http://t.co/teLNGIxLzE
12.10am BST
Orkney has announced its turnout figure. Its 83.7%. AS
12.09am BST
There are some reports of insiders in the anti-independence Better Together camp speculating on a win as high as 57%.
But Severin Carrell has been talking to his sources in Edinburgh, who are much more circumspect:
A senior source in Better Together refused to speculate on the likely result, because so many voters had taken part. The turnout is very, very high. Were feeling good, were feeling confident but I wouldnt be calling it just now.
But he said the postal vote returns already the highest on record with the number of postal votes requested standing at nearly 790,000, [789,512] were solid for us, across the country. In some places, postal vote returns were over 90%.
12.03am BST
Heres another graph with useful data for anyone wanting to put todays turnout figures in perspective.
Highest-ever turnout in a Scottish national poll: 81.2% in the 1951 general election http://t.co/0ofOQpyNnr #indyref pic.twitter.com/LytT4ukJr1
12.00am BST
This is from Steven Hope, who runs the Ipsos MORI office in Edinburgh.
Talk of North Lanarkshire result by 1245. Will be key result. I have estimated it as a slim Yes win with 52% of the vote. #indyref
11.58pm BST
Earlier this week my colleagues Alberto Nardelli and George Arnett posted details on the Guardian Datablog of the results of all the independence referendums held since 1856. Normally the yes side wins.
11.45pm BST
Ben Quinn writes from Aberdeenshire, in Alex Salmonds backyard, where the Scottish first minister and leader of the yes campaign had been expected at the local count but is now not attending:
An early indication that the yes campaign is braced for defeat?
Scotlands first minister, Alex Salmond, will be residing overnight at his home in the north east of Aberdeenshire, rather than coming to one of the referendum counts nearby.
11.45pm BST
Scotland and England were united in 1707 with the Acts of Union. A Conservative MP, Michael Fabricant, says it is time for a new Act of Union to give the UK a new constitutional settlement.
Now is the time for a new Act of Union. A new deal for the 4 nations (3 if Yes) of the United Kingdom.
11.42pm BST
Esther Addley, who earlier today visited Scotlands most northerly polling station on the island of Unst, is now a little further south in Lerwick, Shetland.
There is a quiet bustle inside Clickimin Leisure centre in Lerwick, where counting agents are flicking through small piles of ballot papers behind a velvet rope, and observers from both sides of the campaign mingle quietly.
The yes campaign is more visible here, with around 10 of its supporters wearing rosettes or blue yes T-shirts, while those on the Better Together side are soberly dressed in suits and small lapel badges.
Danus Skene, a retired teacher who once stood as a Labour parliamentary candidate and is sporting a large blue and white rosette, said the YouGov poll results putting no on 54% had had a dampening effect on the morale of the yes team, which is what you are seeing here, gesturing at his own supporters.
But we just dont know. There are stories even here of people who had a firm conviction until yesterday but changed their minds.
Geordie Jacobson, one of the leading local no campaigners, said he was also feeling cautious about the YouGov result. I just hope they are right. Im not feeling confident based on an opinion poll, weve got to wait until we see a few results first.
He was feeling apprehensive about the evening ahead, he said. Im a fairly pragmatic fellow, and whatever will be will be. But Ive felt in recent days that it was going our way, certainly in Shetland and I hope nationally as well.
11.33pm BST
The postal vote turnout in Edinburgh is 89.6%, Sky reports.
11.30pm BST
Generally it has been assumed that a high turnout would benefit the yes camp. That was because yes support is disproportionately higher among lower social classes, and these are the people who in normal elections are less likely to turn out.
But the Scotsmans Kenny Farquharson thinks the true picture could be more complicated. AS
Turnout is turning out to be an #indyref issue after all. 80+ would have favoured Yes. But 90+ could favour No. #indyts
11.25pm BST
All we really have to go on so far is the YouGov exit poll (see earlier), which showed 54% for no, 46% for yes.
Severin Carrell has been talking about the poll to no campaigner and Labour MP Jim Murphy, who said he believed the Labour vote had remained solid, despite the polls before voting began repeatedly saying large numbers of Labour voters were switching to yes.
Thats great. Ive spent my whole day from when the polls opened to polls closing in Barrhead, a traditionally Labour town in my constituency and what I feel is, I know enough people in that town and if there was a substantial enough problem with Labour voters, I wouldve known.
To the extent there was any momentum today, it was in our direction. There was a quiet edging of public opinion towards us.
The polls have been close all the way through. The poll that counts is the one thats taken place today. People who havent voted before have today and they have voted Yes. Were confident of a good result.
Im not sure how scientific it is to be polling on the day, when many wont have cast their votes and made their final decision until later. I still believe there is all to play for, and this is still within the parameters of other recent polls. Were here now at the count and this is the only poll that matters.
What does it mean? Well, it means theres certainly not been any last-minute swing to the yes side, as some people on the yes side were hoping but I dont think it proves absolutely yet that no has won, and thats because the sample is the same one, the same base sample, that theyve been using in all their opinion polls so far, so if that were to be biased ... then I guess that bias would still be in this YouGov poll.
11.24pm BST
Ewen MacAskill, who is at the Edinburgh count in Ingliston, sends this on the mood in the Labour camp:
Lots of people are claiming to know the outcome of the Scottish referendum, based on all sorts of things, including the experiences of party members monitoring polling stations today or the YouGov poll.
But I just spoke to a senior Scottish Labour source who said no-one knows. I dont know, he said, adding that it will not be possible to make any serious assessment until some actual votes start to come in from Labour areas such as North Lanarkshire and Ayrshire in the early hours of the morning.
11.24pm BST
Douglas Alexander, the shadow foreign secretary and a key figure in the anti-independence Better Together campaign, has just told the BBC that at this stage politicians should have humility (because they dont know the result but that he thought there were huge numbers voting no.
(Actually, he wasnt really exuding humility. He looked like someone fairly confident of victory.)
Honestly, this happened to me in Glasgow yesterday. A taxi driver said, If I stop the meter, will you explain the Barnett formula to me.
In what other election could that possibly ever happen. Jim Murphy, my colleague, tell the story of being at a hen night in Glasgow recently - he was in a restaurant with his wife. In between particular shows, they were discussing the Barnett formula and the referendum. Ive never experienced politics like this. People normally go to restaurants during an election contest to get away from politics.
11.13pm BST
Peter Kellner has moved the pound. Or, at least thats what my colleague Graeme Wearden thinks. Hes sent me this.
Sterling hit a new two-week high against the US dollar in the global foreign exchange markets, after tonights YouGov polling data was released.
The pound jumped half a cent, from $1.640 to $1.645, before dropping back to $1.642. It had already hit a two-year high against the euro earlier today, as traders anticipated that Scotland would not break away from the United Kingdom.
11.11pm BST
This is from the BBCs Peter Hunt.
Palace officials say the Queen has been following the independence referendum closely. #indyref
11.09pm BST
Only a handful of people showed up for a candlelit vigil in favour of the union organised by unlikely Conservative MP Rory Stewart at the cairn of auld acquaintance, a rather lovely dry stone wall-cum pile of stones which he and volunteers have been building since late July in a show of cross-border love and comradeship, reports Helen Pidd.
Asked if he had succeeded in persuading people that England cared about Scotland and being part of the United Kingdom, the MP for Penrith and the Borders just south of Scotland said bluntly: No. I think theres a lot of work to do. In an a way, I think the argument for Britain and Britishness is something we should have been fighting for the last 30 years. And if we are lucky enough to make it through a no vote now, we are going to have to spend decades rebuilding confidence in Britain. Rebuilding a sense that we are a country together, that we have common values, a common purpose, we have a common direction.
People have come from all around to paint a stone and add it to the cairn more than 100,000 have made it onto the heap - but Stewart admitted he had hoped it would be more like a million. He said it was sad that the arguments which seemed to chime most with no voters were the economic ones rather than the sense that, after more than 300 years, Scotland and the rest of the UK belong together.
11.07pm BST
Here are some more lines from Twitter about turnout.
From Michael Settle, the Heralds political editor.
Polls now closed with rumours some areas have turnouts over 90%. One normally well-informed source suggested a few could have 100%. Wow!
Counting underway in East Dunbartonshire. Expecting turnout of 80%+ #indyref #scotdecides pic.twitter.com/XPztL6A33U
Airdrie 84%, Coatbridge 83% and Bellshill 79% voter turnout - highest in history #ScotlandIndependence #ScotDecides
Hearing turnout in Dundee is 90%. Remarkable! #indyref
Yes source: "We're going to do it. It was our day." No source: 97% turnout in affluent areas. #indyref
Turnout in Dundee around 90%, East Lothian 79.7% #indyref
Indications from the central count at Ingliston are that the turnout has been "astonishingly high". #indyref http://t.co/BOvH0Kf4Rb
11.07pm BST
James Ball writes from Guardians headquarters in London:
As we settle into the wait for the first concrete results from counts, we might as well share a few figures from the Guardians (very informal) sweepstake. Around 25 reporters, columnists and editors were each asked to predict what they thought the results of todays vote would be. This is very much what staff predict will happen, not what they might want to happen.
We wont embarrass anyone by publishing individual predictions, but the average of all Guardian guesses was a win for the no camp, with 53.1% of the vote against 46.9% for yes. This is around a six point gap, just a little narrower than the final YouGov poll.
11.02pm BST
Tomorrows newspapers may very soon be out of date, but here are some of their front pages nonetheless, courtesy as usual of the BBCs Nick Sutton.
Friday's Guardian front page - "Scotlands history-makers" #tomorrowspaperstoday #bbcpapers #indyref pic.twitter.com/tUseaX9rQH
Friday's Daily Express (Scotland) - "Now we must pull together" #tomorrowspaperstoday #bbcpapers #indyref pic.twitter.com/t4SPLeSH6C
Friday's i front page - "Scotland writes history" #tomorrowspaperstoday #bbcpapers #indyref pic.twitter.com/hIpYIbTnoN
Friday's Daily Mirror front page - "Missing Alice suspect is a murderer" #tomorrowspaperstoday #bbcpapers pic.twitter.com/gXXryo5xKM
Friday's Independent front page - "Power to the people" #tomorrowspaperstoday #bbcpapers #indyref pic.twitter.com/K4x2ERnKXg
Friday's FT - "Draghis attempt to jump start stuttering eurozone falls flat" #tomorrowspaperstoday #bbcpapers pic.twitter.com/SolhGwHWEQ
Friday's Daily Star Scotland - "Re-united we stand" #tomorrowspaperstoday #bbcpapers #indyref pic.twitter.com/2LQU8t7AIr
Friday's Metro front page - "16-year olds who voted on future of a nation" #tomorrowspaperstoday #bbcpapers #indyref pic.twitter.com/rqXn4y9Ly6
Friday's International NY Times - "Missteps on path to Scottish vote" #tomorrowspaperstoday #indyref #bbcpapers pic.twitter.com/wAMRFRWRt8
Friday's Daily Telegraph front page - "New British hostage paraded by Isil" #tomorrowspaperstoday #bbcpapers pic.twitter.com/GDgxmCLUd8
Friday's Journal - "Now what is your vow to the North?" #tomorrowspaperstoday #bbcpapers #indyref pic.twitter.com/DRw5iqsx5s
11.00pm BST
Heres the YouGov summary of its findings.
Some 10% of no voters said they encountered unreasonable behaviour from yes campaigners, YouGov found. Only 5% of yes supporters found the no side unreasonable. YouGov say:
YouGov bases its prediction on the responses of 1,828 people after they voted today, together with those of 800 people who had already voted by post. Todays respondents had previously given their voting intention earlier this week. By recontacting them, we could assess any last-minute shift in views. Todays responses indicate that there has been a small shift on the day from Yes to No, and also that No supporters were slightly more likely to turn out to vote.
YouGov also asked people whether they had encountered active supporters of the Yes and No campaigns at their local polling station and, if so, whether the campaigners had acted reasonably. Big majorities said that any campaigners they encountered behaved reasonably; but 10% of No voters said they had encountered unreasonable behaviour by Yes campaigners, while 5% of Yes voters said they encountered unreasonable behaviour by No campaigners.
10.56pm BST
Skys Anushka Asthana says the no camp think the YouGov figures are reliable. AS
Reaction to Peter Kellner statement among senior no campaigners was that he's brave to stick his head out but they say figs chime w theirs.
10.56pm BST
Until the results arrive, you have to blog with whats available. So here are some pundits talking about a pundit (YouGovs Peter Kellner).
From Philip Cowley, the psephologist
It's not an effing exit poll. And if the polls have been out of kilter all along, then so will this one be.
I don't think we're in 99% territory yet myself, but hats off to @peterkellner for sticking his neck out. So many pundits sit on fence
If Yes win, who'll go first Peter Kellner or David Cameron? #indyref
Just asked a polling nerd how much they trust Peter Kellners polling. Utterly they said. And Kellner says 99% likely No have won
10.55pm BST
Nicky Woolf is at New Yorks oldest Scottish bar, St Andrews bar near Times Square, where theyre expecting a packed house tonight to watch the results come in.
At the bar as the polls close I meet Colin and Marion Cameron, from Dumfries. Theyre here on holiday, and have already voted by postal ballot.
Colin thinks there just hasnt been enough information to justify a yes vote, and though he says he would love Scotland to be independent, he thinks Alex Salmond hasnt satisfactorily answered the economic questions that go with it. He says he does business across the border, and is worried about what would happen to it. He voted no.
Marion says that shes sick of the way that England, especially London, make all the decisions.
10.51pm BST
Twitter wings over some official data on todays social media activity: its been busy.
Huge day for Scotland today! no campaign negativity last few days totally swayed my view on it. excited to see the outcome. lets do this!
10.50pm BST
Heres more from Peter Kellner.
President of YouGov Peter Kellner says whilst he once said there was an 80% of a 'No' victory, now believes is a 99% chance #newsnight
YouGov's Peter Kellner says they polled 3,000 people online today. He says No voters were "slightly more determined, they had more to lose"
YouGov's Peter Kellner says "I can't see No losing this now. At the risk of looking a complete prat it's a 99% certainty."
10.45pm BST
Peter Kellner, the YouGov president, seems to be determined to be the first man to call the election.
Pollster Peter Kellner: "At risk of looking utterly ridiculous in a few hours time I would say its a 99% chance of a No victory" #newsnight
10.45pm BST
CNNs poll of polls seems to have thrown in a few too many ... PO
"Scots have given it 110%," says @AlbertoNardelli pic.twitter.com/xpYsX8wfoB
10.44pm BST
Here is some more detail on the YouGov poll. Its from the Press Association.
A poll taken by YouGov after people voted in the Scottish referendum predicts a victory for No by 54% to 46% for Yes. The survey involved 1,828 people after they voted today, together with the postal votes of 800 people, and was not a traditional exit poll.
10.30pm BST
Here are the YouGov poll figures.
#BREAKING:Latest YouGov poll suggests Scottish Referendum exit poll results are 54% No, 46% Yes. Counting underway. No results expected soon
10.27pm BST
And heres some more hardcore data for readers who really want to get stuck into the figures.
The votes are being counted by local authority area. There are 32 local authority areas, and this chart tells you, authority by authority, when the results are due.
Scottish Referendum results - Expected Timing pic.twitter.com/tVIrWMRUNq
If you enjoyed the referendum turnout graphic, here's the full story: http://t.co/JWM30m5jZw #indyref @AndrewSparrow pic.twitter.com/Orh0kNYzT3
10.26pm BST
Alberto Nardelli, our datablog editor, is going to be giving us a running analysis of the results as we get them. He explains the approach hes going to take:
At the top of this liveblog we will have an interactive embedded that will keep a tally on the results as they are announced. One key element to keep in mind will be how far we are in the count and how many results are left to come - were visualising this using a progress bar in which each segment represents a council. Early in the evening, the results will bounce around a bit due to the relatively small number of votes counted at that stage so be careful not to read too much into early results.
The key set of figures we will be reporting on as the evening progresses is the size of the gap between yes and no, and the amount of votes the side that is behind would need to catch up, and how probable this is based on remaining councils.
10.23pm BST
5 May 2011 SNP wins a majority in Scottish parliament elections. Scotland uses a system of proportional representation unofficially intended to stop any one party gaining an overall majority, but the SNP, which had run Scotland as a minority government since winning in 2007, can now pass legislation without needing the support of other parties. This means that an independence referendum a longstanding SNP aim, but one sidelined from 2007 to 2011 now becomes almost inevitable.
15 October 2012 David Cameron, the Conservative UK prime minister, and Alex Salmond, Scotlands first minister, sign the Edinburgh agreement. This paves the way for the September 2014 referendum, giving it full legal backing and removing any possibility of the UK government trying to block or ignore a referendum organised unilaterally in Scotland.
10.22pm BST
Reports of high turnout are starting to come in.
Reports from a count officer in Dunfermline that their polling place saw 82% turnout #indyref
10.22pm BST
The Guardians #indyref correspondents are stationed at counting centres across Scotland tonight. Heres the view from a handful of them:
Steven Morris is in Dundee:
The waiting begins. Atmosphere muted, tense at the international sports complex, where the Dundee count will take place. Frankly, people look done in already and the result is still an estimated six hours away
Boxes of postal ballots are just about to arrive at the Aberdeenshire referendum count which takes in the backyard of the man who has been leading the charge for Scottish independence, Alex Salmond.
The Aberdeen Exhibition and Conference Centre (AECC) has been the scene of victory speeches during electoral glories by the SNP leader in 2007 and 2011. Will we see him here again tonight in a similarly buoyant mood?
Calm (before storm?) at Aberdeenshire count (includes Alex Salmond's patch) Aberdeen City counting elsewhere #indyref pic.twitter.com/O982jNyFzA
The Royal Highland Centre at Ingliston, where the Edinburgh count is taking place, is still very quiet there are many more tables and facilities than journalists. They are reading out the protocol for reporting the results to the gathered media in the media hall. Over in the huge count room, in the neighbouring building, they have distributed the boxes of votes and are emptying them onto the table one-by-one.
The Glasgow count has just begun at the Emirates Arena in the east end of the city, where the ballots are divided into eight mini counts for Anniesland, Kelvin, Pollock, Shettleston, Cathcart, Maryhill and Spirngnurn, Provab and the Southside. Referendum agents for campaign groups ranging from Farming for Yes to the Labour party are gathering around the stage to the right of the photo. The huge halls is still fairly empty bar the packed rows of count staff, but that will change as campaigners leave polling stations and head for the arena.
10.15pm BST
Were getting the poll at 10.30pm.
YouGov poll carried out today to be released at 10.30. Not an exit poll but the best we are going to get
10.10pm BST
If youve followed the Scottish independence campaign closely, you can give this a miss.
But if you havent read much about this, here are some posts that will help make sense of it.
10.00pm BST
My name is Andrew Sparrow and Ill be the main anchor for the blog tonight, with contributions from Polly Curtis and Paul Owen.
At the Edinburgh count we have Severin Carrell, Nicholas Watt, Ewen MacAskill, Frances Perraudin, John Crace and Michael White. Martin Kettle is also on hand for instant analysis of the voting. And Josh Halliday is spending the night in an Edinburgh pub as voters raise their glasses, drown their sorrows and eat crisps.
9.56pm BST
Over the next eight hours or so, the future of the United Kingdom - one of the worlds G7 powers and home to 64m people - will be decided. Scotland is deciding whether to stay or to leave.
After a referendum campaign lasting effectively two years, the Scots (but not the English, Welsh or Northern Irish - the other members of the union of nations that make up the UK) have been voting today. The campaign has generated extraordinary interest and excitement, turnout seems set to break all records and the polls have just closed. The first area result is due at about 2am UK time - in four hours - and the final outcome should be known by breakfast tomorrow morning (ie, 4/5 hours later). If Scotland votes to go it alone, the decision will be final and Alex Salmond, Scotlands first minister and leader of the Scottish National Party, wants independence on 24 March 2016.
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