2016-08-26

Southside with You Official Trailer #1 (2016) - Parker Sawyers, Tika Sumpter Movie HD

Friday midday update:What ever bit of summer is left at the box office, Sony is going to squeeze it out this weekend. ItsScreen Gems/Stage 6 filmDont Breatheis putting its $11M-$14M projections to sleep with a revised industry weekend projection of $21.5M-$24M a stellar result for a horror film at this point in August. Today alone, the second feature from Fede Alvarez looks to grab $9M inclusive of that $1.875M preview cash from last night. Prior to this weekend,only five horror thrillers have opened to more than $20M in August, andDont Breatheraises that count to six. How high this goes hinges on late-night traffic.

Warner Bros.Suicide Squad looks tosettle with $10M-$12M in its fourth weekend, down47% for a running cume by Sunday on the high end of $283M.

Lionsgate PremieresMechanic: Resurrectionat this point looks to file an estimated $2.5M today for a $6.75M weekend, just under Jason Stathams previous solo action project,Safe($7.9M). Film largely was financed by Millennium. Roadside Attractions/Miramax/IM GlobalsSouthside With Youis looking at a $1M Friday inclusive of a $75K Thursday night for a $3M weekend at 813 theaters. Weinstein Co.s boxing biopicHands of Stoneis looking at $650K today, per industry estimates, including an estimated $100K from last night, for a three-day opening of $1.8M at 810 sites.

3rd Friday AM UPDATE: Sonys Screen Gems/Stage 6s R-rated horror filmDont Breathedrew $1.875 millionfrom previews last night starting at 7 PM, which is fantastic this late in the summer given that a majority of kids are back in school. Were hearing this morning from B.O. trackers and non-Sony sources that Dont Breathehas a very good shot to clear $20M this weekend, given these powerful numbers, and easily will kick Warner Bros.Suicide Squadout of No. 1 after three weeks.

Screen Gems

Couple this with the intel that Fandangoadvance ticket sales forDont Breathe areout-clicking such previous horror thrillers asLights Out($21.7M opening) andThe Visit($25.4M), and it makes sense that the Screen Gems/Stage 6 film (which cost under $10M) is heading for a solid weekend. The DC holdover is looking at $10M-$11M this weekend. Essentially, East Coast matinees for the Fede Alvarez horror movie are 10% behindThe Purge: Election Year,but that title had a powerful Thursday with $3.64M.Dont Breathes previews inch out the $1.8M earned by both last monthsLights OutandAlvarezs previous movie, the 2013 reboot ofEvil Dead.

Evil Deadwould go on to post a$25.8M opening, largely fueled by the franchises fervent fan base. Sony as of now seesDont Breathes business at a more modest level, in the spirit of other late-August horror openers that have posted in the midteens, but too many people are telling us that the horror film will hit $20M. Again, its still early. The other advantage withDont Breatheis that its core audience comes out at night (of course).

Lionsgate

Among other newcomers this weekend,Lionsgate, under itsLionsgate Premiere, has the distributors 11th Jason Statham movie this weekend, the sequelMechanic: Resurrection. It made $390K on 1,800 screens Thursday and ispoised to bank $7M-$9M for the weekend. Stathams previous non-ensemble feature for Lionsgate,2012sSafe,loaded a $7.9M opening and a final cume of $17.1M.

Roadside Attractions Obamas first-date movie Southside With You and The Weinstein Companys Roberto Duran biopic Hands of Stone, both platform releases, will not release Thursday numbers and will fold those takes into their Friday data.

RelatedSouthside With You Review: Date Night With The Obamas Sweet & Enlightening

Meanwhile,Dont Breathemarks the second collaboration between Alvarez and producer Sam Raimi following Evil Dead three years ago.

Typically with an R-rated horror film, the hard-core, older-male-skewing genre fans turn up on Thursday night. Sony premieredDont Breatheat SXSW and kept the buzz going with screenings at Comic-Con. From 78 reviews, it counts a Rotten Tomatoes score of 90%.Dont Breathecarries an estimated production cost thats under $10M.

Warner Bros.

Suicide Squad,which made $1.67Myesterday, saw its three-week cume climb to $270.8M. This weekend, the David Ayer supervillain film is expected to bring in an estimated $10M-$11M, and if it does wind up slashingDont Breathe,it will be the first title this year to hold the No. 1 spot four weekends in a row. Currently,Suicide Squadis outpacing Augusts previous comic book hitGuardians of the Galaxy(final B.O. $333M) by 16%.

Roadside Attractions/Miramax

Roadside has been ticking up the theater count for Southside With Youto 813. Many expect this movie, which was financed and produced by IM Global for under $5M, to pop at the B.O. this weekend with a three-day take between $3M-$5M. Miramax, with Roadside as a partner,bought the movie at Sundance for about $2M with a mid-seven-figure P&A commitment.

RelatedHands Of Stone Trailer: Edgar Ramirez & Robert De Niro In Fighting Shape

Given the fierce competition this weekend forHispanic and African-American moviegoers, the Weinsteins areopting to go wide withHands of Stoneon Wednesday, August 31. Today the Roberto Duran biopic starring Edgar Rodriguez and Robert De Niro is playing at about800 venues and islooking at an opening of$2.5M-$3.5M per industry tracking.

Source: http://deadline.com/2016/08/dont-breathe-suicide-squad-southside-with-you-mechanic-insurrection-box-office-1201809180/

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