NCAA Football Game Picks
SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 20
Game 307-308: Indiana at Missouri (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 80.683; Missouri 110.935
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 20 1/2; 68
Vegas Line: Missouri by 13 1/2; 72 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-13 1/2); Under
Game 309-310: Massachusetts at Penn State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 67.389; Penn State 91.395
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 24; 42
Vegas Line: Penn State by 27; 47
Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (+27); Under
Game 311-312: Marshall at Akron (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 89.773; Akron 84.426
Dunkel Line: Marshall by 5 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Marshall by 10; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Akron (+10); Under
Game 313-314: Iowa at Pittsburgh (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 85.993; Pittsburgh 95.418
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 9 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 6 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-6 1/2); Over
Game 315-316: Ball State at Toledo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 70.909; Toledo 88.530
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 17 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Toledo by 13; 65 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (-13); Under
Game 317-318: Maryland at Syracuse (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 90.531; Syracuse 85.516
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 5; 57
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 1 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+1 1/2); Over
Game 319-320: Idaho at Ohio (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 63.174; Ohio 69.802
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 6 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Ohio by 13 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (+13 1/2); Under
Game 321-322: Central Michigan at Kansas (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 72.130; Kansas 79.312
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 7; 53
Vegas Line: Kansas by 3; 48
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-3); Over
Game 323-324: Troy at Georgia (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 68.592; Georgia 104.616
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 36; 64
Vegas Line: Georgia by 41; 69
Dunkel Pick: Troy (+41); Under
Game 325-326: Bowling Green at Wisconsin (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 70.817; Wisconsin 100.764
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 30; 58
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 26; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-26); Under
Game 327-328: Tulane at Duke (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 75.316; Duke 95.407
Dunkel Line: Duke by 20; 59
Vegas Line: Duke by 16 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-16 1/2); Over
Game 329-330: Army at Wake Forest (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Army 72.279; Wake Forest 75.873
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 3 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: Army by 2 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+2 1/2); Under
Game 331-332: North Carolina at East Carolina (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 90.682; East Carolina 95.475
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 5; 72
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 2; 65 1/2
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (-2); Over
Game 333-334: San Jose State at Minnesota (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 80.870; Minnesota 84.129
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 3 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 8 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+8 1/2); Over
Game 335-336: Utah at Michigan (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 87.968; Michigan 97.548
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 9 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Michigan by 4 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-4 1/2); Over
Game 337-338: Eastern Michigan at Michigan State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 62.273; Michigan State 10.479
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 41; 50
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 45 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (+45 1/2); Under
Game 339-340: South Carolina at Vanderbilt (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 95.997; Vanderbilt 78.322
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 17 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 22 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+22 1/2); Under
Game 341-342: Florida Atlantic at Wyoming (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 66.807; Wyoming 77.834
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 11; 43
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 3 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (-3 1/2); Under
Game 343-344: Hawaii at Colorado (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 78.119; Colorado 79.635
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Colorado by 7 1/2; 63
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (+7 1/2); Under
Game 345-346: Middle Tennessee State at Memphis (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 70.670; Memphis 85.718
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 15; 68
Vegas Line: Memphis by 11; 63 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-11); Over
Game 347-348: Georgia State at Washington (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 67.877; Washington 99.179
Dunkel Line: Washington by 31 1/2; 73
Vegas Line: Washington by 35; 67 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia State (+35); Over
Game 349-350: Appalachian State at Southern Mississippi (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 50.321; Southern Mississippi 64.998
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 14 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 2 1/2; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-2 1/2); Over
Game 351-352: Georgia Southern at South Alabama (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Southern 75.244; South Alabama 73.960
Dunkel Line: Georgia Southern by 1 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: South Alabama by 3; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Southern (+3); Over
Game 353-354: Texas A&M at SMU (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 110.874; SMU 74.309
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 36 1/2; 67
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 32 1/2; 61
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (-32 1/2); Over
Game 355-356: Rutgers at Navy (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 86.426; Navy 88.038
Dunkel Line: Navy by 1 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Navy by 6; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (+6); Over
Game 357-358: Florida at Alabama (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 92.505; Alabama 110.716
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 18; 56
Vegas Line: Alabama by 14 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-14 1/2); Over
Game 359-360: UNLV at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 67.336; Houston 91.562
Dunkel Line: Houston by 24; 64
Vegas Line: Houston by 20 1/2; 60
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-20 1/2); Over
Game 361-362: Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 90.199; Virginia Tech 94.113
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 4; 58
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 8; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (+8); Over
Game 363-364: Oregon at Washington State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 110.654; Washington State 90.829
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 20; 78
Vegas Line: Oregon by 24 1/2; 75
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (+24 1/2); Over
Game 365-366: Clemson at Florida State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 88.554; Florida State 120.532
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 32; 59
Vegas Line: Florida State by 20; 63 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-20); Under
Game 367-368: Virginia at BYU (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 91.866; BYU 99.777
Dunkel Line: BYU by 8; 44
Vegas Line: BYU by 14 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (+14 1/2); Under
Game 369-370: Texas State at Illinois (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas State 70.301; Illinois 87.417
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 17; 57
Vegas Line: Illinois by 14; 61
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-14); Under
Game 371-372: Old Dominion at Rice (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 70.924; Rice 74.516
Dunkel Line: Rice by 3 1/2; 67
Vegas Line: Rice by 7; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (+7); Over
Game 373-374: Louisville at Florida International (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 95.999; Florida International 63.886
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 32; 44
Vegas Line: Louisville by 26; 48
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-26); Under
Game 375-376: Miami (OH) at Cincinnati (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 66.030; Cincinnati 90.046
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 24; 56
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 28; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+28); Under
Game 377-378: San Diego State at Oregon State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 81.313; Oregon State 94.693
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 13 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 9 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (-9 1/2); Over
Game 379-380: Mississippi State at LSU (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 99.763; LSU 106.470
Dunkel Line: LSU by 6 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: LSU by 10; 50
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (+10); Over
Game 381-382: Northern Illinois at Arkansas (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 81.012; Arkansas 98.554
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 17 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 14; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (-14); Under
Game 383-384: Utah State at Arkansas State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 86.456; Arkansas State 81.417
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 5; 46
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 2 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (+2 1/2); Under
Game 385-386: New Mexico at New Mexico State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 67.701; New Mexico State 60.747
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 7; 68
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 3 1/2; 64
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-3 1/2); Over
Game 387-388: Miami (FL) at Nebraska (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 90.781; Nebraska 101.361
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 10 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 7; 58
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-7); Under
Game 389-390: Oklahoma at West Virginia (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 102.212; West Virginia 99.021
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 3; 57
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 8; 61
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (+8); Under
Game 391-392: California at Arizona (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: California 87.165; Arizona 102.362
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 15; 64
Vegas Line: Arizona by 9; 70 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-9); Under
Game 393-394: UL-Lafayette at Boise State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Lafayette 74.898; Boise State 88.048
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 13; 65
Vegas Line: Boise State by 17; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UL-Lafayette (+17); Over
OTHER MAJOR GAMES:
Game 401-402: Maine at Boston College (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Maine 62.629; Boston College 91.043
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 28 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 403-404: Presbyterian at NC State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Presbyterian 47.499; NC State 84.523
Dunkel Line: NC State by 37; 52
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 405-406: Western Illinois at Northwestern (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Illinois 58.944; Northwestern 86.741
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 28; 56
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 407-408: Southern Illinois at Purdue (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Illinois 80.148; Purdue 75.692
Dunkel Line: Southern Illinois by 4 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 409-410: Nicholls State at North Texas (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nicholls State 47.048; North Texas 76.519
Dunkel Line: North Texas by 29 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 411-412: Norfolk State at Buffalo (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Norfolk State 54.289; Buffalo 72.223
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 18; 47
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 413-414: Delaware State at Temple (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware State 46.154; Temple 88.564
Dunkel Line: Temple by 42 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 415-416: Bethune-Cookman at Central Florida (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bethune-Cookman 60.491; Central Florida 92.619
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 32; 56
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 417-418: Northwestern State at Louisiana Tech (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern State 60.840; Louisiana Tech 90.867
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 30; 48
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 419-420: Murray State at Western Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Murray State 54.846; Western Michigan 67.919
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 13; 50
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 421-422: Southern Utah at Fresno State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Utah 57.186; Fresno State 78.629
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 21 1/2; 65
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
OTHER GAMES:
Brown at Georgetown (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brown 58.025; Georgetown 48.044
Dunkel Line: Brown by 10
Monmouth at Duquesne (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Monmouth 54.674; Duquesne 58.699
Dunkel Line: Duquesne by 4
James Madison at Villanova (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: James Madison 62.694; Villanova 83.756
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 21
Fordham at Columbia (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fordham 64.206; Columbia 36.085
Dunkel Line: Fordham by 28
Cornell at Colgate (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cornell 45.015; Colgate 56.615
Dunkel Line: Colgate by 11 1/2
Pennsylvania at Jacksonville (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pennsylvania 55.422; Jacksonville 48.264
Dunkel Line: Pennsylvania by 7
Lehigh at Yale (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Lehigh 52.923; Yale 60.176
Dunkel Line: Yale by 7
Robert Morris at Dayton (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Robert Morris 39.649; Dayton 43.282
Dunkel Line: Dayton by 3 1/2
Bucknell at Sacred Heart (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bucknell 51.689; Sacred Heart 66.022
Dunkel Line: Sacred Heart by 14 1/2
Eastern Kentucky at Tennessee-Martin (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 66.831; Tennessee-Martin 60.127
Dunkel Line: Eastern Kentucky by 6 1/2
Morehead State at Davidson (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 22.696; Davidson 19.974
Dunkel Line: Morehead State by 2 1/2
Albany at Rhode Island (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Albany 53.435; Rhode Island 43.351
Dunkel Line: Albany by 10
Northern Arizona at South Dakota (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 64.866; South Dakota 67.353
Dunkel Line: South Dakota by 2 1/2
Marist at Drake (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marist 37.732; Drake 44.323
Dunkel Line: Drake by 6 1/2
Austin Peay at Eastern Illinois (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 36.757; Eastern Illinois 71.978
Dunkel Line: Eastern Illinois by 35
Tennessee Tech at Tennessee State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 49.720; Tennessee State 61.795
Dunkel Line: Tennessee State by 12
VMI at Samford (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: VMI 45.034; Samford 59.049
Dunkel Line: Samford by 14
Eastern Washington at Montana State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 83.740; Montana State 73.427
Dunkel Line: Eastern Washington by 10 1/2
Montana at North Dakota State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana 72.928; North Dakota State 94.427
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 21 1/2
Howard vs. Morgan State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Howard 50.423; Morgan State 47.317
Dunkel Line: Howard by 3
Princeton at San Diego (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 65.198; San Diego 53.022
Dunkel Line: Princeton by 12
New Hampshire at Richmond (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Hampshire 70.666; Richmond 63.421
Dunkel Line: New Hampshire by 7
Incarnate Word at Abilene Christian (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Incarnate Word 33.296; Abilene Christian 57.755
Dunkel Line: Abilene Christian by 24 1/2
Northern Colorado at Northern Iowa (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Colorado 50.048; Northern Iowa 78.126
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 28
Coastal Carolina at Florida A&M (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Coastal Carolina 69.997; Florida A&M 51.333
Dunkel Line: Coastal Carolina by 18 1/2
Alcorn State at Mississippi Valley State (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alcorn State 51.009; Mississippi Valley State 34.103
Dunkel Line: Alcorn State by 17
NC Central at Towson (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC Central 44.068; Towson 58.322
Dunkel Line: Towson by 14 1/2
Furman at South Carolina State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Furman 54.817; South Carolina State 58.158
Dunkel Line: South Carolina State by 3 1/2
The Citadel at Charleston Southern (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: The Citadel 61.874; Charleston Southern 51.466
Dunkel Line: The Citadel by 10 1/2
Wofford at Gardner-Webb (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 67.648; Gardner-Webb 53.360
Dunkel Line: Wofford by 14 1/2
SE Louisiana at SE Missouri State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SE Louisiana 72.551; SE Missouri State 59.717
Dunkel Line: SE Louisiana by 13
Grambling State at Jackson State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Grambling State 31.754; Jackson State 49.112
Dunkel Line: Jackson State by 17 1/2
Southern University at Prairie View A&M (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern University 41.329; Prairie View A&M 44.358
Dunkel Line: Prairie View A&M by 3
Central Connecticut State at Dartmouth (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Connecticut State 47.331; Dartmouth 56.188
Dunkel Line: Dartmouth by 9
St. Francis (PA) at Youngstown State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Francis (PA) 48.824; Youngstown State 69.205
Dunkel Line: Youngstown State by 20 1/2
Bryant at Liberty (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bryant 54.797; Liberty 70.995
Dunkel Line: Liberty by 16
Stony Brook at North Dakota (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stony Brook 57.054; North Dakota 54.316
Dunkel Line: Stony Brook by 3
Lafayette at William & Mary (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Lafayette 55.340; William & Mary 73.763
Dunkel Line: William & Mary by 18 1/2
Charlotte at Elon (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 47.990; Elon 54.627
Dunkel Line: Elon by 6 1/2
Missouri State at Central Arkansas (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri State 70.263; Central Arkansas 67.743
Dunkel Line: Missouri State by 2 1/2
Weber State at Stephen F. Austin (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 58.600; Stephen F. Austin 55.400
Dunkel Line: Weber State by 3
Alabama A&M at Texas Southern (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama A&M 35.986; Texas Southern 42.765
Dunkel Line: Texas Southern by 7
Portland State at Cal Poly (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland State 60.105; Cal Poly 69.164
Dunkel Line: Cal Poly by 9
StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets.
CFB | OREGON at WASHINGTON ST
Play On – Favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (OREGON) solid team – outscoring opponents by 10 or more points/game, after scoring 42 points or more in 2 straight games
46-18 over the last 10 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
CFB | N CAROLINA at E CAROLINA
Play On – All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (E CAROLINA) off 1 or more consecutive unders, quick starting offensive team – scoring 16+ PPG in the first half
91-50 over the last 5 seasons. ( 64.5% | 0.0 units )
CFB | TROY at GEORGIA
Play Over – Home teams where the first half total is between 32 and 35 after a game where they committed no turnovers
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.8 units )
NCAAF Saturday’s games
Top games of week
Pitt rushed for 300+ yards in all three wins this year; they outrushed BC 302-142, inpressive after Eagles whacked USC in next game. Panthers are 5-2 in last seven games as home favorite. Iowa ran ball for just 131 ypg in 2-1 start, scoring 17 in each of its last two games, loss to Iowa State, fortunate win over Ball State. Hawkeyes are 3-6 in last nine games as a road dog. ACC home favorites are 2-6 vs spread in non-league games; Big 14 road underdogs are 3-4.
Third straight tough game for East Carolina squad that waxed Tar Heels 55-31 in Chapel Hill LY, gaining 603 TY as they ended four-game series skid. Pirates won at Va Tech last week, lost 33-23 at South Carolina, but they outgained Gamecocks 453-441. ECU is 9-6 as home favorite under Ruffin; they’ve got senior QB with 26 starts. UNC is 0-4 as a road dog under Fedora; they were outgained 509-394 by San Diego State at home in last game, but picked off last-minute pass in end zone.
Hard to tell much about Utah squad that hammered pair of cupcakes to open season; they’re 3-8 vs spread in last 11 road games, 7-9 as road dog since ’09. Michigan is already -7 in turnovers; they were only up 17-10 at half vs Miami O last week, but pulled away late, running ball for 276 yards- Wolverines should be concerned with passing game averaging only 194.3 ypg. they’re 11-7 as home favorites under Hoke. Pac-12 teams are 2-8 vs spread on road, but covered only time they were underdog.
Middle Tennessee won five of last six games with Memphis, winning the last three meetings by 2-18-7 points. Blue Raiders gave up 718 yards in wild OT win over Western Kentucky last week, after losing 35-24 week before at Minnesota, despite outgaining Gophers 445-351. Memphis is 8-12 as home favorite since ’05; they lost 42-35 at UCLA in last game, as Bruins threw for 396 yards. AAC home teams are 2-8 vs spread in their non-league games. C-USA road underdogs are 11-5 vs spread.
Rutgers won four of last five games vs Navy, but last meeting was in ’11; Scarlet Knights had bitter 13-10 loss to Penn State in Big 14 debut last week, throwing five INTs (-4 TOs) in game they led 10-0 at half. Navy scored 66 points in winning last two games, after giving Buckeyes good battle in opener. Middies are 10-14 as home favorites under Niumatalolo. Rutgers is 18-8 in last 26 games as road dog, 6-2 under Flood; both their I-A games this season were decided by a FG.
Alabama won last three games with Florida by average score of 34-10, as Gators lost 31-6/31-3 in last two visits here. Florida was fortunate last week to beat Kentucky in OT, tying game on last-second play to force OT. Gators covered four of last five games as road dog, are 8-5 over last decade in that role. Bama is 3-0 but hasn’t covered yet this year; they’re 16-14 in last 30 games as home favorite, but 17-9 in last 26 SEC games. First road game for Gators (7-6 vs spread on road under Muschamp).
Virginia Tech won eight of last ten games with Georgia Tech, winning last four (dogs 3-1 vs spread); only one of Hokies’ last five series wins was by more than 7 points. GT lost last three visits here by 3-7-3; they were held under 200 yards rushing in last two series games. Hokies were upset by ECU last week after Tech had upset Ohio State week before– they’re 5-12-1 in last 18 games as a home favorite. GT is 2-6 in its last eight games as a road underdog.
Florida State QB Winston is suspended for first half of this game, which you’d think means FSU will try to run ball, shorten game for backup QB Maguire, who threw 21 passes LY and is over his head here. Seminoles are 10-2-1 in last 13 games as home favorite; they’ve on three of last four vs Clemson, winning 49-37/51-14 last two years. Tigers are 1-7 in their last seven visits here, losing last three by 12-3-14; they’ve covered three of last four visits here- they lost 45-21 at Georgia in first road game.
Oregon State (-8) won 34-30 at San Diego State LY, passing ball for 367 yards; Beavers are 7-12 as home favorites since ’09, 6-11 out of Pac-12- they have big league game next week at USC. Aztecs lost tight game at North Carolina despite outgaining UNC 509-394; they’re 6-3 as a road dog under Long. Pac-12 home favorites are 6-4 vs spread outsude league play. Mountain West road underdogs are 6-8 as underdogs, 3-5 when on foreign soil. OSU has senior QB with 33 career starts.
LSU won its last 14 games with Mississippi State, covering last four by average score of 36-14; Bulldogs covered twice in last eight visits here– five of their last six losses in Death Valley were by 18+ points. MSU is 5-10 as road dog under Mullen, but he has 8 starters back on both sides of ball and mobile QB with 10 career starts. LSU is 11-15-1 as favorite at home since ’10; they shut out pair of cupcakes in last two games, after the comeback win on neutral field over Wisconsin to start season.
Miami is playing frosh QB who completed 60% of his passes with four INTs in first three games, including 31-13 loss at Louisville; Hurricanes are 1-4-1 in last six games as a road dog. Nebraska has four new starters on OL; they’re 12-5 in last 17 games as home favorites. ACC underdogs are 4-1 vs spread out of conference, 2-1 on road, Big 14 home favorites are 5-8 vs spread. Cornhuskers have conference opener with Illinois on deck, but primetime on ABC makes this the bigger game.
Oklahoma won but didn’t cover last two games with West Virginia; they gave up 778 yards in wild 50-49 win here two years ago, then ran ball for 316 yards in 16-7 home win LY. Sooners are 13-10 in last 23 games as a road favorite. Mountaineers gained 694 yards in 40-37 wn vs Maryland last week; senior QB Trickett is completing 75.4% of his passes- he was 29-45/365 in 33-23 loss to Alabama. over last decade, WVU is 3-4 when a home underdog- they’re 9-7 overall as a dog under Holgorsen.
Cal lost last three visits to Tucson by 1-15-4 points; underdogs are 4-1 vs spread in last five series games played here. Arizona won three of last four games vs Cal- last two series games were won by total of six points; Wildcats are 6-7 as home favorites under RichRod- Nevada threw ball for 321 yards against them last week. Unusual amount of rain in Tucson this week; wonder if it disrupted their preparation? Bears are 3-7 in last ten games as a road dog, but they’ve already won at Northwestern this year.
Essential Week 4 College Football betting tidbits
There is plenty of Top 25 action in Week 4 of the college football schedule. If you’re having trouble keeping track of it all, here are some essential betting tidbits for all of those ranked matchups:
(24) Clemson Tigers at (1) Florida State Seminoles (-14.5, 60)
* Clemson hasn’t forgotten about its embarrassing loss to the ‘Noles last season. “We’ve tried to remind these guys that we did get embarrassed out here, make no mistake about it,” Clemson offensive coordinator Chad Morris said. “Yes, we’ve definitely talked about it.”
* According to a tweet from @JeffGrantSports, the Florida State Seminoles have won their last five games when College GameDay visits campus. They’ve won by an average margin of 17 points. They’ll half do it with only one half from Heisman winner Jameis Winston, who received a first-half suspension.
Florida Gators at (2) Alabama Crimson Tide (-14, 51)
* According to Yahoo! Sports, Gators coach Will Muschamp is on the hot seat in Gainesville after scraping out a victory against Kentucky last week. “They’re all important. They all count for one, so we understand the importance of the game. It’s an SEC game,” Muschamp said.
* Alabama could get a starter returning on each side of the ball Saturday. Wide receiver DeAndrew White and cornerback Jarrick Williams could return according to head coach Nick Saban.
(3) Oregon Ducks at Washington State Cougars (+23, 75)
* Ducks QB Marcus Mariota graces this week’s cover of Sports Illustrated. The last time he appeared on the cover (Nov. 4, 2013), the Ducks suffered their first loss of the season to Stanford as 10-point faves.
* The Washington State Cougars lead the Nation in passing yards per game with 517. Senior Connor Halliday is tops in the country 1,465 yards passing and 12 touchdown passes (tied with two others).
(4) Oklahoma Sooners at West Virginia Mountaineers (+7.5, 64.5)
* This will be the first game that Oklahoma’s leading rusher Keith Ford will miss since he was ruled out 2-3 weeks earlier this week.
* West Virginia has suspended their top cornerback, Daryl Worley, earlier in the week. Worley had 17 tackles and intercepted two passes after the first three games of the season.
(7) Texas A&M Aggies at Southern Methodist Mustangs (+33.5, 58.5)
* Kenny Hill has thrown for 1,094 yards and 11 TDs in his first three games, that’s 376 yards and three TDs more than Jameis Winston totaled in his first three games last year. Hill is currently 7/1 at Sportsbook.ag to win the Heisman Trophy.
* Redshirt-freshman QB Kolney Cassel makes his first career start for the Mustangs after Neal Burcham went down versus North Texas.
Mississippi State Bulldogs at (8) LSU Tigers (-9, 50)
* Dan Mullen certainly does not forget last year’s game against LSU. “Last year late in the third quarter we were driving and missed a field goal, and then they responded with a touchdown,” the Bulldogs coach said to media Monday. “They scored 14 points in a minute and a half, and things never go well for you when that happens.”
* Nobody can question the toughness of WR Travin Dural. Even though the receiver was in a car accident Sunday morning, requiring a reported 15 stitches, and missing three practices, he will be available for LSU Saturday. Dural has 370 yards and four touchdowns for the Tigers.
Eastern Michigan Eagles at (11) Michigan State Spartans (-45, 52)
*At the very least, first year Eagles coach Chris Creighton has been keeping on the sunny side. “”I really felt as though (the defense) kept us in the game and gave us a chance to win,” the coach told the media after surrendering a season-low 367 total yards against the Monarchs.
* Saturday could be a big day for Spartans QB Connor Cook. Through two games this season he is 41-of-60 for 628 yards with five touchdowns.
Troy Trojans at (14) Georgia Bulldogs (-41, 64.5)
* Even though Troy has gotten off to an 0-3 (SU) start for the first time since 1982, it does not seem like there will be shakeups. “Larry [Blakeney] didn’t all of a sudden forget how to coach overnight,” Troy AD John Hartwell told the media. Hartwell also said that he has “full confidence” in Blakeney.
* The Bulldogs red-zone offense has been a big focus in practice this week. “When we get down there, we’re just kind of stalling out,” QB Hutson Mason said this week. “A lot of that is me. I’ve got to read coverage better.” Against the Gamecocks, Georgia made six trips to the red zone and managed to score six points.
(16) South Carolina Gamecocks at Vanderbilt Commodores (+21.5, 53.5)
* Steve Spurrier is not letting his guys get caught in the possible trap game against Vandy. “They’ll play us tough. At times we look like we know what we’re doing, at other times we look pretty average. I’m hoping we can really put together our best game of the year against Vanderbilt.”
* Quarterback play has been the bane of Vanderbilt’s season so far. Through three games, the revolving door at QB has completed 46.3 percent of their passes with five interceptions.
Bowling Green Falcons at (17) Wisconsin Badgers (-27, 63.5)
* “The definitely like to go fast,” is how Wisconsin coach Derek Landisch described Bowling Green. The Falcons ran 113 offensive plays for 571 yards against Indiana last week. That includes 73 pass attempts by James Knapke.
* The bye week came at a good time for the Badgers after an up-and-down performance for the team. “But there’s probably 15 to 18 missed tackles in the last game,” coach Gary Anderson said to the media. “I’m not going to say we can’t have any missed tackles, but we have to tackle well, and if we can do that, this defense can move forward.”
Indiana Hoosiers at (19) Missouri Tigers (-13, 71)
* If the Hoosiers have one area they need to improve, it’s special teams. Indiana ranks last in the country in both field goals (0-2) and punting (29.20 average).
* Mizzou has finally given up on a piece of their future offense. Coach Gary Pinkel opened his press conference Monday by announcing that redshirt sophomore WR Levi Copelin has been dismissed from the program.
Miami Hurricanes at (22) Nebraska Cornhuskers (-7.5, 57)
* The Miami Hurricanes will need to start looking for a QB of the future. Only a day after being arrested for DUI and possession of a fake or stolen driver’s license, Kevin Olsen dropped out of school.
* Cornhuskers defensive cooridinator John Papuchis has his concerns about the U. “They have great speed at wideout, so I am concerned with balls being thrown over our head, but our guys are aware of it and we have to tackle well to limit explosive plays.”
Virginia Cavaliers at (23) BYU Cougars (-14.5, 47.5)
* The Cavaliers don’t open so well on the road. Since 2001, Virginia is 3-10 straight up in its first road game of the season.
* There are a few programs that have a 100 percent scoring rate in the red zone. The Cougars have foiled just one opportunity but are still a good bet to score in the red.The Cougars have scored 13 times (10 touchdowns) in 14 trips inside the red zone so far this season.
(25) North Carolina Tar Heels at East Carolina Pirates (-3, 67)
* UNC will be missing a key piece of their offensive line when they take on the Pirates. RG Landon Turner will miss the game with an undisclosed injury. Last year when the Tar Heels played ECU, the Pirates racked up over 600 yards of offense.
* East Carolina has no use for looking in the past. “Each team’s personality is different. We don’t have to bring it up because of what we keep preaching,” head coach Ruffin McNeill told the media Monday. “I’m anxious to dive into the film a little more because they got onto a great streak at the end of last year.”
Strong winds to play factor in Utah-Michigan
Justin Hartling
The Utah Utes are certainly not taking nice weather with them when they travel to Michigan Saturday. The forecast calls for a 35 percent chance of rain, but the winds will be gusting between 13 and 15 miles per hour.
The winds will be blowing towards the southern goalpost.
The Utes and Wolverines total is currently set at 55.
Total Notes – Week 4
By Chris David
WEEK 3 RECAP
There was a good mix of total winners in Week 3 and for those keeping records, the ‘over’ produced a 28-23 mark in Week 3 in the 51 matchups between FBS schools. After this weekend most teams will have completed at least a third of the regular season, which gives bettors a good sample to analyze. Heading into Week 4, total players can start to see glaring tendencies.
Based on our numbers, these teams have all seen the OVER go 3-0 in their first three games – Fresno State, Oklahoma State, Arkansas, Tulsa, Middle Tennessee State, Tulane, Toledo, Buffalo, Louisiana Tech, Western Kentucky and Georgia Tech.
Schools that have watched the UNDER go 3-0 are Nevada, Tennessee, Houston, Navy, Ball State and Wyoming.
Should bettors ride these outcomes, perhaps go the other way? We asked that question to totals expert James Manos and he gave us a quick snapshot of his handicapping approach.
He explained, “When handicapping totals and looking to make OVER bets, I prefer to look at two major categories, my offensive efficiency ratings and the matchups. I prefer to find teams with efficient offensive units that have quality matchups rather than look for a mediocre offense to take advantage of an inefficient or poor defense but, as always, each game must be evaluated on its own merits with all factors considered. When deciding on UNDER plays I prefer to look at my defensive efficiency ratings and pace statistics (plays per game, points per play, % of rushing plays).”
For those individuals who have time and a passion for understanding the totals market more, I would recommend visiting a site like www.teamrankings.com. They have stats upon stats that can only help you with your selections.
GAME OF THE WEEK - Clemson at Florida State
The ACC takes center stage on Saturday night as the Tigers and Seminoles knock heads again. Due to the Jameis Winston suspension for Florida State, I asked Manos for his thoughts on the matchup and how he would look to bet the game and halves.
“Normally, I would avoid a situation like this but this setup seems too juicy to ignore and these are two teams that I know something about. I made the original line for this game FSU -17 but was unwilling to back Clemson unless I could get +21 or better. The line nearly got there (peaking at a widely available +20.5) but has now returned to this number with the suspension of QB Winston for the 1st half.
Probably NO player in the country has meant more to his team over the last 1-plus seasons than Winston and his loss for the 1st half of this game could be very detrimental. But essentially, considering the opener, the books are only crediting Winston’s absence with two points of value (or a full game +4.5).
I think that’s an underestimation and places value on the Tigers at that number but it’s been scooped up by the professional all over. As of Friday, Clemson is now a 15-point underdog or less at books.
Both teams had byes prior to this meeting but now the ‘Noles only have two full practices to get a redshirt freshman QB with 21 career pass attempts ready to play against a Top 20 defense. Florida State has struggled to find playmakers at the WR position this season and in the 1st half of this game, I expect a heavy dose of RB Williams.
Clemson’s defense struggled vs Georgia’s solid ground game but most of that came in the 4th quarter when the Tigers were exhausted from an inept offense leaving them on the field too long. Clemson OC Morris has been known to take more chances in situations like this and with two weeks to prepare expect some packages for electric freshman QB Watson, who has seen playing time in both games so far this year and looked good.
Two good defenses should control the first half of this game and when Winston returns in the 2nd half he’ll likely have just 7 possessions and 37 plays or so to make a difference. My numbers show FSU with an expectation of .631 points per play with Winston in the game vs. an average defense but Clemson is no average defense. Adjusted for Clemson’s defensive efficiency and backup QB Maquire playing the entire first half, I have the ‘Noles scoring 34-36 points in this game. With an extra week to prepare and an excellent OC in Morris I expect the Clemson offense to be better than it was vs Georgia especially after the confidence building win over South Carolina State. I like the Tigers chances to score more than 20 points in this contest and if they can somehow receive the 2nd half kickoff and generate a drive, they will cut into Winston’s potential number of plays even more. With that being said, I would grab the points!
The movement downward is correct and the adjustment is accurate. I think UNDER for the game offers more value than the UNDER for the 1st half as we may see some trick plays from both sides in the first stanza and as I mentioned above, if Clemson receives the 2nd half kickoff they could limit Winston’s participation even more.”
LINE MOVES
In last week’s Total opiece, Manos touched on how he analyzes line movements in the totals market and divided the shifts into four categories. He also provided examples of each category.
1) Correct sharp movement – Indiana/Bowling Green OVER
If you check the moves on this matchup, you’ll see an opener of 64 and the line closed as high as 76. That’s a 12-point shift, which is ridiculous. After a slow start, Bowling Green beat Indiana 45-42 in a shootout as all tickets cashed.
2) Incorrect sharp movement – Nevada/Arizona OVER
This number opened 60 and closed as high as 66 ½. Some bettors might’ve scored a middle with Arizona winning 35-28.
3) Public movement – Georgia/South Carolina OVER
Big television games garner attention and despite a delayed start to weather, South Carolina defeated Georgia 38-35. This line jumped up during the week but the weather drove the number back in the neighborhood of the opener (58.5).
4) Market manipulation – Western Kentucky/Middle Tennessee UNDER
This number opened at 67 and received plenty of attention all week at the betting counter. The number closed at 64 and even though the final score was 50-47, make a note that 29 points came in overtime.
Manos has listed four examples for Week 4 that fit into his line movement categories.
1) Correct sharp movement - San Diego State/Oregon State OVER
2) Incorrect sharp movement - Tulane/Duke OVER
3) Public movement - North Carolina/East Carolina OVER
4) Market manipulation - Middle Tennessee State/Memphis UNDER
Listed below are all of the total moves by 3 or more points based on openers from CRIS as of Friday afternoon.
WEEK 4 MOVES
Rotation
Open
Current
**Ball State at Toledo
67
59
**Central Michigan at Kansas
48
45
Troy at Georgia
69
64
Bowling Green at Wisconsin
61
64
Tulane at Army
54.5
58
Army at Wake Forest
51
47
**San Jose State at Minnesota
56.5
51.5
Eastern Michigan at Michigan State
57
52
South Carolina at Vanderbilt
57.5
52.5
Middle Tennesse State at Memphis
65.5
60
Appalachian State at Southern Mississippi
62.5
59.5
Florida at Alabama
53.5
50.5
UNLV at Houston
57.5
62.5
Oregon at Washington State
73.5
77.5
**Clemson at Florida State
66
59.5
Virginia at BYU
51.5
48
Louisville at Florida International
48
44
Utah State at Arkansas State
54
50
Miami, Fl. at Nebraska
61
55.5
Oklahoma at West Virginia
62
65
California at Arizona
66
69.5
** Denotes key injuries to offensive players
Tech Trends – Week 4
By Bruce Marshall
NCAAF TECH TREND
SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 20
Matchup
Skinny
Tech Trend
at 
INDIANA at MISSOURI
Hoosiers just 3-7 their last 10 as visiting doggie. Tigers 13-4 last 17 vs. number.
Mizzou, based on team trends.
at
UMASS at PENN STATE
James Franklin 2-1 vs. line TY and now 27-15 vs. spread since 2011 at Vandy and PSU. Nittany Lions also 5-1 as DD chalk since 2012.
Penn State, based on team trends.
at
MARSHALL at AKRON
Herd 1-9-1 as visiting chalk since 2010 for Doc (1-6 since LY), as home team 13-1 vs. spread last 14 Marshall spread decisions.
Akron, based on Marshall trends.
at
IOWA at PITT
Panthers 8-2 last 10 as home chalk. Iowa 0-3 vs. line early in 2014 and 3-6 last 9 as visiting dog (though 2-0 in role LY).
Pitt, based on team trends.
at
BALL STATE at TOLEDO
Cards have won and covered last two meetings. Lembo 18-11 vs. line since 2012. Ball also 14-6 vs. line as visitor since 2011. Rockets 1-4 vs. line last five.
Ball State, based on team trends.
at
MARYLAND at SYRACUSE
Cuse won +5 at College Park LY. Orange 15-7 last 22 on board, but if Carrier Dome chalk only 3-5 last 8 in role. Terps 4-2 SU last six as visitor.
Slight to Maryland, if dog, based on team trends.
at
IDAHO at OHIO
Idaho only 4-11 as road dog since 2012 but did cover only chance thus far away TY (at ULM). Solich six straight covers at home vs. non-MAC foes.
Ohio, based on team trends.
at
CENTRAL MICHIGAN at KANSAS
CMU 7-3 vs. line last nine since mid 2013. Also 12-7 last 19 on board overall. Weis 0-5 as home chalk since 2012.
CMU, based on team trends.
at
TROY at GEORGIA
Richt just 1-5 last six vs. spread at home vs. non-SEC and 5-8 laying DD since 2012.
Slight to Troy, based on team trends.
at
BOWLING GREEN at WISCONSIN
Badgers 6-2 vs. line at home since LY, Gary Andersen 21-7 last 28 vs. line at Utah State & Wiscy. Falcs 10-5 vs. spread last 15 as visitor.
Slight to Wiscy, based on team trends.
at
TULANE at DUKE
Duke 9-1 vs. line as home chalk since 2012, also 6-2 last seven laying DD. Cutcliffe 12-4-1 vs. line since 2012.
Duke, based on team trends.
at
ARMY at WAKE FOREST
Wake 1-2 vs. line TY and if laying points note just 2-5 as home chalk since 2012. Army no covers last eleven as visitor!
Slight to Wake, based on extended Army visitor woes.
at
NORTH CAROLINA at EAST CAROLINA
Heels had won and covered four straight meetings prior to LY’s 55-31 ECU romp. Pirates 11-4 vs. line last 15 at Greenville. Fedora 2-7 vs. line as visitor with UNC since 2012.
ECU, based on team trends.
at
SAN JOSE STATE at MINNESOTA
SJSU 16-5 last 21 as dog but most of that with MacIntyre (only 3-3 in role for Caragher). Jerry Kill 6-2 as home chalk since 2012 and beat SJSU 43-24 LY.
Slight to Minnesota, based on team trends.
at
UTAH at MICHIGAN
Hoke is 12-7 vs. spread last 19 at Ann Arbor and 7-3 last ten as host. Utes only 3-5 as visiting dog past two years.
Slight to Michigan, based on team trends.
at
<td class="v